Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish Expectations Continue to Suppress Gold Prices
News/Fundamental Analysis (Latest as of May 2026) $Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ The latest US inflation data (April CPI 3.8% year-on-year, core CPI 2.8% year-on-year) both exceeded market expectations, significantly cooling market expectations for a Fed rate cut and even raising the probability of a rate hike. The US dollar and US Treasury yields continued to rise. In a high-interest-rate environment, the holding cost of gold as a non-interest-bearing asset has increased significantly, leading to a continuous outflow of funds from the gold market into interest-bearing assets such as bonds. This is the core reason for the recent continuous decline in gold prices. The market currently widely expects that the probability of a Fed rat
Six Key Data Points Trigger "Terrifying Volatility," How Will the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Determine the Fate of Gold and Silver?$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ Gold and silver will face a crucial test in the coming week, with investors focusing on the health of the US economy and labor market. In the next few trading days, the US will release a series of important economic data, which could significantly influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy path and further affect precious metal price movements. This week, gold and silver prices were supported by uncertainty surrounding the US economic growth outlook and expectations of changes in the interest rate path. Gold continued to benefit from safe-haven demand and t
$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$Gold prices stabilized around $4,500 on Friday (May 29), following a rebound from the previous trading session. Reports of an initial agreement between the U.S. and Iran eased market concerns over inflation and interest rate outlooks. Technical Analysis: After a sharp V-shaped rebound from a deep decline, gold found support at the bottom (around 4368–4372) and launched a powerful technical recovery. Moving average divergence correction: Following a rapid surge to approximately 4511.88, prices clearly diverged from the moving averages (MA). The current phase features sideways consolidation or slight pullback at higher levels—a typical adjustment in both time and space after a steep rally. Strong resista
GOLD: Exhibiting a Clear Short-term Accelerated Decline
On May 28, 2026, gold (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating around $4,373, exhibiting a clear short-term accelerated decline. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2608(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: 1. Clear Bearish Pattern and Breakout From the candlestick chart you provided (with moving average indicators), we can see: Accelerated Breakout: Gold prices previously traded in a narrow rectangular range around $4,500 for a period. However, recently, the candlestick broke through the previous key support level and broke through the psychological level of $4,400 with consecutive large bearish candlesticks. Moving Average Resistance: The red moving averages (MA) in the cha
GOLD: The Short-term Trajectory of Gold is Currently Caught Between Two Opposing Forces
International news developments: The short-term trajectory of gold is currently caught between two opposing forces—the expectation of significant easing in the Middle East's geopolitical tensions and the persistent hawkish narrative from the Federal Reserve. $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1. Key bearish factor: U.S.-Iran financial asset agreement reached, reducing geopolitical risk aversion Significant progress: According to the latest reports, with Qatar’s mediation, the United States and Iran have reached an understanding regarding Iran’s frozen financial assets. Markets widely expect both sides to formally announce the deal within the next one or two
GOLD: Subtle Changes in Policy Signals Within the Federal Reserve have Added More Uncertainty
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$Gold prices were under pressure last week, falling 0.69% to close at $4,506.82 per ounce on Friday (May 22), as the market was weighed down by inflation concerns stemming from high oil prices. However, on Monday (May 25) in early Asian trading, gold prices suddenly opened higher and surged, rising as much as 1.59% to around $4,578 per ounce, demonstrating strong rebound momentum. Behind this dramatic turn of events is the dual driving force of a rapid easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a weakening US dollar. Subtle changes in policy signals within the Federal Reserve have also added more uncertainty and room for imagination to the gold price movement. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but s
Gold Rebounds Sharply on US-Iran Deal Hopes, Weaker Dollar, and Falling Yields
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$Gold prices rebounded sharply from their intraday lows on Thursday (May 21), primarily driven by a plunge in oil prices triggered by news related to the US-Iran agreement. Additionally, a pullback in the US dollar and a decline in US Treasury yields also contributed to the gold price rebound. Gold prices recovered in the middle of Thursday's North American trading session after Al Arabiya reported that Pakistani mediators had reached an agreement on a final draft of the US-Iran deal, scheduled for release within hours. During Thursday's New York session, gold prices rebounded sharply from their intraday low of $4488.21, briefly approaching $4560 per ounce. At the close of trading on Thursday, gold was
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond continued to rise, reaching 3.181%, a new high since 2007. Gold continued its sharp decline, falling $100 intraday and breaking below $4470! It's about to test $4400! Continue to hold sell orders! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold continues its downward trend, a trend I've been consistently emphasizing! It has successfully broken below the 4510 support level and will next test 4500! It's about to break that level! Continue to maintain your sell orders. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve s
GOLD: It Will Likely Remain in a Wide-range Consolidation Phase!
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The market action was a rollercoaster ride, catching many investors by surprise! On the H1 chart, gold formed a typical “second dip” followed by a failed “W-bottom” (double bottom) pattern, resulting in a pullback within a trading range. This pattern has not yet confirmed a reversal; instead, it has evolved into a pullback from resistance within a low-range trading band (4510–4585). As short-term bullish momentum has faded and bears have regained the upper hand, prices are now seeking support near the cluster of moving averages or the secondary support level around $4,510. In the upcoming New York session, the pr
Gold's Short-term Bearish Momentum has Strengthened
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: Gold's short-term bearish momentum has strengthened. The MACD indicator has entered below the zero line, indicating a bearish short-term market sentiment, while the RSI indicator continues to decline, suggesting weakening bullish buying pressure. Gold has successfully broken below 4500 and is currently undergoing a technical rebound. The key resistance level for the day is at $4565-70. Further declines are expected today, so a sell-only strategy is recommended.$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Strategy: Sell: $4554-58 TP: $4515-4510 SL: $4570 (Adjust accordi