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07-18
$32 Billion Of SpaceX Stock Is Landing On EchoStar's Books.
There's a hedged pair I've been running for a while — long EchoStar (ECHO), short SpaceX (SPCX). Different playbook from the wheel and PMCC content I usually cover on this feed. Not a recurring premium strategy. Not an options structure. A defined-event trade with a specific catalyst, a specific spread, and a specific set of ways to break. Here's the walkthrough. Fair warning up front: this isn't a beginner trade, and the sizing and risk management matter more than the thesis. Read the risk section before deciding what to do with anything here. The Setup SpaceX started trading on Nasdaq on June 12, 2026 at a $135 IPO price. As of Friday's close, SPCX is at $123.99 — down about 8% from the IPO price and down roughly 15% just this past week as semis and speculative growth got hit hard across
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07-18
Is Big Tech Becoming the Market's Biggest Risk?
The indices fell... but the story is much bigger than one red session. Wall Street ended the week on a weaker note: Market recap: Dow Jones: -0.77% S&P 500: -1.01% Nasdaq: -1.40% Sectors At first glance, it looks like another risk-off day. But beneath the surface, investors are asking a much more important question: Has the market become too dependent on AI and Big Tech? AI Is Still Driving the Market… in Both Directions Once again, semiconductor stocks led the selloff. SOX The $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ flirted with bear market territory, while disappointing reactions to Netflix earnings and the launch of Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 added fresh pressure to the technology sector. Yet few analysts believe the AI investment cycle is over.
TOPLeilaLynch: I just rechecked SOX — this pullback looks a lot like 2024 Q1, but the backdrop is way less forgiving. Feels more like broadening than a full AI break
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07-18
IBM's AI Traffic Jam: When the Picks and Shovels Delay the Gold Rush
Has AI's biggest spending boom just become software's biggest headache? Watching $IBM(IBM)$ suffer its worst one-day share price collapse since records began in 1968 was rather like watching a seasoned marathon runner trip over the finishing tape. Few expected perfection, but almost nobody expected a 25%-plus plunge that erased roughly US$67 billion in market value before the company had even reported quarterly earnings. Yet I think the market may be asking the wrong question. The debate isn't simply whether IBM's AI turnaround has failed. It's whether the AI investment cycle itself has temporarily turned against the very software companies expected to benefit from it. That sounds absurd until you consider IBM's explanation. Enterprise customers ha
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07-18
AI’s New Business Model: The Compute Landlord Era Begins
The AI race is entering a new phase. The biggest AI companies are no longer just competing to build better models. They are competing for something even more fundamental: Compute. And an unexpected trend is emerging: Some of the world’s largest technology companies are becoming landlords of AI infrastructure, renting computing capacity to the very companies challenging them in AI. 1. Meta and SpaceX Are Becoming Compute Landlords For months, investors questioned whether massive AI infrastructure spending would generate enough returns. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ’s answer may be emerging: Don’t just consume compute. Own it—and monetize it. Meta is reportedly in discussions with Anthropic for a potential deal that could reach $10 b
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07-19 18:00
SGX Weekly Review | Singapore Market Rallies to Fresh Highs; OCBC, DBS Hit Record Peaks Within Week
Singapore’s stock market maintained its upward momentum this week. The STI rose 0.73% for the full week and hit an all-time intraday high of 5,561.42 points on July 15. The FTSE Singapore Index closed 0.6% higher over the week, also notching a record peak of 1,252.02 points on July 15. In terms of individual stocks, $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ rose over 4% this week, and $DBS(D05.SI)$ rose 2.14%, both hitting record highs during the week; $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ rose 0.55% for the week. $SGX(S68.SI)$ fell 1.49% this week, and $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ fell 4.84%. Market News
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07-19 20:23
AI Monetization Wave Set to Drive Hyperscaler Outperformance in Second Half of 2026
The artificial intelligence boom is transitioning from heavy infrastructure spending into a phase of tangible revenue generation and earnings acceleration. Hyperscalers are committing hundreds of billions to AI capital expenditures this year, creating the foundation for a significant monetization payoff in the coming quarters. This shift mirrors large-scale historical infrastructure builds, where early investments lead to productivity gains, broader product adoption, and expanding margins across cloud services, enterprise software, and AI-enabled applications. The upcoming earnings season is widely expected to validate these trends, potentially catalyzing stronger performance among leading technology stocks after a period of consolidation. Hyperscalers Major cloud and platform operators ar
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07-19 22:51
(Part 2 of 4) - Market outlook of S&P500 (20Jul2026)
Market Outlook of S&P500 (20Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.16, indicating that the market has more buying momentum than selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above 200-day (MA200) moving average but just cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and a probable trend change in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. E
