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AfraSimon
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2025-09-29

Here is my $APP Investment Thesis

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ is up 38% in the past month as investors realise that while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ chips were the first in line for AI profits, APP's advertising business is next!Margins are out of this world, Global TAM is $1T+, and revenue growth is accelerating!Here is my APP Investment Thesis:🧵ImageWhat does APP do?Listen to the CEO explain it.It is simple: “Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted, the trouble is, I don’t know which half.” APP sells an answer to this old advertising dilemma.AppLovin is an AI-based advertising platform that's focused on mobile apps but is expanding to WEB and Streaming.1.AppDiscoveryAPP AXON AI engine uses sophisticated AI models trained on billions of anony
Here is my $APP Investment Thesis
TOPExiledKitty: it's time to short. the accounting numbers don't look right.
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Tiger_comments
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2025-09-29

Howard Marks’ View on Market Highs: Where Do We Stand in 2025?

In his recent memo to Oaktree’s clients, Howard Marks outlined his views on the current high levels of the market. He believes the market has not yet entered a phase of irrational exuberance, but still advises clients to adopt a Level 5 defense (reducing aggressive positions and increasing defensive holdings).Howard Marks is a renowned American investor and author, and the co-founder and Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital Management. His investment memos are widely circulated on Wall Street, and Warren Buffett has openly stated that he “always reads them first.” He is also the author of The Most Important Thing and Mastering the Market Cycle, among other works.How does Howard view market new highs and high valuations? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is the most c
Howard Marks’ View on Market Highs: Where Do We Stand in 2025?
TOPShyon: I think Howard Marks makes a fair point on valuations. The Magnificent 7 deserve premium multiples given their dominance, growth, and profitability, so their P/Es don’t look extreme to me. The bigger concern is the rest of the S&P 500, where the average P/E of 22 is well above historical norms and suggests the market overall is stretched. In my portfolio, I stay diversified with some exposure to quality growth leaders but avoid over-concentration in the mega-caps. I continue dollar-cost averaging in areas I see value, while trimming positions that feel overextended. This keeps me invested but disciplined. With the market at elevated levels, I agree it’s wise to adopt some defense. I’m balancing growth holdings with cash, short-term bonds, and dividend payers, which helps me stay exposed to long-term winners while reducing risk if valuations correct. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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TigerObserver
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2025-09-29

Weekly: Shutdown Risk Shadows Q3 Finale; Jobs Report in Focus

Last Week's RecapU.S. Market - Stalled at Record HighsIndexes: Stocks started the week at record highs, fueled by optimism over the Nvidia–OpenAI deal. But that early strength faded as the week wore on, leaving the S&P 500 down 0.31% and the Nasdaq off 0.65%, snapping a three-week winning streak.Inflation: August’s PCE inflation reading landed right on expectations (headline +2.7% y/y; core +2.9%), reinforcing the picture of inflation that’s sticky but not accelerating—enough to keep the Fed on its toes, but not enough to derail easing expectations.Powell Speech: Powell (Sept. 23) doubled down on a data-dependent approach. His remarks on economic challenges and stock valuations added to market volatility.Tariffs: President Trump announced new tariffs, including 100% duties on patented
Weekly: Shutdown Risk Shadows Q3 Finale; Jobs Report in Focus
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1.67K
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KYHBKO
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2025-09-29

<Part 2 of 5> Earnings Calendar - is it time for a Carnival (29Sep25)

Earnings Calendar (29Sep25) The earnings from Carnival, Jefferies and Nike are interesting. Let us research Carnival. The security currently holds a “neutral” recommendation based on technical analysis indicators. However, the prevailing analyst sentiment indicates a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $34.73. This target price suggests a potential upside of 13.41% from the current market price. Financial Performance Review (2015-2024) This analysis summarises the key financial metrics for the business over the ten years from 2015 to 2024, highlighting growth trends, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and current financial health. Revenue and Profitability Trends The company demonstrated significant revenue growth and a notable recovery in operating profit by 2024. Pandemic Impact (2020
<Part 2 of 5> Earnings Calendar - is it time for a Carnival (29Sep25)
TOPValerie Archibald: For long run, it is a buy but after ER on 9/29/25, it will tank a bit.
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JC888
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2025-09-29

Will US Market Crash Due To Govt Shutdown ?

