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2025-04-06
Everyday things like iPhone become more expensive with tariff
Tariffs are a good thing if you don’t need an IPhone or buy new shoes. In fact, if you don’t eat ginger beef or Peking duck from China, tariffs won’t matter.Example 1: iPhoneLet’s say $Apple(AAPL)$ makes part of the iPhone in China. If it costs $500 to produce and bring it to the U.S.:•Without a tariff: Apple pays $500•With a 30% tariff: Apple pays $500 + $150 = $650Apple won’t want to lose profit, so they’ll raise the price for you. That same iPhone that used to cost $1,000 might now cost $1,150 or more.Example 2: ShoesImagine a pair of shoes made in China costs $50 to import.•Without a tariff: The company pays $50•With a 30% tariff: They pay $50 + $15 = $65To keep their profits, the store might raise the price from $100 to $115 or $120.Summary:W
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2025-04-06
Here's the bottoms for 10 tickers
JPM makes MAXIMUM money with long puts at 4500 for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (check chart)20% from all time highs for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is under $500. Here's the bottoms for 10 tickers 🧵 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
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2025-04-06
IWM & QQQ: High chances for a corrective bounce
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ High chances for a corrective bounce:1) Doji island below the Bollinger band2) Volume validation3) RSI at 24‼️Why corrective? The Bollinger band is widening, previous events are highlighted.Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Long island candle completely below the Bollinger Band, and RSI is oversold. Those are meaningful oversold conditions. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
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2025-04-06
NVDA - A relief bounce is likely
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : A relief bounce is likely, considering the lower Bollinger band breached, oversold RSI and the island candle validated by volume. However, see the difference with August 2024: A Bollinger acting as support back then (green arrow), and the current one is a slider (red).NVDA has erased 55% - 60% of its gains in previous bear markets, will this time be different?➡️Technicals say no. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
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2025-04-06
Daily Charts - Large daily moves in SPX are rare, but tend to cluster
1.Large daily moves in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are rare, but tend to cluster (n.b. this includes large up and down moves)One constraint to a rally: US assets now need to provide a higher risk premium to reflect a permanent up shift in uncertainty and political risk (and short-term risk of recession, unintended consequences, feedback loops)Image2.Fun Fact: we've just been through one of the best 15-year periods in the stockmarket of all time...(and yes: valuations, sentiment, allocations all reflect that, and yes, that is going to make it very difficult to repeat this feat)Image3.Curious or Confused about Global vs US equity rotation?Here's something that should clear it up -- it's simply the market finally finding a reason (and there are good reasons
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2025-04-06
Is SPX going to keep FREE FALLING?
Is $S&P 500(.SPX)$ going to keep FREE FALLING, or are we close to a temporary bottom? 😱I’m diving deep into the wave count to reveal my expectations for the upcoming weeks, including my BEARISH LONG-TERM TARGETS and the projected path ahead. 🚨You DO NOT want to miss this !5120 target reached✅Watch for a 4th wave bounce here to 5240-5280.Expecting that to be sold, but may wait until we get a green candle Monday to sell off for the 5th targeting 5000 or lower. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
1.48K
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2025-04-06
Here’s the previous 10 times the $SPX was down -17.5% or more
Here’s the previous 10 times the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was down -17.5% or more. 👇👇👇The highest SPX P/E Ratio for a bottom was 16x in 1998.Our current P/E Ratio is 18.6x. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageRelevant now as we’ve come from a much higher P/E peak than usual: The SPX has only sustained a P/E multiple higher than the current mark (22.5x) twice in history: 1.) The Dot Com Bubble 2.) The Covid-QE BubbleImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out m
5.82K
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2025-04-06
[Event] If You Could Time-Travel, What Assets Would You All In?
