$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 1. Current Context • The stock has pulled back in 2026, down roughly 18% year-to-date, echoing a similar early-year slump in 2024 that preceded a very strong rally. • Consensus expectations for the Q4 results are for revenue north of ~US$1.34 billion and adjusted EPS around US$0.23, representing high-teens to low-double-digit growth relative to prior periods. • Valuation remains elevated relative to traditional software peers, with forward multiples reflecting very high expectations. 2. Fundamentals and AI Positioning Bullish structural factors: • The company’s growth has been underpinned by accelerating adoption of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) by both government and co
AI Momentum and Google Cloud Growth AI as a reacceleration vector • The prevailing view on Street expectations is that AI, particularly Gemini, has materially lifted investor sentiment and may begin to show through to tangible revenue growth beyond advertising alone. Recent commentary highlights that Gemini integration is expected to aid growth in search advertising by improving user engagement and monetisation. • Cloud remains the fastest-growing reporting segment for Alphabet, with triple-digit backlog growth noted in prior quarters and forecasted continued acceleration. • Analysts are specifically watching whether AI enhancements can drive meaningfully faster growth in Google Cloud, not just in headline top-line figures but also in margin expansion and a path to sustained pr
🧬📈💥 NVAX | Pfizer-Embedded Matrix-M, 53M Shorts & Volatility Compression Ahead of a Structural Reprice 💥📈🧬
$Novavax(NVAX)$$Pfizer(PFE)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ 🇺🇸 The stock I’m watching into next week 02Feb26 ET | 🇳🇿 03Feb26 NZT I’m watching $NVAX very closely into next week because this is no longer a legacy COVID story or a retail-driven setup. This is a structure-first trade where price, positioning, and institutional catalysts are starting to converge while the market remains anchored to the past. What’s tightening my focus here is that across weekly, 4H, and intraday timeframes, $NVAX is no longer breaking down. It’s compressing above long-term support with volatility contracting into one of the most crowded short positions in the market. I’m seeing
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Here is the problem ladies and gentleman. It's called instant gratification. As the emotional investor, this creates opportunities. Pltr is crazy expensive on all traditional metrics. And yet, is it? let's start with how you determine the value of a stock. Back in the 1940s Ben graham And David Dodd nailed it. You buy a stock when it's worth half its break up value. Simple but on point. the mentors of Warren buffet btw. But Mr buffet introduced a new concept. Value is not just tangible assets, it's about moats and brands. Less tangible assets, but assets all the same. But now there is a new asset. We are no longer in the 1940s or the 1980s. Last time I checked it's 2026. I am rooted in the concepts of
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Capitalizing on the MSFT dip by selling Cash Secured Puts (CSPs) at lower support levels to accumulate fresh shares. This allows for a lower entry price compared to existing holdings without over-leveraging. Once the share price rebounds, I’ll trim the higher-cost shares to maintain a balanced position size and keep capital fluid. It's all about upgrading the cost basis while staying disciplined with total exposure.
