To The Moon

1 Gold (XAU/USD) has shown an overall weak trend today, maintaining a pattern of weak consolidation and selling on rallies. Pressured by recent oil price rebounds that have sparked inflation concerns (reigniting expectations of high interest rates), the gold price is currently in a wide-range downward channel. $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ The intraday low has been updated to 4024. Although prices have rebounded slightly, they remain under pressure at the absolute bottom of the downtrend channel. Step-like downward consolidation: After encountering resistance in the 4060 area, gold prices formed a very standard “decline–sideways consolidation–further decline” step-like bearish pattern, with the lower boundary of each consolidation

1 Technical Analysis: Gold is currently showing a clear sideways-downward trend with a bearish formation. For ultra-short-term trading, the strategy should focus on selling on rallies (Short), while closely monitoring the resistance zone between 4040 and 4043. It is highly likely that prices will follow the downward trend in shorter time frames and retest the key support zone at the H4 level, 3996–4010. Currently, the market is in the early stages of a rebound ending and a return to the downtrend. Continue to focus on sell trades! Strategy: Sell: 4038–40 TP: 4010 SL: 4056 2 Gold prices saw a slight correction during Asian trading hours on Wednesday (July 15), currently trading around $4035 per ounce. Spot gold fell to its lowest level since July 1st yesterday, reaching $3983 per ounce, wit

$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On July 14, the U.S. CPI data for June—to be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT—will be the key factor in determining whether gold will stage a full reversal or accelerate its decline. The market widely expects that, due to a roughly 10% decline in U.S. gasoline prices in June, the year-over-year nominal CPI is projected to drop significantly from 4.2% to around 3.8%–3.9%; however, the core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to remain at a sticky level of 2.8%–2.9%. Gold’s current consolidation near $4,000 represents merely a temporary correction driven by the unwinding of short-term speculative positions; the th

Gold (XAUUSD) is currently in a weak, range-bound pattern in the short to medium term. Trading is expected to remain largely range-bound at lower levels when the market opens next Monday; watch for a breakout from the 4100–4150 range! $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ H1 Chart: After a short-term rebound, prices have pulled back again and are fluctuating around the 4115–4150 range. The candlestick bodies and wicks indicate a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, while the red MA shows signs of flattening. The MACD has shown a slight golden cross or divergence signal, suggesting that short-term rebound momentum is limited and prices are likely to fl

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis wtih you! 1. Upside Support (Geopolitical Safe-Haven Demand): As expected, renewed tensions in the Middle East (U.S. airstrikes against Iran triggering some retaliatory measures) continue to drive safe-haven buying in gold, firmly keeping the price above the $4,100/oz. psychological level. 2. Downward Pressure (Fed Rate Hike Repricing): However, the latest Fed meeting minutes reveal that policymakers are deeply concerned about high inflation. According to the CME Federal Funds Rate, the market’s probability of a rate hike in September has rebounded to around 63%. This has led to a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar, significantly capping gold’s upside potential; HSBC has also recently lowered its 2026 average gold price for

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Key News-Driven Factors (Mixed Bullish and Bearish Sentiment, with Bears Slightly in the Lead) ： $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ 1. Bearish: The Fed’s monetary policy remains generally hawkish. Situation: Fed officials (such as Kevin Warsh) have previously raised their inflation and interest rate forecasts for 2026. Currently, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, while it is highly likely that rates will remain unchanged in July, the market is still pricing in the expectation of another rate hike in the future (e.g., in September). High real interest rates resulting from a high-interest-rate environment, coupled with a strong U.S. Dollar Index, are currently the pr

Impact of Core Fundamentals (News): $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Bullish Factors: Weak labor market data has reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold, while continued gold purchases by global central banks as part of their reserve diversification efforts provide long-term strategic support for gold prices. Weakening Short-Term Catalysts: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (such as shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and the Doha negotiations) have recently shown some marginal easing or a resumption of shipping, causing the geopolitical premium previously factored into prices to diminish somewhat. Intraday Focus: As market liquidity wa

Technical Chart Patterns:$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Signs of a bullish breakout in gold are becoming increasingly clear. The candlestick chart shows a distinct V-shaped reversal combined with a stair-step rally accompanied by increasing volume! Following a surge triggered by positive economic data, the gold price instantly rose above the key psychological level of $4,100 and is currently testing the $4,200 level. Indicator Status: On the H1 timeframe, the Bollinger Bands are widening dramatically in an upward trend. The candlesticks are trading right along the upper band. The MACD is rapidly diverging above the zero line, with the red mome

$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$Fed Policy Pressure (Bearish): The Federal Reserve has recently sent hawkish signals suggesting it may further tighten monetary policy this year. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated the central bank’s determination to bring inflation down to the 2% target, which pushed up real U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, which held steady above 101), causing gold—a non-interest-bearing asset—to suffer a sharp decline throughout June. Easing Geopolitical Tensions (Bearish): The U.S. and Iran reached a preliminary ceasefire agreement and are moving forward with the Doha talks. The “safe-haven premium” driven by the Middle East geopolitical crisis has recently faded significantly, weakening safe-h

$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Today is the last trading day of June, and also the closing day of the monthly chart! The gold market typically experiences significant volatility on such dates, so risk management is crucial! Gold has once again fallen below $4,000, and the downward trend is expected to continue throughout the day, with the next important level at $3,950!