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07-19 22:58
Hong Kong Market — HSI gains 1.6% as energy and banks lead, China Life slumps
$HSI(HSI)$ The Hang Seng Index gained 1.6% and closed at 24,562.24, driven by strength in energy majors and state-owned banks, offset by heavy selling in insurance and select tech names. The index held above the 24,000 level as Southbound funds rotated into commodity and financial plays. Sectors: Industrial Gases (+28.09%), Multi-Sector Holdings (+18.56%), and Real Estate Services (+10.33%) led the concept board on idiosyncratic strength. 10 Popular Stocks: $CATL(03750)$ +3.32% — The battery giant bounced back from last week's -13% plunge, with investors buying the dip after the stock fell to a one-month low near HK$587. UBS maintains a HK$820 target, citing the company's vertically integrated energy stor
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07-19 22:42
(Full Article) - Preview of the week (20Jul2026) - starts with Blackstone
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 20Jul2026) Several major data releases are due in the coming week, each offering insight into demand conditions, labour-market momentum, the housing sector, and the broader economic outlook. Crude oil inventories: Markets typically view this release as a gauge of consumption trends, particularly from the perspective of major oil companies. Initial jobless claims: The latest claims data will be released after a previous reading of 208,000. This remains one of the key labour-market indicators the Federal Reserve monitors when assessing upcoming interest-rate decisions. New home sales: June new home sales will be released following a previous reading of 580,000 units. The data will serve as an important barometer for the health of the real estate m
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07-19 22:50
🐶 Options Puppy 101: Why I Chose to Sell the NVIDIA $195 Cash-Secured Put (Educational Case Study)
🐶 Options Puppy 101: Why I Chose to Sell the NVIDIA $195 Cash-Secured Put (Educational Case Study) Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and explains one possible way an investor might think about a trade. It is not financial or investment advice. Every investor should do their own research and understand the risks before trading options. 📈 Introduction On 16 July, I sold one NVIDIA (NVDA) put option with a $195 strike price and an expiration date of 28 August 2026, collecting a premium of $6.40 per share, or $640 before commissions (one U.S. options contract represents 100 shares). This was not a random decision. Before placing the trade, I looked at the stock chart, moving averages, price action, and my own willingness to own NVIDIA shares if the option were assigned.
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07-19 22:46
🪙 IBIT ETF 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Understanding the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Learning About Cash-Secured Put Options
🪙 IBIT ETF 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Understanding the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Learning About Cash-Secured Put Options 📖 Introduction The world of investing continues to evolve, and one of the most talked-about developments in recent years has been the introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Among them, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has become one of the largest and most widely recognized products available to investors. Managed by BlackRock, IBIT allows investors to gain exposure to the price movements of Bitcoin without having to purchase or store the cryptocurrency directly. For many people, buying and holding Bitcoin can seem complicated. Investors may have concerns about digital wallets, private keys, online security, or choosing a cryptocurrency exchange. A s
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07-19
$NVDA Turns Short-Term Bearish, Re-Entry Zone Identified
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ⚡ Key Takeaway NVDA fell again today, eight days into a Buy and Hold position that remains positive but is under real pressure. The short-term stance has flipped to an outright Sell for the first time, with the probability of a full Bearish zone transition jumping to a genuinely elevated reading. The Risk Level itself, notably, has actually eased back a tier despite the price decline. A specific exit window and a lower re-entry point have both been identified. This is a market working through a real correction, but one where the structural risk data hasn't deteriorated as sharply as the price action suggests. ━━━ 1️⃣ What Is Happening Right Now 📌 ① Jul 16 Close → Jul 17 Close Parameter Jul 16, 2026 Jul 17, 2026 Change Close $207.4 (
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07-19
$SPCX: Rising Short Interest, Falling Shares, and a Divided Market
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ remains one of the market's most closely watched stocks—and one of its most polarizing. The stock has fallen roughly 45% from its June high, traded lower in nine of the last ten sessions, and recently slipped below its IPO price for the first time. At the same time, short sellers have continued to build positions, with reported short interest now approaching one-third of the company's public float, representing roughly $25 billion in bearish bets. Two Very Different Views The recent selloff has split investors into two camps. The bearish argument is centered on valuation. Even after the sharp decline, critics argue the company still trades at a rich multiple relative to revenue, suggesting much of its long-term growth is already ref
TOPyeah I m going to become millionaire in 5 years ,,now it is an opportunity to accumulate n forget for next 5 years ..