Gold has no intrinsic growth potential. It is all about supply and demand. The price action is all speculative with demand outstripping supply with no real fundamentals to support the frenzy rise. So, it can swing either way depending on how policies pan out. Based on the latest inflation data and strong labour market, rate cuts seem unlikely for now. As long as rate cuts remain steady, I believe the bubble for gold will pop. Of course, it is important for the uncertainties to remain steady or reduced as gold has always been as a safe haven in such times. The next few months will reveal what is going to happen to gold. I don’t think in the short term gold will be able to defend the $5000 level as many would be rushing to cash out to secure their profits. It is always better to make l
I think PLTR will remain in the range of $140-$160. Most would expect PLTR to meet or exceed analyst expectations given the many big contracts that PLTR has managed to secure recently. This should help push the stock price up. However, the room for upside would be limited due to its already high valuation and some of these expectations have already been priced in by the market with the news of the big contracts. Also, the following week is expected to be a volatile one especially with gold and silver recording the record drops in a single day. This might drag the prices for stocks down. With a new Fed chair who is expected to be hawkish and likely to hold rates steady than to cut it, this would further limit the upside for stocks like PLTR. With all these macro factors, there is a chan
I think ROI payback test, FY guidance update and beat but sold off would characterise this earnings week. With the stiffening competition, investors would want to see how much ROI there would be after all the investments by the companies into R&D. Fy guidance is also important for forward planning by investors and give a guide to where the company stands against its competitors. Even with a stellar earnings, poor guidance would cause investors to shun the stock as no one wants to be trapped with the stock. Unfortunately, with the announcement of the new Fed chair, market is still trying to figure out his narrative and what it means for the stock market. I wouldn’t be surprised that many would want to take profit now and the selling would drive the prices of many stocks down, independ
Market at a Technical Turning Point $META $AAPL $NDX $NVDA
Momentum is diverging across key names. $META strength has played out, $AAPL is attempting a confirmed reversal, while broader tech ($NDX, $NVDA) shows signs of exhaustion and rising pullback risk. Selectivity matters here. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Premium Subscribers received the blueprint one week ahead of the move: “Bullish targeting $683 (+3.8%), with a target extension of $708 (+7.5%). Risk management reference: $641” The move happened🎯, and the weekly compass provides updated coordinates for next week👇. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Last week I flagged high odds for a bullish reversal. That reversal is now confirmed. High volume on Friday’s bullish candle is promising, leaving the 100DMA as the primary hu
PLTR Earnings Guess: Where Will the Stock Close This Friday?
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ will release earnings on Monday. Wall Street currently expects Q4 EPS of $0.23 and revenue of $1.34 billion, representing YoY growth of 64% and 62%. Notably, consensus revenue estimates now exceed Palantir’s own prior guidance, suggesting the market is already pricing in a beat. As a result, attention may shift quickly to 2026 outlook, particularly U.S. commercial growth and free cash flow trends. Whether Palantir is approaching its “Google moment” The tone set by CEO Alex Karp and CFO Ana Soro on guidance will be critical. Since its Q3 earnings, $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ has pulled back roughly 20%, yet analyst consensus estimates for future earnings have not b
This is a moment where systems matter more than stories. PLTR and OKLO are flashing clear cycle-end signals after powerful runs, IONQ forces a disciplined exit as the trend turns against the thesis, while RIVN stands out as a rare exception — reset, discounted, and still structurally bullish. The message is simple: capital preservation first, patience second, and aggression only where risk-reward is asymmetric. Here is a detailed analysis of the four stocks: 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR bulls won’t like this: my system says the bull cycle is officially over. 🚨 Monthly BX just printed its first dark red after a 3,000% run. That usually means no more big breakouts and a real risk of a 25–30% slide toward the “smart money” zone. 2.
😱 PLTR Crashes 18% YTD in 2026 – Can Tomorrow's Earnings Ignite a Stunning Rebound to $200? 💥
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir has taken a beating so far in 2026, plunging nearly 18% year-to-date 😭. The drop feels painfully familiar, echoing the sharp early-2024 pullback that set the stage for an astonishing 340% surge across the full year. Now, as Q4 2025 results approach on February 2, the big question looms: will fresh numbers flip the script and propel shares back toward the $200 mark? 📈 The stock's weakness appears tied to broader rotation away from high-beta software names rather than any core deterioration at Palantir. While legacy software giants grapple with cyclical pressures, Palantir continues carving out a dominant position in enterprise AI deployments. Its platforms power everything from predictive analytics to mis
$APP Cycle Likely Over $COIN Pullback $BTC $ETH Discount Zone
The current market signals caution across these high-profile digital and tech assets. While BTC and ETH show potential discount levels, the absence of strong demand and technical breakdowns suggest careful positioning. $APP may be topping, and $COIN remains dormant until confirmed demand materializes. 1. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ APP bulls won’t like this, but my system says the cycle is probably over. Monthly BX printed dark red for the first time in 2+ years. That usually means long chop or a real correction, not fresh upside. I’m not shorting it, but I am parking capital elsewhere. Hope I'm wrong 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is pulling back into the Smart Money Zone, but there’s still no real
The market has reached a critical inflection point. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ successfully tagged our weekly target of $6,970 and briefly touched $7,000, the technicals now signal exhaustion. We are witnessing a distinct rotation: capital is flowing out of overextended sectors like Technology ( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ) and Semiconductors ( $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ) and moving into the 'Real Economy', Consumer Staples, Financials, and defensive plays. With the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiking as anticipated and Bitcoin (BTC)signaling risk-aversion, the 'easy mode' of a broad rally is over. Success next week will d
Bearish Signals Align Across $SPX $NDX $SMH & $AAPL
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ bearish Stochastic crossovers have been consistent precursors to pullbacks of varying magnitudes, with very few instances of invalidation. The index has just confirmed a new bearish crossover, suggesting market turbulence in the week and potentially month ahead. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ : Last week we studied the relevance of shooting stars and overbought RSI as individual conditions that preceded pullbacks. The recent selloff validates the power of two bearish conditions combined. The move may continue toward $250.
