SPX: Another failed bounce, and the current candle is bearish
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Another failed bounce, and the current candle is bearish. The Stochastic is turning downward, and rejection occurred again at the confluence of $5727 and the 200 DMA. Key moving averages to watch are the 200 DMA (bullish above) and the 10 DMA (bearish below). Which will prevail? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ImageAnd this is my last pridiction:The 4H chart yesterday anticipated well the bounce. However, the rally faded after price neared $5,727, casting doubt on its sustainability. The boun
Inflation is the boogie man of the moment in financial media and it’s been that way for 17 years.Quantitative easing, the rise of Bitcoin, and the idea of “sound money” — whatever that is — has led a lot of people to think the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve are somehow screwing us over with inflation and the U.S. dollar is somehow junk.But the Fed has an inflation target of 2% long-term for a reason.Why does the Fed want inflation?The simplest answer is to think about the counterfactual. If you’re anti-inflation, you must be pro-deflation!What happens in a deflationary environment? A dollar buys more in the future than it does today. The incentive is to put off spending.This leads to less consumer spending. Less economic activity.It leads to the hoarding of money.Just ask Michael
On the internet, the power goes to the company people CHOOSE to interact with every day. $Netflix(NFLX)$ in streaming $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ in search/mail $Apple(AAPL)$ in hardware $Uber(UBER)$ in ride-sharing $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ in retail $Intuit(INTU)$ for taxesMoats don't look like they did in the 80s and 90s.Great companies are built by people who push boundaries.Sentiment is correlated with a stock's price.If you want to beat the market, buy great companies when the sentiment
Daily Charts - Global Inflation rates are heading higher again
1.Global Inflation rates are heading higher againIs this going to be a problem?Image2.What we are seeing with Europe vs US stockmarket rotation right now is a confirmation of a key rule in markets...>> extremes don't last-they represent pressure building up-(and they can unwind very fast)-most don't see it coming $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Image3.Precious Metal Procession...-first gold $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ soared-now silver
Visa (V) Is Your Golden Ticket to Millions – Buy Now Before It Skyrockets to $380!
Buckle up, investors—Visa (V) is on the verge of a massive breakout, and you don’t want to miss this ride! Despite a minor dip to $339.50 (-0.11%), the technicals, fundamentals, and fresh news all scream one thing: Visa is a screaming buy with huge upside potential. Here’s why you should jump in now and ride this rocket to $380 and beyond! Technicals: A Perfect Dip to Buy Before the Next Surge Let’s break down the chart. Visa’s stock has been on a tear, climbing from $296.32 to a high of $366.54 over the past month—a jaw-dropping 23% gain. The current pullback to $339.50 lands it right on the MA10 ($336.08) and near the MA20 ($344.56), a zone that’s proven to be rock-solid support. The chart’s “E” and “D” markers show multiple bounces at this level, signaling strong buyer interest. Plus, t
Netflix: The Investment Blockbuster You Didn't See Coming
From Streaming to Stacking Gains: Netflix’s Next Big Move As I sip my tea and ponder Netflix’s remarkable evolution, it’s clear that the streaming giant has rewritten the rules of entertainment—and now, it’s doing the same for its financial future. What started as a DVD rental service has grown into a global content juggernaut, and its latest strategic pivots suggest there’s still a compelling investment case for $Netflix(NFLX)$. The real question: Is Netflix still a buy, or has its growth story already played out? Let’s dive into the numbers. Streaming evolution: Netflix rewrites its financial and entertainment playbook The Ad-Supported Masterstroke: A Revenue Game Changer Netflix’s foray into ad-supported streaming has been a masterclass in rein
$PayPal(PYPL)$$YieldMax PYPL Option Income Strategy ETF(PYPY)$ 💰🅑🅤🅛🅛🅘🅢🅗📈 👀🔥 $PYPL: A Quiet Titan Awakening, Is This Fintech’s Hidden Gem? 🔥🚀 PayPal ($PYPL) has been flying under the radar, but the charts and fundamentals suggest it might be one of the most undervalued fintech plays right now. The latest data from TradingView hints at a compelling technical setup, while its free cash flow yield and strategic moves signal a potential breakout moment. Let’s dive in. 📊 Technical Setup, A Mean Reversion in Motion? $PYPL is currently trading at $69.63 (as of 21Mar25, 🇳🇿NZ Time), with a projected Mean Reversion Zone between the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extensions, translating to a target range of $125.96 to $1
$Alibaba(BABA)$$GRANITESHARES 2X LONG BABA DAILY ETF(BABX)$ 🅱️ U͎ L͎ L͎ I͎ S͎ H͎ 🚀🇨🇳💹 $BABA: The Cartography of Chaos, Mapping the Drop Before the April Ascent 📉💹🚀 🧠 $BABA: A Guide to Volatility, Navigating the Path to April 2025 🧠💹🇨🇳 Alibaba ($BABA) stands at a critical inflection point, presenting a high-probability setup for global traders with the foresight to chart its trajectory. The daily chart unveils a complex geometric pattern labelled “Scale 2,” which, when synthesised with options flow data, reveals a calculated “drop before the ascent” trajectory into April 2025. At a current price of $136.85 as of 21March25, 🇳🇿NZ Time, $BABA is poised for a strategic retracement followed by a potential brea
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Let’s continue discussing Duan Yongping’s covered call strategy. This strategy is absolutely brilliant. There were a lot of points in yesterday’s article that weren’t fully explained.Market Expectations for Next WeekNext week’s market expectations are similar to this week. Reciprocal tariffs will take effect on April 2, followed by the start of earnings season. This means the market is likely to continue fluctuating next week, just as it has this week.However, unlike the past two weeks, bearish forces will have limited influence, and the volatility will be more straightforward. It won’t be worse than last week.Institutions are selling calls at $122 and $123 while hedging with long calls at $130 and $132. Next week’s strategy and str
