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The week started with an interesting divergence highlighted last Saturday in the Weekly Compass: $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ showed a likely bullish setup, while tech exhibited cracks. Indices usually move in the same direction but with different proportions, and today those divergent setups indeed pushed both indices in opposite directions. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ +0.35% vs $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ -0.71%. The described cracks for tech are playing out. From the high-probability setups mentioned last Saturday, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was set to decline and the stock lost -1.3% today. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
$AMZN Reclaims the 20-DMA, $JPM Eyes Earnings, $QCOM Looks Oversold
Three charts, three setups to watch this week. 🔹 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ — Momentum Is Back The bounce off the lower Bollinger Band played out as expected, with price reclaiming the 20-DMA on bullish momentum. Some consolidation near the upper band would be normal, but the move could continue. There are no major overbought signals yet, leaving room for further upside if buyers stay in control. 🔹 $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ — Earnings in Focus The chart looks constructive heading into earnings this week. The key will be how price reacts to the report and whether the current momentum holds. 🔹 $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ — Oversold at the 50-DMA $QCOM is oversold and finding support
Earnings season begins next week, and the stock market has shown resilience lately despite ongoing pressure from the bond market. The 10 year Treasury yield surged to a 24 year high of nearly 5.37% on Wednesday before settling near 5.25% by Friday’s close, continuing to test equity valuations. Meanwhile, the probability for an October rate hike sits just at 18%, which has helped temper extreme downside fears. However, it is crucial to watch the reversal unfolding in semiconductors. In last Wednesday’s mid-week update, I documented that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was setting up a bearish reversal. Sure enough, semiconductors, including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ -2%, $Micron Technology(MU)$</
The weekly support and resistance levels modeled for the week ahead frame price action with precision. Technical analysis provides the directional probabilities, while these modeled support and resistance levels validate the thesis that technical indicators suggest. For example, I anticipated a bullish reversal for $Alphabet(GOOG)$ based on technical indicators illustrated transparently to paid subscribers last Saturday, providing the central weekly level (CWL) of 341 as the trigger/confirmation. That move materialized on Monday, and the initial upside target was modeled at 349.4, the zone reached on Thursday and revisited today. The weekly move was +2.2% 🎯. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ was set as a high probabil
$GOOG $META $NVDA Pullback Watch 📉 All three are showing signs of cooling off after pushing into overbought territory. The key now is how deep the pullback goes — and where buyers step back in. 🔎 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Rejected at the upper Bollinger Band. The last time this happened, price pulled back to the 20-DMA and bounced. Let’s be pessimistic and assume the gap at $330 gets filled, which would offer a better entry. But expecting that deep a pullback right now may be wishful thinking. 📉 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ As flagged last week, the upper Bollinger Band breach and overbought oscillators pointed toward consolidation or a healthy pullback. Price could consolidate around the 20-DMA, potentially compl
During the last days, I have been highlighting the risk for the indices. Despite recent breakouts, this week’s story follows a familiar pattern: we see a bullish move on Monday that suddenly fades as the week progresses. This week we are observing the same sequence. A bullish push early in the week, largely led by the tech sector, quickly gave way to selling pressure, leaving the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ down -0.27% on the week so far. Meanwhile, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ sits with a modest weekly gain of just +0.55%, a reversal from the gain observed earlier in the week. I have been documenting the structural cracks and volatility warning transparently to help subscribers navigate potential fear of missing out (FOMO)
Despite choppy price action across the broader indices, the individual setups posted on Saturday continue playing out: 🎯 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ pushes higher (+6% this week), holding above the 372 bullish target. 🎯 $Costco(COST)$ is up +2.4%, reaching its extended level of 945. 🎯 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ advanced +3.3%, surpassing the modeled 258 milestone. 🎯 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ are currently undergoing healthy consolidations. 🎯 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is brewing its anticipated move while holding the 341 line, the critical weekly
Three charts, three very different setups. The key now is knowing where momentum is running into resistance — and where buyers are still defending. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ⚠️ $SPX is defying gravity with a +1.25% weekly move so far. But is this worth chasing? Be careful if you do. Price reversed at 7,835, a relevant weekly resistance level, while the candle is showing a lack of conviction near the upper Bollinger Band. Strong momentum, but not the cleanest place to chase. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ 🔴 The rally ran straight into the confluence of 284 and the 20-DMA and faced a hard rejection. The red candle completely engulfed yesterday’s core price action, pointing toward bearish continuation. For bulls,
Momentum continues for the high-probability setups posted last Saturday in the Weekly Compass: 🎯 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ has rallied +5.8% this week, surpassing our modeled target of 372. 🎯 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ surged +8.15%, exceeding 169. 🎯 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ jumped +2.7% this week, hitting my 381 modeled target. 🎯 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ added +1.9% gain, also surpassing its pre-modeled level of 255.1. 🎯 $Costco(COST)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ are continuing to shape up constructively. Every week, I highlight the strongest setups backed by precise price
1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ⚠️ If the market pulls back, watch for a green $S&P 500(.SPX)$ + green $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ combination — a potential reversal signal. $MSFT stands out as a strong reversal candidate, especially with a daily shooting star now appearing for the second time in the past few sessions. That setup is worth watching closely if broader market weakness develops. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 🚀 $AVGO has been on my breakout watchlist, and today's move is constructive — similar to Friday's action. After filling last week's bearish gaps, the stock has reclaimed the 20-DMA, improving the short-term structure.