To The Moon

Hmmmm, so the question posed is, is Ai a dead cat bounce. I have actually experienced a dead cat bounce. it was way back in the share market crash in 1987. By all means look that up. The initial crash was insane. Black Friday I think we called it. in one day if I recall correctly the market dropped 25%. It was a wee while ago, So the details are sketchy. but I was fine, until I wasn't. I'd sold my biggest stake in a couple of companies a few days prior to the crash. So about 50% of my portfolio was liquid. Come Monday stocks recovered and I pulled the trigger on the new stocks I wanted to buy. From memory I think the market recovered about 5% to 10%. On Tuesday, the market dropped about 50%. That my tiger friends Is a dead cat bounce! From there it just kept getting worse. And it did

The recent $1 trillion rebound in US equities, led by the S&P 500's impressive single-day gain, has certainly caught attention. However, as you've pointed out, the underlying confidence in the market remains fragile. The elevated implied volatility, below-average trading volume, and the significant jump in Goldman's short-bias basket suggest that the rally might be driven more by short covering than genuine investor conviction. The term "dead cat bounce" refers to a brief, false rally in a declining market, often driven by short covering or other technical factors rather than fundamental changes in the market's outlook. Given the current circumstances, it's possible that the recent rebound could be a dead cat bounce, especially if the underlying concerns about the US outlook and the im

We have seen another day of rebounce from the AI, so is this a dead-cat bounce or real turn? Can Cisco earnings change the way narratives played out? $Cisco(CSCO)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, before the market opens. After years of being viewed as a "legacy" networking giant, Cisco has rebranded itself as a pivotal AI infrastructure play. Investors are increasingly bullish, with the stock recently trading near $85 and some analysts, like Evercore ISI, pushing price targets as high as $175. The Numbers to Beat (Consensus Estimates) Revenue: ~$15.11 billion (up ~8.1% year-over-year). Non-GAAP EPS: ~$1.02 (up ~8.5% year-over-year). Guidance (Q2 Range): Revenue of $15.0B – $15.2B; EPS of $1.01 –

Dow Breaks 50k While Tech Bleeds: Will the NFP & CPI Validate the Bull's New Leaders? The past week in the equity markets was one of the most tumultuous in recent memory—a paradox of historic milestones and systemic frailty. On Friday, the $DJIA(.DJI)$   crossed the 50,000 threshold for the first time, a landmark celebrated by the Trump administration on social media as a testament to economic strength. Yet, this "achievement" arrived amidst a persistent and broad-based sell-off across multiple asset classes. Despite a sharp Friday rebound where the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   and $

The breakout is undeniably powerful, but whether it fuels an immediate follow-through gap higher depends on who is doing the buying next. What we are seeing now looks like a classic late-cycle momentum chase. A large portion of the move is driven by sidelined capital capitulating, CTAs and trend followers flipping long, and systematic exposure rebuilding after the recent drawdown. That dynamic can still push indices higher in the near term, especially when positioning rather than fundamentals is the marginal driver. That said, history suggests that breakouts to psychological milestones often invite short-term consolidation rather than a straight vertical continuation. With a substantial portion of annual returns already front-loaded, upside from here is likely to be more selective and narr

$JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI)$   When the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time in history, it wasn’t just another headline. It was a psychological milestone — the kind that forces sidelined capital back into the market and makes bears rethink their conviction. On Friday alone, markets surged hard: • Dow Jones: +2.47% to 50,115 • S&P 500: +1.97% to 6,932 • Nasdaq: +2.18% to 23,031 This wasn’t a slow grind higher. This was broad-based, aggressiv

$JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI)$   Jepi sell call on dow etf 

