To The Moon

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just delivered another blockbuster quarter. Revenue and profit both reached new highs, extending a trend we've now seen across multiple companies in the AI hardware supply chain. This wasn't simply a strong earnings report. It was another data point suggesting that AI infrastructure spending remains firmly intact. The Story Is Bigger Than TSMC Over the past week, several upstream semiconductor companies have delivered a remarkably consistent message. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ raised its full-year outlook. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ surprised the market with stronger profitability. TSMC reported another record quarter. Different busin

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ delivered another strong quarter. Revenue and earnings both came in ahead of expectations, and management raised full-year guidance for the second time this year. On the surface, this looks like another solid earnings report. But the bigger takeaway isn't about ASML alone. It's about what its results are telling us about the next phase of the AI infrastructure cycle. Equipment Makers Don't Tell You Who Wins. They Tell You How Long the Cycle Can Last. Unlike chip designers, ASML doesn't compete for AI market share. Its business sits much further upstream. That makes its guidance one of the clearest indicators of whether semiconductor manufacturers are still expanding capacity. When an equipment supplier sees accelerating dem

I think this week is likely to end with another "high opportunity, high volatility" week rather than a week where the market trends cleanly in one direction. The AI narrative hasn't broken—it is simply becoming more demanding. The market is moving from "buy anything related to AI" to "prove your earnings can justify the valuation." That is a much healthier environment, although it produces much sharper swings. Here are the major catalysts I will be watching. TSMC earnings will probably set the tone for the semiconductor sector This is arguably the biggest event of the week. Investors are looking for answers to questions such as: Are hyperscalers still spending aggressively? Is AI server demand slowing? Is HBM demand still constrained? Will TSMC raise guidance again? If

$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Unity Software Inc.(U) Jumps +4.31%: AI Ad Platform Fuels Rally, Eyeing $31.5 Resistance 📈 Latest Close Data: Stock closed at $30.73 on 2026-07-10, surging +4.31%. It's now 41.1% below its 52-week high of $52.15. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: 1) Continued positive sentiment following the company's strategic shift to focus on its core game engine and AI-powered Vector advertising platform. 2) The stock appears to be rebounding from recent sector-wide sell-offs in application software. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Volume was solid at 6.32M shares. The MACD (0.45) shows the bullish histogram expanding, indicating strengthening upward momentum. The 6-day RSI (73.08) is approaching overbought territory, suggesting the rally may

$SOXL 20260702 300.0 CALL$ sold call when $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ was skyrocketing. Then it plunged, collect premium from call. Sold put to collect premium again next week, anticipating a massive rebound

The rebound suggests investors still have confidence in the AI infrastructure story, and the quick recovery in memory names indicates the lawsuit has not materially changed the long-term demand outlook. However, one strong session does not confirm a new uptrend. A V-shaped recovery can evolve into a sustained rally if earnings, AI spending and macro conditions continue to support the sector. Equally, after such large gains this year, volatility is likely to remain elevated and sharp pullbacks should be expected. For long-term investors, I would lean towards selectively buying quality names on weakness rather than chasing a single day's rebound. If positions have become disproportionately large after the rally, trimming into strength to rebalance risk is reasonable. In short, treat this as

Over the past two weeks, Nokia has released a series of AI-related announcements. $诺基亚(NOK)$ Individually, none of them looked particularly game-changing. Taken together, however, they reveal a much bigger strategy. Nokia is quietly positioning itself as an AI infrastructure company. The latest announcement is its joint Silicon Valley Innovation Center with Freedom Holding. At first glance, it sounds like another corporate innovation lab. But the focus isn't consumer AI or chatbots. The center will develop AI data center blueprints, cloud infrastructure, advanced networking, 5G, edge computing, and AI-ready digital architecture. In other words, it's focused on building the foundation that future AI systems will run on. This becomes much more intere

$NVDL 20260626 116.0 CALL$ share for coins

The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</

$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  alot more potential to come with semiconductor as it is one of the most important part in today world of technology 

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ — Do Not Buy $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ — Do Not Buy $Adobe(ADBE)$ — Do Not Buy $Micron Technology(MU)$ — Strong Buy Recommendation $Intel(INTC)$ — Strong Buy Recommendation $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ NQ— Strong Buy Recommendation $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ — Strong Buy Recommendation $SpaceX(SPCX)$ — Strong Buy Recommendation If you're an investor, feel free to like and follow.

