To The Moon

My Investing Muse (31Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Technology job cuts in 2026 have already exceeded the full-year 2025 total, as companies shift budgets toward artificial intelligence and a narrower set of core products.Apple eliminated more than 200 positions: roughly 100 in Vision Pro, including a near shutdown of the gaming team and a smaller immersive-video unit, and about 100 in Siri and Intelligent Systems Experience as the assistant is rebuilt on a new AI architecture. LinkedIn is closing its Tel Aviv R&D center and cutting nearly all of its approximately 50 staff, a move disclosed earlier in August. TikTok cut 75 Bellevue roles, mainly engineers, data scientists, and TikTok Shop staff, after an earlier reduction of 250 jobs in Nashville. Oracle has instructed ma

News and my thoughts from the past week (31Aug2026) JPMorgan has said that there may be a large-scale food supply crisis in the next year. - Unusual Whale Bill Gates accuses the tech industry of knowingly downplaying AI's risks because too much money is at stake. Executives are worried in private but won't say so publicly, he told the NYT. Their reasoning, in his words: "It's bad for us — the next trillion dollars we're trying to raise." Gates says the industry blew past milestones it once said would warrant caution: models escaping their creators' control, AI producing bioweapon recipes. - X user International Cyber Digest AI agents are now using 5x more tokens than humans - X user Kalshi David Sacks: “I got bad news for you, Chamath, an open source ban is coming. They're not going to cal

Market Outlook of S&P500 (31Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.10. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve

Recently, Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. (“Shenling Environment”) partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $云学堂(YXT)$ ), a provider of enterprise intelligent productivity solutions, to jointly build a digital learning platform. Leveraging YXT’s platform capabilities, the partnership aims to support Shenling Environment in strengthening talent development and advancing knowledge management toward a more intelligent and digitalized model. As a leading company in China’s specialized air-conditioning industry, Shenling Environment is recognized as a national-level manufacturing champion enterprise and a key high-tech enterprise. The Company operates across multiple areas, including specialized air-conditioning systems and data

News and my thoughts from the past week (17Aug2026) OpenAI lost its chief revenue officer, its COO, its product chief, its VP, its head of marketing, its head of ethics, its head of safety, and its chief futurist in the span of a few months. The CRO, Denise Dresser, left after eight months and walked away from what would've been a huge IPO payout. OpenAI is valued at $852 billion and filed its IPO paperwork in June. Investors told CNBC they were surprised by Dresser's exit. - X user Hedgie Fed official Hammack calls to immediately raise interest rates. - X user Watcher Guru Jamie Dimon warns America could lose its reserve currency status within 25 years. @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$<

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.06. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interval, technical a

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 17Aug2026) Federal Reserve Focus The FOMC meeting minutes will be released this week and will be closely watched for signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Investors will look for guidance on how policymakers are assessing inflation, employment conditions, and the likely path of interest rates. Key Economic Indicators Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: The August reading will be released this week. The previous figure stood at 41.4, indicating contraction in the sector. Initial Jobless Claims: The latest claims data will also be announced, following a previous reading of 209,000. This will be an important labour-market indicator as the Federal Reserve balances inflation control with employment conditions. Crude Oil Invento

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 17Aug2026) Federal Reserve Focus The FOMC meeting minutes will be released this week and will be closely watched for signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Investors will look for guidance on how policymakers are assessing inflation, employment conditions, and the likely path of interest rates. Key Economic Indicators Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: The August reading will be released this week. The previous figure stood at 41.4, indicating contraction in the sector. Initial Jobless Claims: The latest claims data will also be announced, following a previous reading of 209,000. This will be an important labour-market indicator as the Federal Reserve balances inflation control with employment conditions. Crude Oil Inventories: Inve

$Rezolve AI(RZLV)$   That disconnect is the entire RZLV story in one sentence. Rezolve AI just reported preliminary H1 2026 revenue of $127 million, nearly 20 times higher than H1 2025. It has reaffirmed full-year guidance of $360 million. It has partnerships with TCS, Microsoft Foundry, and Zilch. Six analysts have a Strong Buy consensus with an average price target of $10.75. The stock is sitting at approximately $2.30, down 20% year to date and down 78% over three years. Either the analysts are wrong, or the market is pricing something the analysts are not. Understanding which is the only question worth answering. What Rezolve Actually Is Rezolve AI builds AI-powered commerce infrastructure. Not a chatbot. Not a search tool. The specific p

King of Kings, a renowned Chinese food brand specializing in traditional cured meat products with 86 years of heritage and part of Yuexiu Group, recently partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED(YXT)$ ) to integrate AI capabilities into its talent development system, exploring a new path from talent development toward organizational capability building. For enterprises with long-standing heritage and accumulated experience, business growth can often be achieved through market expansion and product innovation, while organizational capability requires continuous investment and long-term development. How to preserve corporate culture, replicate management experience, develop future leaders, and transform individual

