To The Moon

$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Short: Over 35% PROFIT and counting.We alerted this short at $35.60. Price is now crashing through $22.50.This wasn't a guess. It was a precise execution based on market structure and a confirmed Daily iFVG trigger. The setup is playing out flawlessly.Next stop: With a bearish 5-wave decline already in placeand now a 3-wave corrective bounce, the structure favors another leg down targeting the 50-61.8% extensions of the impulse at18-16.The Daily iFvG triggers that also coincides right at the break of the corrective parallel channel.The 30 swing high is unlikely to be crossed now to decline to those targets. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimite

$TSLA 20251219 415.0 PUT$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   Support / Resistance 📈📉: Support: $474, $465, $449-$455 Resistance: $483, $488, ATH Outlook 📝: Major sell-off after hitting ATH yesterday. Back to $465 price level within intraday yesterday. Today, $465 support seems to held off well and we regained back $474 support level. If $474 can hold today, we may see some upside momentum towards $483. Else watch $474 for potential rejection again. Target 🎯: Entered this Cash Secured Put position when TSLA was trading around $414.5 price level. Planned to hold this till expiry since TSLA held $414.5 level so well and the rest was history. Fast forward to today, glad that this trad

$Genprex, Inc.(GNPX)$  The Genprex Inc. stock price fell by -4.53% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Dec 2025) from $2.43 to $2.32. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.52% from a day low at $2.30 to a day high of $2.45. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -18.02% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -168 thousand shares and in total, 83 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $191.50 thousand. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 30.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability h

I spent years following the "standard" advice: dump everything into an index fund, don’t look at it for 30 years, and enjoy your 7%. But looking at the market lately, I’ve started to feel like that "set it and forget it" mindset might be leaving a lot on the table—or worse, leaving us exposed to a market that’s way more volatile than it used to be. Here’s the shift I’m making in my own portfolio right now: Stopping the "Index Overdose" Don't get me wrong, I love a good ETF. But when the top 5-10 stocks are carrying the entire weight of the market, are we actually "diversified"? I’ve started carving out about 15% of my portfolio for high-conviction plays. For me, that’s meant looking at the AI "Underbelly"—not the big software names everyone talks about, but the boring stuff like specialize

Forget the Sell-Off: Micron Proves the AI Feast Is Just Beginning $Micron Technology(MU)$  , the US memory hegemon, the world's third largest DRAM maker, and fourth largest NAND manufacturer, released its FY2026 Q1 earnings after the bell. Although the market reaction to $Oracle(ORCL)$   and $Broadcom(AVGO)$   was poor last week, Micron handed in a report and guidance that far exceeded market expectations. Three Things to Watch Management Raises 2028 HBM Market Forecast, Hitting the $100 Billion Mark Two Years Early Since HBM is often bundled with A

From my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a d

From my perspective, the BoJ rate hike itself is no longer the real story — it's the expectation that matters. A 25 bps hike is widely priced in, and markets have spent weeks adjusting positioning around a "Japan normalization" narrative. When something becomes this consensus, the actual announcement often loses its shock value. That's why I see this meeting less as a trigger and more as a potential release valve for uncertainty. The "shoe dropping" argument makes sense on paper: higher Japanese rates can strengthen the yen, unwind carry trades, and tighten global liquidity, which in theory pressures US equities. But markets rarely react most violently to what everyone already expects. If the BoJ delivers a clean, predictable hike without signaling an aggressive follow-up path, that clarit

I see a BOJ tightening causing a temporary volatility spike rather than a sustained unwind. Much of the yen carry trade risk is already priced in, and unless we see abrupt yen strength or disorderly moves in global yields, this is more of an adjustment than a liquidity shock. Clarity from the BOJ should help stabilize markets. For a delayed Santa Rally, I’m not going fully defensive or all-cash. I prefer keeping dry powder while selectively buying dips in quality growth and AI names. In a later, narrower rally, stock selection matters more than broad exposure. BOJ-driven liquidity fears dominate near-term headlines, but earnings and Fed policy remain the real anchors. As long as corporate results hold and the Fed stays supportive, much of the BOJ pressure can be absorbed. Santa may arrive