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My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Yes, recent reports from sources like The Guardian and KWCH confirm the Washington Post is laying off about one-third of its staff across departments as of February 4, 2026. It has been owned by Jeff Bezos since 2013 - Grok Amazon cuts nearly 2,200 Washington jobs - MacroEdge Spoke to an exec at a Fortune 500 company that is undergoing significant layoffs, but hasn’t yet announced to that effect. It’s getting very rough out there for workers. - X user Andrew Yang Canada’s economy lost 24,800 jobs in January. - X user Watcher Guru JUST IN: In a bombshell announcement, UN Secretary-General António Guterres has issued a dire warning: “the United Nations is on the brink of total collapse” if the United States, which contributes approximatel

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 09Feb2026) Retail Sales Retail sales data for December is scheduled for release, with the forecast indicating moderate growth at 0.4%. This suggests steady consumer spending as the year closes. Labour Market Indicators Average hourly earnings are expected to show a 0.3% increase, reflecting wage growth. The non-farm payrolls for January are forecasted at 70,000, highlighting a moderate pace of job creation. The unemployment rate for January is expected to remain unchanged from the previous month at 4.4%, signalling some stability in the labour market. Energy and Bond Markets Crude oil inventories previously saw a significant drawdown of over 3.4 million barrels. On the fixed income side, both the 10-year note and the 30-year bon

$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ U.S. stocks exploded to dazzling new heights, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average blasting above 50,000 for the first time ever in a session that left traders buzzing. On that electrifying Friday, the Dow soared 2.47% to close at 50,115, the S&P 500 charged 1.97% to 6,932, and the Nasdaq powered 2.18% higher to 23,031. This surge caps a year of relentless momentum, flipping April's brutal sell-off into record-shattering rebounds as QT liquidity floods and soft inflation data unlocked Fed easing vibes. But as sidelined cash piles in and trend chasers flip bullish, the big debate rages: Does this historic breakout unleash another gap higher this week, or is it time for consolidation after a year's gains crammed into just 15 e

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 09Feb2026) Retail Sales Retail sales data for December is scheduled for release, with the forecast indicating moderate growth at 0.4%. This suggests steady consumer spending as the year closes. Labour Market Indicators Average hourly earnings are expected to show a 0.3% increase, reflecting wage growth. The non-farm payrolls for January are forecasted at 70,000, highlighting a moderate pace of job creation. The unemployment rate for January is expected to remain unchanged from the previous month at 4.4%, signalling some stability in the labour market. Energy and Bond Markets Crude oil inventories previously saw a significant drawdown of over 3.4 million barrels. On the fixed income side, both the 10-year note and the 30-year bon

The Dow cracking 50,000 is a big flex, and the market's vibes are definitely bullish right now. When the Dow jumps 2.47% to 50,115 and the S&P & Nasdaq follow suit, it shows strong momentum behind the breakout. Historically, a milestone like this can fuel another gap higher if the fundamentals and investor sentiment stay solid. Traders who bought the dip in the recent selloff are positioning themselves for the next push, hoping the rally keeps rolling instead of stalling into a consolidation phase. The real question is whether this surge is backed by earnings or just hype. If the economic data and corporate results stay strong, we could see US stocks gap higher this week. But if the market's just riding a short‑term hype wave, expect some pullback after the initial rush.

it will edge higher as the US devalues. As simple as that. 

Didn't buy during the selloff but bought before the drop. [Facepalm]  

This looks less like a clean regime shift and more like a classic relief rally layered on fragile foundations. Equities: The breadth and magnitude of the rebound point to forced positioning rather than fresh conviction. CTA de-risking, short covering and options gamma effects likely amplified the move, especially in Big Tech. That explains the speed. It does not yet explain durability. A true risk-on reversal typically follows stabilising macro signals, not precedes them. Precious metals: Gold and silver rallying alongside equities is telling. In a healthy risk-on phase, gold usually lags. Here, gold strength suggests continued demand for protection against policy uncertainty and liquidity stress. Silver’s outsized move looks more like a volatility snapback after capitulation, not a clean

jus a short rally, no need to panic sell

Finally......it has been down the past few days 

Panic selling ends with a broad rebound is a good start. Expect volatility but FOMO may keep price from falling and perhaps rally cautiously.

