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Tiger_comments
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02-28 20:45

February Recap: Gold & Oil Soar Amid Geopolitical Smoke! Will March Crash Repeat?

The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month "safe-haven" mode. 📉 Index Performance: A "Late-Winter Chill" for Tech $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month "panic selling" amplified the decline. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?) $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors. I
February Recap: Gold & Oil Soar Amid Geopolitical Smoke! Will March Crash Repeat?
TOPChrishust: 1. Black swan preparedness: no I was underweight both $ETFS Physical Gold(GOLD.AU)$ and oil in my portfolio due to renewables transition 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ lesson: yes I am aware of high expectations for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and why the stock has fallen dispite earnings outperformance 3. Did I protect my profits in February: no I was positioned for continued tech performance . Yes gold is likely to exceed $5500 in march
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CC on ETFs
·
02-28 18:59

US-Israel strike Iran — gold, silver new highs next week?

Today, the United States and Israel launched military strikes on targets inside Iran, sharply escalating tensions in the Middle East. Geopolitical risk premiums are set to return rapidly to the forefront of market pricing. Next week, capital inflows into the precious metals sector, led by gold and silver, appear almost certain. In the gold ETF space, the largest physically backed gold ETF, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ , is up 22.06% year to date, while $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ has gained 22.05%. Among gold mining ETFs, $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ is up 35.06% this year and $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$ has risen 37.27%.
US-Israel strike Iran — gold, silver new highs next week?
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FlowState Alpha
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02-28 17:47

FlowState Alpha – Global Market Outlook: US-Israel Strikes Iran, How to Position for Oil and HK Defense Stocks Next Week

Period Covered: Feb 23–28, 2026 Issued: Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 Focus: US | China/HK | Crypto | Commodities | Geopolitical Events 1) Macro & Geopolitical Summary United States Equities: S&P 500: 6,812 Nasdaq Composite: 16,432 Dow Jones: 34,910 Fixed Income: US 10Y Treasury Yield: 3.961% FX: USD DXY: 102.34 Macro drivers: Feb 26 PCE inflation 2.9% → marginal driver for 10Y yields decline and short-term equity repricing. Q4 GDP (2/20 Advance Estimate) already digested; included as background. Asia China / Hong Kong: Hang Seng: 26,381 (‑1.4%) Hang Seng Tech: 5,109 (‑2.9%) Shanghai Composite: 3,332 (‑0.4%) Japan: Nikkei 225: 31,110 (+0.3%) Capital flows: Anticipate Southbound outflow from HK tech → A-share defense / national tech replacement sectors in response to Pakistan–Afghanistan w
FlowState Alpha – Global Market Outlook: US-Israel Strikes Iran, How to Position for Oil and HK Defense Stocks Next Week
TOPZhongRenChun: why would ethereum go to $4k?
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Tiger_chat
·
02-28 17:19

Crypto Winter 2.0? The March 1 Deadline That Could Save or Sink BTC

Hey Singapore crypto fam! 👋 Is your portfolio bleeding red alongside BTC? Before you hit that panic sell button, let’s break down whether this is a "buy the dip" opportunity or the start of a proper bear market — and more importantly, why a US bill with a March 1 deadline might completely change how we invest in crypto. Read more from @Wesley_Master on Will the Clarity Act be the game-changer that reverses the crypto bear market? 📉 Bitcoin: Technical Correction or Bear Market? Let’s talk about the painful price action first. BTC has corrected nearly 19% from its $79k high, and scarier still — it’s been dropping for 5 consecutive months since hitting $126k in October
Crypto Winter 2.0? The March 1 Deadline That Could Save or Sink BTC
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koolgal
·
02-27 17:36
🌟🌟🌟Newmont $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ truly earns its title as the world's largest gold miner, not just by market cap but by the sheer breath of its global footprint.  Its operations stretch across North America, South America, Australia, Africa and Papua New Guinea, forming a network of tier one assets that few miners can match. When Gold rises, Newmont moves upwards too.  Earnings have surged triple digits.  The stock has climbed more than 150% in a year.  Yet analysts still say it trades far below its fair value which is at 33% discount. Despite its success Newmont only pays a dividend yield of 0.55%   This tells you 2 things:  Management is conserving cash in a Capex heavy period and positioning for long term rei

【🎁美財報季暴漲靚股】金價飆升助力紐曼礦業累計升幅超190%!今年關注產量與成本控制?

