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06-05
$SPX Rebounds, Tech Loses Leadership, and Sector Rotation Takes Center Stage
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 7,584.3 (+0.4%) after bouncing from the confluence zone of the 7,520 weekly level and the 7,515 daily level. The first validation of the bounce came at 10:00 AM with the recovery of the 7,534 daily level, followed by a move over the 7,559 central weekly level around 11:00 AM, establishing a bullish milestone that was consolidated when the central daily level of 7,570 held for the remainder of the day. These key levels were highlighted in yesterday’s Market Update (access here), alongside the potential bounce for $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ . Both tech giants validated the bearish setups anticipated in the Weekly Compa
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06-05
$SPX Bought the Dip to Perfection as W5 Targets 7650
I told you to buy the dip. It got BOUGHT. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ripped off the Daily FVG. W4 complete, W5 now in progress toward 7650. The pullback was the gift. Caveat once W5 confirms into 7650 👇 The risk of a higher-degree reset climbs from there. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ Before: I called the W4 dip into support. After: it bottomed exactly there and ripped. The members traded it with me the whole way down and back up. "in @TriggerTrades we trust" "another great day of SPX analysis" This is the room. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items acro
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06-05
The Most Crowded Bull Market in History?
Today’s chart is one for tomorrow’s history books. It shows US households running the highest allocation to equities on record (and [as a result] the stockmarket trading at record high valuations). This is the type of shift you see only once in a generation, and it means a fundamental change in market structure with significant implications for the economy, politics, and the forward looking risk vs return outlook. But to be fair, with the S&P500 gaining more than 10x off the March 2009 lows — it’s an entirely understandable development! And even though it got this way for very logical reasons (strong earnings growth, waves of tech disruption, low interest rates, passive flows), it’s important to acknowledge that this is not normal and we live in highly unusual times. Investor confidenc
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06-05
$NFLX Proved That Owning the Customer Is the Ultimate Moat
I didn't understand $Netflix(NFLX)$ 10 years ago, but I learned lessons from that mistake. 1. Users > Profits: In a digital business, it's critical to reach scale. Profits don't matter on the path to scale. 2. Delay Taking Price: Margins are low? Who cares! See #1. 3. Suppliers eventually have to bend the knee to the one who owns demand. You don't say, "I'm going to watch Sony's K-Pop tonight." You say, "I'm going to watch Netflix." Demand matters above all else. Owning the customer is the ultimate goal. The companies we CHOOSE to interact with are the ultimate winners on the market. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items across practial, lifestyle, and learning, now with a lo
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06-05
【05.25-05.31】🏆Weekly Review | U.S. & HK markets struggle: How top traders still made big profits—Unpacking their winning formula.
Two Leaderboards, Two Paradigms: Certainty vs. Event-Driven Leverage The Elite Leaderboard captures full directional moves via OTM options on macro inflections： The Prestige Leaderboard uses short-term options for leveraged returns within a safety margin on AI trends： Below: U.S. & HK macro review, then two standout strategies—replicable skills vs. unforced luck❓ I. U.S. Stocks 📈: AI Earnings vs. Rate Expectations – A Structural Tug-of-War U.S. stocks rose last week with sharp internal divergence: the Nasdaq gained, outpacing the Dow and S&P 500, as capital concentrated into growth tech. Earnings anchor: Beats from AI chain stocks, with Micron's market cap topping $1T and Morgan Stanley's NVIDIA teardown fueling computing power revaluation. Macro constraint: High rates still suppre
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06-05
$DRAM added 2 out of 100 calls. The idea is simple: Buy
$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ when it's cheap, hold until my target of $200+ possibly $300. Here's what ETF holds: SK Hynix (~26%) — World's #1 HBM memory supplier to AI data centers Samsung (~22%) — Memory giant powering servers, smartphones, and AI infrastructure $美光科技(MU)$ (~25% combined exposure) — America's memory champion benefiting from AI demand Kioxia — Leading NAND flash storage manufacturer $闪迪(SNDK)$ — Consumer & enterprise storage solutions Seagate — Hard drives and AI data storage Western Digital — Storage infrastructure for hyperscalers Why I like it: AI factories need memory HBM demand is exploding Supply remains constrained Memory pricing is ris
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06-05
Selective Exposure vs $NVDA, $MSFT Strength and Broader Market Noise
A discipline-first portfolio approach continues to prioritize trend confirmation over narrative chasing. While names like $NVDA and $MSFT remain structurally intact, weaker setups such as $DUOL and $PLTR reinforce the importance of patience and selective exposure in a choppy market. 1. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ $DUOL is down 77% since the bear cycle started. This is why I only buy strength, not tickers I’m emotionally attached to. Buying pressure might be building, but I wait for a clear bull trend. Losses + opportunity cost of bagholding = double hit. 2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Still NOT touching $PLTR ❌ Bull cycle ended in Feb and we’re still trending below the 33FVB. Could this be a bull trap?
