To The Moon

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  Bullish on Amazon stock up 64% buying more at these prices I have price target of $360 by year's end 

The bears got absolutely steamrolled today. 😈 U.S. stocks came roaring back with a vengeance — all three major indices closed up more than 1%, while the Nasdaq surged nearly 2% as Big Tech flexed hard. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and the Magnificent Seven crew led the charge, reminding everyone who still runs this market. 📈💪 Risk appetite didn’t just return — it flooded every corner: 🥇 Spot gold blasted +3.2%, pushing fresh highs 🥈 Silver went full rocket mode with +7.4% 🪙 Bitcoin reclaimed $68,000 after dipping under $61,000 earlier this week — a 12%+ swing in days Altcoins and meme tokens joined the party, Solana +9%, Ethereum +8% Commodities, equities, crypto — everything risk-related caught massive bids at the same time. That kind of synchronized move usually screams liquidity is back

Anthropic just flipped the script on the software world with its release of 11 game-changing plugins for Claude Cowork on January 30, sparking a brutal selloff that erased $285 billion across software, finance, and asset management stocks in a single session. This isn't your typical model upgrade – these tools dive straight into full workflows like financial modeling, legal research, and sales operations, bypassing APIs to own the application layer outright. Bloomberg's data paints the carnage: Goldman's software basket plunged 6% in its worst drop since April, the financial services index tanked 7%, and Nasdaq dipped 2.4% at its low. Wall Street's dubbing it the “SaaSpocalypse,” as foundation model giants like Anthropic shift from enablers to dominators, threatening markets built on autom

This looks less like a clean risk-on regime shift and more like a classic post-deleveraging reflex rally. Equities. The breadth and magnitude of the rebound suggest forced selling has largely run its course for now. Big Tech leadership points to short covering and systematic re-risking rather than fresh conviction. A true risk-on turn would normally be accompanied by stabilising real yields and follow-through volume over several sessions. Precious metals. Gold and silver rising alongside equities is not a textbook “liquidity flood” signal. Instead, it is consistent with a rebound after margin-driven liquidation. Silver’s outsized move, in particular, reflects how violently it was sold into previously. This behaviour aligns more with volatility normalisation than renewed risk confidence. Cr

This episode has many capitulation characteristics, but it is not yet a high-confidence macro bottom. What argues for a tradable bounce. The scale and speed of liquidations, $1.7B wiped out in a day with hundreds of thousands of forced exits, is typical of late-stage deleveraging. When leverage is flushed this aggressively, short-term selling pressure often exhausts itself. The rebound toward the mid-$60k range fits a mechanical reset narrative rather than renewed speculation. From a tactical perspective, this increases the odds of a counter-trend rally over days to a few weeks. What argues against a durable bottom. This was not an idiosyncratic crypto shock. It coincided with broad risk aversion across equities, rates, and commodities. In macro-driven drawdowns, Bitcoin rarely bottoms bef

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  A sustained move to $200 would require a material narrative break, not just capex anxiety. On current evidence, that looks unlikely without a broader market drawdown. Why the downside is limited. AWS accelerating to 24% growth, alongside disclosed $10B+ annualised revenue from Trainium and Graviton, reinforces that Amazon is not spending blindly. This is strategic capex aimed at controlling AI unit economics long term. Investors may dislike the near-term free cash flow collapse, but the market has historically tolerated negative FCF when AWS growth reaccelerates. What is pressuring the stock. The issue is timing mismatch. Capex is front-loaded while monetisation lags. A 50% YoY capex guide for 2026, well above consensus, c

AI capex is now non-optional, but monetisation will not be evenly shared. Most bullish post-earnings. Microsoft stands out. It has the clearest monetisation flywheel: Azure usage, Copilot attach rates, and pricing power embedded in existing enterprise spend. Heavy capex, but returns are visible and recurring. Structural winner. NVIDIA remains the toll collector. Even as growth normalises, its ecosystem ensures it captures value regardless of which hyperscaler wins share. Amazon. Strategically sound, tactically messy. Amazon is investing for unit economics control, but monetisation lags capex. Prefer on pullbacks, not strength. Apple at current levels. Apple is a hold, not a bottom-fish. Strong balance sheet and buybacks limit downside, but AI monetisation remains indirect. Bottom line. AI

$Strategy(MSTR)$   Disclaimer. I am a MRTC bear. Bear that in mind. Re-posting this article which reinforces my belief. And adding to this that the article was posted before last night's bounce. Bitcoin is now at $70k. But still do note that even after the bounce, Bitcoin is still below MRTC's Bitcoin breakeven price of $76k. Which means the next quarter report will show even larger loss for MRTC. "Strategy   MSTR ▲26.11%  and its executive chairman, Michael Saylor, are facing their most difficult financial test yet as the company’s Bitcoin-centered business model hits a major wall. The firm reported a staggering $12.4 billion net loss for the fourth quarter on Thursday, a direct result of the sharp decline in the va

This looks less like a clean regime shift and more like a classic relief rally layered on fragile foundations. Equities: The breadth and magnitude of the rebound point to forced positioning rather than fresh conviction. CTA de-risking, short covering and options gamma effects likely amplified the move, especially in Big Tech. That explains the speed. It does not yet explain durability. A true risk-on reversal typically follows stabilising macro signals, not precedes them. Precious metals: Gold and silver rallying alongside equities is telling. In a healthy risk-on phase, gold usually lags. Here, gold strength suggests continued demand for protection against policy uncertainty and liquidity stress. Silver’s outsized move looks more like a volatility snapback after capitulation, not a clean

Bitcoin had gone as low as $60K, but we saw it rebound to around $69K to $70K over the weekend, and now it is hovering around $70,000 at time of writing. What does it signal? If the Bitcoin bull run over? or are we going to see a super cycle restart? What are the signs and signals investors should look out for? We have seen how the market react to Strategy earnings release, and it have kind of affected some crypto-related stocks, $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$'s next earnings date is confirmed for Thursday 12 Feb 2026 after market next week, so will we see how investors on Coinbase have been acquiring Bitcoin and if the trend is poised to continue. In this article, we would like to look at a disciplined way to interpret the $60K → ~$70K rebound and

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

While SpaceX offers the allure of space exploration and Anthropic has the potential to gain traction as an ethical AI alternative, OpenAI is best positioned to dominate the AI space long-term, with massive scalability, wide applicability, and current leadership, making its upside the most promising for those looking to invest in the AI revolution

The dollar's once-unbreakable grip is slipping fast, with the DXY dipping to 96.7 today amid escalating risks that make US assets look increasingly risky. 😤 The Economist highlights this "inverted world," where confidence in the greenback weakens as investor panic spikes – seven spasms in the past 52 weeks saw bonds, stocks, and the currency all fall together, a phenomenon more common in emerging markets. Trump's tariff threats on allies like Greenland have fueled the fire, with the dollar down 1.5% in the past month alone while gold surges 14% to $4,670. Foreigners holding more US assets than Americans own abroad (89% of GDP) face massive losses if the trend holds, as volatile policymaking taints the reserve currency's safe-haven status. Emerging markets cheer the shift, with India's Nift