@財報話你知
Hi小虎們,2025年以來,金銀表現超乎大家想象,這也帶動了全球黃金白銀等礦產股以及挖掘設備等上市公司股價飆升,而黃金期貨價格在今年2月初短暫跌破5000美元大關後,繼續穩步上升至5200美元;白銀期貨此前也一度跌破70美元關口,目前繼續向90美元關口衝擊![Great] 看來金銀價格的跌宕起伏是2026年不能忽視的主題,而財報虎也發現美股紐曼礦業業績與股價齊升,一起來看看吧~~~[Happy] 黃金期貨價格重返5200美元 紐曼礦業Q4財報超預期! 全球最大的黃金生產商紐曼礦業(NEM.US)在2月19日美股盤後公佈2025年Q4及全年業績表現,營收和盈利已經連續五個季度超預期,主要得益於黃金價格的超乎想象飆升,抵消了產量下滑影響。[Surprised] 根據財報,截至12月31日Q4,公司營收按年增長21%至68.2億美元,高於分析師預期(62億美元),其中黃金銷售按年增長20%至58.1億美元。當季淨利潤為13億美元,每股1.19億美元,調整後每股收益為2.52美元,均高於華爾街分析師普遍預期。[Cool] 全年來看,公司總營收和美股收益分別為226.7億和6.89美元,均超分析師預期(220.7億美元和6.53美元),自由現金流創紀錄實現73億美元,黃金可歸屬產量約590萬盎司,黃金年銷售額按年增長23%至193億美元,當季度黃金均價按年上升56%至每盎司4135美元,全年黃金價格較去年上升45%近3500美元/盎司!但是受到Yanacocha、Brucejack等礦場的採礦計劃調整,黃金產量按年下滑24%至145萬盎司。[Miser] 業績展望方面: 2026年預計黃金產量為530萬盎司,較2025年略有減少(589萬盎司),還是受到礦山計劃調整與產能節奏變化,其中390萬盎司來自自主運營項目; 2026年資本支出計劃中,約19.5億美元 作為延續性資本支出,用於
【🎁美財報季暴漲靚股】金價飆升助力紐曼礦業累計升幅超190%!今年關注產量與成本控制?
🌟🌟🌟Newmont $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ truly earns its title as the world's largest gold miner, not just by market cap but by the sheer breath of its glo...
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koolgal
·
02-27 18:06
🌟🌟🌟What an amazing performance for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange $HKEX(00388)$ as it reports record results for the second consecutive year.  This is due to revived China tech interest, stronger turnover and a rebound in IPO activity. Is HKEX a good buy? Yes it has a wide moat as it is the only exchange in Hong Kong.  It is profitable with its net profit up 36% YoY to HKD 17.7B for 2025.  Its revenue has increased by 30% YoY to HKD 291.1B.  HKEX also beats analysts expectations with final quarter earnings of HKD 4.34B vs HKD 3.8B expected. For dividend lovers, HKEX has increased its dividend payout to HKD 12.52 per share, up from HKD 9.26, maintaining a 90% payout ratio. HKEX has reclaimed its IPO crown with 119 new listings
🌟🌟🌟What an amazing performance for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange $HKEX(00388)$ as it reports record results for the second consecutive year. This is...
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Lanceljx
·
02-27 19:28
The sell-off looks less like a thesis break and more like a valuation reset meeting execution uncertainty. Whether it creates upside depends on time horizon. 1. Why the market reacted sharply Blackwell timing risk: Delays matter because Nvidia’s valuation assumes uninterrupted upgrade cycles. Any slip compresses near-term revenue visibility. AI capex durability fears: Markets are shifting from “build at any cost” to ROI scrutiny. Hyperscalers are still spending, but investors now question growth acceleration, not growth itself. Custom silicon narrative: ASICs from hyperscalers (TPU-like designs) create headline risk, though they typically complement rather than replace Nvidia’s ecosystem. 2. Have risks been addressed? Partially Management commentary and channel checks suggest demand is not
The sell-off looks less like a thesis break and more like a valuation reset meeting execution uncertainty. Whether it creates upside depends on tim...
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Lanceljx
·
02-27 19:33
These three updates collectively signal a transition phase in the AI cycle. Growth remains strong, but markets are now rewarding efficiency and visibility, not merely expansion. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM) – growth stabilising, expectations too high 12% YoY growth, fastest in two years, confirms enterprise software demand is improving. The issue is guidance. Slightly soft FY2027 outlook tells investors AI monetisation will be gradual, not explosive. Market takeaway: Salesforce is shifting from restructuring-driven margin expansion to steady AI productivity gains. Implication: Not a demand problem. It is a valuation problem. Investors already priced stronger acceleration. --- 2. C3.ai – AI hype meets economic reality 26% workforce reduction signals a pivot toward profitability. Enterprise AI ad
These three updates collectively signal a transition phase in the AI cycle. Growth remains strong, but markets are now rewarding efficiency and vis...
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amroui
·
02-27 22:53
$Nordic American Tankers(NAT)$ last week was exploring taking up a bearish position on this stock. My trade hypothesis was this stock is over pumped and won't sustain $5 after the dividend payout.  This week, first we had news of virtual meeting with B Riley, and now news of B Riley financials' analyst Liam Burke increasing target price from $5 to $7.50. Coincidence? I don't think so.  Better stay away from this stock from now. NAT isn't worth that much and they're trying to liquidate their old assets i.e. they're still trying to sell ships = reducing capacity. With no immediate plans for renewal, that doesn't sound like a company on track for growth. In fact, it'd make more sense if the meeting was to find ways to finance more capital fo
$Nordic American Tankers(NAT)$ last week was exploring taking up a bearish position on this stock. My trade hypothesis was this stock is over pumpe...
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xc__
·
02-27 23:33

