$APP Cycle Likely Over $COIN Pullback $BTC $ETH Discount Zone
The current market signals caution across these high-profile digital and tech assets. While BTC and ETH show potential discount levels, the absence of strong demand and technical breakdowns suggest careful positioning. $APP may be topping, and $COIN remains dormant until confirmed demand materializes. 1. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ APP bulls won’t like this, but my system says the cycle is probably over. Monthly BX printed dark red for the first time in 2+ years. That usually means long chop or a real correction, not fresh upside. I’m not shorting it, but I am parking capital elsewhere. Hope I'm wrong 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is pulling back into the Smart Money Zone, but there’s still no real
The market has reached a critical inflection point. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ successfully tagged our weekly target of $6,970 and briefly touched $7,000, the technicals now signal exhaustion. We are witnessing a distinct rotation: capital is flowing out of overextended sectors like Technology ( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ) and Semiconductors ( $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ) and moving into the 'Real Economy', Consumer Staples, Financials, and defensive plays. With the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiking as anticipated and Bitcoin (BTC)signaling risk-aversion, the 'easy mode' of a broad rally is over. Success next week will d
Bearish Signals Align Across $SPX $NDX $SMH & $AAPL
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ bearish Stochastic crossovers have been consistent precursors to pullbacks of varying magnitudes, with very few instances of invalidation. The index has just confirmed a new bearish crossover, suggesting market turbulence in the week and potentially month ahead. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ : Last week we studied the relevance of shooting stars and overbought RSI as individual conditions that preceded pullbacks. The recent selloff validates the power of two bearish conditions combined. The move may continue toward $250.
If $S&P 500(.SPX)$ directly crosses below the 2/4 trendline (~6850), I'll be calling the top. That would confirm completion of the 10-month impulse from the April low, especially when paired with the persistent 3-month bearish divergence in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ . Together, those signals would favor a ~20% correction in 2026. SPX has entered top-watch territory. After hitting the 7000 target, price retraced 50%+ of W5 — raising the odds that W5 of Wave 5 is complete and a macro top is in. Confirmation: A break below the 2/4 trendline (~6850). If that cracks, 7002 becomes the ceiling and 6500 comes into play over the next few weeks — potentially kicking off the ~20% correction into 2026. Short-term Invalida
NFLX, TSLA, GOOG & OpenAI - Innovation and Disruption Timelines
In 1997, 20% of U.S. households had access to the internet. A dozen years later, owners of iconic newspapers like the Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer, and many more had filed for bankruptcy. Disruption came quickly for newspapers once publishing online became trivial. Contrast that to streaming, which has taken much longer to disrupt traditional TV and film media. $Netflix(NFLX)$ launched streaming in 2007, and 19 years later, one of the companies that should have been disrupted the most, $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ , is being acquired by Netflix itself for $83 billion. Disruption happens at different speeds in different industries, and there are good reasons why. Different indu
What a Year Already: Dow Slides as Trump Names Kevin Warsh as Next Fed Chair
January felt like much more than just one month on Wall Street, and Friday’s session did little to slow the pace. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 179 points, or 0.4%, closing out a volatile end to the month. While the Dow gained 1.7% in January, those gains were heavily front-loaded. The index has now declined for three consecutive weeks, marking its longest weekly losing streak since December 2024, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Still, zooming out paints a different picture: January marked the Dow’s ninth straight monthly gain, its longest winning streak since 2018. January Wrap: Stocks Finish Higher Despite Late Weakness Other major indexes also slipped Friday: The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.4% on the day but finished up 1.4% for the
SPY in the Red: $695 Resistance, $687–$684 Support in Focus
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is RED for and here's how I'd play it: New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is less supportive of deeper rate cuts meaning he is LESS dovish even Jerome Powell. Market doesn't like it. This moved gold prices down and USD up. Make sure to (click on chart to review it) SPY key levels right now are at $687 and at $684-$685 area and SPY daily chart 20SMA is at $689.99 so this is also a big level of support. The SPY will have to clear above yesterday's close at $695 if it wants to go higher today and rememeber premarket high is at $692.70. Yes, you will need to draw all these levels because at some point today they will act as support or resistance. I'd wait for confirmation always: 1. buyers to come in 2. sellers to fail befor
Volatility Returns: GLD & SLV Collapse, While META, MSFT, AMZN Beat a Flat Market
Friday’s session featured dramatic volatility in commodities and divergent reactions to corporate earnings. Precious metals suffered a sharp correction following their record run, with $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ plunging -10% and $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ collapsing -29%. This historic selloff hammered the materials sector ( $Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLB)$ ), which fell -1.5% to finish as the day’s worst performer sector following the -2.04% selloff in technology ( $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ ). Corporate earnings delivered mixed results. $Verizon(VZ)$ surged nearly
🚨 Trump's Bold Fed Shake-Up: Warsh In – Markets Wobble, But Is This the Ultimate Buy Signal? 📉🔥
President Trump just dropped a bombshell by nominating Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, set to replace Jerome Powell when his term wraps up in May. This 55-year-old conservative economist, who served as the youngest Fed Governor ever during the 2008 financial crisis, brings a hawkish vibe that's got Wall Street buzzing with mixed emotions. 🏦💼cnn.com Warsh isn't your typical central banker – he's slammed the Fed for dragging its feet on rate hikes back in 2022, accused them of losing credibility through over-the-top post-COVID stimulus, and warned that quantitative easing (QE) pumps up asset bubbles while widening inequality gaps. He pushes for a rules-based approach to policy, shrinking the Fed's massive balance sheet, and laser-focusing on price stability. 😎 But here's the t
Mag 7 Earnings Scoreboard: Was Microsoft Crash Overreaction?
