The Top Signal Now Appears in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The reversal signal first appeared two weeks ago in the semiconductor sector $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ with a "shooting star" candle, which has historically led to declines when the sector is overbought. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ followed with its own reversal candle last week, and both have declined since. Now, a reversal candle has appeared in the SPX. Historically, the final trigger for an accelerated selloff has been a loss of the 5MA.Thanks for the likes and reposts. Have a good rest of the holiday, everyone.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of
1.The Relative Value Trinity...-Small vs Large-Value vs Growth-Rest of World vs USAThere are major opportunities (and risks?) hiding here in plain sightAlways pay attention to extremes in markets (and especially in valuation indicators).Always. 👀Image2.It takes a Record High 94 hours of work for the average working American to buy 1 oz of Gold.What does this tell you?? $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
The indexes should continue trending higher toward their respective targets
Since $Dow Jones(.DJI)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ are in the midst of breakouts, and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ just triggered a long signal, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the rest of the indexes should continue trending higher toward their respective targets:SPX → 6,550–6,800 (needs to hold above 6,425. Close below 6,393 would send sell signal).NDX → 24,300–25,000 (long signal active; invalidation Aug 20 low 22,960).DJI → 46,500–47,500 (multi-month breakout; invalidation below 44,550).IWM → 240–246 (watch 230 as key level; below = deeper correction risk).✅ Breakouts / long signals dominate.⚠️ Sell signals only if invalidations are
2025 Q2 Li Auto Earnings: $Li Auto(LI)$ Q2 results missed expectations, mainly due to higher-than-expected operating expenses.Thanks to effective cost controls, net profit remained flat.Q3 delivery guidance is 16–21% below previous forecasts.In-house autonomous driving chip “M100” will start mass production and vehicle integration in 2026, with strong compute power and expected significant cost reduction.Li Auto plans to launch the low-priced, full-size SUV “i6” in September, targeting monthly sales of 15,000 units.The company aims to restore monthly deliveries to around 50,000 units, similar to Q3 2024 levels.Earnings Takeaways:$LI$’s share price is highly correlated with its new order flow (or delivery trend).Competitive pressure in the mid-to-hig
Will You Follow Major Trend or Bet on an Underdog Comeback?
This Wednesday, $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ released its latest earnings report. Profit pressure led to a sharp plunge in its stock price. Just one day later, $Alibaba(BABA)$ reported earnings — and the highlight was its “Taobao Flash Sale” instant retail service, which reached 80 million daily orders with peaks hitting 120 million orders.That 80M number caught the market’s attention — it was exactly Meituan’s average daily orders before the food delivery wars.Meituan stock plunged 12% on earnings day.Alibaba stock surged 12% the very next day.At the earnings call, Meituan CEO Wang Xing said:“In a big competition, being the underdog is the most exciting position to be in. That’s why this is so thrilling.”But the
1. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is still relatively cheap given its potential and market position.It managed to expand its market share by 3% YoY despite already dominating the market with 67.6% revenue share last year.This won’t change anytime soon.Its yields in 2nm are 40% higher than Samsung and it’s the only foundry having started the development of 1nm process.Regardless of who designs the most advanced chips in the next 5 years, $TSM will be the one manufacturing them.Still relatively cheap at 19 times forward earnings.Long $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ .Image2.The real AI play is energy.Cutting edge GPU racks consume 80-130 kW as apposed to 25-30 kW for a CPU rack.Result? Eme
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Checklist for investors: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Image2.Founder-led businesses tend to do better because they:1. Think long-term2. Have skin in the game3. Focus on the operations4. Incentives aligned with shareholders5. Focus on organic growth and not acquisitions3.Company culture matters for stock market returns:Image4.Fast growing quality list:ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ may have experienced a brief correction, but the upward trend is unlikely to change. It's currently continuing its upward trend and will likely continue to break through $3,500. Due to the US Labor Day holiday, the gold market will close early today. Continue buying and follow the trend. ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up 33% and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ is up 41% since April 7th.Medium to long term we will see the market move much higher from these current levels BUT in the short term... the risk/reward to the upside is shrinking. I would be more cautious this week after NFP data on Friday. We also have Core CPI data on Sept 11th. If the numbers come in over expectations there's still a possibility of no rate cut this month. If you have a small account/newer trader, the best risk/reward for a swing trade would be to WAIT for $SPX to backtest near 6100-6147 and for $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ back near 534-541. It's possible we see the Indices try and grind higher
BA, BABA, OXY, SPY& IBM Welcome Great Upward Momentum!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $IBM(IBM)$ looking cheap here at major trendline support?What do we think folks 🤔Image2.Want to get the best value out of your $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ DCAs?Wait for the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spike. Embrace the panic. 📈Image3. $Occidental(OXY)$ Something’s brewing in energy… 🛢️Image4. $Alibaba(BABA)$ The average cost basis of every BABA share since IPO is finally back to breakeven.Big level to reclaim next month, watch it. ⚓️Image5. $Boeing(BA)$ So close
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ 🚗 Xiaomi Hits 30K+ EV Deliveries Again — Can It Be China’s Tesla? Xiaomi $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ just pulled off a milestone that has the EV market buzzing — 30,000+ EV deliveries for the second consecutive month. In a space dominated by Tesla, BYD, and a swarm of domestic challengers, Xiaomi’s strong showing is turning heads on Wall Street and among retail investors alike. Deutsche Bank had forecast ~34,000 deliveries for the month, meaning Xiaomi is already brushing up against the expectations set for more established players. But here’s the real question: is this momentum enough to crown Xiaomi the “China Tesla” — or is it simply a sh
🎁Capturing Top 10 Ex_dividend: TDG, LMT, SITC, NOC, HD...
1. Which High Ex-dividend Stock (on 1 September ~ 5 September) do You Like the Most?Be Sure To Check Out the Last Chance to Buy the Top 10 High dividend stocks going to Ex-dividends This Week: many companies like $TDG$ and $LMT$ showing below are about to give decent dividends into "your pocket".Editor's notes:A dividend-paying stock ex-dividend date, or ex-date, is very important to investors. In a nutshell, if you buy a dividend stock before the ex-dividend date, then you will receive the next upcoming dividend payment.If you purchase the stock on or after the ex-dividend date, you will not receive the dividend. Some investors utilize strategies whereby they will purchase stocks just prior to an ex-dividend date and sell shortly thereafter.2. YTD25 of the Above 10 Stocks are as Below:Acc
😀Hi Tigers,We invite you to take a closer look at the possible winners by EPS in the Q2 earnings season.In this post, we have highlighted the top 20 stocks by market capitalization with an estimated higher EPS ahead of their earnings in the period from September 1 to September 5.Why EPS Matters?Earnings per share(EPS), refers to the income per share brought to investors/shareholders in the open market.EPS is calculated as a company's profit divided by the outstanding shares of its common stock. The resulting number serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.Investors like companies with high profitability, and the market always rewards those earnings results that beat the estimates. Hope the following content helps you learn more about good companies.Weekly List of Stocks with Est
📊 SPY End-of-Month Setup: History, Seasonality, and Intraday Flow
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📆 August Seasonality vs September Risk I’m watching August finish stronger than usual. $SPY is closing the month up ~3%. The last time we saw this was August 2020, which ended +7% but gave back 65% of those gains in September with a –4.5% decline. Seasonality warns that September rarely inches green, so I’m weighing whether we’ll see a controlled pullback or a surprise August–September back-to-back surge given the April 30% drawdown already reset positioning. 📍 Key Dark Pool & Technical Levels I’m tracking intraday rejections at $644.85 and immediate support at $643.34, with $642.78 beneat