We have seen another day of rebounce from the AI, so is this a dead-cat bounce or real turn? Can Cisco earnings change the way narratives played out? $Cisco(CSCO)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, before the market opens. After years of being viewed as a "legacy" networking giant, Cisco has rebranded itself as a pivotal AI infrastructure play. Investors are increasingly bullish, with the stock recently trading near $85 and some analysts, like Evercore ISI, pushing price targets as high as $175. The Numbers to Beat (Consensus Estimates) Revenue: ~$15.11 billion (up ~8.1% year-over-year). Non-GAAP EPS: ~$1.02 (up ~8.5% year-over-year). Guidance (Q2 Range): Revenue of $15.0B – $15.2B; EPS of $1.01 –

Hmmmm, so the question posed is, is Ai a dead cat bounce. I have actually experienced a dead cat bounce. it was way back in the share market crash in 1987. By all means look that up. The initial crash was insane. Black Friday I think we called it. in one day if I recall correctly the market dropped 25%. It was a wee while ago, So the details are sketchy. but I was fine, until I wasn't. I'd sold my biggest stake in a couple of companies a few days prior to the crash. So about 50% of my portfolio was liquid. Come Monday stocks recovered and I pulled the trigger on the new stocks I wanted to buy. From memory I think the market recovered about 5% to 10%. On Tuesday, the market dropped about 50%. That my tiger friends Is a dead cat bounce! From there it just kept getting worse. And it did

The recent $1 trillion rebound in US equities, led by the S&P 500's impressive single-day gain, has certainly caught attention. However, as you've pointed out, the underlying confidence in the market remains fragile. The elevated implied volatility, below-average trading volume, and the significant jump in Goldman's short-bias basket suggest that the rally might be driven more by short covering than genuine investor conviction. The term "dead cat bounce" refers to a brief, false rally in a declining market, often driven by short covering or other technical factors rather than fundamental changes in the market's outlook. Given the current circumstances, it's possible that the recent rebound could be a dead cat bounce, especially if the underlying concerns about the US outlook and the im

Dow Breaks 50k While Tech Bleeds: Will the NFP & CPI Validate the Bull's New Leaders? The past week in the equity markets was one of the most tumultuous in recent memory—a paradox of historic milestones and systemic frailty. On Friday, the $DJIA(.DJI)$   crossed the 50,000 threshold for the first time, a landmark celebrated by the Trump administration on social media as a testament to economic strength. Yet, this "achievement" arrived amidst a persistent and broad-based sell-off across multiple asset classes. Despite a sharp Friday rebound where the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   and $

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 09Feb2026) Retail Sales Retail sales data for December is scheduled for release, with the forecast indicating moderate growth at 0.4%. This suggests steady consumer spending as the year closes. Labour Market Indicators Average hourly earnings are expected to show a 0.3% increase, reflecting wage growth. The non-farm payrolls for January are forecasted at 70,000, highlighting a moderate pace of job creation. The unemployment rate for January is expected to remain unchanged from the previous month at 4.4%, signalling some stability in the labour market. Energy and Bond Markets Crude oil inventories previously saw a significant drawdown of over 3.4 million barrels. On the fixed income side, both the 10-year note and the 30-year bon

$JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI)$   When the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time in history, it wasn’t just another headline. It was a psychological milestone — the kind that forces sidelined capital back into the market and makes bears rethink their conviction. On Friday alone, markets surged hard: • Dow Jones: +2.47% to 50,115 • S&P 500: +1.97% to 6,932 • Nasdaq: +2.18% to 23,031 This wasn’t a slow grind higher. This was broad-based, aggressiv

🌟🌟🌟The market didn't just rebound on Friday, it snapped back like a rubber band that had been stretched too far.  One minute we were watching fear ripple through every asset class, the next minute everything decided to rally together like they had rehearsed it. Stocks climbed, Big Tech charged ahead and risk appetite returned from its short vacation. Meanwhile Spot Gold jumped 3%, Silver surged 7% and Bitcoin snapped back above USD 70,000. It is the kind of synchronised rebound that makes everyone wonder : Is this a genuine risk reversal or just a violent relief bounce before the next plot twist? No one knows for sure - not the strategists, not the quants  but the signals are interesting : Precious metals ripping suggests that liquidity is still flowing.  Crypto's sharp reco