Four of the Mag 7 have reported earnings this week, and the divergence is getting very real. Meta surged +10% against the tape. Microsoft wiped out $357B in market cap, the 2nd-largest single-session value drop in stock market history. Tesla and Apple were underwhelming. Little price reaction. Let’s break down the scoreboard for these four mega-cap tech giants. 🏆 The Winners $Apple(AAPL)$: “Ecosystem Dominance at Scale” Revenue $143.8B, EPS $2.84 — a clean beat across the board. Why it’s on the winners list: Ultra-high user loyalty powered iPhone revenue +23%. Even more impressive, Greater China revenue flipped sharply higher to +38% YoY, crushing market concerns. A record 48.2% gross margin proves Apple’s unmatched ability to leverage its supply
From Floor to Flight: Is Prime US REIT Ready for a Major Re-Rating?
Overview: Prime US REIT (SGX: OXMU) $Prime US ReitUSD(OXMU.SI)$ is a Singapore-listed real estate investment trust that provides investors with a "pure-play" exposure to high-quality Class A office real estate across key primary markets in the United States. Its portfolio currently features 13-14 freehold properties located in high-growth tech and business hubs such as Salt Lake City, Denver, Atlanta, and the San Francisco Bay Area. After a challenging period for the US office sector, Prime is currently positioned as a turnaround play. With a significant portion of its debt recently refinanced and a strategic shift to increase its distribution payout ratio (from 10% to 50%+), the REIT is attracting attention for its deep value—trading at a stee
Gold Undergoing Std Tech Correction, How We Can Position With ETFs.
The recent 5% dip in gold prices has certainly caught investors' attention, especially coming off the heels of the massive rally we saw in late 2025. However, rather than signaling a "loss of appeal," most market analysts view this as a standard technical correction following an overextended run. In this article, we would like to discuss an analysis of why gold is "taking a breather" and how you can strategically position your portfolio for 2026. Why is Gold Dropping? (The Analysis) The 5% decline isn’t a collapse; it’s a "profit-taking" event. In January 2026, gold reached record highs (surpassing $5,300/oz), and when prices rise that fast, big institutional players sell a portion of their holdings to lock in gains. If you observed the profit taking range and buy sell volume in the below
Peter Schiff's Dire Warning: Dollar Collapse & Gold Takeover – Crisis Worse Than 2008?
Peter Schiff's latest prediction is stark: the US dollar is on the brink of collapse, to be replaced by gold as the primary central bank reserve asset, leading to an economic crisis that will dwarf 2008. In his view, the "free ride" on global capital flows ends as deficits force painful adjustments through financial repression rather than growth. This aligns with his long-standing thesis: endless debt, currency debasement, and loss of reserve status. While Schiff has been early (and sometimes wrong) on timing, his warnings have merit given current pressures. Current Context (as of Dec 23, 2025) DXY hovers near 96.7, testing 15-year support after a sharp fall from overvalued peaks. Gold at $4,503 (50th record high this year), silver at $66 (all-time high). US debt ~$39T, with $4.2T maturing
1. Key News & Movements S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed lower as Big Tech's soaring AI budgets triggered a flight to safety, with investors concerned about escalating capex without clear ROI. Apple ( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) bucked the trend with 16% sales surge on "staggering" iPhone demand – China sales rebounded sharply. Microsoft ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ) slumped 10%, losing $357 billion in market cap – its worst single-day drop since 2020 – on AI spending worries. Musk's SpaceX in merger talks with xAI ahead of planned IPO, source says – potential valuation synergies. OpenAI plans fourth-quarter IPO in race to beat Anthropic to market – AI race intensifies. Sandisk ( $SanD
Crypto Bloodbath Alert: $770 Million Longs Liquidated in Just 30 Minutes – BTC's Breaking Point?