Is the SaaS Bubble Finally Bursting? 😱📉 Tech Giants Stumble Amid Sky-High Expectations!

Buckle up, folks— the SaaS world just got a reality check that's sending shockwaves through Wall Street! 🚀💥 With growth slowing and layoffs hitting hard, investors are questioning if this is just a blip or the kickoff to a massive software sector shakeup. Let's dive deep into the latest drama from powerhouse players like Salesforce, C3.ai, and CoreWeave, and what it means for your portfolio. 📊🔍 First up, Salesforce is flexing some serious muscle but still missing the mark on future vibes. Their Q4 haul? A whopping $11.2 billion in revenue, soaring 12% year-over-year—their zippiest sprint in two years! 🏃‍♂️💨 They crushed analyst expectations on the top line, proving cloud CRM is still king. But hold the confetti: Their FY2027 guidance landed at $45.8–46.2 billion, just a hair under the $46.
Is the SaaS Bubble Finally Bursting? 😱📉 Tech Giants Stumble Amid Sky-High Expectations!
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Fistein
·
02-28 01:44
$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$  $10 Target Price once Lithium market supply tighten by China's rare earth export restriction and Zimbabwe ban on Lithium export persist.  GM $650M investment on LAC valuation: GM's $650 million investment is a transformative event for LAC's valuation, acting as a catalyst that transitions the company's narrative from a high-risk explorer to a funded, strategically-aligned developer with secured future revenue. Its primary impact is not merely the addition of cash to the balance sheet, but the comprehensive de-risking of the entire Thacker Pass project. This de-risking—through secured funding, guaranteed offtake, and powerful strategic endorsement—justifies a higher valuation multipl
$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ $10 Target Price once Lithium market supply tighten by China's rare earth export restriction and Zimbabwe ban on Lith...
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koolgal
·
02-28 04:17
🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry of the Big Shot fame, is back in the news.  This time his target is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   His latest warning is that $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ wants NVIDIA to place massive, non refundable orders months in advance.  If AI demand drops suddenly, NVIDIA is left holding a multi billion dollar bag of chips nobody wants. Michael Burry is comparing NVIDIA to Cisco in 2000. However CEO Jensen Huang argues that this isn't an AI bubble as we have moved from "training" to "reasoning" (inference).  Every AI agent like Claude needs constant compute power, making NVIDIA more like a utility than a cyclical tech stock. Nvidia's latest guidance shows that it is struggling

【🎁有獎話題】算力沙皇英偉達財報啱啱令質疑聲消退,大空頭卻將其比作思科?