Last week, a few US ‘important’ economic reports were released together with Fed’s most referenced, the Personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report . Over all, they provided glimpses of a slowing US economy but not necessary recession or stagflation yet. Last Week’s Reports. (1) US Flash S&P Services PMI. On 23 Sep 2025, preliminary S&P US Services PMI report (for September 2025) fell to 53.9 from August 2025’s 54.5; marking the softest expansion since June. Slowdown was driven by weaker domestic demand despite some rebound in export business, while firms continued to add to payrolls but faced challenges filling vacancies. Inflation pressures remained elevated, nearing a 27-month high, but businesses moderated price hikes due to weaker demand expectations, with sentiment improvin
Will US Market Crash Due To Govt Shutdown ?
TOP1PC: Great Insight & Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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Daily_Discussion
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2025-09-29

📅What’s moving the markets this week? Drop your trades👇

Happy Monday, Tigers! ☀️New week, new setups! 📈Whether you’re going long, short, or sitting tight—we want to see your moves.🧠 Show us your strategy and let the community weigh in.Here’s what you need to know. Market headlines that made waves today.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Earnings, Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, FuturesCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!🌍 Monday — Macro EconomyMajor U.S. stock indexes finished the week lower, driven in part by some hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials that se
📅What’s moving the markets this week? Drop your trades👇
TOPMrzorro: Crypto-linked names climbed as $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ reclaimed $112,000 and $Ethereum (ETH.CC)$ topped $4,100; $Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR.US)$ rose over 5%, $SharpLink Gaming (SBET.US)$ gained more than 3%, $Strategy (MSTR.US)$ advanced nearly 3%, while $Coinbase (COIN.US)$ and $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ added over 2% and $Circle (CRCL.US)$ was up more than 1%.
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Michael Esther
·
2025-09-29

97% SPY will crash in Oct and I'll add these 10 stocks to my portfolio

97% $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ will crash in Oct and I'll add these 10 stocks to my portfolio (again)SPY has spiked 40% from $481 to $667. It is due for a pull back. Big possibility it sells off 5%-10% in October then rallies up for year-end to target $675-$700.For SPY here's where I'd add calls for Jan 2026 $675 or January 2027 $750. 1. Under $655 once this level breaks the sell off is confirmed2. 50SMA is at $645 (big area of support)3. The best area to add $620-$630 area4. Gap open at $600 area (not likely but possible)ImageHere's the key levels of support for these 10 plays 🧵1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I'd like to add it under between $325-$365 as soon it breaks under $420 level. Its extremely volat
97% SPY will crash in Oct and I'll add these 10 stocks to my portfolio
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1.67K
General
Barcode
·
2025-09-26
$Sanofi SA(SNY)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ 💊🚀📉 $SNY Insulin Cap Catalyst Retesting $45, Targeting $48 💊🚀📉 I’m leaning bullish on $SNY after the major insulin news. Starting 1Jan26, all U.S. patients will pay no more than $35/month for insulin, regardless of insurance. Price sits at $45.63, retesting $45.00 support with downside guardrails at $44.30 and $43.50. Resistance is stacked at $46.20, $47.50, and $48.80. On 4H, Keltner/Bollinger compression shows momentum coiling; RSI is lifting from oversold and MACD flattens for a bullish cross. Autoimmune pipeline updates across Dupixent, Amtilimab, and others reinforce the growth story. With sentiment now
$Sanofi SA(SNY)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ 💊🚀📉 $SNY Insulin Cap Catalyst Retesting $45, Targeting $48 💊🚀📉 I’m leaning bullish on $SN...
TOPCool Cat Winston: 📊I’m with you on the $45 retest being the line to watch. The 4H chart really does show that coiling pattern and if $SNY pushes through $46.20 with conviction, $48 feels like a reasonable near-term level. Reminds me of the way $ABBV bounced off its floor earlier this year.
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Spiders
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2025-09-26

Less Than $100K in the Market? Here’s How I Invest Without Stress

When I tell people I invest in the stock market, they sometimes assume I’m chasing millions or trying to “beat the market.” The truth? My portfolio is under $100K, just like many retail investors out there. And I’m perfectly fine with that. For me, the stock market isn’t about becoming rich overnight. It’s not a casino, and it’s not a competition with Wall Street billionaires. Instead, it’s something I treat with curiosity, patience, and yes, even as a hobby. With less than $100K, I have to approach investing differently. Not with dreams of sudden wealth, but with realistic expectations, smart habits, and a calm mindset. This perspective shaped the way I see both money and risk and made the whole experience much more enjoyable. The Reality Check I don’t believe in strict “rules.” The marke
Less Than $100K in the Market? Here’s How I Invest Without Stress
TOPELI_59: Thanks for sharing. I can relate to your The Proft Game
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1.46K
General
Spiders
·
2025-09-27

The Quiet Power of Dividends: Why I Invest in TLT and TLH

One of the things I love most about investing is the steady rhythm of dividend income. For me, this is why I gravitate toward TLT and TLH. Unlike growth stocks, which can soar or crash without warning, these treasury bond ETFs provide a monthly dividend. And there’s something surprisingly comforting about that. Every month, there’s a small but reliable payoff that I can actually look forward to. iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) It’s not just the money, it’s the psychology. Dividend income gives me a sense of progress, a tangible reward for staying invested and patient. Even when the market moves unpredictably, those dividends feel like a gentle reminder that my money is still working for me. I also appreciate the relative safety of these E
The Quiet Power of Dividends: Why I Invest in TLT and TLH
TOPELI_59: So insightful. Maybe i should invest in TLT & TLH. I love dividends! Thanks for sharing 🙏
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Barcode
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2025-09-27

🌊⚡️🏦 $APO Cup & Handle Resolution to $165–185 🚀📈🔥

$Apollo Global Management LLC(APO)$ $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$ $Blackstone Group LP(BX)$  I’ve just moved Apollo Global Management to the very top of my watchlist and I have high conviction that this setup can deliver one of the most powerful breakouts into year-end. 🚦 Pattern Resolution & Inflection Metrics Apollo has resolved into a textbook Cup & Handle. The handle’s 38.2% retracement aligns with the prior swing low, retested on declining volume, confirming absorption without broad distribution. The measured move from $112 (Q1 2025 low) to $146 projects $165, with a 1.618 extension to $185. Near term, 4H Keltner (2.25 ATR) and Bollinger (2σ) have compress
🌊⚡️🏦 $APO Cup & Handle Resolution to $165–185 🚀📈🔥
TOPCool Cat Winston: 🌟🌟🌟📊The way you laid out the position architecture makes APO feel like BX back in 2021 when it was grinding higher on volume shelves. That $154 ignition level you flagged is the hinge for me, just like $NVDA had at $168 before it ripped. Another master class article BC! One to be shared with all! 🌟🌟🌟
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Xaddy_Analyst
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2025-09-27

Bloodbath on Wall Street: Is This the Wake-Up Call Your Portfolio Needs?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The S&P 500 just clawed back from a brutal three-day skid, but let's cut the fluff—this isn't some gentle correction; it's a stark reminder that the bull run had legs made of nitro. After the Fed's September powwow sparked a quick sugar high, those gains evaporated faster than a meme stock pump. Blame it on scorching jobs reports and consumer spending figures that screamed "no rush on those rate slashes," leaving traders jittery as tech behemoths like Oracle cratered 5% in a single gut punch. Nasdaq's bleeding out on AI hype fatigue, Dow's dragging its blue-chip boots, and suddenly everyone's whispering about overcooked multiples. But here's the real gut check: is
Bloodbath on Wall Street: Is This the Wake-Up Call Your Portfolio Needs?
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Xaddy_Analyst
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2025-09-27

Credit Spreads at 27-Year Lows: Calm Before the Storm?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Credit spreads in the U.S., UK, and EU have collapsed to their tightest levels since 1998, with investment-grade (IG) bonds in the U.S. at 0.75% over Treasuries and Euro high-yield (HY) spreads at 2.69% as of September 23, 2025. At first blush, this screams market confidence—corporate debt is priced as if risk is nearly nonexistent. But history’s a harsh teacher: ultra-low spreads often signal complacency, setting the stage for brutal wake-up calls like the Euro debt crisis (2011-2012), China’s 2015 slowdown, and the Covid crash of 2020. With Trump slamming Powell’s “incompetent” high rates, Eric’s $1M Bitcoin bet, and Centurion REIT’s 9.1% IPO pop, are investors sleep
Credit Spreads at 27-Year Lows: Calm Before the Storm?
TOPhenshengqi: You've raised a valid point about complacency; a sudden shift could be drastic.
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Xaddy_Analyst
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2025-09-27

WLFI’s $0.196 Re-Entry: Buyback Burn Ignites—Is the Moon Next?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token is back in the spotlight after a clean rejection at yesterday’s low of $0.19, signaling buyer support at a critical technical level. The community’s vote to funnel all treasury liquidity fees into a buyback and burn program, starting this week, adds rocket fuel to the bullish setup. With your re-entry at $0.196, a tight stop at $0.181, and a “moon” target, let’s dive into whether this DeFi play can break out amidst tight credit spreads, Trump’s rate rants, and Singapore’s REIT fever. Should you ride WLFI’s volatility, hedge against macro risks, or diversify into stabler yields? WLFI’s Setup: Why $0.196 Looks Juicy Yesterday’s price
WLFI’s $0.196 Re-Entry: Buyback Burn Ignites—Is the Moon Next?
TOPWade Shaw: WLFI’s buyback burn helps, but 15% daily swings make it a risky “moon” bet!
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Lanceljx
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2025-09-27
1. I respect Cathie Wood’s long-term vision—she invests boldly in disruptive themes like AI, robotics, and genomics. Her conviction and transparency stand out. However, her strategy can be volatile, as it often favours innovation potential over current profitability. It suits investors who can stomach sharp drawdowns and think in decades, not quarters. 2. I’ve tracked ARK’s trades, but never followed them blindly. Their early success in 2020 showed the upside of visionary investing, yet the heavy losses later proved how valuation discipline remains crucial. Innovation is powerful, but timing and diversification still matter. 3. Between Cathie Wood and Nancy Pelosi, I’d call Cathie the “queen of conviction” and Pelosi the “queen of precision.” If I must choose one, I’d pick Pelosi, whose t
1. I respect Cathie Wood’s long-term vision—she invests boldly in disruptive themes like AI, robotics, and genomics. Her conviction and transparenc...
TOPHilaryWilde: It's refreshing to see a balanced take on both strategies.
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The Investing Iguana
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2025-09-27

🇸🇬 SGX Weekly Wrap—Top Gainers, Worst Drops & What I’m Watching for October (29 Sep 2025) | 🦖 #TheInvestingIguana EP1013

🟩 📈 Curious about this week's biggest movers on the Straits Times Index (STI)? Join Iggy for an action-packed breakdown of the top gainers and losers, shedding light on what these moves mean for your portfolio. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, this video is packed with insights to help you make smarter investment decisions in Singapore's market. 🤑 From Prudential's buyback-fueled surge to Centurion REIT's impressive IPO debut, we explore the stories behind the headlines. Plus, we tackle key losers like Hongkong Land and PropNex, analyzing what their dips signal for local investors. With financial analysis and economic strategies tailored for CPF and SRS planning, this video is your guide to navigating the STI with discipline and focus. 📌 Key takeaways? Buybacks are boos
🇸🇬 SGX Weekly Wrap—Top Gainers, Worst Drops & What I’m Watching for October (29 Sep 2025) | 🦖 #TheInvestingIguana EP1013
TOPJo Betsy: Prudential’s buyback surge makes sense—value stocks are popping in this STI environment!
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Subramanyan
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2025-09-27
This is such a good topic for discussion that has come after a long time. My thinking on this is as follows: 1. Do you think this is a healthy pulback?: Quite agree with this. A pullback was essential though the market has been choppy after trump has come in. Every fortnight we have seen at least one pullback due to political machinations. In that context, this is not unexpected & in a way helps to remove the froth. 2. Do you agree with Powell that U.S. equities are overvalued?: certainly some areas and some counters certainly seem over valued. For example, we saw the mad spurt in $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ . Agree that there is a positive (?) move with the govt iintervention but is is really justifying the  almost 1
This is such a good topic for discussion that has come after a long time. My thinking on this is as follows: 1. Do you think this is a healthy pulb...
TOPMortimer Arthur: Honest take. Been carry these bags for 2 years now and still in the red after the pop. This has been and will be a long hold for me. It will fall another 20-30% and I will add to my position. 5-10 years from now this will pay off. I’m certain of it.
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Xaddy_Analyst
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2025-09-27

Trump Slams Powell: Are High Rates Choking Your Portfolio?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ President Trump’s fresh jab at Fed Chair Jerome Powell, branding him “incompetent” for keeping interest rates too high, has reignited the debate over monetary policy’s grip on markets. With the Fed funds rate at 4.75-5% after September’s 50bps cut, Trump argues it’s strangling growth, especially as U.S. stocks just bled for three days straight, erasing post-Fed gains. Meanwhile, Eric Trump’s $1M Bitcoin prediction and Centurion REIT’s 9.1% IPO pop in Singapore signal wild divergence in market bets. So, is Trump right—are rates crushing opportunity, and should you hedge, pivot to crypto, or ride the REIT wave? Trump vs. Powell: The Rate Rant Breakdown Trump’s latest sal
Trump Slams Powell: Are High Rates Choking Your Portfolio?
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orsiri
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2025-09-27

Inside the Minds of the Ultra-Rich: Rethinking Asset Allocation for 2024 and Beyond

The wealthy rarely leave their capital idle, and the 2024 J.P. Morgan survey of 190 family offices highlights how carefully top-tier investors balance growth and stability. The headline numbers are telling: equities make up roughly 33% of their portfolios, private equity and venture capital 23%, real estate 17%, fixed income 11%, hedge funds 7%, cash 6%, and other alternatives 3%. The deliberate diversification offers lessons for anyone seeking a more resilient and forward-looking portfolio. Strategic agility propels portfolios towards enduring growth Equities: Growth With Discipline Equities remain the backbone of ultra-rich portfolios, though not in a haphazard way. Around one-third of assets are allocated to public markets, but the focus is thematic rather than index-driven: AI, healthc
Inside the Minds of the Ultra-Rich: Rethinking Asset Allocation for 2024 and Beyond
TOPRon Anne: Shifting to 40% equities (from 50%) balances growth and cuts unnecessary volatility.
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