TOPRozmoz: Despite technicals looking promising, are you concerned by the recent insider selling of CRWV? Or is this just noise? TIA
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06-05
Goldman Sachs Maps the Humanoid Robot Supply Chain: From $TSLA to $NVDA
Goldman $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ just dropped a map of the entire humanoid robot supply chain. Here are the publicly traded tickers they named 👇 Humanoid Robot Makers $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ $Xiaomi Corp.(XIACY)$ $UBTECH ROBOTICS CORP LTD(UBTRF)$ $GAC HOLDCO INC.(GACWF)$ $ESTUN(02715)$ $TSLA Foundation Models $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(
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06-05
Choppy Markets Return: $SPX Hits Target as $AAPL, $IWM and $AMZN Reverse
The stock market has entered a highly choppy environment characterized by rapid, day-to-day reversals. For instance, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ rallied 6.2% on Monday only to reverse -3.2% today. Similarly, $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ posted a +0.93% bullish move yesterday but is down -1.3% today. These sudden, signal-free shifts illustrate just how volatile conditions can get. As we observed during the reversals of February 2025 and February 2026, this type of price action requires extreme caution. Keep in mind that this choppy price action is triggering right after the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ neared $7638, the target I updated a couple of weeks ago. With this week’s recent
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06-04
The Untold Story Behind the 2000 Dot-Com Crash — and Why MicroStrategy Was at the Center of It All
$Strategy(MSTR)$ Most people think the dot-com bubble burst because “tech was overvalued.” But the real trigger was something more dangerous: trust collapsing in plain sight. And oddly enough, one of the key names in that collapse is now worshipped in crypto today — MicroStrategy and Michael Saylor. In the late 1990s, MicroStrategy was a Wall Street darling. A fast-growing software company. A “top-tier performer.” A rare tech firm that looked profitable in a sea of startups burning cash. But behind the glossy numbers, there was a fragile accounting trick. To meet explosive growth expectations, the company adopted aggressive revenue recognition practices. Instead of spreading multi-year software and maintenance contracts over time (the
TOPAhhh… you finally dug that up? I had read about the rise and fall of this bitcoin “godfather” and shared something about him quite a long time back when he re-emerged to cheer bitcoin on… yup, he was a multimillionaire back then. His company crashed but he was doing fine, with his money still intact. Then, he made a comeback… that’s why I didn’t trust him and his company. A leopard 🐆 can never change its spots… he’s a financial manipulation wizard 🧙♂️, he is no doubt doing it again with the current Strategy and speculators are crazily backing him. History does not repeat itself? It rhymes… and it won’t ends well. Does he cares? He will walk away a billionaire this time around… [Facepalm][Spurting]
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06-04
Market Pulls Back, BTC $64K: Goldman Still Bullish on S&P to 8000?
US stocks pulled back from record highs, and $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ hit a new low, falling below $62,000 — its lowest level since February 6. Strategy sold off a massive holding of roughly $2.5 million in Bitcoin. "Bitcoin's price fell this week because Strategy broke its 'never sell' promise." At almost the same moment, Goldman Sachs raised a whole batch of price targets — S&P at 8000 by year-end, Asian markets revised up across the board. The research reports were unanimously bullish, yet the market took a breather first. What gives Goldman the confidence to be this bullish? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ at 8000 by year-end (about +6% from now), riding on earnings resilien
TOP$S&P 500(.SPX)$ at 8000 by year-end (about +6% from now), riding on earnings resilience with expected EPS growth of 24% 2026 is a big IPO year: US IPO fundraising is projected to hit a record $225 billion, far above the previous high of about $115 billion in 2021. But demand outweighs supply — corporate buybacks alone total $1.3 trillion, overwhelming the $1.1 trillion of issuance + lockup-expiry supply (though Goldman warns that supply-demand will tighten in 2027)
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06-04
Broadcom's AI Guide Missed. Google And Nvidia Fears Made It Worse $Broadcom(AVGO)$
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06-04
SpaceX IPO Valuation Split: Oppenheimer Sees the TAM, Morningstar Sees Only $780B Fair Value $Space Exploration Technologies Corp(SPCX)$ is heading toward one of the largest IPOs ever, with a planned US$135 per share price, a roughly US$75 billion capital raise and an implied valuation of about US$1.75 trillion. The cleanest institutional split is between Oppenheimer and Morningstar. Oppenheimer focuses on the addressable market expansion. Morningstar focuses on the path from ambition to cash flow. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA, JPMorgan, and Citi act as underwriters, not research coverage. They will likely not publish reports unless a specific public note is available. Oppenheimer: SpaceX as a Space-Age Communications Platform O
TOPStarlink is the real hook. Who’s actually underwriting orbital AI revenue now?
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06-03
$Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ thats right. All the big investors chipping in. Building more confidence.
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06-03
$MRVL 20260605 250.0 PUT$ take profit n sold put 290 expire fri this week ... go go go
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06-03
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Sold off about 40% of my holdings to secure some profits. RSI levels are a bit too high for my liking, definitely more room to run till the end of 2026 but we may see a market pullback in the next few weeks especially with US FOMC meeting coming up. Locking in some profits is better for now.
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06-03
$ASTS 20260605 135.0 CALL$ well ...guess I really not fated to let go asts at 135...