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06-15
US-Iran De-escalation: How Assets May React
$比特币ETF-iShares(IBIT)$ $黄金ETF-SPDR(GLD)$ After progress in U.S.-Iran talks, markets moved into risk-on relief: Oil fell, stock futures rose, inflation concerns eased, and safe-haven demand cooled. The key chain: Geopolitical risk falls → Oil falls → Inflation pressure eases → Bond pressure declines → Risk appetite improves But asset relationships are not fixed. If talks reverse, oil and gold may regain strength, while stocks and BTC may face pressure. Same event, different dominant driver, different asset reaction. Disclaimer For information, research and educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
TOPPageDickens: BTC usually reacts faster than gold here tbh — if oil stays soft, does IBIT keep the lead?
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06-15
Axioma ROOF™ Score Highlights: Week of June 15, 2026
Investor sentiment is set to rise this week on the diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran on reopening Hormuz. Details on the exact conditions of the deal and next steps are still unknown, but as far as investors are concerned, you had them at Hormuz – Japan opened up 5% on Monday at a new record-breaking high. Still, we’ve been here before with peace efforts in the Middle East, and details, when they emerge next week, will matter for durability and credibility. For the Iranian regime, time upgrades survival to triumph, not defeat, so the reality on the ground may be unchanged from before the war began. Again. But if “unchanged” means a return to oil at $60-$70, markets are fine with that. With war escalation off their call sheet for now, investors will keep an eye on deflating oi
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06-15
Will the US-Iran Truce Actually Save Your SGX Dividends? | EP1657🦖
Will the US-Iran Truce Actually Save Your SGX Dividends? | EP1657🦖 Everyone is cheering this US and Iran “peace deal” because oil dropped and Asia ripped higher overnight, but that is not how balance sheets work. A framework is not a treaty, and a lower oil headline does not rewind the last hundred days of costs companies have already swallowed. Forensic investing means asking who paid the time and money tax while the Strait of Hormuz was effectively shut, not just who looks cheap on your price screen today. Before you celebrate this rally, map your SGX names into those three buckets from the episode and ask which ones actually earned a place above your CPF Special Account, and which ones just got lucky with a headline. 📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/KwgAVdbnKvM 📩 Substack: https://investingi
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06-15
SPCX is brewing the most insane "low-float short squeeze" in history!
The countdown to the historic trillion-dollar behemoth's surge has begun: $SpaceX(SPCX)$ is brewing the most insane "low-float short squeeze" in history! Wall Street's short-selling crocodiles thought they could feast on the largest IPO in history, as usual. But this time, they dug their own graves. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ just debuted on Nasdaq with a terrifying valuation approaching $2 trillion. Short sellers, seeing the towering valuation and smelling blood, began frantically building short positions. They thought they had the fundamentals figured out, believing that SpaceX's massive GAAP loss of over $4 billion was its Achilles' heel. But these elites sitting in their corner offices miscalculated the most leth
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06-14
Systems of Record Won the SaaS Era - Clearinghouses Will Win the Agents Era
Back in December I wrote about the fight to become the front door to the systems of record. In that post I wrote about distribution, who sits between the user and the data (and why sitting there is strategic). This post is an expansion of that post (and the 1 or 2 I wrote after about similar topics). What really should AI companies be racing towards? If systems of record won in the SaaS era (ie they had the durable moats), what’s the equivalent in the AI era? Of course the answer is still partially “the system of record”, where maybe you swap out “record” with something like “agents” or “work".” But let’s come up with something new :) Let’s start by looking at the SaaS era, and what qualities created durable successful companies. In SaaS, one main goal just about every company aspired towa
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06-14
$SPCX at $2T: 20 Stocks Positioned to Benefit From the SpaceX Ecosystem
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ makes $20B/year with $2 trillion valuation. Its revenue will 100x in a few years says $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ These 20 companies will explode 10x-20x with SPCX: LAUNCH & INFRASTRUCTURE 1. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ — Small satellite launcher, competes & complements SpaceX launch cadence 2. $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ — Direct-to-cell satellite network, mirrors Starlink Mobile ambitions 3. $Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ — NASA lunar lander contracts, Starship Moon mission ground support 4. $Redwire Corp.(RDW)$ — Manufactu
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06-14
$AMZN Faces a Key Test, $MSFT Targets $397
Both Amazon and Microsoft are trading near critical technical levels. Amazon is attempting to stabilize at support, while Microsoft is looking to build a base after a recent pullback. Monday's price action should provide important clues on whether buyers are ready to regain control. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Oversold. Volume profile points to a make-or-break spot here, with oscillators calling for a relief bounce. On Monday, the price must stay here, since the closest support is at 234 (-1.85%). If there is a bounce, 240 is the resistance to watch. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ After nailing a high probability bearish move for subscribers, the price could find consolidation considering oversold conditions. Price action is b
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06-13
Buzz off Mag 7, MANGOS's here and staying !