@愛吃辣的小老虎
小虎們,美股市場終於等到了救世主英偉達的財報降臨,結果同樣大超預期,但納斯達克和標普500指數啱啱開心了兩天,隔夜又迎來大跌,英偉達隔夜跌超5%,到底怎麼回事呢?[Sad] 英偉達魔咒再現? 美東時間2月25日美股盤後,英偉達再次公佈勁爆財報數據:截至2026年1月31日的第四財季,營收按年增長73%至681.27億美元,增速明顯高於Q3的62%,並且超過其自身指引中值650億美元,全年營收按年增長65%至2159.38億美元,創年度最高紀錄。淨利潤按年變化79%至395.5億美元,遠超市場預期的374.9億美元![Cool] 非GAAP口徑下,當季度調整後的每股收益按年增長超80%,超分析師預期,毛利率為75.2%,創一年半以來的新高。業績指引同樣超預期,但英偉達表示本次預測並未計入來自中國的數據中心收入: 預計2026年Q1營收為780億美元,上下浮動2%,分析師預期為726億美元; 非GAAP口徑下調整後毛利率預計為75%,上下浮動50個點子。 具體業務來看: 數據中心按年增長75%至623.14億美元,增速高於Q3,超分析師預期(603.6億美元),其中數據中心計算(Compute)收入按年增長58%至513.34億美元,數據中心網絡(Networking)按年增長263%至109.80億美元; 遊戲業務按年增長47%至37.27億美元,低於分析師預期的40.1億美元; 專業可視化營收在Blackwell帶動下同比增長159%至13.21億美元,大超分析師預期(7.7億美元),成為除數據中心外最亮眼的增量業務,但體量還是較小。 在去年GTC大會上,老黃透露英偉達已經在2025年和2026年兩個自然年價值5000億美元的芯片,而本次財報電話會上,他再次上調收入預期,預計會超過該數字,供應有望滿足這兩年的需求。英偉達CFO Colette Kress也表示公司已經獲得足
【🎁有獎話題】算力沙皇英偉達財報啱啱令質疑聲消退,大空頭卻將其比作思科?
🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry of the Big Shot fame, is back in the news. This time his target is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ His latest warning is that $Taiwan Semiconductor...
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koolgal
·
02-28 06:45
🌟🌟🌟It is so heartening to see that Singapore Airlines $SIA(C6L.SI)$ taking off to  the skies with a 7 month high of SGD 7.19.  This is a validation of a Singapore icon that never lost its core identity even in the toughest of skies. SIA has just delivered a breathtaking SGD 5.51 billion in its latest quarterly revenue - the highest ever recorded.  With a 87.5% load factor, customers are choosing the SIA Experience as a great way to fly, paying extra for the premium experience. The SGD 178 Millon hit from Air India is simply the cost of building a global aerial empire.  It is expected that by 2028, Air India may become the ultimate "alpha engine" of growth for SIA. With a current dividend yield of 4.8%, investors receive a g
🌟🌟🌟It is so heartening to see that Singapore Airlines $SIA(C6L.SI)$ taking off to the skies with a 7 month high of SGD 7.19. This is a validation o...
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Lanceljx
·
02-28 11:54
Short answer: yes, the pullback likely creates tactical upside, but only if you separate execution risk (short term) from structural demand risk (long term). Right now, the market is repricing the former, not yet the latter. --- 1. Why the market reacted so sharply The selloff reflects a shift from perfect-execution expectations to normal semiconductor execution risk: a) Blackwell rollout delay Nvidia was priced for flawless transition from Hopper → Blackwell. Any delay compresses near-term revenue recognition and pushes hyperscaler deployments slightly outward. Markets discount timing aggressively even if demand remains intact. b) AI capex sustainability fears Investors are questioning whether hyperscalers move from “capacity land-grab” to ROI discipline in 2026. This is a sentiment risk,
Short answer: yes, the pullback likely creates tactical upside, but only if you separate execution risk (short term) from structural demand risk (l...
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Lanceljx
·
02-28 11:57
The three updates together reveal an important shift inside the AI sector: the market is moving from “AI excitement” to “AI efficiency and execution.” Each company sits at a different stage of that transition. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM): Solid fundamentals, valuation discipline 12% YoY growth and fastest expansion in two years confirms enterprise software demand is stabilising. The slight guidance miss matters because expectations were already high after the AI narrative around Agentforce and automation. Market interpretation Investors now want AI monetisation, not AI features. Salesforce is viewed as a cash-flow compounder, not a hyper-growth AI winner. Implication: Downside likely limited unless enterprise IT spending weakens. Upside depends on proving AI lifts productivity revenue, not jus
The three updates together reveal an important shift inside the AI sector: the market is moving from “AI excitement” to “AI efficiency and executio...
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Lanceljx
·
02-28 12:04
1. Stablecoins vs crypto Stablecoins are evolving into financial infrastructure rather than speculative assets. Regulation and payment adoption will push them closer to fintech rail. However, they still inject liquidity into crypto markets, so growth in stablecoins usually supports BTC and majors indirectly. Expect functional divergence but financial interdependence. 2. Chasing Circle after the surge Risk-reward has worsened short term. The rally priced in regulatory optimism and adoption expectations. Further upside now needs execution proof. Momentum may continue, but probability favours consolidation. Taking partial profits or waiting for a pullback is more balanced than chasing. 3. BTC outlook The rebound looks like early bottom formation, not a full bull breakout yet. Institutional
1. Stablecoins vs crypto Stablecoins are evolving into financial infrastructure rather than speculative assets. Regulation and payment adoption wil...
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WeChats
·
02-28 16:43
“Operation Roaring Lion” Ignites the Middle East: Is Gold Unstoppable on its Way to $6,300? The geopolitical powder keg has officially detonated, and global markets are violently repricing risk. Israel has launched a massive preemptive strike on Iran dubbed “Operation Roaring Lion,” while President Trump confirmed the U.S. military is simultaneously engaged in multi-day operations targeting Iranian missile and naval infrastructure. With officials telegraphing an intensive campaign to neutralize the threat of nuclear escalation, the ultimate safe-haven asset is catching a generational bid. JPMorgan has poured gasoline on the fire, raising its long-term gold view to $4,500 and aggressively defending a jaw-dropping $6,300 price target for the end of 2026. The question flooding the Tiger Commu
“Operation Roaring Lion” Ignites the Middle East: Is Gold Unstoppable on its Way to $6,300? The geopolitical powder keg has officially detonated, a...
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Wesley_Master
·
02-28 15:59

