$Intel(INTC)$ Another scalp on Tiger Contra account this time with INTC, bought at $18.44, sold at $21. INTC approached and broke below critical support level around $19.00 again last friday, thus took advantage of this level to get some position. Got back to $20 level with the recent announcement today. Expect some resistance around $21-$21.5 (daily 20SMA).
The Smiling Curve - The most important concept in business and investing
What is the most important concept in business and investing today?The Smiling Curve!Ever wondered why tech giants dominate and niche creators thrive while mid-sized businesses struggle? The Smiling Curve explains this phenomenon. Let’s dive in.ImageOriginating from Acer’s founder, Stan Shih, in the 1990s, the Smiling Curve illustrates value distribution across an industry. In his example, high value is found in R&D and marketing, with manufacturing in the middle adding the least value.ImageIn the digital age, this curve extends beyond manufacturing. It now represents how scale and specialization impact value creation.On the left of the curve are niche creators and specialists.They offer unique value without needing massive scale. Think indie newsletters, boutique consultancies, or spe
GoldNuggets Digest: gold ETF allocations, PBOC gold buying, China gold ETF holdings, China asset returns landscape, gold vs tech stocks... $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Gold AllocationRetail allocations to gold ETFs are starting to shift —reaching a 4-year high as inflows step up and market movements begin to drift allocations higher from near record lows. Gold miners on the other hand still see historically light allocations, with gold mining ETFs seeing ongoing *outflows*. Still looks early.China Loves Gold — PBOC“China reported 5 tonnes of gold purchases in February… China actually bought 50 tonnes of gold in February (per GS).“ This makes a lot of sense, especially with Trump tariffs and increasingly hostile treatment of China by the USA — Ch
$Dutch Bros Inc.(BROS)$ Dutch Bros in Early 2025: Not a Buy Then The stock was trading at around $55 a share, and while there were reasons to be optimistic about the brand, I didn’t think the valuation made sense relative to the risks. Since then, we’ve seen Dutch Bros go on quite a roller coaster. The stock shot up close to $90 a share, fueled by momentum and investor enthusiasm, but has since retraced all those gains and is now trading back at around $53. Now, with all the recent stock market volatility, especially driven by the new wave of tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainty, investors are once again asking me to revisit Dutch Bros. They want to know if the stock is finally a buy — or if it’s still too risky at this stage. So, in this article
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ is expecting to release its fiscal Q1 2025 earnings results on 16 April 2025 before the market open. The consensus estimate for the revenues for the Q1 2025 quarter is expected to come in at $8.08 billion which would indicate a year-over-year change of +40.7%. For the earnings per share, the consensus estimate is expected at $5.99 per share which would represent a change of +81.1% from the year-ago quarter. ASML Holding (ASML) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline By 1.35% ASML last positive earnings call on 29 Jan 2025 saw its share price decline by 1.35% since. The earnings call presented a strong financial performance for Q4 2024, with revenue and gross margin exceeding expectations. The company highlighted
Motorheads & Margins: Why AutoZone’s Engine Doesn’t Stall—Even When the Economy Does
Under the bonnet of a quiet retail juggernaut with torque to spare There’s something oddly poetic about $AutoZone(AZO)$. While the broader retail sector frets over footfall and inflation, this parts powerhouse just keeps revving. I’ve followed the company for a while now, and if there’s one thing that’s abundantly clear, it’s this: AutoZone isn’t just recession-resistant—it seems recession-fuelled. In times of economic cheer, we splash out on shiny new motors. But when the economy sulks, as it does now and then, we nurse our ageing rides back to health—and AutoZone is the pharmacy of choice. With the average vehicle age in the US creeping past 12.5 years (a new record, by the way), AutoZone is perfectly tuned for this greying fleet. More breakdowns
Abbott Labs (ABT) Guidance To Reflect Tariffs Impact
$Abbott Laboratories(ABT)$ is expected to release its fiscal Q1 2025 quarterly earnings result on 16 April 2025 before the market open. The revenues are forecasted to come in at $10.42 billion, which would be an increase of 4.5% compared to the same period one year ago. The consensus estimate for the earnings per share is expected to come in at an increase of 9.2% compared to same period last year, $1.07 per share. Abbott Labs (ABT) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw 9.56% Sharee Price Increase Abbott had a positive earnings call on 22 Jan 2025 which saw its share price increase by 9.56% since. The earnings call highlighted strong growth across several segments, particularly in medical devices and adult nutrition, alongside effective financial managem
1. $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ TTD has been falling off a cliff—everyone’s trying to catch the bottom and failing.It’s down nearly 50% in just a few weeks. I think it’s finally time to buy 👇2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD bounced nearly 20% from the Smart Money Zone…and I’m still down over $100K on my position.3. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ HIMS is pulling back into the Smart Money Zone 🚀The last three times this happened, it ran over 100%.I don’t expect that again, but I’m planning to trade it and a strong bounce is still on the table.4. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ RIVN is bouncing off major Smart Money Zone s
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ If I could only trade one stock for the next 3–6 months, it’d be TSLA ⭐️Every single box is checked Momentum. Structure. Flow. Bias. All aligned.Last time we saw this setup, it ripped nearly 50% in weeks.2. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ SOFI looks ready for a breakout Last time this happened, $SOFI ran +100% in 90 days 👀3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA just bounced hard off $88… but here’s why I’m not convinced the bottom is in 👀4. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Retail thinks this is the bottom… but I’m not convinced just yet 👀SPY bounced 13% off the same level it held in every major correction since 200
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at $540. 50SMA about to cross below 200SMA on DAILY chart. This is DEATH CROSS. One of the biggest bear signals in technical analysis.The last time this happened in March 2022 it lasted for 1 year to Feb 2023. The market was in a massive downtrend.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Indecision Candle at the 20DMA, the Stochastic is curling down, and the death cross is confirmed.A hiccup is possible for tomorrow considering previous attempts to cross the blue line. But as long as price stays above $5,226 the bounce is still in progress.The loss of the 40 weekly average has proven to be a major signal anticipating a major correction. Since the signal has been more than confirmed, now it's worth watching the Average True Range, which has reached extreme overbought levels compared to bear market bottoms in 2008, 2018, and 2020. For 2022 it preceded a bear market rally starting in June of that year. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
Daily Charts - Global Equities: best place to be in the coming years?
1.Global Equities: best place to be in the coming years?= Literally Anywhere other than the USA.Developed Markets ex-USEmerging MarketsFrontier MarketsAll boast higher expected returns...Image2.Reminder: there will always be a better investment...(and p.s. it works on the way down too)So what?1. Have a process to try find these2. Don't get too caught up in FOMO Image3.Aussie Stock/Bond Ratio-turning down-follows steep run-upSo where do you go? Stocks or bonds (and which stocks, which bonds)?ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading
$KepPacOakReitUSD(CMOU.SI)$$Prime US ReitUSD(OXMU.SI)$$ManulifeReit USD(BTOU.SI)$ Below is a comparison using the latest data from comparison tables on S-REITs Comparison page. The most favorable figures are marked in blue and given a +1 score, while the least favorable are in red with a -1 score. The highest score in each category determines the winner. Note that this is a simple comparison without weightage assigned to each figure. Image Generated by AIEASE Fundamental Overview, Related Parties Shareholding & Lease Profile: Debt Profile, Diversification Profile & Key Finan
Why Amazon (AMZN) Remains a Strong Long-Term Buy in 2025
As of April 14, 2025, Amazon (AMZN) stock closed at $182.12, reflecting a 1.49% decline in regular trading and a further 0.37% drop in after-hours trading. Despite recent pressures from new tariff policies and a lower-than-expected Q1 2025 guidance, Amazon continues to present a compelling case for long-term investors. With its dominant position in e-commerce, leadership in cloud computing through Amazon Web Services (AWS), and innovative strides in artificial intelligence (AI), Amazon is well-poised for sustained growth over the coming years. This article explores why AMZN remains a strong long-term buy, supported by its diversified business model, robust growth in AWS, and strategic investments in high-growth areas. A Diversified Business Model Built for Resilience Amazon’s business span
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🔥🚨💣 NVDA Puts Pop Off, Smart Money Eyes $92 Strike Play 💣🚨🔥 $NVDA 92 puts expiring 25Apr25 are lighting up the options tape with a hefty 17,28K volume at a crisp $0.75 mark, down but far from out. With implied volatility still above 71%, this is no retail flutter, it’s a calculated position hunting weakness beneath the surface. Despite today’s modest 0.03% fade, $NVDA is skating just below the 50DMA, and momentum is crumbling. The MACD confirms the fadeout, with DIF: 0.0845 and MACD: -0.0774 now diverging ominously. That’s a bearish crossover that seasoned traders don’t ignore. This flow doesn’t whisper, it roars. The $92 puts are the biggest standout in this chain, with open interest swelling and a 33% markdown providing an asymmet
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was the 2nd stock that came to mind after about Trump’s latest U-turn performance on his 145% tariffs against China, his latest tit-for-tat drama against China for not falling in lined like the rest of the other countries, slapped with ranging tariffs. (see below) Think the old man has forgotten that he is dealing with the world’s second largest economies, awakened by US themselves back in 01 Jan 1979 by then President Jimmy Carter. Trump’s 2 steps forward & 3 steps back antics is wearing everyone down - from Wall Street to his party members to the Fed and finally investors. It is really time he reduces the nonsense and ill-conceived policy before he further damages what’s left of US reputation since re-taking office. On Mon, 14
In a twist of fate, US stocks climbed Fri, 11 Apr 2025 as Wall Street wrapped up a historically wild week. This as US big banks ‘officially’ kicked off Q1 2025 quarter earnings season, with positive earnings charming US market in the process (more of that later). By the time market called it a week: (see above) DJIA: +1.56% (+619.05 to 40,212.71). S&P 500: +1.81% (+95.31 to 5,363.36). Nasdaq: +2.06% (+337.14 to 16,724.46). Market Drivers. Below are some of the factors that helped to push US market to close on a ‘high’. (1) Bank Earnings Exceeded Expectations 2 of 5 major US financial institutions reported stronger-than-expected profits for Q1 2025, respectively. These results boosted confidence in Financial sector, with $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ sh
U.S. Government Confidentiality Concerns: Insider Trades Everywhere
$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ The level of information leakage has reached absurd proportions.Over the weekend, news broke that the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) announced a new tariff rule on April 11th (Eastern Time). This rule exempts categories such as automatic data processors, computers, communication devices, displays and modules, and semiconductors from the "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by the Trump administration.However, prior to the official announcement, on Friday, April 11th, unusual activity in KWEB options was observed. A massive order for 110,000 contracts of $KWEB 20250425 35.0 CALL$ was opened, with a total transaction value of over $5 mi
Maximizing Profit in a Tumultuous Market: Trading Tactics for the Savvy Investor
In today’s volatile market, investors are grappling with a combination of geopolitical risks, economic shifts, and market corrections that are shaping investment strategies. With recent market volatility, changes in trade policies, and significant corporate developments, it's crucial to take a measured approach when deciding whether to "buy the dip" or "sell the rally." In this blog post, we synthesize insights from recent analyses to help you navigate these uncertain times and refine your investment strategy. 1. The Market Pulse: Key Developments Citi’s Downgrade of U.S. Equities: A Shift in Market Sentiment In a notable move, Citigroup downgraded U.S. equities from "Overweight" to "Neutral" in early March 2025. This marked a significant shift, with the bank also upgrading Chinese stocks.