Bitcoin: Looming Death Cross Signals High Risk of a Deep Wave-4 Reset
Bitcoin is on the verge of a death cross after more than 6 months — an event that has historically led to median drawdowns of ~50% over the next year.When you line this up with the completed 5-wave structure and RSI exhaustion I outlined below…the risk of a deeper Wave-4 reset becomes impossible to ignore. As I said yestorday:BTC has confirmed the completion of a 5-wave advance from the 2022 low with a break of the 2/4 trendline, reinforced by persistent negative RSI divergence — signaling momentum exhaustion and a major wave transition.This 5-wave advance likely terminates the higher-degree Wave 3 from the 2015 low, suggesting the start of a Wave 4 corrective phase. The target range for this correction is the Yearly FVG and 23.6–30% logarithmic retracements of Wave 3, aligning with 30,000
AAPL: Multi-Year Wave 5 Exhaustion Points to 190–168 Target Zone
$Apple(AAPL)$ ’s advance from the 2019 low looks fully mature. Wave 5 stalled beneath the 1/3 trendline and hit the logged 5:3 proportion (~61.8% of Wave 3), while weekly RSI has diverged for four straight years — a clear sign the trend is running out of fuel.The favored path now shifts toward the Wave-4 pivot, the 2/4 guide rail, and the 190–168 🎯 lower channel zone.A weekly close below 253.13 would confirm the start of the higher-degree correction (iFVG) 📍 For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.C
Nice bounce by $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bulls, but today's gains will be ERASED on Monday as price remains in the 3rd wave wave position 🔻As long as price does not cross today's 6774 high, another sharp leg down is expected targeting 6600-6550 🎯A 4th->5th wave sequence would be expected to follow before a corrective Santa Rally into December 🎅Above 6774 would bring risk to sideways consolidation or the weekly high being crossed ⚠️ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2512(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
NQ Faces Key Close: Potential Weekly Sell Signal Ahead
If $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2512(NQmain)$ closes below 25179.50 tomorrow, it would produced a larger sell signal as we would have a bearish weekly SMT (w/ $YM ) then a bearish Weekly iFVG ⚠️If that occurs, I would say the Wave 3 has TOPPED (!) and Wave 4 is progressing leading to a 25% correction over the next 9-15months. With today's sell signal on $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2512(ESmain)$ , the most two probable wave counts both suggest further downside to at least $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6550-6600 -> creating directional trend confluence. For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open
Bitcoin Begins Major Wave 4 Pullback Toward $30K–$15K
BTC has confirmed the completion of a 5-wave advance from the 2022 low with a break of the 2/4 trendline, reinforced by persistent negative RSI divergence — signaling momentum exhaustion and a major wave transition.This 5-wave advance likely terminates the higher-degree Wave 3 from the 2015 low, suggesting the start of a Wave 4 corrective phase. The target range for this correction is the Yearly FVG and 23.6–30% logarithmic retracements of Wave 3, aligning with 30,000–15,000 🎯 — a multi-year accumulation zone within the broader cycle and in alignment with historical post-parabolic BTC corrections (~75–85% retracements within secular bull markets).Following Wave 4, BTC should begin its final Wave V “Global Mania” rally into the 500,000–1,000,000 🎯zone, completing the supercycle that began a
2026: The Next Major Market Top in the Benner Supercycle
The 150-year-old Benner Cycle has nailed major peaks for over a century:1929199920072020…all flagged decades in advance.And its next “B-year” — the high-price, sell-the-top year?2026.That lines up almost perfectly with my Elliott Wave view:25% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ correction into 2025–26 (Wave 4) before the final mania leg begins.Not doom — just the rhythm of the supercycle repeatingChart titled Periods When to Make Money showing three sections A B C with timelines from 1877 to 2053 marked with years of good times high prices time to sell stocks in section A years of hard times low prices good time to buy stocks corner goods in section C and years of good times high prices time to sell stocks in section B highlighted circle at 2026 text at bottom S
As expected, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bounced into the upper Daily iFVG resistance at 6749–6844 ✅The rebound was strong, closing above the 61.8% retracement, yet the internal structure looks corrective — suggesting it may be a phony 2nd/B-wave bounce rather than the start of a new impulse.While bulls currently hold short-term momentum, I’m watching for a short setup to confirm:- One of SPX, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , or $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ fails to make a higher high - A bullish FVG forms- The triad then closes below their FVGs, triggering the sell signalIf a bearish SMT divergence fails to form, risk increases that the bullish alternate (another push higher) is unfolding. Bull
MSFT Structure Complete; Watching for Major Correction Confirmation
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ MSFT topped 3 months ago, completing a clear 1–2–3–4–5 wave sequence from the 2020 low, with the 5th wave now stagnating near the 1/3 trendline and the 61.8% extension of the 3rd wave.⚠️ The persistent negative RSI divergence since 2022 increases the probability of a higher-degree correction, targeting the 4th-wave extreme area and Yearly FVG support at 362–327.A rally above 565 would reduce confidence in the bearish setup, but a Monthly close below 327 (iFVG) would strongly confirm the onset of a major corrective phase.Structure is complete. Now it’s all about confirmation. For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a tradin
Gold Futures Hit Projected 4175–4229 Target After Corrective Rally
From this week's $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ Update: " GC_F is consolidating at the Weekly FVG after confirming an ABC decline. The lack of upside follow-through after forming a higher low this week signals that the rally is likely corrective. The base case remains a continued rally toward 4060–4090, aligning with the 38.2% retracement and equality of the initial advance off the recent low. From that zone, there’s risk for another leg lower — though price could extend to the 61.8% retrace and untapped bearish Daily FVG at 4175.0–4229.7, serving as both a logical upside target and a potential resistance zone."Price rallied the the upside target zone as projected ✅ For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a