Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 04May2026) International Market Closures China will be closed on Monday and Tuesday as the country observes Labor Day celebrations. This holiday may impact trading volumes and activity in Asian markets during these days. Key U.S. Economic Indicators The S&P Global Services PMI for April is projected to be 51.3, indicating an expansionary trend in the global services sector. New home sales data for March will be released, offering valuable insight into the current health of the real estate market. Several labour market indicators are scheduled for release in the coming week. JOLTS job openings for March will be published, with the previous figure at 6.882 million. This data will serve as an important reference for the Federal Reserve when con
📉 The “Ghost” of the Bull Market: A Lunch Confession
Had lunch with a friend yesterday. On IG, he looks like he’s made it—no 9-to-6, posting late-night US market wins, living that “financial freedom” life. I thought he cracked the code. He didn’t. He’s actually scared. He just turned 28 and said something that stuck with me: “I’m winning in the market, but losing in life.” 🚀 The Windfall That Changed Everything Three years ago, he was a fresh grad at a local bank. Started dabbling in Nvidia, IONQ, and Coherent, mixing in options and crypto. Within two years, he pulled off a high six-figure run. That kind of money, that fast, rewires your brain. One green candle out-earned his entire monthly salary. Naturally, he thought: “Why grind for peanuts?” So he quit. Went full-time. Selling covered calls for “passive income.” 🍱 The “GrabFood & Gam
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 04May2026) International Market Closures China will be closed on Monday and Tuesday as the country observes Labor Day celebrations. This holiday may impact trading volumes and activity in Asian markets during these days. Key U.S. Economic Indicators The S&P Global Services PMI for April is projected to be 51.3, indicating an expansionary trend in the global services sector. New home sales data for March will be released, offering valuable insight into the current health of the real estate market. Several labour market indicators are scheduled for release in the coming week. JOLTS job openings for March will be published, with the previous figure at 6.882 million. This data will serve as an important reference for the
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - is KKR worth a look? (04May2026)
Earnings Calendar (04May2026) In the coming week the most anticipated earnings releases include that of Palantir, Tyson, Berkshire Hathaway, AMD, PayPal, Walt Disney, KKR, and McDonald’s. Who is KKR? KKR & Co. Inc. is a leading global investment firm founded in 1976 that pioneered the private equity industry. As of early 2026, it manages approximately $744 billion in assets, operating across private equity, credit, infrastructure, real estate, and capital markets. Known for its hands-on “one-firm” approach, KKR aims for operational excellence in its portfolio companies, holding investments for 5–7 years. The firm has evolved into a diversified alternative asset manager, including a major insurance business through Global Atlantic. Led by co-CEOs Joe Bae and Scott Nuttall, KKR operates
Market Outlook of S&P500 (04May2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is trending up. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.46, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are s
News and my thoughts from the past week (04May2026) We are seeing a historic earnings boom. The current year-over-year blended earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is a whopping +27.1%, more than DOUBLE the +13.1% expected. With ~63% of S&P 500 companies reporting Q1 earnings thus far, we are on track for the highest earnings growth rate since Q4 2021. Meanwhile, Magnificent 7 companies alone are now guiding over $700 BILLION in CapEx spend for 2026 alone. There has never been a more historic time to own assets than now. Asset owners are winning. - X user The Kobeissi Letter UN boss Guterres just went full doomsday mode on the Strait of Hormuz chaos: If it drags on, we’re staring at global recession, inflation exploding past 6%, 32 million more people shoved into poverty, and
My Investing Muse (04May2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Germany is rapidly heading towards a severe economic crisis. Germany's unemployment rate reached 6.4%, the highest since the Covid-19 peak, which also was at 6.4%. - X user Megatron Cognizant to cut 4,000 jobs as consulting industry continues to see mass job shedding - MacroEdge UK business closures average 71,000 every quarter Chegg is now down 99% from its peak because AI has killed its business entirely. Chegg was a $14.7 billion edtech company that charged students $20 a month for homework answers from a database of 79 million solutions built over a decade. Then ChatGPT launched in November 2022. Five months later Chegg’s CEO admitted it was destroying their business. The stock dropped 48% in a single day. Revenue droppe
After 34 years of service, one of America’s most recognizable low-cost carriers Spirit Airlines has officially shut down its operations permanently All flights have been canceled, and customer service systems have gone offline 17,000 jobs lost. Fuel costs are up. Unemployment is up. And businesses can’t afford to stay affordable. Other ULCCs like Frontier Airlines are under similar pressure from sky-high jet fuel costs (doubled amid Iran-related oil disruptions), debt loads, and thin margins. Allegiant and some European/Indian carriers (e.g., SpiceJet) have also flagged risks of cuts or worse. Majors like Delta/United are raising fares, slashing unprofitable routes, and hiking fees to weather it instead of folding. Broader industry consolidation likely ahead. The above is taken
SGX Weekly Gainers & Movers 3 May 2026: 100 Dollar Yield on 100,000 | 🦖EP1589
SGX Weekly Gainers & Movers 3 May 2026: 100 Dollar Yield on 100,000 | 🦖EP1589The market is celebrating S$100,000 “income portfolios” built on 6 per cent REIT yields, but the math says those same portfolios cannot cover one month of Singapore utilities once you factor in 36 per cent gearing and creeping DPU cuts. I am watching investors rotate from “safe” REITs into AI proxies that yield 0.1 per cent while private credit funds start quietly gating redemptions, and the pattern looks less like diversification and more like a slow-motion liquidity trap. My stance is simple: without a real yield that survives refinancing and credit stress, the headline number is a distraction, not a sanctuary.From an investor mindset, this is the worst possible time to confuse motion with progress, because
Microsoft’s AI Test: Pricing Genius or Profit Mirage?