Today’s post is taking a break from the usual all-serious, all-business posts that I have been sharing. Let’s hope it finds traction with you as it did with me. Let’s Go ! FAANG > Mag 7 > MANGOS ? Wall Street has never met an acronym it didn't like. FAANG gave way to the Magnificent 7, and now a fresh label is making the rounds among investors - trying to capture the next leg of the artificial intelligence (AI) trade. The new grouping, 50% marketing slogan and 50% investment thesis, goes by the name MANGOS. The constituents are: (Six members in total) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$. Anthropic. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$. OpenAI.
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @koolgal @Shyon @DiAngel @Aqa @Barcode @SherniceXuan 2000
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06-13
Relative Strength Rankings: The 30 Hottest Industry Groups
Relative strength data continues to highlight a broadening market advance, with leadership extending well beyond the AI and semiconductor complex. Over the past month, capital has rotated into a diverse group of industries spanning consumer discretionary, financials, healthcare, industrials, and technology. Among the strongest-performing groups are Leisure & Travel ( $INVESCO LEISURE AND ENTERTAINMENT ETF(PEJ)$ ), Homebuilders ( $iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF(ITB)$ $SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF(XHB)$), Retail ( $SPDR S&P Retail ETF(XRT)$ ), Transportation ( $iShares U.S. Tr
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06-13
The Difference Between +30% and +500%? These 4 Trading Principles
Outsized performance isn’t driven by trade selection alone—it comes down to these four principles, which have a far greater impact on your results than simply being right on a few trades. Two traders can run the exact same ideas over a full year and still end up with drastically different outcomes—anywhere from +30% to +500% on the same set of trades. The gap comes down to 1. Execution Quality — the same idea traded to the same exit price can be a 3R vs 10R difference on the same 1R loss. You multiply that by one full year of trade execution. Optimal entry is very important to me, and if you’re subscribed, you’ll know how strict I am about what qualifies as an actionable setup. I am very sure this is the biggest takeaway from the community how entry quality can define your performance in j
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06-13
Betting on SpaceX: 20 Stocks Positioned to Benefit from a $2 Trillion IPO
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ shares are priced at $135 for its $2 trillion IPO. Its return is 100x-200x by 2035. These 20 companies will benefit the most: 1. $BlackSky Technology Inc.(BKSY)$ ~$34 AI-ready Earth observation satellites feed SpaceX orbital intelligence layer. 2. $Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$ ~$20 Space data analytics monetizing SpaceX's growing orbital constellation. 3. $Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ ~$5 Air mobility networks integrate with Starlink's low-latency infrastructure. 5. $Satellogic(SATL)$ ~$7 High-resolution imaging complements SpaceX orbital AI compute constellation data.
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06-13
Why I'm NOT Buying the SpaceX IPO
Before I get to the SpaceX IPO, I’m going to be doing my regular State of the Portfolio series starting tomorrow. I hope this helps show what I do, and don’t, like about the stocks in the Asymmetric Portfolio today. After a rough start to 2026, my regular reviews have me liking the long-term trajectory of most companies, and valuations are compelling, but that doesn’t mean the market agrees with me. That will be going to premium subscribers and will be completed in a series of articles over the next few days. Now, on with my thoughts on SpaceX’s IPO. The SpaceX IPO $SpaceX(SPCX)$ is going public on Friday with a stock price of $135 per share and a market cap of $1.77 trillion. To be honest, this is one of the wildest IPOs I’ve ever seen. The debat
TOPI think underwater data centers built under the ocean or under rivers would be more efficient. ocean is closer, ships can be built larger, and can be maintained. we will have to see whether space vs ocean based data centers will be more efficient.
