To The Moon

Recent capital flows in the financial markets paint quite an intriguing picture. While everyone is still watching to see if US stocks have peaked or will continue to surge, massive funds have quietly executed a major rotation. In today's note, I will use the latest market fund data to discuss these ongoing trend changes. Let me start with the conclusion: the current downward trend in U.S. stocks may not have actually ended, but until the S&P 500 posts a pullback of more than 8%, we should not preemptively assume this is a massive bear market. We can consider carefully building short positions, but once key market signals appear, we must take profits promptly and adjust our bearish view. $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Market Overview On June 10, The U.S. major indexes closed as follows: Dow Jones declined 1.87% at 49,918.78; S&P 500 declined 1.62% at 7,266.99; NASDAQ declined 1.98% at 25,169.50. A broad technology pull-back outweighed scattered strength in defensives, leaving all three benchmarks firmly in the red.Defensive sectors such as energy outperformed, but the dominant narrative remained a repricing of richly-valued chip and software leaders following months of outsized gains. On June 10, the total trading volume of US stock options was 64,695,028 contracts. Among them, 46% are put options and 54% are call options. 918 stocks have option volume that is greater than their 30 day moving average volume.Top 100 stocks account for 84% of today's volume. Top 10 Option Volumes Top 10:

At 4.2%, headline inflation hit a three-year high. It looks scary on the surface. But the inflation signal that matters more for the Fed is actually moving lower. And last night’s sell-off in U.S. stocks may have had more to do with Iran risk than with inflation itself. Two major events collided last night: US headline CPI for May came in at 4.2% year-over-year, while the three major US stock indices nosedived in lockstep, with the Dow shedding nearly 1,000 points. Post-market commentary was practically unanimous: sticky inflation will force a hawkish pivot from the Fed, hence the market sell-off. This assessment gets the market logic backward. 1. Hawkish Headline, Dovish Core Let’s break down the CPI data first. While the 4.2% headline figure is jarring, it’s not the primary signal the Fe

The upcoming $Space Exploration Technologies(SPCX)$ IPO on Friday, June 12, 2026, is an unprecedented event in market history, aiming to raise $75 billion. However, navigating this requires separating the sheer awe of the company's achievements from cold, hard financial engineering. To answer your questions accurately, we have to look closely at what SpaceX actually is today, what its valuation implies, and how capital flows work during major market structural shifts. The Valuation Reality: Is it Bigger than Microsoft? While SpaceX is seeking a staggering $1.75 trillion to $1.77 trillion valuation at its $135 IPO price—making it larger than giants like Alphabet or Amazon were just a few years ago — it does not actually top