Tonight is the most loaded single session of the 2026 earnings season. At 2pm ET the Fed announces. At 2:30pm Warsh speaks. After the close, Microsoft and Meta report. These are not independent events. They form a chain: the Fed sets the discount rate applied to every future dollar of AI spending, and then Microsoft and Meta immediately show whether those future dollars are materialising fast enough to justify the capex. If the Fed holds and sounds balanced, and both MSFT and META beat, the AI trade gets its first clean confirmation in months. If any one of the three goes wrong, the dominoes fall in sequence. Test One — The Fed at 2pm ET The base case is a hold at 3.50 to 3.75%. CME FedWatch currently assigns 64% probability to no change. But this is the second-most uncertain FOMC meeting

Tonight brings two major market tests at the same time. The Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by the press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET. After the U.S. market closes, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Meta Platforms(META)$ will report earnings. (联邦储备系统) One event will shape the valuation investors are willing to pay for growth stocks. The other will determine whether Big Tech’s enormous AI spending can still support those valuations. Put simply: The Fed sets the valuation ceiling. Microsoft and Meta test the AI earnings floor. Test No. 1: The Fed decision The Fed entered this meeting with its benchmark rate at 3.50%–3.75%. Holding rates steady remains the base case among economi

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Thursday, July 30, 2026, after the market closes (5:00 PM ET). Heading into the print, shares are trading around $231–$232. While Amazon has beaten earnings expectations in seven of the past eight quarters, recent market sensitivity around big-tech AI capital expenditures has driven heightened volatility across the hyperscaler group. Key Metrics to Watch Can Amazon's Massive AI Investments Be "Honored" (Monetized)? Yes. Unlike speculative software plays, Amazon’s AI spend is showing concrete structural returns across three key pillars: Custom Silicon Momentum: Amazon’s in-house AI chips (Trainium and Inferentia) reduce dependency on third-party GPU bottlenecks. Management noted cus

$Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ enter earnings week with the same central challenge: demonstrating that enormous AI investments are producing revenue quickly enough to justify their cost. Of the four, Microsoft appears to have the strongest evidence-backed setup because it combines direct AI monetization, accelerating cloud demand and diversified recurring revenue. Meta is a close second because AI is already improving advertising returns, while Apple has the lowest capital burden and Amazon faces the greatest near-term free-cash-flow pressure. Microsoft’s fiscal thir

AMZN

apple

Apple $Apple(AAPL)$  

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve

My Investing Muse (31Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Technology job cuts in 2026 have already exceeded the full-year 2025 total, as companies shift budgets toward artificial intelligence and a narrower set of core products.Apple eliminated more than 200 positions: roughly 100 in Vision Pro, including a near shutdown of the gaming team and a smaller immersive-video unit, and about 100 in Siri and Intelligent Systems Experience as the assistant is rebuilt on a new AI architecture. LinkedIn is closing its Tel Aviv R&D center and cutting nearly all of its approximately 50 staff, a move disclosed earlier in August. TikTok cut 75 Bellevue roles, mainly engineers, data scientists, and TikTok Shop staff, after an earlier reduction of 250 jobs in Nashville. Oracle has instructed ma

News and my thoughts from the past week (31Aug2026) JPMorgan has said that there may be a large-scale food supply crisis in the next year. - Unusual Whale Bill Gates accuses the tech industry of knowingly downplaying AI's risks because too much money is at stake. Executives are worried in private but won't say so publicly, he told the NYT. Their reasoning, in his words: "It's bad for us — the next trillion dollars we're trying to raise." Gates says the industry blew past milestones it once said would warrant caution: models escaping their creators' control, AI producing bioweapon recipes. - X user International Cyber Digest AI agents are now using 5x more tokens than humans - X user Kalshi David Sacks: “I got bad news for you, Chamath, an open source ban is coming. They're not going to cal

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve

Market Outlook of S&P500 (31Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.10. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 17Aug2026) Federal Reserve Focus The FOMC meeting minutes will be released this week and will be closely watched for signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Investors will look for guidance on how policymakers are assessing inflation, employment conditions, and the likely path of interest rates. Key Economic Indicators Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: The August reading will be released this week. The previous figure stood at 41.4, indicating contraction in the sector. Initial Jobless Claims: The latest claims data will also be announced, following a previous reading of 209,000. This will be an important labour-market indicator as the Federal Reserve balances inflation control with employment conditions. Crude Oil Inventories: Inve

Recently, Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. (“Shenling Environment”) partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $云学堂(YXT)$ ), a provider of enterprise intelligent productivity solutions, to jointly build a digital learning platform. Leveraging YXT’s platform capabilities, the partnership aims to support Shenling Environment in strengthening talent development and advancing knowledge management toward a more intelligent and digitalized model. As a leading company in China’s specialized air-conditioning industry, Shenling Environment is recognized as a national-level manufacturing champion enterprise and a key high-tech enterprise. The Company operates across multiple areas, including specialized air-conditioning systems and data

