To The Moon

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ NBIS suddenly jumped 50%, but surprisingly, there was almost zero response from options open interest.For moves like this, you’d normally expect to see some early OTM call buying, but looking at the call open interest, there was basically no pre-positioning.That said, even small-cap names like NBIS do get institutional flows on weekly option strategies—it’s just not what most people imagine. For example, last Friday, some institutions put on trades and then closed them right away on Monday.Unlike the classic bull call spread strategies you see in large-cap tech, for these smaller names, institutions often just open a call leg and a put leg separately. I’m still not totally sure what the logic is behind the direction of each leg.The

Market Expectations for 3 Fed Rate Cuts in 2025？1. High Probability of a 25-basis-point Cut in SeptemberMarkets are nearly certain the Fed will lower rates by 25 basis points at the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool. There's also a 10% chance being priced in for an outsized 50-basis-point cut.2. More Cuts Expected Later in 2025Barclays now forecasts three 25-bp cuts in 2025, up from a previous estimate of two. Other banks such as Bank of America and Macquarie also see cuts in September and December.3. Year-End Total Cuts Projected Around 75–100 bpsMarkets expect cumulative cuts totaling approximately 75 basis points by year-end, reducing the federal funds rate from the current ~4.25%–4.50% down to the mid-3% range.Good sigh for small cap Stocks and ETFs?Sma

As I look at the recent news about Lululemon $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$  , I can see why there's concern. The company has taken a significant hit, dropping back to 2020 lows after slashing its earnings outlook and projecting a $240 million tariff impact. It's tough to see a brand I've admired struggle, especially with a 56% year-to-date loss and a 20% drop in a single day during the last earnings report. The tariffs and the removal of the de minimis exception are clearly weighing heavily on their sales, which makes me pause and think about the risks involved. When it comes to deciding whether I'd buy the dip, I'm hesitant. Lululemon topped second-quarter earnings estimates, which is a positive sign, but the sli

As I look at the impressive rise of Tencent AI, I'm truly excited about its position as the No. 1 AI app in China, driven by the success of DeepSeek and the vast WeChat ecosystem. The potential for Yuanbao to be embedded across all of Tencent's platforms is a game-changer, and I can see how this could solidify their dominance. It's thrilling to think about how this integration might play out in the coming months. I'm also encouraged by Tencent's latest earnings, where the AI boost to Honor of Kings has exceeded expectations. That kind of performance shows how powerful AI can be when paired with a flagship product. With the stock nearing its previous high of HK$692, I feel optimistic about its trajectory and wonder, like many, when it might break through to new highs. It's an exciting time

$SGX(S68.SI)$ monthly data show that SGX FTSE China A50 Index Futures traded 496,023 lots in August, equivalent to roughly US$7.2 billion in notional value—up 66% year-on-year and the highest level in six months.SGX Group reports higher derivatives and securities volumes in August, up 11% and 17% y-o-y respectivelyThe surge coincides with reviving sentiment toward China and a global re-allocation into renminbi assets. As the most liquid offshore hedge for China A-shares, the A50 contract has become the go-to vehicle for asset managers, hedge funds and quant traders to express a “China view” quickly.Three demand-side driversA-share rebound opens a beta windowOfficial manufacturing PMI rose to 49.4 in August; Caixin PMI climbed back above 50, fuel

Robinhood surged 15% in the latest session on the back of two powerful catalysts:1. A bullish market and growing tokenization narrative.2. Its long-awaited inclusion in the S&P 500 Index.That puts HOOD up a staggering 200% YTD.💡 As traders, the question is: Did you catch this move?🎉 Shoutout to some standout gains from our community:🎉 Huge congrats to @smlim86 for banking 539% returns on HOOD.🎉 Huge congrats to @YJ13 who secured $1,306 on HOOD.🎉 Huge congrats to @densesorbet for earning 78% returns on HOOD call.🎉 Huge congrats to @AhBoat who locked in 46% returns on HOO

The Nasdaq notched a record high close on Monday (Sept. 8), lifted by a rally in Broadcom, while the S&P 500 also gained as investors bet the Federal Reserve will soon lower borrowing costs to shore up economic growth.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 48,094,096 contracts was traded on Monday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $Nvidia(NVDA)$; $Tesla(TSLA)$; $Opendoor(OPEN)$; $Robinhood(HOOD)$; $Apple(AAPL)$; $AMD(AMD)$; $Palantir(PLTR)$; $Amazon

PDD Holdings’ strong earnings and Temu’s aggressive U.S. push highlight its growth potential, but options activity tells the bigger story. With bullish call interest and favorable implied volatility, traders see limited downside risk. A put-selling strategy offers investors attractive income while positioning for long-term revaluation upside.PDD's Profitability Make Shares AttractivePDD Holdings reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter, despite headwinds in the company’s core business such as tariff headwinds and increasing competition in the Chinese e-commerce market. China and the U.S. agreed on a trade framework in June that lowered tariffs temporarily, and, in the long term, I also believe that the U.S. and China are going to resolve their trade differences in a mu