The Market’s First Real AI Reckoning I see Microsoft not as a participant in the AI trade, but as its first genuine stress test—where ambition, capital, and monetisation collide in plain sight. After a sharp stumble in early 2026, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has become the market’s most consequential question mark. It is no longer enough that the company leads in AI. What matters now is whether that leadership produces incremental profit, or simply gets absorbed into an already dominant ecosystem. That distinction is where the entire debate sits. The Hidden Risk: Giving AI Away Too Cheaply AI dominance means little if pricing power quietly evaporates I believe the real battleground is not technological leadership, but pricing architecture. Microsoft is embe
Datadog, Inc. Soared +6.31%: AI Observability Leader Eyes $177, Consolidation Above $140 Key
Latest Close Data Closed at $140.53 on 2026-05-01, up +6.31% (+$8.34). Currently ~$61.16 (30.4%) below its 52-week high of $201.69. Core Market Drivers Strong momentum driven by robust demand for AI infrastructure monitoring solutions. The company continues to benefit from enterprise cloud migration and the critical need for observability in complex, AI-driven environments. Positive sentiment is reflected in significant pre-market and after-hours activity. Technical Analysis Volume of ~6.25M shares shows healthy participation (Volume Ratio: 1.50). The MACD (DIF: 4.13, DEA: 2.48, MACD: 3.32) is bullish and expanding, indicating strong upward momentum. The 12-day RSI at 68.98 approaches overbought territory but is not yet extreme, supporting the bullish short-term view. Key Price Levels Prim
Seagate Technology (STX) Soars +7.91%: Tests 52-Week High at $728, Momentum Peaking
Latest Close (2026-05-01): $726.93, up +7.91% (+$53.29). The stock traded within $663.30 - $728.00 and closed just 0.15% below its 52-week high of $728.00. Core Market Drivers: Strong momentum continues as STX benefits from robust data center demand for storage solutions. The stock's significant appreciation reflects investor confidence in its high-margin product mix and execution, despite a lack of specific breaking news today. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 7.39M shares (Volume Ratio 1.28), confirming the bullish breakout. The MACD (61.22) is accelerating above its signal line (47.85), printing a strong positive histogram of 26.75. However, RSI(6) at 91.36 and RSI(12) at 85.71 are deeply in overbought territory, signaling a potential near-term pullback risk. Key Price Levels: Prima
$SanDisk (SNDK) Soars +8.25%: Record High Breakout, $1200 In Sight
Latest Close: Closed at $1187.00 on May 1, up 8.25% (+$90.49). The stock is trading at its 52-week high of $1189.24. Core Market Drivers: The stock surged to a new 52-week high amid strong institutional interest and a bullish technical breakout. The recent capital flow data shows significant one-day net inflows of over $6.38 billion, driven by broad-based buying, indicating strong market conviction. Technical Analysis: Volume of 23.17M shares was amplified (VR=1.78), confirming the breakout. The MACD histogram surged to 33.96, signaling strong bullish momentum acceleration. RSI(6) is elevated at 79.65, approaching overbought territory, which suggests the rally may need a brief pause for consolidation. Key Price Levels: Primary Support: $1048.00 (Today's low) Strong Resistance: Immediate ps
$Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY) Jumps +8.30%: Short Squeeze Potential Ignites, $11.09 Breakout Test
Latest Close Data Closed at $11.09 (May 1, 2026), up +8.30% from $10.24. The stock is now trading 46.8% below its 52-week high of $20.86. Core Market Drivers The significant daily price surge (+8.30%) on elevated volume (Volume Ratio 1.33) suggests strong buying interest, potentially fueled by short covering (short volume ratio recently as high as 40%). No specific breaking news found, but the market may be reacting to renewed optimism around the merged media entity's streaming strategy. Technical Analysis Volume surged with a ratio of 1.33, confirming the breakout. RSI(6) spiked from an oversold 24.04 to 57.77, indicating a strong momentum shift. However, MACD remains negative at -0.186, with DIF (0.111) still below DEA (0.204), suggesting the bullish momentum is nascent and needs confirm
CBOE Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) Soared +8.95%: Exchange Giant Breaks Resistance, Testing 52-Wk Hi
