I find both strategies interesting, but I wouldn’t take the “100% win rate” literally. CNBC’s “Markets in Turmoil” makes sense psychologically — extreme fear often marks a bottom — but it’s based on limited historical context. Similarly, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ being higher a year later reflects long-term upward bias, not a guaranteed signal.

The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 35/15 rule feels more practical since it measures market sentiment. High VIX shows panic, low VIX shows complacency, but I see it as a guideline rather than a strict rule — markets can stay fearful or calm longer than expected.

I wouldn’t rely on these strategies alone, but I’d use them as a sentiment overlay. For me, it’s about scaling in during fear, staying disciplined, and avoiding emotional moves, rather than trying to time the market perfectly.

@Tiger_chat @TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_comments

# S&P, Dow Break Records: Would January Effect Last?

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  • keke006
    ·04-08 19:29
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    Spot on! Sentiment indicators like VIX help, but staying disciplined beats over-reliance. [看涨]
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    • Shyon
      Aboslutely, agree with you
      04-09 18:09
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