The breakout is undeniably powerful, but whether it fuels an immediate follow-through gap higher depends on who is doing the buying next. What we are seeing now looks like a classic late-cycle momentum chase. A large portion of the move is driven by sidelined capital capitulating, CTAs and trend followers flipping long, and systematic exposure rebuilding after the recent drawdown. That dynamic can still push indices higher in the near term, especially when positioning rather than fundamentals is the marginal driver. That said, history suggests that breakouts to psychological milestones often invite short-term consolidation rather than a straight vertical continuation. With a substantial portion of annual returns already front-loaded, upside from here is likely to be more selective and narr

$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ U.S. stocks exploded to dazzling new heights, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average blasting above 50,000 for the first time ever in a session that left traders buzzing. On that electrifying Friday, the Dow soared 2.47% to close at 50,115, the S&P 500 charged 1.97% to 6,932, and the Nasdaq powered 2.18% higher to 23,031. This surge caps a year of relentless momentum, flipping April's brutal sell-off into record-shattering rebounds as QT liquidity floods and soft inflation data unlocked Fed easing vibes. But as sidelined cash piles in and trend chasers flip bullish, the big debate rages: Does this historic breakout unleash another gap higher this week, or is it time for consolidation after a year's gains crammed into just 15 e

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Yes, recent reports from sources like The Guardian and KWCH confirm the Washington Post is laying off about one-third of its staff across departments as of February 4, 2026. It has been owned by Jeff Bezos since 2013 - Grok Amazon cuts nearly 2,200 Washington jobs - MacroEdge Spoke to an exec at a Fortune 500 company that is undergoing significant layoffs, but hasn’t yet announced to that effect. It’s getting very rough out there for workers. - X user Andrew Yang Canada’s economy lost 24,800 jobs in January. - X user Watcher Guru JUST IN: In a bombshell announcement, UN Secretary-General António Guterres has issued a dire warning: “the United Nations is on the brink of total collapse” if the United States, which contributes approximatel

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 09Feb2026) Retail Sales Retail sales data for December is scheduled for release, with the forecast indicating moderate growth at 0.4%. This suggests steady consumer spending as the year closes. Labour Market Indicators Average hourly earnings are expected to show a 0.3% increase, reflecting wage growth. The non-farm payrolls for January are forecasted at 70,000, highlighting a moderate pace of job creation. The unemployment rate for January is expected to remain unchanged from the previous month at 4.4%, signalling some stability in the labour market. Energy and Bond Markets Crude oil inventories previously saw a significant drawdown of over 3.4 million barrels. On the fixed income side, both the 10-year note and the 30-year bon

Good evening, everyone.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $1-Ounce Gold - main 2604(1OZmain)$ I’ve compiled the key points from the February 5 session into a ready-to-read transcript, so those who missed the live broadcast can easily catch up and review. $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ $Silver - Mar 2026(SI2603)$ $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2

I think we might want to go to the fundamentals, we saw market panic selling on software stocks, but are we seeing individuals and companies around the world stop using these softwares? It definitely feels like the sky is falling when you see red across the board for eight straight sessions, but the answer whether the world is stopping to use these softwares is No, the world is not stopping the use of software. In fact, Gartner actually projects that software spending will grow by 14.7% in 2026, reaching over $1.4 trillion. What you are seeing is not a "death of software" but a violent "re-pricing" of it. Here is the breakdown of why this is happening and what might finally stop the bleeding. Why the Panic Selling? (The "Disruption" Fear) The current panic was largely triggered in early Fe

