Markets are pushing into fresh highs, led primarily by large-cap tech, as momentum remains strong but increasingly stretched. While breakouts across SPX, QQQ, AAPL, and TSLA signal continued bullish control, early signs of overheating are emerging with META and broader indices approaching key technical thresholds. With participation still relatively narrow and volatility compressed, the current setup suggests the uptrend remains intact—but a near-term consolidation or pause is becoming more likely as the market digests recent gains. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fresh all time highs and the price has just entered early greed territory. The RSI is not yet overbought, and the upper B. band suggests continuation. The bull train could offer soon a consolidat
V-Shaped Surge Aligns with my Forecasted 2026 SPX Target
Back in November 2025, I posted a special study on the likely 2026 targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The thesis indicated targets above the current all-time highs of 7,023 reached today for the SPX. During the recent months of volatility, I also posted special studies indicating that pullbacks and corrections are normal during bull markets before the major tops are reached; that is exactly what we are seeing right now. The link to that November study about target is here: Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX Price Targets I share high-probability trades and technical analysis on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays including special levels for paid subscribers, and I also post on Wednesd
AI Catalyst Ignites Tesla: Breakout Meets Key 50-MA Test
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ — Descending Channel Breakout as AI5 Chip Reveal Puts Stock in Focus +7.8% move out of descending channel range on strong volume run rate (+86% now at 11.54AM ET), but the current first test of the declining 50-MA may face rejection for further consolidation as range has already exceeded +180% of its ATR. TSLA is set to report earnings in a week (April 22 afterhours), which could act as another catalyst, especially if the call provides further clarity on the AI5 production timeline into 2027. " $TSLA shares are in focus on Wednesday after Chief Executive Elon Musk said the company's AI chip design team had finished work on its AI5 autonomous-driving chip, a step that moves Tesla closer to production, according to a Wednesday p
Why Amazon Stock Surged Nearly 20% in Two Weeks — The Anthropic Effect, AWS AI, and What Comes Next
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 's near-20% surge from late March to April 13 was driven by a confluence of AI-specific catalysts — Anthropic's Mythos model, AWS's $15B annualized AI revenue milestone, and Andy Jassy's most bullish shareholder letter yet — all converging at a moment when the broader market was recovering sharply from its Iran war-driven lows. The rally was real, not speculative, and the structural case for further upside remains intact. The Four Catalysts Behind AMZN's Run 01.Anthropic's Mythos Model Changed the AI Infrastructure Narrative When Anthropic previewed its Mythos model — an AI system capable of discovering previously unknown cybersecurity vulnerabilities — Wall Street had an immediate reaction: who built the compute behind it? Eve
$VIX$ A large VIX call order hit Tuesday: the 28 strike $VIX 20260519 28.0 CALL$ — 119.6k contracts, $11.48M in premium. A bet of this size implies a sharp, gap-filling move lower in the broader market. In theory, regional conflicts are winding down. The only thing Trump might be missing this time around — compared to 2025 — is that he never got to shout "buy" before the market did it on its own. But triggering a selloff just so he can make a speech? That sounds ridiculous. I'd rather believe someone else has an unknown reason to hedge with volatility. Another less clear VIX call: the 24 strike $VIX 20260722 24.0 CALL$ . The print landed right in the bid-
Nasdaq 10-Day Winning Streak; SPX New High Coming? Take Profits or Chase High?
On Tuesday, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose another 1.18%, and the Nasdaq surged 1.95%. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ has now logged 10 consecutive gains, marking its longest winning streak since November 2021!A Historic Rally — Is This Time Really Different?As of Tuesday’s close, the S&P 500 stood at 6,967.38, less than 0.2% away from its record closing high of 6,978 on January 27. The Nasdaq has risen for 10 straight sessions, matching its longest streak since November 2021.Looking only at the index may underestimate the quality of this rally — what matters more is the breadth of the advance:NYSE advancers vs decliners reached 2.62:1, with 363 stocks hitting 52-week highsBoth tech and financial sectors rose over 1.7% o
[Winning Trade] Betting on Memory? These Tigers Made Over $16K on MU
Lately, one of the hottest trades in the market hasn’t just been GPUs or AI chips — it’s memory. A lot of investors first looked at this move and thought it was just another AI sympathy trade. But the story is actually bigger than that. As AI evolves from simple chatbots into always-on agents that can remember context, call tools, read files, and keep working in the background, the market is starting to realize something important: AI doesn’t just need compute. It also needs storage. And a lot of it. Some Tigers were already in position: 👏 @pigskin — $Micron Technology(MU)$ +16,112 👏 @Leonerd — $Micron Te