Latest Close Data Closed at $326.96 (ET 2026-05-01), up +8.95% ($26.87). The stock closed just $2.83 shy of its new 52-week high of $329.79. Core Market Drivers A surge in trading activity across derivatives markets is likely driving interest. Strong institutional ownership (e.g., Vanguard, BlackRock) provides a stable base. No major negative headlines today, allowing the breakout to proceed. Technical Analysis Volume was robust at 1.57M shares (Volume Ratio 2.15), confirming the breakout move. The 6-day RSI jumped to 77.28, entering overbought territory, signaling strong short-term momentum. MACD (5.42, DEA 4.17, MACD 2.51) shows a powerful bullish crossover and widening histogram, reinforcing the uptrend. Key Price Levels Primary Support: $300.1 (Previous day's close and key breakout lev
Latest Close Data As of May 1, 2026, TSLL closed at $13.07, up 4.81% (+$0.60). The ETF remains -45.0% below its 52-week high of $23.74. Core Market Drivers The move appears to be a technical rebound from the $12.11 support level, likely driven by a relief rally in its underlying asset, Tesla (TSLA). The high daily turnover of 22.97% indicates active trading, but persistent net capital outflows over the past five days suggest underlying selling pressure. Technical Analysis The surge was supported by high volume (94.36M shares) and a Volume Ratio of 1.20, confirming the day's buying interest. Key indicators are not provided in the data, but the price action shows a recovery from the day's low of $12.34, testing the immediate pivot. Key Price Levels Primary Support: $12.11. The level from whi
Latest Close Data: ESPR closed at $3.11 on 2026-05-01, surging +55.50% from the previous close. The price is now about 25% below its 52-week high of $4.17. Core Market Drivers: The massive single-day move appears driven by significant institutional and retail buying interest, evidenced by a huge volume of 182M shares and a turnover rate of 70.82%. No specific news was provided, but the technical breakout itself is a major driver. Technical Analysis: The surge was accompanied by extreme volume (Volume Ratio: 29.21). The 6-day RSI rocketed to 91.85, indicating severely overbought conditions. The MACD (12,26,9) histogram turned strongly positive at +0.188, confirming a powerful bullish momentum shift. Key Price Levels: Immediate Pivot/Resistance: $3.11 (yesterday's identified resistance) Prim
Latest Close Data Closed at $16.43 on 2026-05-01 (ET), up +2.05% (+$0.33). The stock remains ~$16.30 below its 52-week high of $32.73. Core Market Drivers The stock is rebounding from a recent oversold condition. The broader market sentiment and potential easing of financial sector pressures are providing a tailwind for fintech names. Company-specific news appears light, suggesting technical factors are the primary driver. Technical Analysis Volume: 79.3M shares, below average (Volume Ratio: 0.88), indicating a lack of strong conviction in the move. MACD: DIF (-0.161) remains below DEA (0.053) with a negative MACD histogram (-0.429), signaling a persisting bearish momentum, though the histogram is less negative than the prior day. RSI: The 6-day RSI at 35.8 is recovering from oversold terr
Latest Close Data Closed at $38.67 on 2026-05-01, up +3.34% (+$1.25). Now just $0.53 away from its 52-week high of $39.20. Core Market Drivers Positive sentiment is driven by strong recent quarterly earnings and robust user growth across its dating app portfolio (Tinder, Hinge). Major institutional buying, notably from BlackRock, signals confidence in the company's strategic direction. Technical Analysis Volume was elevated at 4.24M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.54), confirming the breakout. While specific MACD/RSI data is unavailable, the price action and high volume indicate strong upward momentum, challenging key resistance. Key Price Levels Primary Support: $31.11 (Previous consolidation base). Strong Resistance/Immediate Pivot: $38.71 - $39.20 (Recent high and 52-week high). A decisive brea
$Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM) Skyrocketed +29.58%: Massive Gap-Up on Strong Volume, $90 Key Lev
Latest Close Data Closed at $88.88 on May 1, 2026, up a staggering 29.58% (+$20.29). This marks a significant recovery, though still down 61.7% from its 52-week high of $232.36. Core Market Drivers The explosive surge appears to be driven by a combination of a heavily oversold condition and potential positive sentiment around its forward-looking valuation. No specific news was flagged, but the move suggests a major re-rating or reaction to recent earnings/guidance. Technical Analysis The move was accompanied by massive volume (27.4M shares, Volume Ratio 4.81), confirming strong institutional interest. The MACD (DIF: 0.96, DEA: -1.12, MACD: 4.16) has just executed a powerful bullish crossover above the zero line, a strong buy signal. The RSI(6) spiked to 81.03, indicating the stock is now i