Crypto markets just witnessed a brutal liquidation cascade, with $770 million in long positions wiped out across major exchanges in under 30 minutes. Bitcoin plunged sharply from $86,000 to $82,681, triggering stop-losses and margin calls that amplified the drop. The TradingView chart captures the chaos: a steep red candle with high volume, breaking key support levels and flashing warning signs for leveraged traders. This wipeout stems from over-leveraged positions built during recent rebounds, combined with heightened volatility from Fed policy signals and tariff uncertainties. Longs were heavily concentrated at $85,000–$86,000 resistance, and once price cracked lower, cascading liquidations accelerated the fall. Binance and Bybit reported the bulk of the hits, with BTC perpetual futures
Meta's Explosive +10% Surge: Crushing AI Monetization or Just a Flash in the Pan? 🚀💥
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta Platforms just delivered a jaw-dropping +10% single-session rally, emerging as a standout performer while broader markets whipsawed and precious metals cooled off. This surge underscores Meta's impressive scale: FY2025 revenue soared to $200.97 billion, marking the first time crossing the $200 billion threshold with a robust +22% year-over-year increase. Q4 revenue accelerated +24% year-over-year, fueled by strong ad growth and AI-driven efficiencies. Despite heavy AI investments, Meta posted $60.5 billion in net income and maintained an enviable 41% operating margin — a testament to disciplined execution in a competitive landscape. 📈 When stacked against peers, Meta shines in consumer-facing AI monetization throu
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $Sprott Trust(PSLV)$ $XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$ SLV: The Silver ETF at the Center of Volatility, Inflation, and Opportunity The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is one of the most actively traded silver exchange-traded funds in the world. Designed to track the price of physical silver, SLV offers investors a liquid, accessible way to gain exposure to silver without handling bullion. Yet beneath its simple structure lies a complex intersection of macroeconomics, industrial demand, monetary policy, and market psychology. What Is
Gold and Silver Fluctuate Violently — How Do You Seize the Volatility and Make Money?
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The key question is not why gold and silver fluctuate violently—but how to position when they do. 1. Understand the Nature of the Volatility Gold and silver volatility usually comes from three sources: • Macro shocks: CPI, Fed policy shifts, rate expectations, dollar moves • Liquidity events: leverage unwinds, forced selling, margin pressure • Sentiment extremes: panic buying or panic selling Silver amplifies these forces more than gold. That’s why vehicles like SLV m
Super Earnings Week: AI-to-Cash-Flow Winners Emerge (IBM, LRCX, T, CAT)
In this super earning week, around 30–35% of S&P 500 companies report results. Many stocks moved meaningfully after their reports, and some reactions were notable even when the numbers looked solid.. The stocks that held up best were the cleanest “AI-to-cash-flow” stories — companies that showed how investment, scale, or infrastructure demand is translating into real earnings and free cash flow. We saw this strongest post-earnings moves in AI and enterprise software, semiconductor equipment, telecom infrastructure, and industrials. Across these sectors, investors focused more on margins, cash generation, and outlook clarity. Against this backdrop, $IBM(IBM)$ , $Lam Research(LRCX)$ ,
HRC Leaders | Can $RCL $NCLH $CCL $CUK $VIK $LIND keep the cruise rally alive?
The Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sector rose an average of ~4.09% at the January 29, 2026 ET market close, primarily driven by $Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ blockbuster Q4 2025 earnings beat, record Wave season bookings, and exceptionally strong 2026 guidance, sparking a broad sympathy rally across cruise operators. Stock futures fell Friday, a day after the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ posted a second consecutive losing session, but trimmed declines after President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair. The best-performing concepts is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines. Considering the different perceptions of the stock, this time TigerPicks chose <