Will the Clarity Act be the game-changer that reverses the crypto bear market?

Since February, $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ has been on a downward trend from its phased high of $79,415, with its cumulative decline now approaching 19%. Looking at a longer time frame, since reaching its all-time high of $126,000 in October last year, Bitcoin has been in a continuous decline for 5 months as of February this year. The last time Bitcoin experienced a continuous decline for 5 months dates back to 2018; during that cycle, Bitcoin ultimately declined for 6 consecutive months, which was 8 years ago, or exactly two cycles ago.Looking further back in history, including this time, Bitcoin has only experienced consecutive declines for 5 months or more on 3 occasions: 5 consecutive months of decline in 2014, 6 consecutive months of decline
Will the Clarity Act be the game-changer that reverses the crypto bear market?
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Tiger_CashBoostAccount
·
02-28 15:59

🎉Justin's Trading Philosophy: The Most Valuable Lesson & 4 Target Areas

Congratulations once again on @Joshhsh -Justin's successful trading endeavors! 🎉The following are Justin's answers to questions from TigerBrokers' emails. We appreciate Justin's thoughtful and earnest sharing, and hope it will be helpful to our fellow investors.If you are interested in being interviewed, please leave a comment below. If your answer is used and published, we will provide an incentive of SGD150.Part 1: Getting Started — The Beginning of the JourneyMy name is Justin. Professionally, I work in risk and governance — so naturally, I’ve always been fascinated by how uncertainty is measured, priced, and managed.I’ve been investing for about 10 years now. What started as a simple desire to grow my savings slowly evolved into
🎉Justin's Trading Philosophy: The Most Valuable Lesson & 4 Target Areas
TOPTigerClub: Congratulations once again on @Joshhsh -Justin's successful trading endeavors! 🎉 From risk governance to market mastery: Justin's decade-long journey proves that markets reward not just fundamentals, but the disciplined courage to envision structural transformations while managing uncertainty with institutional precision. "If I can't define my risk clearly, I don't enter"—discover how one trader survived volatile AI cycles and 40%+ annual returns by transforming conviction into systematic risk management rather than blind hope. Beyond the Tesla and Nvidia hype lies a profound truth: true trading longevity comes from protecting capital like oxygen, waiting for macro-aligned confirmations, and recognizing that volatility isn't the enemy—undisciplined narrative-chasing is. 5 Short Punchlines (for callouts/bullet points) Conviction without risk management is just hope. Protect your downside like it's oxygen. Don't fall in love with the stock—fall in love with the process. Structure beats narrative. Wait for confirmation. Let winners run, cut losses fast. Compounding > Gambling. Key Themes / Hashtags (for categorization & SEO) Core Philosophy: Risk-First Trading, Macro-Technical Edge, Capital Preservation Strategy: Trend Following, Swing Positioning, Institutional Discipline Focus Areas: AI Infrastructure, Autonomous Systems, Structural Transformation Mindset: Strategic Patience, Volatility Mastery, Process Over Prediction Tags: #RiskGovernance #MacroAlignment #TeslaNvidiaStrategy #CompoundingWealth #SystematicTrading
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Optionspuppy
·
02-28 14:55

Why I buy Netflix last week . SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs

I bought shares of Netflix last week because I believe the company is entering another strong growth phase. Over the past year, Netflix has shown that it can adapt and stay ahead in the highly competitive streaming industry. Even with competitors like Disney and Amazon investing heavily in content, Netflix continues to lead in global subscriber numbers and brand recognition. One key reason I decided to buy is its focus on profitability rather than just subscriber growth. Netflix has been increasing its operating margins while managing content spending more carefully. The introduction of its ad-supported subscription tier also opens a new revenue stream, attracting price-sensitive customers while boosting advertising income. This diversification strengthens its long-term business model. Ano
Why I buy Netflix last week . SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
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