• Owen_TradinghouseOwen_Tradinghouse
      ·23 minutes ago

      How To Hedge Silver Drawdown Risk with a Calendar-Spread Arbitrage Strategy?

      Be cautious: this week, both U.S. equities and the two most crowded assets—gold and silver—are sitting in a fragile equilibrium of “high prices + low volatility + high leverage.” On top of that, the headline calendar includes Quadruple witching day, a Bank of Japan rate hike, and the return of the previously paused U.S. nonfarm payrolls release—factors that make a meaningful volatility expansion highly likely. In such an environment, any one-way bet can easily be whipsawed as take-profit and stop-loss orders get triggered repeatedly.​In these conditions—especially before the Bank of Japan announces its policy decision—the priority should shift away from trying to be “right” on a single directional call. The focus should be on protecting earlier gains and controlling drawdowns, because the
      10Comment
      Report
      How To Hedge Silver Drawdown Risk with a Calendar-Spread Arbitrage Strategy?
    • OratwoquOratwoqu
      ·Latest
      $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$   $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$   $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$   Silver and gold still continues to rise for performance in chart and good for demand ratio for this years if we look in last price from 2022 -2024. Average price in line market position. Target gold 5000 next years and 100 for silver not enough to stand point for both in get more point next years after us dollar index could be downtrend momentum 2026 to 2027. From historical performance to get average point in line position and volatility index for cycle time frame still works and should be have cross in line for  death cr
      0Comment
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    • SubramanyanSubramanyan
      ·12:35
      What's the driver for gold prices over the next 12 months?: strong demand from central banks and investors, geopolitical risks & expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts should be the drivers in the next 12 months.  Do you view silver & gold's recent strength? Recent strong performance in both is driven by safe-haven demand and a weak US dollar. Silver may be expected  to beat gold in future due to its high industrial demand & supply deficits -  it may be much more volatile.  Will silver continue to outperform gold?: silver may be more volatile, but analysts predict it will continue to outperform gold in percentage terms, driven by both  industrial and investment demand. Gold-to-silver ratio remains high compared to historic levels, suggesting si
      22Comment
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    • WeChatsWeChats
      ·11:43
      🚀 Silver Breaks All-Time Highs: Is $100 Next or Is the Top In? $64. It finally happened. Silver has officially smashed through historical resistance, breaking new all-time highs and doing something almost unthinkable: flipping the price of Oil. Everywhere you look—Twitter/X, headlines, Tiger—the buzz is deafening. But for every trader celebrating, there are ten others staring at the chart asking the most dangerous question in finance: “Did I miss the boat?” Let’s cut through the noise. Here is the real data on why Silver is moving, why this rally is structurally different from 2011 or 1980, and the massive risks you need to manage right now. 1️⃣ The "Dual Engine" Driving the Melt-Up Silver is often called “Gold’s volatile little brother,” but that view is outdated. Gold is a safe haven; Si
      23Comment
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    • KB TanKB Tan
      ·11:30
      I view SLV for short-term trading and GLDM for longer term holding.
      1Comment
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·08:58
      Gold breaking to fresh highs is not something I take lightly. A move above $4,300+ confirms that this rally is not just a short-term squeeze, but a structural trend driven by liquidity, geopolitics, and declining real yields. When gold makes new highs, it's usually a sign that risk hedging demand is rising beneath the surface—even if equities are still holding up. From my perspective, the first question is time horizon, not price. For long-term core holdings, I don't rush to take full profit just because gold prints a new high. Breakouts to all-time highs tend to attract trend-following capital, and historically gold often extends further than expected once price discovery begins. Trimming everything too early risks missing the strongest part of the move. That said, I do believe in partial
      103Comment
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    • AN88AN88
      ·05:05
      Take some profit. The rest keep
      1Comment
      Report
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·12-16 20:00

      🌐KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026

      @KevinChenNYC Kevin Chen holds a PhD from the University of Lausanne, Switzerland, and launched his Wall Street career at Morgan Stanley, where he absorbed the analytical rigor of macroeconomic legends Byron Wien and Steven Roach. He maintains strong academic ties as a graduate-level instructor at New York University and marks 2026 as his tenth annual installment of top-10 global economic predictions. His 2025 forecast track record stands at 85% accuracy.2025 Forecast Track Record: 8 of 10 predictions correct (85% hit rate).Chen‘s standout call was forecasting a Q2 US stock correction—markets entered a bear market in April-May, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunging over 30%. Other accurate foreca
      539Comment
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      🌐KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026
    • KevinChenNYCKevinChenNYC
      ·12-16 19:14

      KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026

      The year 2025, which is drawing to a close, saw many unexpected changes in the global financial markets. For example, $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ surged, European stock markets outperformed US stocks, and cryptocurrencies like $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ experienced significant declines.2025 was also the year I spent the most time investing and researching in global markets. My travels included the UAE, Iraq, and India, and I conducted numerous investment sharing events in Canada and Italy. Within the US, I had the opportunity to attend training at Elon Musk's Starbase and the NASA Space Academy at the Marshall Space Center in Alabama.Many of the companies we've partnered with are listed on the New Yor
      10.91K1
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      KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026
    • Ah_MengAh_Meng
      ·12-16 12:57

      Look where nobody look, buy when nobody buy!

      Gold, silver as I had shared time and again in the posts, are crowded trades. As posted yesterday, that's not the reason to sell.  I have also introduced a couple of precious metals group miners during those posts. In this article, I will reintroduce one that continues to fly under the radar, $Sibanye(SBSW)$ . Sibanye Stillwater is a mining company focusing on precious metals. Its main mining products are platinum group metals and gold. Platinum group metals include palladium and platinum obviously. There are others less known ones like rhodium and iridium. The main ones are still platinum and palladium, so the prices movement of both platinum and palladium will greatly influence the overall profitability of Sibanye. As this is simply an intr
      4211
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      Look where nobody look, buy when nobody buy!
    • AN88AN88
      ·12-16 03:30
      Yes buy now and keep long term
      52Comment
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    • MoneyGraberMoneyGraber
      ·12-15 21:31
      Yes for sure! Safe heaven as it is more stable than Crypto.
      40Comment
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    • thenameis.zthenameis.z
      ·12-15 17:56
      Wow.. topic interestingly 
      61Comment
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    • AlfanoAlfano
      ·12-15 13:49
      Eventually will go up, just depends on time..
      84Comment
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    • MySGXMySGX
      ·12-15 11:20
      Gold is hitting new all-time highs through 2024 and 2025, soaring past $4,000/oz in late 2025, driven by geopolitical risks, central bank buying, expectations of interest rate cuts, with many analysts predicting further rises toward $5,000/oz or more in 2026 as its safe-haven status remains strong. [Miser]  
      263Comment
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    • KohKohKrunchKohKohKrunch
      ·12-15 09:59
      For: Gold Target $5000? New Highs Coming? Title: Gold $5,000? The Macro Setup Says It's Plausible, But Silver is the High-Beta Play. The institutional $5,000 gold target for 2026 isn't fantasy—it's a direct function of the debasement trade and central bank policy divergence. Why $5,000 is in the realm of possibility: 1. Monetary Fatigue: Global central banks, led by the Fed, are pivoting to rate cuts despite elevated inflation. This is a recipe for negative real yields—rocket fuel for gold. 2. Geopolitical & Election Hedging: Persistent global conflicts and a major U.S. election year in 2026 will drive safe-haven demand. 3. Central Bank Buying: The relentless, non-profit-driven accumulation by BRICS+ nations creates a permanent bid under the market. Gold vs. Silver: I'm more bullish on
      129Comment
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    • MilkTeaBroMilkTeaBro
      ·12-15 08:58

      Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold

      I support Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold—even at a higher acquisition price. Copper faces a profound structural imbalance between supply and demand over the next decade. We are entering an era defined by AI, electrification, and the green energy transition—all of which are incredibly copper-intensive. Think data centers, power grids, electric vehicles, and renewable energy infrastructure. According to open-source projections, global copper demand over the next 10 years could surpass the total amount of copper humanity has ever mined in history. On the supply side, however, investment in new copper mining capacity has significantly lagged over the past decade, largely due to prolonged bearish market conditions. Developing a new mine is a capital-intensive, time-consuming process—often
      3481
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      Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold
    • GoldentigerGoldentiger
      ·12-15 08:36
      Gold to hit $5000 🎯 target🚀
      168Comment
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·12-15 08:35
      Silver has just surged to a fresh all-time high, clearly outperforming gold and confirming a strong risk-on move within the precious metals complex. This divergence matters — silver typically leads during expansionary phases, signaling rising investor confidence and renewed appetite for inflation hedges. Gold, meanwhile, has entered rebound mode after a healthy consolidation, suggesting the broader uptrend remains intact rather than broken. What strengthens my conviction is the growing institutional narrative. Major institutions upgrading long-term gold price targets to $5,000 by 2026 reflects more than optimism — it points to structural drivers such as sustained central bank buying, de-dollarization trends, rising sovereign debt levels, and a longer-for-higher inflation regime. These are
      196Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·12-14 20:15
      Gold’s rebound alongside silver’s breakout reflects a classic late-cycle mix of easing expectations, currency debasement concerns, and strong physical demand. On profitability: For investors who accumulated gold during the mid-year consolidation, positions are generally back in profit. The rebound has been technically constructive, with higher lows and renewed ETF inflows. Can gold revisit prior highs by year-end? It is plausible, but not guaranteed. A decisive move depends on two factors: confirmation of a sustained rate-cut cycle and a weaker US dollar. If real yields continue to drift lower and geopolitical risk remains elevated, a retest of previous highs is achievable. A sharp risk-on rally in equities could delay this. Gold vs silver: I remain structurally more bullish on gold as a s
      188Comment
      Report
    • AN88AN88
      ·12-14
      New high coming. Buy now 
      192Comment
      Report
    • Owen_TradinghouseOwen_Tradinghouse
      ·23 minutes ago

      How To Hedge Silver Drawdown Risk with a Calendar-Spread Arbitrage Strategy?

      Be cautious: this week, both U.S. equities and the two most crowded assets—gold and silver—are sitting in a fragile equilibrium of “high prices + low volatility + high leverage.” On top of that, the headline calendar includes Quadruple witching day, a Bank of Japan rate hike, and the return of the previously paused U.S. nonfarm payrolls release—factors that make a meaningful volatility expansion highly likely. In such an environment, any one-way bet can easily be whipsawed as take-profit and stop-loss orders get triggered repeatedly.​In these conditions—especially before the Bank of Japan announces its policy decision—the priority should shift away from trying to be “right” on a single directional call. The focus should be on protecting earlier gains and controlling drawdowns, because the
      10Comment
      Report
      How To Hedge Silver Drawdown Risk with a Calendar-Spread Arbitrage Strategy?
    • WeChatsWeChats
      ·11:43
      🚀 Silver Breaks All-Time Highs: Is $100 Next or Is the Top In? $64. It finally happened. Silver has officially smashed through historical resistance, breaking new all-time highs and doing something almost unthinkable: flipping the price of Oil. Everywhere you look—Twitter/X, headlines, Tiger—the buzz is deafening. But for every trader celebrating, there are ten others staring at the chart asking the most dangerous question in finance: “Did I miss the boat?” Let’s cut through the noise. Here is the real data on why Silver is moving, why this rally is structurally different from 2011 or 1980, and the massive risks you need to manage right now. 1️⃣ The "Dual Engine" Driving the Melt-Up Silver is often called “Gold’s volatile little brother,” but that view is outdated. Gold is a safe haven; Si
      23Comment
      Report
    • KevinChenNYCKevinChenNYC
      ·12-16 19:14

      KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026

      The year 2025, which is drawing to a close, saw many unexpected changes in the global financial markets. For example, $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ surged, European stock markets outperformed US stocks, and cryptocurrencies like $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ experienced significant declines.2025 was also the year I spent the most time investing and researching in global markets. My travels included the UAE, Iraq, and India, and I conducted numerous investment sharing events in Canada and Italy. Within the US, I had the opportunity to attend training at Elon Musk's Starbase and the NASA Space Academy at the Marshall Space Center in Alabama.Many of the companies we've partnered with are listed on the New Yor
      10.91K1
      Report
      KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026
    • OratwoquOratwoqu
      ·Latest
      $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$   $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$   $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$   Silver and gold still continues to rise for performance in chart and good for demand ratio for this years if we look in last price from 2022 -2024. Average price in line market position. Target gold 5000 next years and 100 for silver not enough to stand point for both in get more point next years after us dollar index could be downtrend momentum 2026 to 2027. From historical performance to get average point in line position and volatility index for cycle time frame still works and should be have cross in line for  death cr
      0Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08:58
      Gold breaking to fresh highs is not something I take lightly. A move above $4,300+ confirms that this rally is not just a short-term squeeze, but a structural trend driven by liquidity, geopolitics, and declining real yields. When gold makes new highs, it's usually a sign that risk hedging demand is rising beneath the surface—even if equities are still holding up. From my perspective, the first question is time horizon, not price. For long-term core holdings, I don't rush to take full profit just because gold prints a new high. Breakouts to all-time highs tend to attract trend-following capital, and historically gold often extends further than expected once price discovery begins. Trimming everything too early risks missing the strongest part of the move. That said, I do believe in partial
      103Comment
      Report
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·12-16 20:00