Recently, Intel's current CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, gave an exclusive interview to the tech podcast No Priors. $INTC designs and manufactures processors, chips, memory, and related hardware. In addition, the company provides software, optimization solutions, and artificial intelligence platforms. Tan revealed numerous investment directions, including CPUs, advanced packaging, glass substrates, gallium nitride, silicon carbide, indium phosphide, and diamond… Regarding future goals, Tan set a target of generating a 10-fold return for shareholders within 5 to 10 years. He predicts that Intel's business potential will be fully realized between 2030 and 2032, at which point the market will truly recognize its value. As of the closing bell on June 18th, Intel's stock rose 10.64%, hitting a new all-time h

On 2 March 2026, Nvidia announced a $4 billion combined investment in Coherent and Lumentum. The investment was split right down the middle, with $2 billion going to each. In early May 2026 (6 May), Nvidia made a $500 million strategic investment in Corning, structured as warrants. On top of that upfront $500 million, Nvidia also holds a warrant to buy up to 15 million shares at an exercise price of $180. If it eventually exercises everything, its total potential stake could reach around $3.2 billion. The partnership is a strategic supply-chain move. In exchange, Corning committed to expanding its U.S. optical fiber production capacity by more than 50% (and its broader optical-connectivity capacity tenfold), building three new U.S. plants to directly feed Nvidia’s AI ecosystem. Nvidia is b

$SOXS 20260618 4.5 PUT$ put got assigned which was my plan. Hedging in case $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  crashes

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ will let this call away at >$110. Hope still able to reach this target

The Federal Reserve's June 17 meeting delivered a distinct hawkish shock under new Chair Kevin Warsh. While the benchmark rate was held steady at 3.50%–3.75%, the updated dot plot revealed that 9 out of 19 officials now forecast at least one rate hike in 2026 — with 6 of them expecting multiple hikes. This sudden shift from easing expectations to potential tightening caused a brief sector rotation away from high-beta tech into value. However, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s after-hours resilience—climbing back toward $206 after closing regular hours down at $204.65 — highlights that macro noise is hitting a massive structural wall of enterprise AI demand. Will the Volatility Continue? Yes, in the short term. High-growth tech stocks are highly sensitive to the co

I think the market is sending a different message than most investors realize. NVDA fell only 2.4% while many AI and semiconductor names dropped 7-10%. If institutions truly wanted out of AI, NVDA would likely be leading the decline. Instead, money seems to be rotating out of weaker AI names and into the strongest one. To me, the key question is not whether AI spending slows. It's whether AI spending is shifting toward the winners. What I'm watching: ✅ FOMC and dot plot tonight ✅ Hyperscaler AI capex (Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google) ✅ Data center demand ✅ NVDA Blackwell adoption Bull case: - AI remains the dominant investment theme. - Any pullback becomes a buying opportunity. Bear case: - Higher-for-longer rates compress valuations. - Capital rotates into value stocks. Personally, I'm ho

For the next 6 months (to around December 2026), I would view NVIDIA as a stock with strong upside potential but also higher-than-average volatility. NVDA remains the dominant company in AI infrastructure, data-center GPUs, and next-generation AI computing. Wall Street’s current consensus remains strongly bullish, with average 12-month analyst targets generally clustering around US$290–310. My 6-Month Scenario Analysis Scenario 6-Month Target Bear Case US$180 – US$210 Base Case US$240 – US$280 Bull Case US$300 – US$350 Extreme Bull Case Above US$350 Current trading levels are around US$207. What Could Drive NVDA Higher? 1. Continued AI spending by hyperscalers such as Microsoft⁠, Amazon Web Services⁠, and Meta⁠. 2. Launch and adoption of the Rubin AI platform expected during the second