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06-12
$AMGN Rallies +4.84% on Oncology Catalyst, Bullish Crossover Signals Momentum Shift
$Amgen(AMGN)$ $Amgen, Inc. (AMGN) Surges +4.84%: Key Drug Approval Fuels Breakout, Eyes $359 Target 🚀 Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $354.06 on 2026-06-12, up +4.84% (+$16.33). The stock is now ~9.5% below its 52-week high of $391.29. Core Market Drivers 💊 The primary catalyst is the EU Commission's recent approval of Imdylltra® for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer, opening a significant new revenue stream and solidifying Amgen's oncology portfolio. Positive market sentiment is driving the breakout. Technical Analysis 🔍 Volume: Today's volume of 4.73M shares shows strong participation, with a Volume Ratio of 1.55 indicating above-average activity, confirming bullish conviction. MACD: The latest DIF (2.13) has crossed above the DEA (0.16), gen
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06-12
Data Center Demand Fuels $CAT Breakout Toward $900
$Caterpillar(CAT)$ $Caterpillar (CAT) Surges +4.84%: Heavy Machinery Giant Reclaims Momentum, $900 Breakout in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data CAT closed at $897.63 (+4.84% / +$41.47) on June 12, 2026. The stock is now just $49.20 (5.2%) shy of its 52-week high of $946.83. 🎯 Core Market Drivers The stock rebounded strongly after recent sell-offs, buoyed by management's confirmation of robust demand for data center backup power generators (1600-3000kW range). Ongoing institutional optimism (e.g., UBS) regarding a recovery in non-residential construction spending in H2 2026 continues to support the bullish narrative. 📊 Technical Analysis Volume was solid at 3.46M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.15), confirming the bullish move. The MACD(12,26,9) shows a narrowing
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06-12
$AMBA Surges 5%: Oversold Recovery, Bulls Eye $70 Breakout
$Ambarella(AMBA)$ $Ambarella (AMBA) Rebounds +5.06%: Semis Bounce Back, Eyes on $66.5 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close Data: 📊 Closed at $65.8 on 2026-06-12, up +5.06% (+$3.17). The stock is now ~31.9% below its 52-week high of $96.69. Core Market Drivers: 📰 Sector Rebound: AMBA is riding a wave of recovery in the broader semiconductor sector after recent heavy sell-offs. Rating Pressure Lingers: The stock remains sensitive to analyst sentiment, with recent downgrades (e.g., Summit Insights Group to "Hold") still weighing on investor confidence. Technical Analysis: 📈 Volume: Trading volume of 959k shares suggests moderate participation in the rebound. RSI (6): At 38.56, it's moving up from oversold territory (<30), indicating potential short-term buying mo
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06-12
Is the Inflation Rebound Just a False Spike?
This round of correction in the U.S. stock market has a very clear trigger: crude oil stayed at elevated levels for too long, pushing up U.S. inflation data. This, in turn, raised expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes and led to an unexpected surge in U.S. Treasury yields. As a result, capital rotated from equities into bonds, and under the pressure of higher interest rates, U.S. stocks experienced profit-taking and mean reversion. $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 - Jun 2026(MNQ2606)$ $ProShares UltraPr
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06-12
Futures Weekly： Equities Cool, Bonds Heat Up While Gold Falls Out of Favour
Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf
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06-12
$UPS Reclaiming $108 Momentum, Eyes $114 Resistance
$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$ $United Parcel Service (UPS) Surged +5.22%: Reclaiming Momentum Above $108, Eyes on $114 Resistance 📊 Latest Close Data Closed at $108.65 on 2026-06-12, up +5.22% (+$5.39). This brings it within ~11.2% of its 52-week high of $122.41. 🚀 Core Market Drivers Strong rebound following recent selling pressure related to internal share sales filings (Form 144/4). Market sentiment bolstered by solid dividend yield of 6.04%, attracting income-focused investors. Broader logistics sector stabilizing after concerns over Amazon's freight expansion eased. 📈 Technical Analysis Volume: Traded 5.09M shares (Volume Ratio: 0.98), indicating average participation in the rally. RSI: 6-day RSI at 58.9, recovering from oversold levels (&l
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06-12
$TXN Pushes Higher: Is This the Start of a New Uptrend?
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$ $Texas Instruments (TXN) Surged +5.35%: Rebounding from Support, Eyes $300 as Immediate Target 📈 Latest Close Data 🕐 As of June 12, 2026, TXN closed at $297.10, surging +5.35% (+$15.09). The stock is now ~10.4% below its 52-week high of $331.51. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock rebounded strongly from recent support, potentially fueled by continued institutional optimism regarding AI-driven demand for analog and embedded chips. The broader semiconductor sector showed signs of stabilization after a period of profit-taking, providing a favorable tailwind. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume: Trading volume was elevated at 9.86M shares (volume ratio 1.12), confirming the strength of the bullish move. RSI: The 6-day RSI jumped to 51.34
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06-12
Value Bounce or Dead Cat Move? $UAA $6.56 Key Level
$Under Armour Class A(UAA)$ $Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) Jumps +5.44%: Rebounding From Support, Eyes $6.2 Resistance Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $6.01 on 2026-06-12, up +5.44%. It's now ~26.2% below its 52-week high of $8.15. Core Market Drivers 🏀 The stock is rebounding from a significant sell-off in May, triggered by a weak FY27 revenue and profit outlook. The bounce suggests some investors see value at these levels, despite ongoing concerns about North American consumer spending and competitive pressures. Technical Analysis 🔍 Volume: Trading volume of 5.36M shares was solid, supporting the price move. RSI (6): At 71.73, it's entering overbought territory, signaling strong short-term momentum but potential for a pullback. MACD: The DIF line (-0.02