Imagine this: If you could go back, relying only on your memories to invest, how would you choose?Investing, at its core, is about catching the right trends. Nail a few key moments, and your life could change forever.📌 For example:2005: Buy a property in Beijing’s Third Ring before the 2008 Olympics—instant wealth.2009: Spend a few thousand dollars on $CME Bitcoin - main 2504(BTCmain)$, buying tens of thousands of coins. Even if you forgot your private key later, your story would be movie-worthy.2020: Go all in during the historic oil price $WTI Crude Oil - main 2505(CLmain)$ crash when futures went negative. Profit multiplied dozens of times overnight.2023: Bet on
TOPAqa: [Happy] Time-Travel is my most frequent wish whenever I day dream. I wish to go back anytime since 2010 when the price of Bitcoin started to move higher than its long -time price of $0.09. I would put all in and be very rich because it is now $112,461.16! But what if I had invested in Bitcoin with FTX? Then I would actually be poorer now[Surprised] Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal @GoodLife99 Si glad to see you back in action![Strong]
31.57K
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2025-04-05
4 Stocks to Buy during Trump's presidency !
Since the first days of the Trump administration, Elon Musk’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been everywhere in the federal government, moving fast and breaking things. In a matter of weeks, DOGE operatives have spread across dozens of government agencies as they have attempted to terminate tens of thousands of federal employees. With so much focus on where DOGE is going, WIRED wanted to take a beat to look at where they’ve come from and hopefully, that might reveal how they’re thinking about reshaping the federal government. Big takeaway: Many on the DOGE team are from Musk’s world. If Musk is America’s CEO, then DOGE has become his Silicon Valley executive branch. Scary isn’t it ! List of DOGE members Above is mapped out, non-exhaustive list of people affiliate
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
5.08K
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2025-04-05
Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25
Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p
TOPJust stack your MONEY by investing for the long-term and everything else will began fall into place!
4.95K
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2025-04-05
Concerns and Hope from last week ending 04 Apr 2025
Concerns and Hope from last week ending 4th Apr 2025 Economic Calendar 31Mar-04Apr25 Manufacturing Sector Weakness: The U.S. manufacturing sector showed signs of contraction, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI (49.0) falling below 50 and the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (50.2) dropping significantly from the previous month (52.7). The Chicago PMI (47.6) also remained in contraction territory. This suggests a broader slowdown in industrial activity, which could be a drag on economic growth. Rising manufacturing prices (ISM Manufacturing Prices at 69.4) indicate increasing cost pressures, which could squeeze profit margins if demand weakens further. Crude Oil Inventories Surge: The unexpected increase in crude oil inventories (6.165M vs. a forecast of -0.200M) suggests a potential oversuppl
TOPWhats guidance gonna look like this earnings season for mag7? Im betting not good!
4.45K
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2025-04-05
Paws, Profits, and Payouts: Why I’m Backing Zoetis for the Long Haul
It’s not just a pet play – it’s a decade-long dividend dynamo in disguise If you thought the animal health industry was all wagging tails and flea collars, think again. Zoetis, the world’s largest animal pharmaceutical company, has been quietly upgrading its pedigree. While most investors chase shiny AI tickers, $Zoetis(ZTS)$ has been weaving cutting-edge tech into its surprisingly resilient business model – and still manages to toss out reliable dividends like treats from a pocket. As of now, the stock trades around $151.73, which sits closer to its 52-week low than its $200+ high. So, is this just a rough patch, or the ideal time to build a position in a high-quality dividend compounder? Let’s dig into the numbers (without needing a chew toy). In
TOPThis company will eventually take a large hit due to the medication issues of Librela.
7.12K
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2025-04-05
NVIDIA and AMD Face Tariff Pressures: Will a Price War or Steady Pricing Impact Their Game Plans?
