• TheMarketLens101TheMarketLens101
      ·08-21 09:07
      21 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update U.S. stocks fell as higher Treasury yields, rising oil prices and concerns over consumer spending weighed on sentiment. At the same time, the latest developments from Alibaba, Broadcom, Microsoft and Micron show that AI investment is still accelerating — but investors are increasingly focused on whether these massive investments can generate sufficient returns and how they will be financed. S&P 500: -0.87% to 7,641.16 Dow Jones: -1.32% to 52,759.21 Nasdaq: -1.00% to 26,067.17 U.S. 2Y Treasury: roughly flat at 4.19% U.S. 10Y Treasury: +4 bps to around 4.70% U.S. 30Y Treasury: around 5.24% ⸻ 1. Alibaba: AI monetisation is improving, but cash flow remains under pressure Alibaba’s quarterly revenue rose about 9% YoY, slightly above expectations, while AI a
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    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-20 20:45

      Moderna Soars 177%: Has the First Personalized mRNA Cancer Therapy Arrived?

      $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Moderna and Merck’s personalized cancer therapy met its key goals in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, sending MRNA sharply higher and lifting the broader biotech sector. Biotech stocks have finally found a major catalyst. Moderna (MRNA) surged roughly 177%, while Merck (MRK) gained about 12.6%. BioNTech (BNTX), which is also developing mRNA-based cancer treatments, climbed nearly 22%. Biotech ETFs XBI and IBB rose about 5.9% and 6.6%, respectively. The catalyst was positive Phase 3 data for intismeran autogene, also known as V940 or mRNA-4157. The personalized mRNA therapy is being jointly developed by Moderna and Merck and tested in combination with Merck’s blockbuster immunotherapy drug Keytruda. The combination met
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      Moderna Soars 177%: Has the First Personalized mRNA Cancer Therapy Arrived?
    • YXTYXT
      ·08-20 20:38

      Revenue Growth, Narrower Losses and Accelerating AI Commercialization: What YXT’s H1 Results Signal

      On August 13, 2026, YXT.com( $云学堂(YXT)$ ) Group Holding Limited delivered a notable set of first-half results. Revenue reached RMB162 million, up 6.0% year over year. Gross margin rose from 65.1% a year earlier to 70.1%, an increase of 5 percentage points. Net loss narrowed sharply from RMB73.9 million to RMB14.4 million, representing an 80.5% year-over-year decrease. For an enterprise services company in the middle of a strategic transformation, the message is clear: operating quality is improving, AI capabilities are beginning to translate into revenue, and the efficiency gains from AI are starting to show up in the numbers. From Streamlining to Strengthening: Structural Improvement in Financial Quality Over the past few years, YXT has been strea
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      Revenue Growth, Narrower Losses and Accelerating AI Commercialization: What YXT’s H1 Results Signal
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 18:43
      Berkshire ending 14 straight quarters of net selling is definitely worth watching. It could be an early sign that the most cautious money in the market is starting to regain confidence. I don’t see it as an all-out bullish signal, but capital is clearly rotating back into AI, semiconductors and infrastructure. CoreWeave, SMCI and Lumentum also show that investors are increasingly looking beyond quarterly revenue and focusing on backlogs, long-term contracts and future cash flows. The big question now isn’t whether money is coming back — it’s which companies can actually turn that capital spending into sustainable profits. Valuations still matter, especially after the strong AI rally we’ve already seen. For me, this is a reason to stay invested but remain selective, rather than chase every
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    • Tiger 123Tiger 123
      ·08-20 16:48
      The US Treasury announced that it will double long-duration bond buybacks to at least US$4 billion per operation from September through early November. The move followed the 30-year Treasury yield reaching nearly 5.34%, its highest in almost two decades. The result: 10-year yield → ~4.65% 30-year yield → ~5.20% S&P 500 → +0.21% Nasdaq → +0.16% Dow → +0.22%. That is meaningful relief, but I would not interpret it as the end of the bond problem. The underlying issues—US fiscal deficits, inflation and enormous AI infrastructure financing requirements—remain unresolved. 🔴 Fed — more hawkish than the market hoped The July Fed minutes were important. They showed that “many” policymakers believe higher rates may ultimately be required if inflation does not continue falling, while three policy
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    • MkohMkoh
      ·08-20 15:55
      I have been watching the Treasury market closely these past few weeks, and the latest move feels like a quiet admission that things are getting uncomfortable at the long end of the curve. Treasury just doubled the size of its liquidity-support buybacks in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors to at least $4 billion per operation. This comes right after the 30-year yield pushed toward levels we haven’t seen in nearly two decades and the 10-year settled in the mid-4.6% range. On paper, these buybacks are still framed as liquidity tools helping dealers offload older, less-traded bonds. In practice, the timing and the sudden upsizing tell a different story. When yields keep rising even on the day of a scheduled buyback, and Treasury responds by expanding the program off-calendar, it look
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·08-20 15:42
      I would wait for Warsh’s Jackson Hole tone before rotating aggressively back into tech. The Treasury intervention is meaningful, but I would not interpret it as a durable reversal in long-term yields. The 30-year yield had reached about 5.34%, its highest since 2007, before Treasury announced it would at least double long-duration buybacks to $4bn per operation.  The bigger issue is the Fed. July's minutes were more hawkish than the headline "hold" suggests: three officials wanted a 25bp hike, several saw inflation as broad-based, and there was no meaningful discussion supporting a cut. Markets are even assigning better-than-even odds to a hike by October or December.  So my positioning would be: Tech: cautiously add, not chase. Lower yields provide exactly the relief that high-d
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    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-20 15:16