The Trumpcession Making A Comeback With 3H: High Inflation, High Debt & High Stock Market
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Introduction to U.S. Economic Outlook U.S. consumers are becoming increasingly pessimistic as the President of the United States signals that a recession is likely. Market probabilities of a U.S. recession are climbing, with key economic indicators reflecting growing concerns. For instance, five-year U.S. treasuries are now pricing in a 52% chance of a recession within the next year, up from 45% in November. The Russell 2000 Index indicates a 48% chance of recession, while the S&P 500 shows a 22% likelihood. Base metals are also showing a 52% probability of an economic downturn. According to a recent JP Morgan report, the chance of a recession has risen to 40% from 30% at the start of the year, citing concerns that U.S. pol
Market volatility will likely continue with uncertainty around Trump's tariffs and the FOMC decision. With inflation still high and no clear economic weakness, a rate cut seems unlikely. Powell’s speech and the dot plot will shape expectations, but I don’t expect any major bullish surprises. MAG 7 valuations remain elevated, with the S&P 500’s NTM P/E at the 81st percentile. While some big tech stocks have pulled back, weak earnings growth expectations make current prices hard to justify. I’d prefer to wait for better entry points rather than chasing the dip too early. Given the uncertainty, I’m staying cautious and watching for a deeper correction. If valuations compress further, stronger buying opportunities could emerge. For now, I’m focusing on macroeconomic trends and the Fed’s ou
What Lessons That Help You Stop Losing Money in Stock Market?
Investment is often a journey filled with twists and turns. For many, the path to success is a gradual process of learning and adapting.There is a combination of key insights that many investors have shared about how they progressed and started making better decisions—leading to greater profits and fewer losses.1. Opportunities Are Many, but Personal Opportunities Are FewWhile the market offers numerous opportunities, the ones that truly align with my strategy and risk profile are far fewer. I began to understand the importance of narrowing my focus and waiting for the right opportunities, rather than chasing everything.2. You Are Here to Make Money, Not to Prove Yourself Right Early on, I thought the goal was to be right, to predict the market accurately. But the shift came when I focused
Right now in the US, if there is anyone who is capable of restoring calm to the market, it is definitely not US president nor the Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent but Fed chair - Jerome Powell. (see below) It is evident that when Mr Powell started speaking at the post FOMC press conference at 2pm US EDT, the S&P 500 index began to recover. (see above) In fact, stocks across all 3 indexes rallied on Wednesday; despite the Fed’s decision to keep interest rate status quo as predicted by CME Fedwatch tool and Wall Street. The S&P 500 clawed back more of the rout since late February 2025; one that took the benchmark briefly into correction territory. By market closing time: DJIA: +0.92% (+383.32 to 41,964.63). S&P 500: +1.08% (+60.63 to 5,675.29). Nasdaq: +1.41% (+246.67 to 17,750.
At the beginning of 02 Jan 2025, I have posted about gold being a viable investment option. (click here !for details) Fast forward 2 months later, gold’s price has broken through the $3,000 per ounce ceiling. (see above) And it is poised to rise even further, thanks to Trump’s incessant use of tariffs that caused wild swings in the US market. The US economy looks poised to slip into recession with US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent no longer denying the fallout from US tariffs rollout. (see above) This is in sharp contrast to initial denial (again by Bessent) that Trump’s tariffs will not lead to inflation rising again and more likely than not
Is the US really heading into a recession? How Much US Stock Will Crash 30-40% Or Bull Will Back?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The Struggling US Economy In August of last year, global markets—especially in the US—unexpectedly plummeted. This was long before Trump's tariff wars or China’s economic troubles, and it was largely due to the unwinding of the Yen carry trade. As Japanese interest rates began to rise and the Yen strengthened against the dollar, it triggered a massive sell-off in US stocks. At the height of this decline, US stocks fell by more than 8.5%, with over half of the drop coming from the top seven tech stocks, often referred to as "The Magnificent Seven." This was a sudden shock that caught everyone off guard, especially during a period when the US economy appeared to be thriv
$NetApp(NTAP)$ NetApp recently released its quarterly results, and as a major player in the storage industry, it's drawing attention. While the stock is indeed moving, it's not in the direction investors hoped for. Despite this, NetApp remains one of the 50 most significant companies in the technology sector. Wall Street’s focus tends to be on whether a company beats or misses earnings expectations, and unfortunately, NetApp missed this time, which likely contributed to the stock’s drop. However, when we dig deeper into the company’s performance, there are more significant underlying challenges, particularly related to growth. In an era where IT budgets and AI spending are booming, NetApp’s role in this landscape—specifically in storage—becomes a
PureStorage -35% Buy Dip? A Hardware Company Or Services?
$Pure Storage(PSTG)$ Hey, everyone! Welcome back. Today, I want to talk about one of my favorite companies of 2024—Pure Storage. By the end of the year, I was feeling pretty optimistic about it. However, as you've probably noticed, the market has taken a serious hit recently, and Pure Storage hasn't been spared. Its stock has seen a significant decline over the past week. Given this downturn, you might be wondering what a Chip Stock investor is doing with their position. That’s exactly what we’ll discuss today, along with the company’s outlook for the coming year. Where Pure Storage Fits in the Tech Landscape To refresh your memory, Pure Storage falls under the broad category of tech equipment and devices. It specializes in assembling storage syst
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano