(Part 3 of 3) News and my investing muse (28Sep2026)
News and my thoughts from the past week (28Sep2026) Benson's selected items (drafted from his inputs, his fact-check notes applied): 1. Weather and natural disasters across Asia. Typhoon Dujuan swept Japan's Kanto region around 21–23 September, bringing record rainfall, landslides and flooding with a rising death toll, and another storm was intensifying near Okinawa by week's end. Vietnam is still recovering from heavy rain and flooding across its northern and north-central provinces from mid-September, with homes inundated and crops damaged. In Thailand, all 50 Bangkok districts were declared disaster areas after severe rainfall, school closures and disruption to government travel — continued rain raises the risk of worse. In the Pacific, Hurricane Polo is real but its near-term threat is
Market Outlook of S&P500 (28Sep2026) Technicals as of Friday 25 September close, pulled via Yahoo Finance data: S&P 500 intraday, Friday 25 September (via Benson) · Close: 7,743.41 — just 0.94% below the 52-week high of 7,816.70, and +12.9% year to date · Moving averages: price above the MA50 (7,636) and MA200 (7,205); MA50 above MA200 — the uptrend is intact on every timeframe we track · MACD: 18.83 versus signal 10.74, with the histogram ticking up (8.09 from 6.34) — momentum re-accelerating after a flat patch · RSI(14): 56.7 — constructive, not stretched · Chaikin Money Flow (20): +0.032 — modest but p
Part 1 of 3 - Economic and Earnings Calendar of the week 28Sep2026
Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st
(Full article) Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney
Preview of the week starting 28Sep2026 - Payrolls, PCE and a coin-flip in Sydney Economic Calendar (28Sep2026) Economic calendar for the week (source: Investing.com, via Benson) A genuinely live week: two US prints that can move the rates path, one central-bank decision that is too close to call, and China going quiet for Golden Week from Thursday. 1. The RBA decides — and the market has not made up its mind (Tuesday 29 September, 2:30 pm AEST). The cash rate sits at 4.35%. Pricing is roughly 55/45 between a 25 bp rise to 4.60% and a hold; NAB expects the rise this week, ANZ, CBA and Westpac lean to November. The awkward part: August CPI lands on Wednesday, after the vote, so the board decides with July's 3.5% headline (3.6% trimmed mean) as its freshest read. Whichever way it goes, the st
My Investing Muse (14Sep2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies US job openings revised down by 177,000 in June, the 3rd straight downward revision - X user Kalshi Finance There is an employment recession in the US Information sector. The Information industry shed -23,000 jobs in August, bringing employment down to 2.75 million, its lowest since the 2020 pandemic. The Information sector includes software publishing, data processing and computing infrastructure, web search, telecom, broadcasting, publishing, and other information services. Excluding 2020, this is the lowest reading since April 2015. Since the November 2022 peak, Information employment has contracted -270,000, or -12%. By comparison, during the 2008 Financial Crisis and its aftermath, employment in this industry also fell
(Part 3 of 4) - News and my thoughts from the past week (14Sep2026)
News and my thoughts from the past week (14Sep2026) President Trump says he does not need approval from Congress to issue $5,000 dividend checks to Americans. Congress normally has sole authority to approve spending. - X user Watcher Guru RECORD LOW ratings for Trump. A new FT poll shows ONLY 33% of voters approve of his performance, and with the midterms nearly two months away, the clock is ticking. Even his own base is cracking. Republican approval has dropped to an ALL TIME LOW of 72%. It seems many Americans have finally had enough of Trump’s promises not matching the reality they are living in with endless wars driving up THEIR costs. Two thirds of voters say the U.S economy is heading in the wrong direction AND 57% say their own financial situation has worsened under Trump. So much f
(Part 2 of 4) S&P500 technical analysis - with over 20 indicators
Market Outlook of S&P500 (14Sep2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is in a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a current downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.21. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interval, technical
(Part 1 of 4) Economic and Earnings Calendar (14Sep2026) - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings
Economic Calendar (14Sep2026) Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision The main event in the coming week will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, with the previous rate standing at 3.75%. While the decision itself will be closely watched, the accompanying FOMC statement may be even more important, as it will help shape expectations for future interest rate moves. Consumer Spending and Retail Sales Retail sales data for August will also be released in the coming week. This report will provide an important indication of the consumption outlook and the underlying strength of consumer demand. Energy, Manufacturing, and Labour Market Indicators · Crude oil inventories will be released, offering insight into oil demand expectations and the outlook monitored by oil producers. · The Phi
(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 14Sep2026 - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings
Economic Calendar (14Sep2026) Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision The main event in the coming week will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, with the previous rate standing at 3.75%. While the decision itself will be closely watched, the accompanying FOMC statement may be even more important, as it will help shape expectations for future interest rate moves. Consumer Spending and Retail Sales Retail sales data for August will also be released in the coming week. This report will provide an important indication of the consumption outlook and the underlying strength of consumer demand. Energy, Manufacturing, and Labour Market Indicators · Crude oil inventories will be released, offering insight into oil demand expectations and the outlook monitored by oil producers. · The Phi