News and my thoughts from the past week (17Aug2026) OpenAI lost its chief revenue officer, its COO, its product chief, its VP, its head of marketing, its head of ethics, its head of safety, and its chief futurist in the span of a few months. The CRO, Denise Dresser, left after eight months and walked away from what would've been a huge IPO payout. OpenAI is valued at $852 billion and filed its IPO paperwork in June. Investors told CNBC they were surprised by Dresser's exit. - X user Hedgie Fed official Hammack calls to immediately raise interest rates. - X user Watcher Guru Jamie Dimon warns America could lose its reserve currency status within 25 years. @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$<

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.06. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interval, technical a

$Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ enter earnings week with the same central challenge: demonstrating that enormous AI investments are producing revenue quickly enough to justify their cost. Of the four, Microsoft appears to have the strongest evidence-backed setup because it combines direct AI monetization, accelerating cloud demand and diversified recurring revenue. Meta is a close second because AI is already improving advertising returns, while Apple has the lowest capital burden and Amazon faces the greatest near-term free-cash-flow pressure. Microsoft’s fiscal thir

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 17Aug2026) Federal Reserve Focus The FOMC meeting minutes will be released this week and will be closely watched for signals on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Investors will look for guidance on how policymakers are assessing inflation, employment conditions, and the likely path of interest rates. Key Economic Indicators Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: The August reading will be released this week. The previous figure stood at 41.4, indicating contraction in the sector. Initial Jobless Claims: The latest claims data will also be announced, following a previous reading of 209,000. This will be an important labour-market indicator as the Federal Reserve balances inflation control with employment conditions. Crude Oil Invento

Tonight is the most loaded single session of the 2026 earnings season. At 2pm ET the Fed announces. At 2:30pm Warsh speaks. After the close, Microsoft and Meta report. These are not independent events. They form a chain: the Fed sets the discount rate applied to every future dollar of AI spending, and then Microsoft and Meta immediately show whether those future dollars are materialising fast enough to justify the capex. If the Fed holds and sounds balanced, and both MSFT and META beat, the AI trade gets its first clean confirmation in months. If any one of the three goes wrong, the dominoes fall in sequence. Test One — The Fed at 2pm ET The base case is a hold at 3.50 to 3.75%. CME FedWatch currently assigns 64% probability to no change. But this is the second-most uncertain FOMC meeting

$Rezolve AI(RZLV)$   That disconnect is the entire RZLV story in one sentence. Rezolve AI just reported preliminary H1 2026 revenue of $127 million, nearly 20 times higher than H1 2025. It has reaffirmed full-year guidance of $360 million. It has partnerships with TCS, Microsoft Foundry, and Zilch. Six analysts have a Strong Buy consensus with an average price target of $10.75. The stock is sitting at approximately $2.30, down 20% year to date and down 78% over three years. Either the analysts are wrong, or the market is pricing something the analysts are not. Understanding which is the only question worth answering. What Rezolve Actually Is Rezolve AI builds AI-powered commerce infrastructure. Not a chatbot. Not a search tool. The specific p

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Thursday, July 30, 2026, after the market closes (5:00 PM ET). Heading into the print, shares are trading around $231–$232. While Amazon has beaten earnings expectations in seven of the past eight quarters, recent market sensitivity around big-tech AI capital expenditures has driven heightened volatility across the hyperscaler group. Key Metrics to Watch Can Amazon's Massive AI Investments Be "Honored" (Monetized)? Yes. Unlike speculative software plays, Amazon’s AI spend is showing concrete structural returns across three key pillars: Custom Silicon Momentum: Amazon’s in-house AI chips (Trainium and Inferentia) reduce dependency on third-party GPU bottlenecks. Management noted cus

Tonight brings two major market tests at the same time. The Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by the press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET. After the U.S. market closes, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Meta Platforms(META)$ will report earnings. (联邦储备系统) One event will shape the valuation investors are willing to pay for growth stocks. The other will determine whether Big Tech’s enormous AI spending can still support those valuations. Put simply: The Fed sets the valuation ceiling. Microsoft and Meta test the AI earnings floor. Test No. 1: The Fed decision The Fed entered this meeting with its benchmark rate at 3.50%–3.75%. Holding rates steady remains the base case among economi

King of Kings, a renowned Chinese food brand specializing in traditional cured meat products with 86 years of heritage and part of Yuexiu Group, recently partnered with YXT.com Group Holding Limited ( $YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED(YXT)$ ) to integrate AI capabilities into its talent development system, exploring a new path from talent development toward organizational capability building. For enterprises with long-standing heritage and accumulated experience, business growth can often be achieved through market expansion and product innovation, while organizational capability requires continuous investment and long-term development. How to preserve corporate culture, replicate management experience, develop future leaders, and transform individual

Apple $Apple(AAPL)$  

AMZN

apple