If I had to choose between holding the leader and rotating into weaker names, I would generally prefer holding the leader. A 2.4% decline in NVIDIA versus much larger drops in AMD, Marvell, Intel, and leveraged semiconductor ETFs suggests relative strength. When risk appetite fades, capital often concentrates in the highest-quality companies with the strongest balance sheets, margins, and competitive positions. The more important question is time horizon: If you're a short-term trader, this kind of sector rotation and volatility argues for tighter risk management and potentially reducing exposure. If you're a long-term investor, a 10-20% swing in semiconductor stocks is not unusual. The key thesis is whether AI infrastructure spending remains intact. What would concern me more than a singl

With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just delivered another blockbuster quarter. Revenue and profit both reached new highs, extending a trend we've now seen across multiple companies in the AI hardware supply chain. This wasn't simply a strong earnings report. It was another data point suggesting that AI infrastructure spending remains firmly intact. The Story Is Bigger Than TSMC Over the past week, several upstream semiconductor companies have delivered a remarkably consistent message. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ raised its full-year outlook. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ surprised the market with stronger profitability. TSMC reported another record quarter. Different busin

I think this week is likely to end with another "high opportunity, high volatility" week rather than a week where the market trends cleanly in one direction. The AI narrative hasn't broken—it is simply becoming more demanding. The market is moving from "buy anything related to AI" to "prove your earnings can justify the valuation." That is a much healthier environment, although it produces much sharper swings. Here are the major catalysts I will be watching. TSMC earnings will probably set the tone for the semiconductor sector This is arguably the biggest event of the week. Investors are looking for answers to questions such as: Are hyperscalers still spending aggressively? Is AI server demand slowing? Is HBM demand still constrained? Will TSMC raise guidance again? If

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ delivered another strong quarter. Revenue and earnings both came in ahead of expectations, and management raised full-year guidance for the second time this year. On the surface, this looks like another solid earnings report. But the bigger takeaway isn't about ASML alone. It's about what its results are telling us about the next phase of the AI infrastructure cycle. Equipment Makers Don't Tell You Who Wins. They Tell You How Long the Cycle Can Last. Unlike chip designers, ASML doesn't compete for AI market share. Its business sits much further upstream. That makes its guidance one of the clearest indicators of whether semiconductor manufacturers are still expanding capacity. When an equipment supplier sees accelerating dem

$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Unity Software Inc.(U) Jumps +4.31%: AI Ad Platform Fuels Rally, Eyeing $31.5 Resistance 📈 Latest Close Data: Stock closed at $30.73 on 2026-07-10, surging +4.31%. It's now 41.1% below its 52-week high of $52.15. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: 1) Continued positive sentiment following the company's strategic shift to focus on its core game engine and AI-powered Vector advertising platform. 2) The stock appears to be rebounding from recent sector-wide sell-offs in application software. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Volume was solid at 6.32M shares. The MACD (0.45) shows the bullish histogram expanding, indicating strengthening upward momentum. The 6-day RSI (73.08) is approaching overbought territory, suggesting the rally may

The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</

Over the past two weeks, Nokia has released a series of AI-related announcements. $诺基亚(NOK)$ Individually, none of them looked particularly game-changing. Taken together, however, they reveal a much bigger strategy. Nokia is quietly positioning itself as an AI infrastructure company. The latest announcement is its joint Silicon Valley Innovation Center with Freedom Holding. At first glance, it sounds like another corporate innovation lab. But the focus isn't consumer AI or chatbots. The center will develop AI data center blueprints, cloud infrastructure, advanced networking, 5G, edge computing, and AI-ready digital architecture. In other words, it's focused on building the foundation that future AI systems will run on. This becomes much more intere

Recently, Intel's current CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, gave an exclusive interview to the tech podcast No Priors. $INTC designs and manufactures processors, chips, memory, and related hardware. In addition, the company provides software, optimization solutions, and artificial intelligence platforms. Tan revealed numerous investment directions, including CPUs, advanced packaging, glass substrates, gallium nitride, silicon carbide, indium phosphide, and diamond… Regarding future goals, Tan set a target of generating a 10-fold return for shareholders within 5 to 10 years. He predicts that Intel's business potential will be fully realized between 2030 and 2032, at which point the market will truly recognize its value. As of the closing bell on June 18th, Intel's stock rose 10.64%, hitting a new all-time h

With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg

The Federal Reserve's June 17 meeting delivered a distinct hawkish shock under new Chair Kevin Warsh. While the benchmark rate was held steady at 3.50%–3.75%, the updated dot plot revealed that 9 out of 19 officials now forecast at least one rate hike in 2026 — with 6 of them expecting multiple hikes. This sudden shift from easing expectations to potential tightening caused a brief sector rotation away from high-beta tech into value. However, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s after-hours resilience—climbing back toward $206 after closing regular hours down at $204.65 — highlights that macro noise is hitting a massive structural wall of enterprise AI demand. Will the Volatility Continue? Yes, in the short term. High-growth tech stocks are highly sensitive to the co

Hey everyone, Last Friday's NFP shock gave us a real-time test of the framework we discussed just two hours before the print. While the market was leaning hard into the rate-cut story, I flagged two things: low expectations did not automatically mean a weak labor market, and the market was not pricing in enough risk around a higher-for-longer or more hawkish repricing. Since the livestream was conducted in Chinese, the slides shown below are excerpts from the original Chinese PPT used during the session. The print came in hot, risk assets came under pressure, and the cross-asset moves largely followed the path we discussed in the livestream. [Call #1: The leading indicators were already warning us] The market was leaning too far into the dovish story that night, but the underlying data tol

The  Silicon Roller Coaster & Which Chip Stocks to Buy? 🌟🌟🌟The semiconductor sector underwent an absolute high velocity short squeeze.  The Direxion 3x Leveraged Semiconductor Bull ETF ( SOXL) surged a violent 24% in a single session.  Memory giant Micron jumped 11.66%, networking master Marvell surged 11% and legacy titan Intel climbed 9.27%. Is this explosive bounce a good time to buy these semiconductor stocks or is it a brutal bear market trap? Let's take a closer look at what these stocks do and why they are up. $Micron Technology(MU)$  is the AI Storage Vault.  Micron is one of the only 3 global companies capable of manufacturing High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).  Think of graphics ch

The semiconductor sector has been an absolute thriller lately. This classic "roller coaster" behavior—where a sharp multi-week pullback is followed by an aggressive, violent rip to the upside—is exactly what we expect when macro jitters collide with undeniable, structural AI fundamentals. With $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ turning on a dime and surging over 24% off its immediate lows, the big question is how to play the pre-earnings summer stretch. Has the Sector Bottomed Out? It looks highly likely that we’ve put in a solid, medium-term local bottom. What we just witnessed wasn't a crack in the fundamental AI thesis; it was an inventory and valuation "cleansing cycle." Institutional capital used macroeconomic noise to shake

At 4.2%, headline inflation hit a three-year high. It looks scary on the surface. But the inflation signal that matters more for the Fed is actually moving lower. And last night’s sell-off in U.S. stocks may have had more to do with Iran risk than with inflation itself. Two major events collided last night: US headline CPI for May came in at 4.2% year-over-year, while the three major US stock indices nosedived in lockstep, with the Dow shedding nearly 1,000 points. Post-market commentary was practically unanimous: sticky inflation will force a hawkish pivot from the Fed, hence the market sell-off. This assessment gets the market logic backward. 1. Hawkish Headline, Dovish Core Let’s break down the CPI data first. While the 4.2% headline figure is jarring, it’s not the primary signal the Fe

At Computex, Huang announced Vera CPU entering mass production and RTX Spark crashing into the PC market — NVIDIA is now officially in the CPU business. The market voted with its feet: $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ surged +15.7% to $409, the biggest free-rider winner; $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ +6.3% to $224; while the x86 duo took it on the chin — $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ -1.2% to $510, $Intel(INTC)$ -4.7% to $109. A Barclays report just ranked the winners and losers of this $100B+ CPU war. For years the semiconductor spotlight was on GPUs. But over the past six months, AI wo

A Contradiction Hiding in Plain Sight On June 10, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released May CPI data. Core CPI came in at 3.8% year-over-year and 0.4% month-over-month—both above consensus expectations of 3.6% and 0.3%. Housing, transportation services, and electricity continued to drive the upside surprise. The Nasdaq Composite closed down 4.18%, its largest single-day decline in 14 months. The market's prior trading thesis was linear: ceasefire → oil price decline → inflation eases → Fed stays accommodative → tech stocks continue higher. But Brent crude had already fallen from $120 to $88. Energy's contribution to CPI was actively contracting. Inflation still printed above expectations, which means the force pushing prices higher is no longer in the energy complex. So what is? One answ

The rebound suggests investors still have confidence in the AI infrastructure story, and the quick recovery in memory names indicates the lawsuit has not materially changed the long-term demand outlook. However, one strong session does not confirm a new uptrend. A V-shaped recovery can evolve into a sustained rally if earnings, AI spending and macro conditions continue to support the sector. Equally, after such large gains this year, volatility is likely to remain elevated and sharp pullbacks should be expected. For long-term investors, I would lean towards selectively buying quality names on weakness rather than chasing a single day's rebound. If positions have become disproportionately large after the rally, trimming into strength to rebalance risk is reasonable. In short, treat this as

A leading global optical manufacturer recently partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED(YXT)$ ) to upgrade its new employee development and workforce capability system through digital tools and AI-enabled practice coaching. After the project was launched, the company reported a 68% improvement in management productivity, first-year attrition falling to 8.9%, and a 95% role competency rate. These results suggest that enterprise learning systems are no longer just tools for managing courses and training records. They can also support role capability development, organizational knowledge capture, and execution efficiency. For YXT, the project is a concrete example of its intelligent productivity strategy being appl

At GTC Taipei 2026, NVIDIA rolled out more than a dozen major announcements. The lineup was broad: Vera, a data center CPU built for AI agents; RTX Spark, a platform for personal AI PCs; DGX Station for Windows, a desktop AI supercomputer for enterprises; new robotics foundation models; autonomous driving platforms; and a broader AI factory stack. This was not just a product launch. It felt more like Jensen Huang laying out NVIDIA’s roadmap for the next stage of AI. The first AI boom put NVIDIA at the center of AI compute. This new roadmap points to a bigger ambition: NVIDIA does not just want to sell GPUs into the AI cycle. It wants to become the infrastructure layer underpinning the next generation of AI applications. 1. Vera: A CPU Built for the Agent Era AI demand is moving from pure t

The 2026 U.S. IPO market may not just be reopening. It may be asked to do something much harder: price three of the most important private-market stories in the world. SpaceX is the infrastructure bet. OpenAI is the gateway bet. Anthropic is the enterprise workflow bet. They are not ordinary tech companies, nor are they just another wave of short-term excitement in the IPO market. Together, they may mark the first time public markets are being asked to price, all at once, the defining themes of the next decade: the Space Age, the AGI Age, and the Enterprise Intelligence Age. But from an investment perspective, the bigger the company, the more dangerous it is to ask only one question: “Is it great?” A great company and a great investment are always separated by one thing: price. The real qu

One-Day Recovery... Then Back to Selling That didn't take long. Just one trading session after investors rushed back into semiconductor stocks, the rally abruptly reversed. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -1.0% $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.3% Dow Jones: +0.2% The market's message is becoming increasingly clear: Investors still believe in AI. They're just not sure what price they're willing to pay for it… The AI Trade Has Entered a New Phase For most of 2026, the formula was simple: Buy AI. Buy chips. Buy every dip. $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ SOX Now? Ever