Earnings Miss—Is It Time to Bottom Fish Li Auto?-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

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Earnings Miss—Is It Time to Bottom Fish Li Auto?

OptionsBB
2025-08-30

2025 Q2 Li Auto Earnings:

$Li Auto(LI)$ Q2 results missed expectations, mainly due to higher-than-expected operating expenses.
Thanks to effective cost controls, net profit remained flat.
Q3 delivery guidance is 16–21% below previous forecasts.
In-house autonomous driving chip “M100” will start mass production and vehicle integration in 2026, with strong compute power and expected significant cost reduction.
Li Auto plans to launch the low-priced, full-size SUV “i6” in September, targeting monthly sales of 15,000 units.
The company aims to restore monthly deliveries to around 50,000 units, similar to Q3 2024 levels.

Earnings Takeaways:

$LI$’s share price is highly correlated with its new order flow (or delivery trend).
Competitive pressure in the mid-to-high-end pure electric SUV segment is intensifying.
With the i6 about to launch, sales expectations could drive a rebound in the stock.
Valuing at 1.5x 2025 price-to-sales, the target price is $25.6.

Trading Strategy:

With a new model launch imminent and bullish expectations for the stock, selling out-of-the-money puts makes sense.
Reference trade: Sell puts, strike and expiry example: $LI 20250905 22.0 PUT$ (82% win rate).

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Merle Ted
·2025-09-22
Li will be the first company to go under with obsolete technology and shady quality products! It’s done . Sell all your left and buy NIO

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Venus Reade
·2025-09-22
Wash ,Rinse, Repeat.. now wait for $30 again..

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pixiezz
·2025-09-02
Interesting strategy
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Thanks to effective cost controls, net profit remained flat. Q3 delivery guidance is 16–21% below previous forecasts. In-house autonomous driving chip “M100” will start mass production and vehicle integration in 2026, with strong compute power and expected significant cost reduction. Li Auto plans to launch the low-priced, full-size SUV “i6” in September, targeting monthly sales of 15,000 units. The company aims to restore monthly deliveries to around 50,000 units, similar to Q3 2024 levels. Earnings Takeaways: $LI$’s share price is highly correlated with its new order flow (or delivery trend). Competitive pressure in the mid-to-high-end pure electric SUV segment is intensifying. With the i6 about to launch, sales expectations could drive a rebound in the stock. Valuing at 1.5x 2025 price-to-sales, the target price is $25.6. Trading Strategy: With a new model launch imminent and bullish expectations for the stock, selling out-of-the-money puts makes sense. Reference trade: Sell puts, strike and expiry example: $LI 20250905 22.0 PUT$ (82% win rate).","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":612,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":21,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/472944468549824","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3597,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["LI"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1015,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":481177147478296,"commentId":"481177147478296","gmtCreate":1758508431028,"gmtModify":1758508435604,"authorId":10000000000010990,"author":{"id":10000000000010990,"idStr":"10000000000010990","authorId":10000000000010990,"name":"Merle Ted","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0681550b13e51a8ffa4c08327616955","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":472944468549824,"objectIdStr":"472944468549824","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Li will be the first company to go under with obsolete technology and shady quality products! It’s done . Sell all your left and buy NIO\n<br><br>","text":"Li will be the first company to go under with obsolete technology and shady quality products! It’s done . Sell all your left and buy NIO\n<br><br>","html":"Li will be the first company to go under with obsolete technology and shady quality products! It’s done . Sell all your left and buy NIO\n<br><br>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":481177097482520,"commentId":"481177097482520","gmtCreate":1758508418822,"gmtModify":1758508423549,"authorId":10000000000010992,"author":{"id":10000000000010992,"idStr":"10000000000010991","authorId":10000000000010992,"name":"Venus Reade","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38b1d941a51e1a5f1ca29e3f8ce62213","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":472944468549824,"objectIdStr":"472944468549824","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Wash ,Rinse, Repeat.. now wait for $30 again.. \n<br><br>","text":"Wash ,Rinse, Repeat.. now wait for $30 again.. \n<br><br>","html":"Wash ,Rinse, Repeat.. now wait for $30 again.. \n<br><br>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":473936441086704,"commentId":"473936441086704","gmtCreate":1756742832613,"gmtModify":1756804215443,"authorId":9000000000000341,"author":{"id":9000000000000341,"idStr":"9000000000000341","authorId":9000000000000341,"name":"pixiezz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d8c2eb1c079c85b43879eb951e8684","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":472944468549824,"objectIdStr":"472944468549824","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Interesting strategy","text":"Interesting strategy","html":"Interesting strategy","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}