Melco is a Discounted Way into Asia-Pacific Gambling Recovery
Melco’s strategic shift to an asset-light model promises improved capital efficiency while maintaining its strong 15.6% Macau market share.Ongoing property renovations across the portfolio to organically attract high-value customers after junket market contraction.2025 Projected capex increase of 70.5% to $415 million, backed by a $1.1 billion cash position.Targeted expansion into emerging markets like Sri Lanka and potentially Thailand creates long-term growth avenues beyond the core Macau operations.Despite 6.1x net debt to EBITDA ratio, management’s focus on deleveraging and potential Manila asset sale should strengthen the balance sheet.Investment Thesis$Melco Crown Entertainment(MLCO)$ is an integrated casino-resort operator primarily focused
The thing I emphasized in the ChartStorm was the Changing Tides… consider the following data points and observations:Wall Street analyst Earnings expectations are rolling over from ebullient levels (see today’s chart).Investor Sentiment is rolling over from record highs (e.g. Euphoriameter).Consumer Confidence in the Stockmarket is likewise slumping from a record high back in November.Investor portfolio allocations to stocks are peaking at record high levels.Margin Debt expansion has peaked and rolled over from warning levels.Valuations are moving lower from previous extreme expensive levels (and are still a long way from becoming cheap).The stock/bond ratio is rolling over from stretched levels (and a very low forward-looking equity risk premium); likewise bond yields are rolling over fro
BlackBerry (BB) Positive EBITDA and IoT Revenue In Focus
$BlackBerry(BB)$ is expected to report its quarterly earnings for fiscal Q4 2025 on 02 April 2025 after the market close. The earnings per share have been expected to come in below 1 cents which represent a decline of more than 66.66% compared to same period last year. In the last reported quarter, where we see that BB cost-cutting measures are working, the adjusted EBITDA (from continuing and discontinued operations) of $23 million rose from $18 million in the year-ago quarter. The company had expected adjusted EBITDA to be $0-$10 million. BlackBerry (BB) Last Positive Earnings Call Have Their Share Price Rise 26.51% BlackBerry had a positive earnings call on 19 Dec 2024 which saw its share price rise by 26.51% since. The earnings call reflects a p
DeepSeek Breakthrough Push Holland Chip Giant Defies US to Open China Plant
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$$SK Hynix, Inc.(HXSCL)$ U.S. Chip Companies in Trouble Alright, the semiconductor war has taken a drastic turn. Looking back at 2024, we remember just how tough things got. The Biden administration barred Nvidia, Intel, and Qualcomm from selling their most advanced chips to China, crippling their potential for growth. Take Qualcomm, for example—nearly 50% of its revenue comes from China. Losing access to such a massive market is a serious blow to U.S. chipmakers, which rely on revenue to fuel research and development. The semiconductor indus
UniFirst (UNF) Pricing Strategy To Watch For Overcoming Tariffs
$UniFirst(UNF)$ is expected to release its quarterly earnings for fiscal Q2 2025 on 02 April 2025 before the market open. UNF revenues are projected to reach $603.04 million, increasing 2.1% from the same quarter last year. The earnings per share for upcoming quarter is anticipated to come in at $1.34 which would be an increase of 7.4% compared to same period last year. Here are some of the key metrics to watch for the upcoming quarterly reporting. Organic Growth: Core uniform rental revenue trends. Margins: Impact of inflation and efficiency initiatives. Guidance: Management’s outlook for FY 2025 (revenue: 2.425–2.44billion; EPS: 6.79–7.19). UniFirst (UNF) Last Neutral Earnings Saw Its Share Price Decline By 14.85% UNF had a neutral earnings call
SPY manybe drift down toward $500 in the coming months slowly
S&P 500 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is recovering well today, and while we could see a short-term bounce, I’m still anticipating a slow drift down toward $500 and $20 in the coming months.SmartMoney stepped in again to defend the $550 level, and if we get a move back up to $580 in the coming weeks, I may look to open a short position or grab some 6-month puts.Until then, all my bots remain live—just watching to see how this plays out.One final note: while SmartMoney is bouncing price, the BX is currently set to close right on the daily, which isn’t a great signal.Use proper risk management, stay sharp, and I’ll see you after the bell.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission,
some of the daily pre/post market process has to include knowing what's the strongest (and weakest for inverse opportunities) to know where the area of strongest and most prolonged strength/weakness are on the market.this is a top down process for me. win rate can only be increase if u do it top down, not bottom up. it's part of the lesson i built and refined over the years.i highly urge everyone to build a free copy for themselves. you don't need any subscription. I laid down the step by step process in the link below. also do read the variation built by others which i also find a lot of value in$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$
SPX: Bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Stay open minded, this bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce.As a first milestone, the 20DMA (blue line) will set the first resistance.The bounce from the lower Bollinger band was the missing point for a reversal, and the Bollinger band supporting the bounceImageHere's my analysis from March 30:SPX is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake, during 2022 this level may have preceded bear market rallies, but price continued setting lower lows printing a painful bullish divergence that ended in October 2022.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other