      The Fever in Rates Broke. What Ran Hardest Was a Cancer Vaccine

      Hello. The long end, which had been pressing on everything for three days, got held down on Wednesday. The 30-year Treasury yield first set a 19-year high intraday, then turned back after the US Treasury said it would at least double the size of its liquidity support buybacks in 10- to 30-year securities. The 30-year fell as much as 9 basis points to 5.19 per cent, closed near 5.20 per cent, and is down to 5.18 per cent today. But technology did not come back. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ closed up 0.21 per cent and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 0.22 per cent, and most of that came from healthcare while tech kept being sold. One headline put it plainly: the tech sell-off resumed an
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      The Fever in Rates Broke. What Ran Hardest Was a Cancer Vaccine
    • TigerOptionsTigerOptions
      ·08-20 11:49

      Why Treasury Buybacks Cannot Fully Protect Stocks From a Hawkish Fed

      US stocks rose modestly and long bonds rallied on August 19 after the Treasury doubled planned buybacks of older long-dated securities. Hours later, Federal Reserve minutes showed that inflation concerns were becoming more hawkish. Together, the events illustrate why the discount rate facing equities depends on both market plumbing and monetary policy—and why one cannot permanently cancel the other. The Treasury announced on August 19 that it would increase liquidity-support buybacks for nominal securities in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors from a maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation, effective September 9 through November 4. The Treasury’s official announcement states the change. The action followed a selloff that pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.34
      4842
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      Why Treasury Buybacks Cannot Fully Protect Stocks From a Hawkish Fed
    • TheMarketLens101TheMarketLens101
      ·08-20 08:59
      20 Aug 2026 — US Market Daily US stocks ended a three-day losing streak as the Treasury’s surprise move to expand long-term bond buybacks helped push longer-dated yields lower. Moderna’s successful Phase 3 cancer vaccine trial also boosted healthcare stocks. However, hawkish Fed minutes and continued US-Iran tensions kept risk appetite in check. S&P 500: +0.21% to 7,707.98 Dow Jones: +0.22% to 53,463.05 Nasdaq: +0.16% to 26,331.09 US 2Y Treasury: +1 bp to ~4.18% US 10Y Treasury: -6 bps to ~4.65% ⸻ 1. Iran tensions remain high, but Trump leaves the door open for talks * Trump said the US may resume negotiations with Iran “at some point,” reversing his tougher stance just a day earlier. * Washington is still waiting for clearer signs that Iran is willing to compromise before formally res
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    • PawsAndProfitsPawsAndProfits
      ·08-20 02:36

      Market really heading into correction? Or is it just a blip?

      Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$   With key indices such as QQQ and SPY extending losses for second day straight, do the whales think that AI related tech stocks are finally overextended in their valuations, which is reflected in the pullback? This bearish signal is definitely backed with volume. However looking at past few months, bears usually would not last long. So position yourself properly, have your stop losses intact to ride this chop
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      Market really heading into correction? Or is it just a blip?
    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-19 17:29

      The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday

      Hello. Three companies reported on Tuesday. Put the three side by side and no order makes sense. $Fabrinet(FN)$ beat on revenue by about 3.1 per cent and on earnings per share by about 7.5 per cent, both records — and closed down 19.38 per cent at US$482.59. $Home Depot(HD)$ beat on both lines, posted net sales of about US$47.9 billion and its best comparable sales since 2022, and reaffirmed full-year guidance — and closed down 0.12 per cent. $BIDU-SW(09888)$ missed on both revenue and profit, with earnings per share about 22.7 per cent short — and closed down 12.73 per cent. Full marks fell 19 per cent, a pass fell 0.
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      The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-19 14:35

      Can FOMC Minutes Stem the Rout? Bond Market Pressures, Tech Sell-Off, and Macro Risk Catalysts

      Introduction & Market Backdrop: Bonds Pressuring Growth On Wednesday, August 19, 2026, global financial markets find themselves at a critical juncture. Equity indexes across North America, Europe, and Asia have experienced sharp selling pressure driven by a powerful global bond market sell-off. Long-term sovereign yields have climbed to multi-year highs, with the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield advancing to 4.71% and the 30-year Treasury yield rising to 5.28%. $US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF(UTEN)$ This upward repricing in risk-free rates has transmitted directly into technology and growth equities. The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq-100 index, has declined by 1
      9561
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      Can FOMC Minutes Stem the Rout? Bond Market Pressures, Tech Sell-Off, and Macro Risk Catalysts
    • TigerOptionsTigerOptions
      ·08-19 12:07

      Why the Long-Bond Selloff Is a Bigger Threat to AI Stocks Than One Weak Trading Day

      $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ shares fell sharply on August 18 as long-term Treasury yields reached levels not seen since 2007. The important issue is not that semiconductors suffered one bad session; it is that higher long-term discount rates can compress the valuations of companies whose market prices depend heavily on profits expected many years from now. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.3% intraday as higher oil prices, inflation concerns, government borrowing and global bond weakness pushed investors to demand greater compensation for lending long term. The 10-year yield touched its highest level since January 2025. Reuters’ August 18 market report documents the bond move and equity reaction. The
      1992
      Report
      Why the Long-Bond Selloff Is a Bigger Threat to AI Stocks Than One Weak Trading Day
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-19 09:37

      S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation

      Major Wall Street institutions like $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan and $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Goldman Sachs (along with $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ Morgan Stanley) have lifted their targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 toward the 8,000 milestone. Yet, retail investors are grappling with recent index pullbacks and localized volatility. Wall Street's 8,000 Call: Top-Down Bullishness vs. Short-Term Reality Wall Street equity strategists set index targets using macro fundamentals—primarily corporate earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation multiples. The move toward an 8,000 S&P 500 target rests on thre
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      S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation
    • Guavaxf3006Guavaxf3006
      ·08-19 07:57
      So was today another God-sent or the start of the meltdown some was calling for?  What do you guys think? Shall we ear-mark today and all the comments and revisit next week? Possibly mid-week?  Why mid-week? Because the was the time when stocks rallied to another record high after a brutal sell-off the week before.
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    • AI_FocusedTraderAI_FocusedTrader
      ·08-18

      🚀 2026 Q2 13F Holdings Deep Dive: Where Is Smart Money Betting?

