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04-07 17:40
DBS at $57.63 and 4.59% Yield | SGX Daily Pulse 07 Apr 2026 | 🦖EP1532
DBS at $57.63 and 4.59% Yield | SGX Daily Pulse 07 Apr 2026 | 🦖EP1532The STI is flirting with 5,000 because the market sees recovery, but my spreadsheet sees S$178m of Air India losses, 38.7% gearing at “infrastructure” trusts, and US REITs sitting at 45.0% leverage one bad valuation away from a cash call. When DBS prints a 4.59% yield, SIA is loved for load factors, and Del Monte is still trading with negative US$618m equity plus an auditor disclaimer, I cannot pretend these are harmless “income” positions in a CPF or SRS account. My stance is simple: if the cash flow is funding someone else’s restructuring, it has no business being labelled retirement‑grade.In a 5,000‑point STI world, the benchmark is not your neighbour’s portfolio, it is the 1.37–1.46% Singapore T‑Bill and a hard 3.2% F
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04-07 21:04
The question cuts to the core: is this a blip, or a regime shift? --- 1. JPM’s call: extreme, but not random The ~$145 target implies: Tesla trades like a normal auto company, not a tech platform Margins compress + growth slows materially AI/robotaxi premium gets discounted That is a full de-rating thesis, not just a bad quarter. --- 2. What the Q1 miss is really signalling The numbers matter less than the pattern: Inventory +50k units → supply > demand Deliveries miss despite production strength Price cuts already exhausted in many regions This is not just logistics noise. It suggests: > Demand elasticity is weakening at current price points --- 3. The real debate: two Teslas Bull case (what market still prices) Not a car company, but an AI + autonomy platform Robotaxi, Optimus, FSD
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04-07 22:25
$INCANNEX HEALTHCARE LTD(IXHL)$ IXHL is one of the clearest examples of why small-cap biotech stocks can destroy investor trust. The biggest problem is dilution risk. In March 2026, Incannex announced a US$10 million registered direct offering priced at US$5.00 per share with accompanying warrants, and it also expanded its sales-agreement capacity by another US$50 million of common stock issuance. For existing shareholders, that creates a heavy overhang and makes it hard to feel protected. The business is still highly speculative. In its quarterly reporting, the company said it generated no revenue for the December 2025 quarter and does not expect material revenue unless and until its drug candidates are approved. It also reported continuing oper
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04-07 22:39
$Plug Power(PLUG)$
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04-07 23:34
I still remember last April clearly — when tariff headlines triggered a waterfall selloff. What I learned is simple: panic-selling is usually the worst move. When $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ crashed, the rebound came just days later. That taught me to stay disciplined and not get shaken out at the bottom. Going into tonight, I’m staying cautious. With $FUT:WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ already elevated, the setup feels very binary. I’m not chasing — just holding some cash and keeping hedges on. For me, capital preservation matters more than trying to perfectly call the move. Liquidity and flexibility are my priority here. I think the mark
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04-07 23:41
I find both strategies interesting, but I wouldn’t take the “100% win rate” literally. CNBC’s “Markets in Turmoil” makes sense psychologically — extreme fear often marks a bottom — but it’s based on limited historical context. Similarly, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ being higher a year later reflects long-term upward bias, not a guaranteed signal. The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 35/15 rule feels more practical since it measures market sentiment. High VIX shows panic, low VIX shows complacency, but I see it as a guideline rather than a strict rule — markets can stay fearful or calm longer than expected. I wouldn’t rely on t
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04-08 02:27
$United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Texas Oil Index ETF(OILT)$ 🔥🛢️⚠️ $USOIL Regime Shift: $USO Captures Structural Breakout as Physical Scarcity and Geopolitical Convexity Collide 📈🌍🚨 Crude oil is no longer in a rally. It is repricing into a new regime. WTI is holding $114–$115, its highest level since Jun22 and now within range of the $129.42 cycle high. What matters to me is not just the level, but the structure. Futures, physical markets, and systematic flows are all confirming the move simultaneously. I’m analysing this through three converging forces. Momentum, physical tightness, and convex geopolitical risk. 📊 Systema
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Shyon @JC888 @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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04-08 03:05
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊📉📊 $QQQ Mixed Gamma Regime Tightens as $4.8M Bearish Flow Builds While $SPY Trades Inside Institutional Liquidity Corridor 📊📉📊 $QQQ is now firmly embedded in a mixed gamma regime, where near-term dealer support masks a more fragile underlying structure. Short-dated positioning continues to dampen realised volatility, effectively pinning price action. However, the distribution of longer-dated negative gamma introduces latent instability, meaning any displacement move has the potential to accelerate non-linearly. I’m seeing a clear bifurcation in dealer behaviour, stable a
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04-08 05:12
🌟🌟🌟Singapore inflation is like that one relative who keeps showing up uninvited, persistent, annoying & unwanted. Yes CDC vouchers do help a little bit let's be honest: they are like Panadol for a headache. They are comforting, useful but not enough when chicken rice hits $10 & Kopi is $5! But here is the twist: Even as everything gets pricier, the Singapore market quietly rewards those who stay invested, not those who panic every time oil spikes or headlines scream. I will continue to stay invested especially in our local banks $DBS(D05.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.
TOPNice Sharing 😁 yes, invest the banks 😉 @DiAngel @Shyon @JC888 @Aqa @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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04-08 05:44
Why Kimly Is My Micro Cap Moonshot 🌟🌟🌟In a world obsessed with AI software and geopolitical drama, sometimes the biggest home runs are hidden in plain sight. While the market waits for Trump's Deadline for Iran, I am looking at a universal truth: People always need to eat. The Venture Mindset Strategy According to the principles of the Venture Mindset you don't look for steady 2% gains. You look for Moonshots where the upside is asymmetric. In the micro cap space, I am betting on a business that scales through human necessity. My Moonshot: Kimly $Kimly(1D0.SI)$ Kimly isn't just a stall. It is a massive, vertically integrated food empire in Singapore. Kimly is one of the largest traditional coffeeshop operators
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04-08 07:18
Continued "Whipsaw" Volatility Expected. Monitor For ETFs and Options Play.
The situation involving the U.S.-Iran conflict is reaching a critical inflection point as of today, Wednesday, April 8, 2026. The volatility you're seeing in the markets is a direct reflection of the "deadline diplomacy" currently at play. The April 7th Deadline: Did it Shift? Yes, it effectively shifted. While President Trump initially insisted that the 8:00 PM ET deadline on April 7, 2026, was "final," he agreed to a two-week suspension of planned military strikes (specifically targeting Iran's energy infrastructure and bridges). The Catalyst: The extension came after a direct appeal from Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who is acting as a key mediator. Current Status: There is now a "double-sided ceasefire" in place for the next 14 days to allow for negotiations on a definitive
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04-08 07:40
Nvidia Has Gained Some Ground After Falling For Months. What Its Chart Says Now $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
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04-08 08:33
Inflation "One-Two Punch" - April 9–10 Data -> Inflection Point For 2026
With the February PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data scheduled for release on April 9 and the March CPI (Consumer Price Index) following on April 10, the market is entering a high-stakes 48-hour window that will likely dictate the narrative for the rest of Q2 2026. As of today, April 8, the anticipation of these back-to-back reports is the primary driver of current volatility. Here is how these releases are expected to shape market movements. Immediate Impact: The "Inflation One-Two Punch" The timing of these releases is unique, as they cover two different reference months (February and March) in consecutive days. This creates a high probability of a "re-pricing" event. Scenario A: Hotter-than-Expected Data If either report shows inflation sticking above the 3% mark (current fore
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04-08 09:42
PetroChina - new call warrant to trade shares amid stock upgrades
📊 $PETROCHINA(00857)$ shares have experienced significant volatility over the past three months, climbing from HKD 9 in early February to a peak of HKD 11.14 on 30 March on the back of a jump in oil prices 🆙This month, various research houses upgraded their target prices on PetroChina shares to targets of HKD 10.30 and HKD 11.70. Bloomberg analysts have a 4.6/5.0 buy rating on the share with a 12-month target price of HKD 11.57 📢Yesterday, PetroChina made a voluntary announcement regarding the results of an increase in shareholding by its controlling shareholder 🛑PetroChina shares are down 2.7% this morning to HKD10.48 after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire and a resumption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz - sending crude o
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04-08 14:11
My stock in focus today is $Western Digital(WDC)$ , after a strong after-hours jump following a bullish report from $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ . The firm raised its price target to $380 (bull case $519) and reiterated its Overweight rating, highlighting rising confidence in the company’s earnings outlook. The key driver is a structural shift in the HDD market. With limited players and no new capacity, supply remains tight, allowing Western Digital to secure higher long-term pricing from hyperscalers. This could push margins into the mid-to-high 50% range by 2027, signaling a major profitability upgrade. Despite this, valuation remains relatively low at around 13–14x projected 2027 earnings, with estimates above
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04-08 14:42
Today’s rebound shows how fast sentiment can flip. With easing tensions, risk appetite returned, lifting indices like the S&P 500, NASDAQ Composite, and the Hang Seng Index. Glad to see my portfolio bounce back about $2,000 USD — a solid recovery after the recent volatility. I’ve been sticking with high-conviction tech and AI names, which typically react fast when macro fears fade. The rebound in assets like Bitcoin also signals liquidity is still strong. That’s why I chose to stay patient instead of panic selling. Staying disciplined with my strategy really paid off today. This still feels like the early stage of a recovery, not the end. I’ll be watching tonight’s U.S. session closely — for now, I’ll take the $2K gain, but expecting more upside if momentum holds. If the rally continu
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04-08 16:53
14-Day Ceasefire: From Panic to Positioning — What Comes Next? Six weeks into the war, the market finally got something it hadn't had in a while — good news. A two-week ceasefire. And the reaction was immediate. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
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04-08 17:45
🌟🌟🌟It has been a wild ride in the markets today. Just as everyone was bracing for a "Stone Age" blackout, the markets rallied after Trump pulled back from a brink of "total & complete demolition" of Iran. Singapore stocks are celebrating. Leading the charge is $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ which surged 2.2% while $UOB(U11.SI)$ rose 1.5% and $DBS(D05.SI)$ stayed firm, after a volatil
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04-08 17:57
The market is transitioning from a macro-driven regime (war risk, oil shock) to a micro-driven regime (earnings, guidance, positioning). That shift matters more than the flat close. --- 1) What just changed The removal of Iran tail risk does not create upside by itself. It simply: Compresses risk premium Lowers volatility (VIX fades) Forces capital back into fundamentals So the question is no longer “what if war escalates?” It is now “are earnings strong enough to justify current valuations?” --- 2) Can earnings drive the next leg? Yes, but selectively. Not broad index melt-up. Why: S&P already near highs → multiple expansion is limited Upside now depends on: Forward guidance AI capex continuity Margin resilience (labour + input costs) Base case: Beat + raise → strong moves (5–10%) Bea
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04-08 17:58
The 15% drop looks dramatic, but calling the oil bull market “over” is premature. What you are seeing is a collapse in risk premium, not a collapse in fundamentals. --- 1) What actually caused the crash Ceasefire + reopening of the Strait of Hormuz (≈20% of global oil flow) Immediate removal of “worst-case supply shock” pricing Brent fell ~13–16% to ~$92–95 In simple terms: > Oil didn’t fall because demand is weak. Oil fell because war premium got repriced out instantly. --- 2) Why this is NOT the end of the bull case (A) Prices are still structurally elevated Pre-war: ~$70 Now: ~$90+ even after crash That is still a tight market, not a bearish one. --- (B) Supply is not fully normalised Tanker traffic recovery is uncertain and slow Output was cut during conflict