If $S&P 500(.SPX)$ directly crosses below the 2/4 trendline (~6850), I'll be calling the top. That would confirm completion of the 10-month impulse from the April low, especially when paired with the persistent 3-month bearish divergence in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ . Together, those signals would favor a ~20% correction in 2026. SPX has entered top-watch territory. After hitting the 7000 target, price retraced 50%+ of W5 — raising the odds that W5 of Wave 5 is complete and a macro top is in. Confirmation: A break below the 2/4 trendline (~6850). If that cracks, 7002 becomes the ceiling and 6500 comes into play over the next few weeks — potentially kicking off the ~20% correction into 2026. Short-term Invalida
NFLX, TSLA, GOOG & OpenAI - Innovation and Disruption Timelines
In 1997, 20% of U.S. households had access to the internet. A dozen years later, owners of iconic newspapers like the Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer, and many more had filed for bankruptcy. Disruption came quickly for newspapers once publishing online became trivial. Contrast that to streaming, which has taken much longer to disrupt traditional TV and film media. $Netflix(NFLX)$ launched streaming in 2007, and 19 years later, one of the companies that should have been disrupted the most, $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ , is being acquired by Netflix itself for $83 billion. Disruption happens at different speeds in different industries, and there are good reasons why. Different indu
What a Year Already: Dow Slides as Trump Names Kevin Warsh as Next Fed Chair
January felt like much more than just one month on Wall Street, and Friday’s session did little to slow the pace. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 179 points, or 0.4%, closing out a volatile end to the month. While the Dow gained 1.7% in January, those gains were heavily front-loaded. The index has now declined for three consecutive weeks, marking its longest weekly losing streak since December 2024, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Still, zooming out paints a different picture: January marked the Dow’s ninth straight monthly gain, its longest winning streak since 2018. January Wrap: Stocks Finish Higher Despite Late Weakness Other major indexes also slipped Friday: The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.4% on the day but finished up 1.4% for the
SPY in the Red: $695 Resistance, $687–$684 Support in Focus
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is RED for and here's how I'd play it: New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is less supportive of deeper rate cuts meaning he is LESS dovish even Jerome Powell. Market doesn't like it. This moved gold prices down and USD up. Make sure to (click on chart to review it) SPY key levels right now are at $687 and at $684-$685 area and SPY daily chart 20SMA is at $689.99 so this is also a big level of support. The SPY will have to clear above yesterday's close at $695 if it wants to go higher today and rememeber premarket high is at $692.70. Yes, you will need to draw all these levels because at some point today they will act as support or resistance. I'd wait for confirmation always: 1. buyers to come in 2. sellers to fail befor
Volatility Returns: GLD & SLV Collapse, While META, MSFT, AMZN Beat a Flat Market
Friday’s session featured dramatic volatility in commodities and divergent reactions to corporate earnings. Precious metals suffered a sharp correction following their record run, with $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ plunging -10% and $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ collapsing -29%. This historic selloff hammered the materials sector ( $Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLB)$ ), which fell -1.5% to finish as the day’s worst performer sector following the -2.04% selloff in technology ( $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ ). Corporate earnings delivered mixed results. $Verizon(VZ)$ surged nearly