      [Miser][Smile]Fellow Tigers, Q2 13F filings are fully disclosed, and this quarter is packed with signals—Buffett's third massive $Alphabet(GOOG)$ purchase, Tepper loading up on Magnificent 7 while dumping memory stocks, and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ getting swarmed by hedge funds post-IPO. 📌 One-Sentence Summary in Adavance Q2 smart-money rebalancing theme: loading AI giants (especially Alphabet), embracing the SpaceX space narrative, taking profits in memory/semis, concentrating China ADRs into AI-core names, and quant giants vs. discretionary managers taking opposite macro views. Buffett's third Google purchase, Tepper dumping memory while buying Magnificent 7, hedge funds swarming SpaceX, Renaissance buying Meta
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      🚀 2026 Q2 13F Holdings Deep Dive: Where Is Smart Money Betting?
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-18

      The AI Bill Isn’t Fully Visible: Big Tech Has $3 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments

      Investors closely track Big Tech’s quarterly capital expenditures, but reported CapEx only captures part of the AI buildout. Nine major technology companies reportedly have about $3 trillion in future lease, chip-purchase and infrastructure commitments that are not yet fully reflected on their balance sheets. 1. Where Did the $3 Trillion Come From? According to a Wall Street Journal analysis of financial-statement footnotes, nine major technology companies reported roughly $600 billion in combined CapEx over their latest 12-month periods. However, their broader future commitments approach $3 trillion, including approximately: $1.2 trillion in data-center leases that have not yet commenced; $1.9 trillion in long-term purchase agreements covering chips, memory, power and other infrastructure
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      The AI Bill Isn’t Fully Visible: Big Tech Has $3 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments
    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-18

      One Request Lifted the Whole Memory Chain. Apple Pays for It

      Hello. The first thing to move this week was not a set of results. It was policy. The US government spoke up and asked Apple to steer clear of Chinese memory chips. That one request lifted the entire memory chain on Monday. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ closed up 8.88 per cent at US$1,786.85, and $Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily ETF(SNXX)$ rose 17.73 per cent in a day. $Micron Technology(MU)$ closed up 4.13 per cent at US$1,011.75, back above US$1,000. $Western Digital(WDC)$ rose 5.35 per cent, $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 3.04 p
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      One Request Lifted the Whole Memory Chain. Apple Pays for It
    • CSOP AMLCSOP AML
      ·08-18

      LCU Continues to Rise; Singapore’s Growth Outlook Improved with MTI Raising 2026 GDP Forecast to 4.5%-5.5%【 CSOP SG Weekly 】

      【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.64%* During the week, nonfarm payrolls were softer and CPI inflation was broadly in-line. OIS markets priced in around 30% probability of a hike at the September FOMC meeting. However, HSBC’s view is for Fed to hold policy rates steady through 2026 and 2027, though risks to the outlook are skewed to the upside. * 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: -2.52% As of 14 Aug 2026 (Fri), $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ declined 0.14% WTD, bringing its YTD total return to -2.52%. WTD losses were led by industrial, retail and residential by subsector, and MLT, CLAR and CICT, by individual REIT. Nevertheless, looking at Singapore’s eco
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      LCU Continues to Rise; Singapore’s Growth Outlook Improved with MTI Raising 2026 GDP Forecast to 4.5%-5.5%【 CSOP SG Weekly 】
    • TheMarketLens101TheMarketLens101
      ·08-21 09:07
      21 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update U.S. stocks fell as higher Treasury yields, rising oil prices and concerns over consumer spending weighed on sentiment. At the same time, the latest developments from Alibaba, Broadcom, Microsoft and Micron show that AI investment is still accelerating — but investors are increasingly focused on whether these massive investments can generate sufficient returns and how they will be financed. S&P 500: -0.87% to 7,641.16 Dow Jones: -1.32% to 52,759.21 Nasdaq: -1.00% to 26,067.17 U.S. 2Y Treasury: roughly flat at 4.19% U.S. 10Y Treasury: +4 bps to around 4.70% U.S. 30Y Treasury: around 5.24% ⸻ 1. Alibaba: AI monetisation is improving, but cash flow remains under pressure Alibaba’s quarterly revenue rose about 9% YoY, slightly above expectations, while AI a
      47Comment
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    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-20 20:45