      🌐KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026

      @KevinChenNYC Kevin Chen holds a PhD from the University of Lausanne, Switzerland, and launched his Wall Street career at Morgan Stanley, where he absorbed the analytical rigor of macroeconomic legends Byron Wien and Steven Roach. He maintains strong academic ties as a graduate-level instructor at New York University and marks 2026 as his tenth annual installment of top-10 global economic predictions. His 2025 forecast track record stands at 85% accuracy.2025 Forecast Track Record: 8 of 10 predictions correct (85% hit rate).Chen‘s standout call was forecasting a Q2 US stock correction—markets entered a bear market in April-May, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunging over 30%. Other accurate foreca
      539Comment
      Report
      🌐KevinChen:Top 10 Global Financial Market Predictions for 2026
    • SubramanyanSubramanyan
      ·12:35
      What's the driver for gold prices over the next 12 months?: strong demand from central banks and investors, geopolitical risks & expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts should be the drivers in the next 12 months.  Do you view silver & gold's recent strength? Recent strong performance in both is driven by safe-haven demand and a weak US dollar. Silver may be expected  to beat gold in future due to its high industrial demand & supply deficits -  it may be much more volatile.  Will silver continue to outperform gold?: silver may be more volatile, but analysts predict it will continue to outperform gold in percentage terms, driven by both  industrial and investment demand. Gold-to-silver ratio remains high compared to historic levels, suggesting si
      22Comment
      Report
    • KB TanKB Tan
      ·11:30
      I view SLV for short-term trading and GLDM for longer term holding.
      1Comment
      Report
    • Ah_MengAh_Meng
      ·12-16 12:57

      Look where nobody look, buy when nobody buy!

      Gold, silver as I had shared time and again in the posts, are crowded trades. As posted yesterday, that's not the reason to sell.  I have also introduced a couple of precious metals group miners during those posts. In this article, I will reintroduce one that continues to fly under the radar, $Sibanye(SBSW)$ . Sibanye Stillwater is a mining company focusing on precious metals. Its main mining products are platinum group metals and gold. Platinum group metals include palladium and platinum obviously. There are others less known ones like rhodium and iridium. The main ones are still platinum and palladium, so the prices movement of both platinum and palladium will greatly influence the overall profitability of Sibanye. As this is simply an intr
      4211
      Report
      Look where nobody look, buy when nobody buy!
    • AN88AN88
      ·05:05
      Take some profit. The rest keep
      1Comment
      Report
    • BarcodeBarcode
      ·12-14

      📊🪙🌍 Gold Targets $5,000 While Silver Leads the Supercycle 🌍🪙📊

      $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ $1-Ounce Gold - main 2602(1OZmain)$ 🧠📈 When structure, liquidity, and institutional flow align, markets do not whisper. They move! I'm looking at the precious metals complex the same way I always do, 🔍 price first, 📐 structure second, 💰 positioning always. Gold and silver are not rallying on narrative. They are responding to incentives, liquidity and time. 🟡 Gold futures continue to hold around the $4,330 region, forming what is effectively a structural fortress on the weekly chart. Price remains above rising trend support, with every pullback absorbed rather than rejected. That is not exhaustio
      3.73K37
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      📊🪙🌍 Gold Targets $5,000 While Silver Leads the Supercycle 🌍🪙📊
    • ShyonShyon
      ·12-15 08:35
      Silver has just surged to a fresh all-time high, clearly outperforming gold and confirming a strong risk-on move within the precious metals complex. This divergence matters — silver typically leads during expansionary phases, signaling rising investor confidence and renewed appetite for inflation hedges. Gold, meanwhile, has entered rebound mode after a healthy consolidation, suggesting the broader uptrend remains intact rather than broken. What strengthens my conviction is the growing institutional narrative. Major institutions upgrading long-term gold price targets to $5,000 by 2026 reflects more than optimism — it points to structural drivers such as sustained central bank buying, de-dollarization trends, rising sovereign debt levels, and a longer-for-higher inflation regime. These are
      196Comment
      Report
    • MilkTeaBroMilkTeaBro
      ·12-15 08:58

      Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold

      I support Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold—even at a higher acquisition price. Copper faces a profound structural imbalance between supply and demand over the next decade. We are entering an era defined by AI, electrification, and the green energy transition—all of which are incredibly copper-intensive. Think data centers, power grids, electric vehicles, and renewable energy infrastructure. According to open-source projections, global copper demand over the next 10 years could surpass the total amount of copper humanity has ever mined in history. On the supply side, however, investment in new copper mining capacity has significantly lagged over the past decade, largely due to prolonged bearish market conditions. Developing a new mine is a capital-intensive, time-consuming process—often
      3481
      Report
      Jiangxi Copper’s pursuit of SolGold
    • KohKohKrunchKohKohKrunch
      ·12-15 09:59
      For: Gold Target $5000? New Highs Coming? Title: Gold $5,000? The Macro Setup Says It's Plausible, But Silver is the High-Beta Play. The institutional $5,000 gold target for 2026 isn't fantasy—it's a direct function of the debasement trade and central bank policy divergence. Why $5,000 is in the realm of possibility: 1. Monetary Fatigue: Global central banks, led by the Fed, are pivoting to rate cuts despite elevated inflation. This is a recipe for negative real yields—rocket fuel for gold. 2. Geopolitical & Election Hedging: Persistent global conflicts and a major U.S. election year in 2026 will drive safe-haven demand. 3. Central Bank Buying: The relentless, non-profit-driven accumulation by BRICS+ nations creates a permanent bid under the market. Gold vs. Silver: I'm more bullish on
      129Comment
      Report
    • AN88AN88
      ·12-16 03:30
      Yes buy now and keep long term
      52Comment
      Report
    • Emotional InvestorEmotional Investor
      ·12-13
      So I'm in two Australian stocks one gold one silver. The gold one is up over 50%, so I did what I do, trimmed it. So that one is just house money now. $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ it's an Australia gold mining company with the rights to mine in one of the otago gold fields in New Zealand. Massive long term potential once they start digging. But it's early days not digging up gold yet. So I guess you understand why I trimmed. Analysts saying gold will hit new highs ($5,000) is speculation. So I'm happy if they are correct. But my money in Santana is now just pure profit. So happy to sit on that for 10+ years and let it rock and roll. if gold is only worth $3,200 in 5 years, well Santana was kinda pricing it near that to justify the investment a
      6311
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    • xc__xc__
      ·12-12

      Gold Gunning for $5,000 in 2026? Silver Smashes Records – Cash In on Precious Metals Madness! 🚀🪙💥

      Silver's on an absolute tear, blasting past $64.86 per ounce today and etching a fresh all-time high that leaves gold in the dust for 2025 gains. 😲 This devil's metal has nearly doubled since January, fueled by relentless industrial demand from solar panels gobbling up 20% more supply and EV chips craving its conductivity edge over copper. Supply deficits stretch into a fifth straight year at 200 million ounces, with London's vaults drained 30% to 22,000 tonnes and Indian prices skyrocketing 85% to ₹1.78 lakh per kg. No wonder futures fluctuate wildly, hitting intraday peaks above $64 as speculators pile in for weekly gains topping 10%! Gold's no slouch either, rebounding firmly to $4,329 per troy ounce after a seven-week high push, up 1.15% in a day and eyeing that $4,400 mark before Dece
      450Comment
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      Gold Gunning for $5,000 in 2026? Silver Smashes Records – Cash In on Precious Metals Madness! 🚀🪙💥
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·12-14 20:15
      Gold’s rebound alongside silver’s breakout reflects a classic late-cycle mix of easing expectations, currency debasement concerns, and strong physical demand. On profitability: For investors who accumulated gold during the mid-year consolidation, positions are generally back in profit. The rebound has been technically constructive, with higher lows and renewed ETF inflows. Can gold revisit prior highs by year-end? It is plausible, but not guaranteed. A decisive move depends on two factors: confirmation of a sustained rate-cut cycle and a weaker US dollar. If real yields continue to drift lower and geopolitical risk remains elevated, a retest of previous highs is achievable. A sharp risk-on rally in equities could delay this. Gold vs silver: I remain structurally more bullish on gold as a s
      188Comment
      Report
    • MoneyGraberMoneyGraber
      ·12-15 21:31
      Yes for sure! Safe heaven as it is more stable than Crypto.
      40Comment
      Report
    • MySGXMySGX
      ·12-15 11:20
      Gold is hitting new all-time highs through 2024 and 2025, soaring past $4,000/oz in late 2025, driven by geopolitical risks, central bank buying, expectations of interest rate cuts, with many analysts predicting further rises toward $5,000/oz or more in 2026 as its safe-haven status remains strong. [Miser]  
      263Comment
      Report