Main Effects of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) Rate Hike on US MarketsThe Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise its policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75% at its December 18-19, 2025 meeting, marking the highest level in about 30 years. This continues its gradual normalization from ultra-low (and previously negative) rates. While Japan's rates remain low compared to the US (where the Federal Reserve's rate is around 4-5%), even small hikes can influence global markets through interconnected channels.1. Yen Carry Trade Unwinding (The Primary Channel)The most significant impact comes from the yen carry trade, a strategy where investors borrow in low-yielding yen and invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere, often US stocks, bonds, or tech-heavy equities.How it works — Low Japanese rates make borrowing

The BoJ decision matters less for the 25 bps move itself and more for what it symbolises. On a potential market reversal A “normal” BoJ hike would close the final chapter of ultra-easy global monetary policy. Psychologically, this is the shoe many markets have been waiting to see drop. The risk is not Japan per se, but the secondary effects. Higher Japanese yields can encourage capital repatriation, putting upward pressure on global yields and the USD funding complex. That tends to tighten financial conditions at the margin, which is unfriendly for richly valued US equities, especially momentum-driven AI and growth names. That said, a single BoJ hike is unlikely to be a standalone trigger for a full reversal unless it coincides with rising US yields, hawkish Fed repricing, or disappointing

$American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)$ Haven't commented on any single stock for a while now. AEO is looking "interesting". (Hat tip @RealSimpleAriel for spotting the idea)Remember:- Apparel is hot. They are one of the leading sectors at the moment. Maybe it's a Christmas thing. Retail reported generally very upbeat stats recently.- The entire group is in a strong UP TREND- AEO is one of the leaders in that groupHowever:- Some of them, eg AEO are super extended now. $ANF too, maybe $VSCO . AEO is almost 12x its ATR from its 50SMA, whilst 10X is already very extended (another great tip from @jfsrev ). - Extended does NOT mean it must correct. Markets and stocks can stay overbought for a very long time. However, the risk reward for a short is looking very

Relative Strength Emerging Across Pockets of the Market During the Four-Day Selloff4 straight days of sustained weakness, wiping out 13 days of index gains since the post-market breadth exercise I shared below, posted ahead of the first red day where I clearly flagged the need for caution. This is a simple exercise anyone could apply, as it’s ultimately a function of short-term breadth extension—levels where the market has historically shown a strong tendency to retrace once breadth becomes this stretched.The latest session was largely news-driven imho, with mega-cap tech in $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ and $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ pressured after reports that funding for

Over the past three weeks, the high probability trades have performed with a high level of accuracy. These setups always include a target price and an invalidation level which, in most cases, is the Central Weekly Level (CWL).The purpose of posting targets is to establish an objective metric based on price action. This gives you an edge in anticipating potential reversals, which is why targets are placed at these specific zones.Take this week, for example. The Weekly Compass anticipated a bullish move for $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ , targeting $505.4 for a 1.2% upside. Price reached that level as early as Monday afternoon but retraced quickly on Tuesday. This illustrates the importance of using levels: once a target is reached, it becomes new su

$ASML 20260102 1120.0 CALL$  ASML covered calls: took profit early (made ~$2K, missed ~$8K) Sharing a lesson from an ASML covered call. I sold 10 calls a bit too aggressively. If I’m honest, it was pure reckless greed because the premium looked great, so I sized up. Ate up margin like crazy cos it was majority naked call.  I bought them back for about $2K profit, but if I’d held longer, the premium kept decaying and it would’ve been closer to ~$8K. In hindsight, I exited “too early”. The real takeaway isn’t just timing, it’s position sizing. When you sell too many calls, your emotions start managing the trade for you! And as expiry gets closer, gamma risk ramps up: the option’s delta can change fast on small s

Both gold and silver are experiencing significant strength, but their drivers and potential paths for 2026 differ. Here is a breakdown of the key drivers, performance outlooks, and institutional forecasts for both metals over the next 12 months and beyond. 🏆 Key Drivers for Gold in 2026 The primary forces expected to influence gold prices in the coming year stem from macroeconomic conditions and sustained demand: · Geopolitics & Market Risk: Ongoing trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and rising "tail-risk" events continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. · Monetary Policy & the Dollar: Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and a potential weaker U.S. dollar would lower the opportunity cost of holding gold. · Central Bank Demand: This remains a structural pillar of suppo