      Moderna Soars 177%: Has the First Personalized mRNA Cancer Therapy Arrived?

      $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Moderna and Merck’s personalized cancer therapy met its key goals in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, sending MRNA sharply higher and lifting the broader biotech sector. Biotech stocks have finally found a major catalyst. Moderna (MRNA) surged roughly 177%, while Merck (MRK) gained about 12.6%. BioNTech (BNTX), which is also developing mRNA-based cancer treatments, climbed nearly 22%. Biotech ETFs XBI and IBB rose about 5.9% and 6.6%, respectively. The catalyst was positive Phase 3 data for intismeran autogene, also known as V940 or mRNA-4157. The personalized mRNA therapy is being jointly developed by Moderna and Merck and tested in combination with Merck’s blockbuster immunotherapy drug Keytruda. The combination met
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      Moderna Soars 177%: Has the First Personalized mRNA Cancer Therapy Arrived?
    • YXTYXT
      ·08-20 20:38

      Revenue Growth, Narrower Losses and Accelerating AI Commercialization: What YXT’s H1 Results Signal

      On August 13, 2026, YXT.com( $云学堂(YXT)$ ) Group Holding Limited delivered a notable set of first-half results. Revenue reached RMB162 million, up 6.0% year over year. Gross margin rose from 65.1% a year earlier to 70.1%, an increase of 5 percentage points. Net loss narrowed sharply from RMB73.9 million to RMB14.4 million, representing an 80.5% year-over-year decrease. For an enterprise services company in the middle of a strategic transformation, the message is clear: operating quality is improving, AI capabilities are beginning to translate into revenue, and the efficiency gains from AI are starting to show up in the numbers. From Streamlining to Strengthening: Structural Improvement in Financial Quality Over the past few years, YXT has been strea
      13.85K2
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      Revenue Growth, Narrower Losses and Accelerating AI Commercialization: What YXT’s H1 Results Signal
    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-20 15:16

      The Fever in Rates Broke. What Ran Hardest Was a Cancer Vaccine

      Hello. The long end, which had been pressing on everything for three days, got held down on Wednesday. The 30-year Treasury yield first set a 19-year high intraday, then turned back after the US Treasury said it would at least double the size of its liquidity support buybacks in 10- to 30-year securities. The 30-year fell as much as 9 basis points to 5.19 per cent, closed near 5.20 per cent, and is down to 5.18 per cent today. But technology did not come back. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ closed up 0.21 per cent and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 0.22 per cent, and most of that came from healthcare while tech kept being sold. One headline put it plainly: the tech sell-off resumed an
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      The Fever in Rates Broke. What Ran Hardest Was a Cancer Vaccine
    • MkohMkoh
      ·08-20 15:55
      I have been watching the Treasury market closely these past few weeks, and the latest move feels like a quiet admission that things are getting uncomfortable at the long end of the curve. Treasury just doubled the size of its liquidity-support buybacks in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors to at least $4 billion per operation. This comes right after the 30-year yield pushed toward levels we haven’t seen in nearly two decades and the 10-year settled in the mid-4.6% range. On paper, these buybacks are still framed as liquidity tools helping dealers offload older, less-traded bonds. In practice, the timing and the sudden upsizing tell a different story. When yields keep rising even on the day of a scheduled buyback, and Treasury responds by expanding the program off-calendar, it look
      3092
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    • TigerOptionsTigerOptions
      ·08-20 11:49