This “magic” is useless if a Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ runs into a light post every 100,000 miles (Feb. 2025).Tesla hasn’t recorded the prerequisite safety data $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ waymo or even $General Motors(GM)$ cruise did with a safety driver in the seat for millions of miles before going fully autonomous.If Tesla records every intervention for a year and reports it publicly, I’ll believe FSD is ready. Until then, it’s well behind competitors who are taking the safety needed to be truly autonomous seriously. Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commi
When it comes to the market cycle it’s easy to lose sight of concepts during chaos. Meanwhile oversimplified schematics often instill a false sense of confidence. So I thought it would be worthwhile revisiting my “nuanced version“ of the market cycle.The simple version says that you go in a nice orderly fashion from boom to bust, expensive to cheap, and all you need to do is buy low and sell high. In practice emotions, peer pressure, industry forces all conspire against us through every step of the way. That’s why you need to be data and evidence driven in forming a clear view of where you are at in the cycle and what kind of forward-looking risk vs reward setup is on the horizon.As I attempt to explain in this visual, the best time to go all-in on stocks is when the cycle is turning up fr
Hedge Funds have de-risked at a record pace over the last 2 months.This continued last week with the largest net selling in Tech in 6 months and 2nd largest in the past 5 yrs.$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ImageThis is a stark contrast to retail, who bought the dip throughout Q1 👇👇ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading a
The top contributors to performance were ATOSS & CDNS in March 2025
Portfolio at the end of March 2025March performance: -8.1%YTD: -7.6%FCF ROC = 39%FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 23%FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93FCF Margin = 36%FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6%FCF Yield = 2.85%There were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were ATOSS Software and Cadence Design Systems $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ . The top detractors from performance were NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and Fortinet $Fortinet(FTNT)$ .ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Singapore, Hong Kong, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Start tradi
Here’s the situation. As of 27 Mar 2025, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is facing significant challenges. Sales dropped -31% YoY in California in January and -43% in Europe in the first 2 months of 2025. In China, sales decreased by -29% through February 2025. In terms of stock price, it has plummeted by -30.5% YTD. Falling From Grace. To make matters worse: $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ has surpassed Tesla in revenue in 2024. However, Model Y remained the best-selling EV in China last year. This despite, BYD's vehicles like Seagull hatchback ($16,000) costs less than Model Y ($50,500) or Model 3 (approx. $32,000) and its new battery technology and self-driving systems are outpacing Tesla's offerings, To sustain sale, Te
When it comes to the tariff agreement, what exactly does Trump want?I don’t know. The market doesn’t know either. So, the approach seems to be to crash the market first and then figure things out later—hence the market drop. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Since we don’t know what the final tariff agreement will look like or what its future impact might be, newly opened options positions are concentrated on this week’s expiration dates. The thinking seems to be “just get through this week.”Institutions are selling calls at the 114–115 strikes and hedging with positions at 121–125. This suggests the stock’s upper limit this week is 114–115.On the bearish side, significant open interest has been observed for puts at the 105, 104, and 100 strikes. Among these:The 100
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Even after a 50% sell-off, the structure is still bullish.Now testing the monthly market bias, and the weekly BX just made a higher low.Upside target: $330–$340 in the coming weeks — expecting rejection there.All bots are primed. If we trigger this week, perfect.Worst case? BX makes a lower low, and we retest $200.Image2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I was expecting a bounce to $128 before rejection…But Friday’s massive sell-off changed the game.Now, I’m eyeing a continued breakdown toward $90, even $80 over the next couple months.That’s where I’ll be looking to go long — high probability bounce zone.Image3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Market structure
The S&P 500 just did something it hasn’t done in 2 years… $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ And it’s not bullish. 🔴We just closed a monthly candle red for the first time since 2022.I’m not looking to short yet.But I do think we could slowly bleed down to $510–$490 over the next 3–6 months.That would be a ~10% drawdown.This isn’t a black swan.It looks more like 2022 — slow, controlled downside until we meet the monthly bias.If we see a relief rally back to $580, I might open a short.If not, I’ll sit on my hands and wait for price to come to us.Patience wins.Discipline > prediction.ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Sing