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07-19
Weekly Leadership Scan: Where Relative Strength Is Holding Up
Every weekend, it's worth asking one simple question: Which stocks are still showing leadership? One useful way to answer that is by looking for companies that continue to trade above all of their key moving averages while also maintaining strong fundamental momentum. This week's scan identified 20 liquid names that continue to meet those criteria. Software Remains the Clear Leader The strongest concentration is once again in software, particularly infrastructure and enterprise platforms. Infrastructure software names include: $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ $Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NE
TOPhow to make a buy list 1. price above 50DMA 2.quarterky revenue above 25% 3.eps growth above 25% you 5. what are the other parameters to consider
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07-19
Neutral Technicals Win: From $SPX to $BTC, Precision Beats Bias
I remain bullish when technical conditions support it and bearish when a reversal is likely. For instance, there are metal-focused outlets that have maintained a bullish stance since March in Gold and Silver despite of the clear overextension that needed a major correction, crypto publications insisting in a bounce when technicals did not support that, and others that remain dogmatically bullish on semiconductors regardless of the charts. Will they reach all-time highs again? Certainly. However, identifying exactly when and how much pain is required to get there is where neutral, professional technical analysis provides the most value. I was bullish at the market bottom in late March providing clear references, targeting 7,638 for the $S&P 500(.SP
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07-19
$SMH & $AMD Hit Bearish Targets as $QQQ Trend Weakens
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The narrowing price action in tech set bearish resolution. The 20DMA is set to cross below the 50DMA, a clear trend shift that seemed unimaginable less than a month ago since semiconductors were going to the moon. The damage could be worse but some mag7( $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) have mitigated it. News are Catalysts for Tech
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07-17
IBM’s 25% Collapse: A Broken AI Story…or the Start of a Major Market Rotation?
A 25% fall in a company like IBM is not an ordinary earnings reaction. It is the market suddenly questioning an entire investment story. IBM’s preliminary second-quarter revenue came in at approximately $17.2 billion, up only 1% year over year and below expectations of around $17.86 billion. Adjusted earnings of $2.93 per share also fell slightly short of forecasts. But the numbers alone do not fully explain such a violent sell-off. The greater concern was the message behind them. IBM said customers had prioritised spending on servers, storage and memory amid supply constraints and anticipated price increases. That redirected technology budgets away from some software and infrastructure purchases. Management also acknowledged execution failures. Several significant deals did not close as e
TOPwonderful thoughts.. thanks for sharing your thoughts and analysis
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07-17
🎓 Macquarie Warrants 101 – What I Learned After Receiving a S$20 Seminar Voucher TigerTrade
🎓 Macquarie Warrants 101 – What I Learned After Receiving a S$20 Seminar Voucher Congratulations on receiving the S$20 Macquarie Stock Cash Voucher after attending the seminar! It is a nice way to encourage participants to learn about structured warrants before trading. ⸻ 🌟 Some Popular Macquarie Warrants Macquarie issues warrants on many well-known stocks and indices. Popular examples include: * Alibaba – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. JCJW Put) * BYD – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. OPCW Call) * Hang Seng Index (HSI) – Call and Put Warrants * Nasdaq-100 – Call Warrants (e.g. EFKW) * Nikkei 225 – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. YHSW) * Meituan * Tencent * Xiaomi * Bilibili These are among the more actively followed Macquarie warrants on SGX. ⸻ 📈 How Do Call Warrants Work? A Call Warrant is generall
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07-17
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/17/2026
$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$ By Lawrence G. McMillan Buying the dip has been working on an intraday basis recently, but the larger picture is that there are dips to buy almost every day. That means that $SPX is not making much progress. Despite breaking out on the upside from the triangle formation that had existed, it has run into resistance at 7580 and has failed to challenge the all-time highs at 7600-7620. This keeps the $SPX chart from being upgraded to "bullish." Rather, it is range-bound at best. There is support at 7420 the lows of early July. Then below that the lower side of the triangle is still in place, and a breakdown below 7300 would be neg
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07-18
$GOOG Cash Flow Surge, $DUOL AI Challenge & $NFLX Buy Zone Watch
The key question for all three: can earnings growth drive future upside while valuations expand? $GOOG, $DUOL, and $NFLX offer three different answers. 1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Analysts are expecting Alphabet's operating cash flow to nearly double over the next 2.5 years. 2. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ Everyone has to learn Chinese if Kimi takes over or what? 3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ $NFLX was $86 when I posted this. Getting closer to a buy after this drop. At some point, Netflix will be an amazing buy. But at 38x FCF, I don't think a company growing revenue in the mid-teens is in "no-brainer" territory yet. PS： Investing Over-Simplified If you can explain how the stocks you own