      Why Treasury Buybacks Cannot Fully Protect Stocks From a Hawkish Fed

      US stocks rose modestly and long bonds rallied on August 19 after the Treasury doubled planned buybacks of older long-dated securities. Hours later, Federal Reserve minutes showed that inflation concerns were becoming more hawkish. Together, the events illustrate why the discount rate facing equities depends on both market plumbing and monetary policy—and why one cannot permanently cancel the other. The Treasury announced on August 19 that it would increase liquidity-support buybacks for nominal securities in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year sectors from a maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation, effective September 9 through November 4. The Treasury’s official announcement states the change. The action followed a selloff that pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.34
      4842
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      Why Treasury Buybacks Cannot Fully Protect Stocks From a Hawkish Fed
    • TheMarketLens101TheMarketLens101
      ·08-20 08:59
      20 Aug 2026 — US Market Daily US stocks ended a three-day losing streak as the Treasury’s surprise move to expand long-term bond buybacks helped push longer-dated yields lower. Moderna’s successful Phase 3 cancer vaccine trial also boosted healthcare stocks. However, hawkish Fed minutes and continued US-Iran tensions kept risk appetite in check. S&P 500: +0.21% to 7,707.98 Dow Jones: +0.22% to 53,463.05 Nasdaq: +0.16% to 26,331.09 US 2Y Treasury: +1 bp to ~4.18% US 10Y Treasury: -6 bps to ~4.65% ⸻ 1. Iran tensions remain high, but Trump leaves the door open for talks * Trump said the US may resume negotiations with Iran “at some point,” reversing his tougher stance just a day earlier. * Washington is still waiting for clearer signs that Iran is willing to compromise before formally res
      2511
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    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-19 17:29

      The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday

      Hello. Three companies reported on Tuesday. Put the three side by side and no order makes sense. $Fabrinet(FN)$ beat on revenue by about 3.1 per cent and on earnings per share by about 7.5 per cent, both records — and closed down 19.38 per cent at US$482.59. $Home Depot(HD)$ beat on both lines, posted net sales of about US$47.9 billion and its best comparable sales since 2022, and reaffirmed full-year guidance — and closed down 0.12 per cent. $BIDU-SW(09888)$ missed on both revenue and profit, with earnings per share about 22.7 per cent short — and closed down 12.73 per cent. Full marks fell 19 per cent, a pass fell 0.
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      The Line Between Results and Share Prices Snapped on Tuesday
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-19 09:37

      S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation

      Major Wall Street institutions like $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan and $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Goldman Sachs (along with $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ Morgan Stanley) have lifted their targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 toward the 8,000 milestone. Yet, retail investors are grappling with recent index pullbacks and localized volatility. Wall Street's 8,000 Call: Top-Down Bullishness vs. Short-Term Reality Wall Street equity strategists set index targets using macro fundamentals—primarily corporate earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation multiples. The move toward an 8,000 S&P 500 target rests on thre
      5861
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      S&P 500 Path to 8,000: Navigating Short-Term Consolidation and Strategic Sector Allocation
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-19 14:35

      Can FOMC Minutes Stem the Rout? Bond Market Pressures, Tech Sell-Off, and Macro Risk Catalysts

      Introduction & Market Backdrop: Bonds Pressuring Growth On Wednesday, August 19, 2026, global financial markets find themselves at a critical juncture. Equity indexes across North America, Europe, and Asia have experienced sharp selling pressure driven by a powerful global bond market sell-off. Long-term sovereign yields have climbed to multi-year highs, with the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield advancing to 4.71% and the 30-year Treasury yield rising to 5.28%. $US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF(UTEN)$ This upward repricing in risk-free rates has transmitted directly into technology and growth equities. The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq-100 index, has declined by 1
      9561
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      Can FOMC Minutes Stem the Rout? Bond Market Pressures, Tech Sell-Off, and Macro Risk Catalysts
    • TigerOptionsTigerOptions
      ·08-19 12:07

      Why the Long-Bond Selloff Is a Bigger Threat to AI Stocks Than One Weak Trading Day

      $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ shares fell sharply on August 18 as long-term Treasury yields reached levels not seen since 2007. The important issue is not that semiconductors suffered one bad session; it is that higher long-term discount rates can compress the valuations of companies whose market prices depend heavily on profits expected many years from now. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.3% intraday as higher oil prices, inflation concerns, government borrowing and global bond weakness pushed investors to demand greater compensation for lending long term. The 10-year yield touched its highest level since January 2025. Reuters’ August 18 market report documents the bond move and equity reaction. The
      1992
      Report
      Why the Long-Bond Selloff Is a Bigger Threat to AI Stocks Than One Weak Trading Day
    • Tiger 123Tiger 123
      ·08-20 16:48
      The US Treasury announced that it will double long-duration bond buybacks to at least US$4 billion per operation from September through early November. The move followed the 30-year Treasury yield reaching nearly 5.34%, its highest in almost two decades. The result: 10-year yield → ~4.65% 30-year yield → ~5.20% S&P 500 → +0.21% Nasdaq → +0.16% Dow → +0.22%. That is meaningful relief, but I would not interpret it as the end of the bond problem. The underlying issues—US fiscal deficits, inflation and enormous AI infrastructure financing requirements—remain unresolved. 🔴 Fed — more hawkish than the market hoped The July Fed minutes were important. They showed that “many” policymakers believe higher rates may ultimately be required if inflation does not continue falling, while three policy
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    • AI_FocusedTraderAI_FocusedTrader
      ·08-18

      🚀 2026 Q2 13F Holdings Deep Dive: Where Is Smart Money Betting?

      [Miser][Smile]Fellow Tigers, Q2 13F filings are fully disclosed, and this quarter is packed with signals—Buffett's third massive $Alphabet(GOOG)$ purchase, Tepper loading up on Magnificent 7 while dumping memory stocks, and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ getting swarmed by hedge funds post-IPO. 📌 One-Sentence Summary in Adavance Q2 smart-money rebalancing theme: loading AI giants (especially Alphabet), embracing the SpaceX space narrative, taking profits in memory/semis, concentrating China ADRs into AI-core names, and quant giants vs. discretionary managers taking opposite macro views. Buffett's third Google purchase, Tepper dumping memory while buying Magnificent 7, hedge funds swarming SpaceX, Renaissance buying Meta
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      🚀 2026 Q2 13F Holdings Deep Dive: Where Is Smart Money Betting?
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·08-20 15:42
      I would wait for Warsh’s Jackson Hole tone before rotating aggressively back into tech. The Treasury intervention is meaningful, but I would not interpret it as a durable reversal in long-term yields. The 30-year yield had reached about 5.34%, its highest since 2007, before Treasury announced it would at least double long-duration buybacks to $4bn per operation.  The bigger issue is the Fed. July's minutes were more hawkish than the headline "hold" suggests: three officials wanted a 25bp hike, several saw inflation as broad-based, and there was no meaningful discussion supporting a cut. Markets are even assigning better-than-even odds to a hike by October or December.  So my positioning would be: Tech: cautiously add, not chase. Lower yields provide exactly the relief that high-d
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    • PawsAndProfitsPawsAndProfits
      ·08-20 02:36

      Market really heading into correction? Or is it just a blip?

      Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$   With key indices such as QQQ and SPY extending losses for second day straight, do the whales think that AI related tech stocks are finally overextended in their valuations, which is reflected in the pullback? This bearish signal is definitely backed with volume. However looking at past few months, bears usually would not last long. So position yourself properly, have your stop losses intact to ride this chop
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      Market really heading into correction? Or is it just a blip?
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·08-18

      The AI Bill Isn’t Fully Visible: Big Tech Has $3 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments

      Investors closely track Big Tech’s quarterly capital expenditures, but reported CapEx only captures part of the AI buildout. Nine major technology companies reportedly have about $3 trillion in future lease, chip-purchase and infrastructure commitments that are not yet fully reflected on their balance sheets. 1. Where Did the $3 Trillion Come From? According to a Wall Street Journal analysis of financial-statement footnotes, nine major technology companies reported roughly $600 billion in combined CapEx over their latest 12-month periods. However, their broader future commitments approach $3 trillion, including approximately: $1.2 trillion in data-center leases that have not yet commenced; $1.9 trillion in long-term purchase agreements covering chips, memory, power and other infrastructure
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      The AI Bill Isn’t Fully Visible: Big Tech Has $3 Trillion in Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments
    • MarktomarketMarktomarket
      ·08-18

      One Request Lifted the Whole Memory Chain. Apple Pays for It

      Hello. The first thing to move this week was not a set of results. It was policy. The US government spoke up and asked Apple to steer clear of Chinese memory chips. That one request lifted the entire memory chain on Monday. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ closed up 8.88 per cent at US$1,786.85, and $Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily ETF(SNXX)$ rose 17.73 per cent in a day. $Micron Technology(MU)$ closed up 4.13 per cent at US$1,011.75, back above US$1,000. $Western Digital(WDC)$ rose 5.35 per cent, $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 3.04 p
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      One Request Lifted the Whole Memory Chain. Apple Pays for It
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 18:43
      Berkshire ending 14 straight quarters of net selling is definitely worth watching. It could be an early sign that the most cautious money in the market is starting to regain confidence. I don’t see it as an all-out bullish signal, but capital is clearly rotating back into AI, semiconductors and infrastructure. CoreWeave, SMCI and Lumentum also show that investors are increasingly looking beyond quarterly revenue and focusing on backlogs, long-term contracts and future cash flows. The big question now isn’t whether money is coming back — it’s which companies can actually turn that capital spending into sustainable profits. Valuations still matter, especially after the strong AI rally we’ve already seen. For me, this is a reason to stay invested but remain selective, rather than chase every
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    • CSOP AMLCSOP AML
      ·08-18

      LCU Continues to Rise; Singapore’s Growth Outlook Improved with MTI Raising 2026 GDP Forecast to 4.5%-5.5%【 CSOP SG Weekly 】

      【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.64%* During the week, nonfarm payrolls were softer and CPI inflation was broadly in-line. OIS markets priced in around 30% probability of a hike at the September FOMC meeting. However, HSBC’s view is for Fed to hold policy rates steady through 2026 and 2027, though risks to the outlook are skewed to the upside. * 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: -2.52% As of 14 Aug 2026 (Fri), $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ declined 0.14% WTD, bringing its YTD total return to -2.52%. WTD losses were led by industrial, retail and residential by subsector, and MLT, CLAR and CICT, by individual REIT. Nevertheless, looking at Singapore’s eco
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      LCU Continues to Rise; Singapore’s Growth Outlook Improved with MTI Raising 2026 GDP Forecast to 4.5%-5.5%【 CSOP SG Weekly 】
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·08-18

      Sailing at All-Time Highs: Can the S&P 500 Hold its Ground Ahead of the Fed?

      The Macro Backdrop: Cooling Inflation Meets Record Equities After months of navigating sticky economic signals, stock markets received the green light they were waiting for: softer inflation print readings and steady economic output. Driven by resilient earnings, massive corporate capex in artificial intelligence, and easing producer price index (PPI) figures, the benchmark $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 recently notched a record close, touching intraday levels above 7,800. This milestone reflects a classic "Goldilocks" tailwind—an economy slowing just enough to bring price growth back toward the Federal Reserve’s target, without tumbling into a sharp demand-led recession. However, as the benchmark index trades near record territory, market focus
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      Sailing at All-Time Highs: Can the S&P 500 Hold its Ground Ahead of the Fed?