This looks less like a clean regime shift and more like a classic relief rally layered on fragile foundations. Equities: The breadth and magnitude of the rebound point to forced positioning rather than fresh conviction. CTA de-risking, short covering and options gamma effects likely amplified the move, especially in Big Tech. That explains the speed. It does not yet explain durability. A true risk-on reversal typically follows stabilising macro signals, not precedes them. Precious metals: Gold and silver rallying alongside equities is telling. In a healthy risk-on phase, gold usually lags. Here, gold strength suggests continued demand for protection against policy uncertainty and liquidity stress. Silver’s outsized move looks more like a volatility snapback after capitulation, not a clean

🌟🌟🌟There are market shocks you forget in a week and then there are the ones that remain in your memory.  April 2025 was one of those.  When the tariff announcement blindsided global markets, we watched nearly USD 1 Trillion evaporate in a single session.  Tech collapsed.  Semiconductors cratered.  Investors ran for exits like the floor was on fire. Fast forward to today and the deja vu is unmistakable.  6 straight sessions of software selling.  USD 830 billion erased since January 28.  A sector down from its October highs.  Anthropic unveils new automation tools for legal work flows and suddenly the entire software universe trades like its margins just got rewritten. A Goldman tracked software index plunges 6%.  The Nasdaq 100 sheds US

On Thursday (February 5) local time, U.S. stocks suffered a significant sell-off, with the three major indexes falling across the board, and market sentiment turned to obvious risk aversion. Investors are worried about tech stock valuations, high capital expenditure expectations and macroeconomic data, and risky assets are generally under pressure. The stock market fell significantly that day: the S&P 500 index closed down about 1.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 600 points (about 1.2%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell nearly 1.6%. This was the third consecutive session of declines, and the S&P even erased its year-to-date gains. Data from other markets also show that the Russell 2000 small-cap stock index also recorded a decline of about 1.8%. Technology and gr

🔥 #Market Crash! $830B Wiped Out — Panic or Opportunity? 🔥 The software selloff just turned brutal. The S&P 500 Software & Services Index has now fallen six straight sessions, wiping out ~$830B in market cap since Jan 28 and plunging 26% from its October peak. The trigger? A perfect storm of AI-driven disruption fears, stretched valuations, and fast-money exits. After Anthropic unveiled new automation tools targeting legal workflows, investors didn’t debate — they hit sell. A Goldman-tracked software index sank 6% in a single day, while the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.6%, erasing another $285B across software, fintech, and asset managers. So… 👉 Is this panic selling? 👉 Will software keep falling? 👉 Is this finally a buy-the-dip moment — or a value trap? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 💥 Why the Sell

The bears got absolutely steamrolled today. 😈 U.S. stocks came roaring back with a vengeance — all three major indices closed up more than 1%, while the Nasdaq surged nearly 2% as Big Tech flexed hard. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and the Magnificent Seven crew led the charge, reminding everyone who still runs this market. 📈💪 Risk appetite didn’t just return — it flooded every corner: 🥇 Spot gold blasted +3.2%, pushing fresh highs 🥈 Silver went full rocket mode with +7.4% 🪙 Bitcoin reclaimed $68,000 after dipping under $61,000 earlier this week — a 12%+ swing in days Altcoins and meme tokens joined the party, Solana +9%, Ethereum +8% Commodities, equities, crypto — everything risk-related caught massive bids at the same time. That kind of synchronized move usually screams liquidity is back

The Dow cracking 50,000 is a big flex, and the market's vibes are definitely bullish right now. When the Dow jumps 2.47% to 50,115 and the S&P & Nasdaq follow suit, it shows strong momentum behind the breakout. Historically, a milestone like this can fuel another gap higher if the fundamentals and investor sentiment stay solid. Traders who bought the dip in the recent selloff are positioning themselves for the next push, hoping the rally keeps rolling instead of stalling into a consolidation phase. The real question is whether this surge is backed by earnings or just hype. If the economic data and corporate results stay strong, we could see US stocks gap higher this week. But if the market's just riding a short‑term hype wave, expect some pullback after the initial rush.

$JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI)$   Jepi sell call on dow etf