As of Friday, April 5, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) closed at $94.31, down 7.36%, while AMD ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) closed at $85.76, shedding 8.57%. These declines come amid swirling rumours about new GPU releases—NVIDIA’s RTX 5060 Ti and AMD’s Radeon RX 9060 XT—and growing concerns over tariff policies inflating supply chain costs. With both companies potentially opting to maintain current pricing or engage in a price war, their gaming divisions’ revenue, profit margins, EPS, and stock prices hang in the balance. Here’s a closer look at how these dynamics might unfold. Nvidia AMD New Product Rumors Set the Stage Reports suggest NVIDIA is gearing up to launch the RTX 5060 Ti on April 16, 2025
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2025-04-05
Markets Test Everyone
One of the hardest parts about sharing publicly is knowing others are struggling in silence.I’ve seen weeks like this before—I’ll be fine.But I think about those who are overleveraged, or going through this for the first time.It’s why I talk so much about risk, sizing, and probabilities.Not because it’s sexy.Because it’s survival.Markets are hard.But if you stick to your rules, stay calm, and stay in the game—this won’t break you.It’ll just be a chapter in your story.Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouche
3.47K
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2025-04-05
SPXS, SQQQ, TZA & LABD – Time to Tread Lightly
If you’ve been riding the short side with me, here’s a word of advice: don’t overstay into this capitulation. Risk-reward in the short term is starting to lean bullish into next week, imho. All inverse are now at historical high ATR% multiple from 50-MA, also coinciding with a parabolic +300% ATR move in $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ at open right now.Try my profit taking strategy below via scaling out 30% of net size into strength into every new ATR multiple high of your position beginning today, and prepare your warchest for a potential quick 'pain trade' against the shorts, potentially next week before CPI Thursday. $Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares(SPXS)$
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2025-04-05
SPX Selloff: Faster, Deeper Than Anyone Expected
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Nobody, not even the most pessimistic anticipated the velocity of this selloff. Price is oversold at any technical you can name, but the candle shows substantial bearish conviction and continuation for Monday. Last similarity: The Covid crash. Most of the 2024 gains have been erased.Bear markets teach much more to investors than bull markets, get access to the bear market target published for SPX before the crash started $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
1.37K
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2025-04-05
EWJ chart presents three essential indicators
The $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ aims to mirror the MSCI Japan Index, and as you can see, the price is currently consolidating within a base, highlighted by the rectangle, much like it did during 2021.The chart also presents three essential indicators:Moving Averages: The short-term moving averages (5 and 10 months) are trending downwards, signaling a loss of bullish momentum; in fact, the 5-month average has already crossed below the 10-month. For educational content about moving averages, click here.Reversal Candlesticks: Bearish reversal candlesticks, indicated by the black arrows, have served as early warning signs in the past, such as at the start of 2021 and in the second half of 2024. However, they have also marked tops, as shown by the hig
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2025-04-05
Bear markets bring opportunities
It's wild to see this decline unfold so quickly. Looking back, I shared warnings across several publications beforehand, backed by Elliot Wave, Fibonacci studies, long-term charts, moving averages, crossovers, and macro data – the pullback felt imminent from many angles since I like to provide objective data and analysis. What's surprising is just how fast it's happening.Today, I want to chat about the human side of investing. Our emotions can really cloud our judgment of those technical signals. For those newer to the market (maybe joining in '23 or '24), outside opinions can be really influential, making it tough to focus on the charts. For more seasoned folks, the hope around the new U.S. administration might have made this "self-inflicted" crash unexpected. And for everyone, the sheer
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2025-04-05
What are your weaknesses as an investor?
What are your weaknesses as an investor?Create constraints around them.I am terrible at timing the market when I buy and my biggest mistake is selling a great company early.Solution:1. Buy once per month2. Default to "never sell"Keep it simple.Sentiment is correlated with a stock's price.If you want to beat the market, buy great companies when the sentiment around them is bad. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission
1.08K
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2025-04-05
Daily Charts - Peaks: Easy In, Hard Out
1.Given that the US Stock market has just put in a "Valuation-Extreme Inflection Point" --this chart has now taken on a high level of significanceWorth noting: "Heading into market peaks the ride can be deceptively smooth and rewarding, but perversely when things turn the pace of decline is most rapid during the initial phase, and you might not be able to just gradually scale out." $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold's strength is becoming its weakness in this type of market environment...First: it got to expensive levels as this chart from our monthly pack shows.Second (and more importantly): in liquidation events like this, people tend to sell the thing that went up the most