📈 AMZN Breaks Out +3.8% : Satellite Acquisition + AI Engine Driving Toward All-Time Highs
As of April 14 close, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ surged +3.81% to $249.02 on heavy volume of 72.68M shares (1.49x average), bringing it within 3.7% of the 52-week high at $258.60. The breakout is fueled by dual catalysts: the $11.6B Globalstar acquisition closing the satellite gap with Starlink, and AWS AI revenue surpassing a $15B annual run rate. 🚀 1. The Satellite Play: Amazon Declares War on Musk Deal Summary Target: Globalstar (U.S. mobile satellite operator with 24 satellites in orbit) Value: ~$11.57B (mix of $90/share cash or 0.321 AMZN shares) Strategic Value: Rare spectrum licenses and Direct-to-Device (D2D) tech; AMZN targets 2028 for satellite-to-smartphone service launch Competitive Landscape Metric Amazon Leo (+Globalstar) SpaceX Starlink Sat
TSMC (TSM) Earnings Cap Make It A Candidate For Bull Puts Spread Post Earnings
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2026 earnings on Thursday, April 16, 2026, before the market opens. The company has already pre-announced Q1 revenue of NT$1.134 trillion (approx. $35.7 billion), which exceeded its own guidance and represents a 35% year-over-year increase. This sets a high bar for the full report and the conference call. Key Metrics to Watch While the top-line revenue is known, investors will focus on these high-stakes figures: TSMC's Q4 2025 results, reported in January 2026, cemented the company’s position as the primary "picks and shovels" winner of the AI era. While the numbers were strong, the forward-looking guidance for 2026 provided the most significant strategic insights for investors
YZJ Maritime & Telechoice: 2 SGX Stocks Institutions Are Buying
While US markets extended gains on potential Iran talks, smart money in Singapore rotated aggressively last week.Net institutional inflows hit S$33 million (vs. -S$121 million the prior week), according to SGX data.Where did they go?Not the usual REITs. Industrials saw the biggest net buys (+S$49.8m), followed by Energy (+S$3.3m), while Technology was dumped (-S$27.9m).Two names stand out — one a shipping asset owner with a 20% cost advantage, the other a telco/ICT turnaround tripling its dividend.Let's decode.1. YZJ Maritime (BS6 SG): The "Asset Play" No One Is Talking About 🚢Institutional angle: Yangzijiang Maritime is often seen as a builder. But their maritime leasing arm (YZJ Maritime) just quietly secured US$89.8m in vessel leases — 12 tankers + 1 AHTS vessel, tenure 1–8 years.Why in
Two SGX Stocks Smart Money Is Watching: KIT & Skylink Holdings
1. Macro View: BCA Research on Tariffs, China, and What Comes Next 🧠US futures jumped more than 2% after Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. Singapore, however, stayed quiet — daily market value slipped to S$1.43 billion.But two names still stood out. One is an infrastructure trust offering nearly 8% yield while quietly moving into digital assets. The other is a commercial vehicle specialist capitalizing on Singapore's EV push.Before diving into the stocks, here's what BCA Research has to say about the broader macro picture.BCA sees the recent SCOTUS tariff ruling and Trump's follow-up 15% global tariff as only marginal relief for China. The effective tariff on Chinese goods drops from ~29% to roughly 24% — not enough to change existing rerouting strategies.Their core views:Chi
Lendlease REIT 4.28% Perp Reality | SGX Daily Pulse 15 Apr | 🦖EP1548 The market cheered Lendlease's 4.28% perp pricing as a refinancing win, but an ICR of 1.8x means the income floor is one bad quarter from cracking. With gearing at 38.4% against a 35% forensic ceiling, this is not de-risking — it is a debt wall dressed in a lower coupon. For anyone deploying S$100,000 from CPF or SRS into a yield play right now, the math is unforgiving. The 6-month T-Bill sits at 1.47%, the forensic floor is 3.2%, and the minimum equity hurdle is 4.7% — and LREIT's perp clears none of those bars on a risk-adjusted basis. Capital protection demands you ask what you are paid to accept, not just what the manager is willing to offer. 📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/sQ3PW4zG72A 📩 Substack: https://investingiguana.
📉 Down 5% vs. the Market: Why Berkshire Is Lagging & What Abel Must Prove on May 2
Current Situation: Trailing the S&P by Over 6 Percentage Points Year-to-date 2026, $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ have declined 5%, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has gained approximately 1.78%—a gap of over 6 percentage points. This is Greg Abel's first "report card" since officially taking the CEO reins—and the market seems to be voting with its feet, questioning whether the "Oracle of Omaha" can still deliver the magic. But as Buffett himself once said: "We will underperform in bull markets because we hold a lot of non-public subsidiaries and cash." This current headwind is precisely the crucible testing whether Berkshire's "institutional transformation" can maintain its luster. I. Four Structural Rea
$CRWV 20260424 100.0 CALL$ took the profits. too much exposure on the AI side for me. want to rotate into other sectors or keep some cash. buy again when TACO moments comes in.