Waiting with TLT: A Story of Patience, Dividends, and Quiet Conviction
When I first bought TLT, I didn’t imagine it would become the largest holding in my portfolio. It didn’t promise overnight riches. It didn’t trend on social media. It was, quite literally, a basket of long-term U.S. government bonds — about as exciting as watching paint dry. And yet, here I am. TLT now sits at the top of my portfolio, quietly occupying the biggest space in both my investments and my thoughts. Not Tesla. Not Nvidia. Not some exciting AI startup. No. Bonds. Long. Slow. Boring. Beautiful. My average price is around $90.76. Today, it trades near $87.93. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) On paper, that looks like a loss. If you stopped there, this would be a sad story. The Plot Twist: Dividends But portfolios, like life, are rarely that simple. Because despite the lower
🔥 Big Tech Earnings This Week: Bullish or Bearish? Show Your Hand!
Attention pioneers! 🚀 The next wave is forming.Seeing what others don't? Backing an underdog?Post your most contrarian view and prove you're ahead of the curve!Catch up fast:These events rocked the markets today.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, EarningsCovering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!🌍 Monday — Macro EconomyU.S. stocks declined in a volatile, holiday-shortened week. The S&P MidCap 400 fell the most (-0.55%), followed by the Dow (-0.53%) and S&P 500 (-0.35%). Earl
From Veins to Volume: Aris Mining’s Boring Turn Into Something Valuable
The Porphyry Pivot: How Aris Mining Is De-Risking Colombian Gold Through Industrial-Scale Underground Mining While analysts still tend to file Aris Mining under ‘high-risk Colombian juniors,’ the company is quietly doing something far less exciting—and far more valuable. It is building an underground gold operation designed to behave less like a prospecting venture and more like a factory. The market loves romance in mining. What it often struggles to price correctly is repeatability. That mismatch matters, because $Aris Mining(ARMN)$ no longer resembles the speculative profile it is routinely assigned. With a market capitalisation around US$4 billion, nearly US$770 million in trailing revenue, and operating margins above 40%, this is not a story
🚀 AI rocket fuel 🚀 Add to crowded AI plays as rare Earth minerls powers the Mag 7 boom with rocket fuel. The top five rare earth elements most critical to AI progression are neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and europium, due to their roles in high-performance magnets, semiconductors, and data center hardware. Shortages against current or forecasted demand—driven by AI’s explosive growth in GPUs, cooling systems, and servers—would severely hamper scaling. China dominates rare earth mining, producing over 60% globally, but the top five ex-China or major producers controlling significant shares of neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, and europium supply are 1. MP Materials (USA) 2. Lynas Rare Earths (AUS) 3. Energy Fuels, (USA) 4. Iluka Resources, (AUS) and 5. Arafura Resour
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 1. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis (with Analyst Insight) From a medium- to long-term perspective, TSLA remains firmly classified within a Bearish trend zone, where the optimal investment stance continues to be Sell and Observe. This zone typically consists of two internal dynamics: a strong downward trend phase and a rebound trend phase marked by limited, unstable recoveries. Historically, this environment offers low expected returns and elevated downside risk for long-only investors. The current Sell and Observe position has been maintained for 19 days since entry into the Bearish zone. During this period, downside exposure has been effectively mitigated, resulting in a cumulative avoided loss of -7.5%, undersco
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The diagonal trendline was breached, confirming the MACD crossover posted last week. After bouncing from short-term oversold conditions on Wednesday, the price filled the 'bullish' gap and is now at the 20DMA with two indecisive candles. $685 will be decisive next week. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The series of lower highs and higher lows had a bearish resolution. However, see that dragonfly at the very edge of the volume shelf. Don't rule out a bounce. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
Silver Weekend Freeze: 52 Hours of Silence Before COMEX Screens Reopen to Potential Chaos—or Forced Cash Settlements
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ On Friday, January 23, 2026, silver futures on COMEX finally pushed into triple-digit territory for the first time in history, closing around $102–103 per ounce (depending on the exact feed and settlement). While the headlines focused on that psychological $100 barrier being smashed—with spot prices briefly touching or exceeding it amid heavy speculative buying—the real development people are starting to notice is the growing evidence of strain between paper silver (futures/ETFs/digital claims) and physical silver (actual bars/coins in hand). We're now in the weekend freeze (markets closed), giving the system roughly 52 hours of quiet before Sunday evening electronic trading resumes.
(Full Article) Preview of the week (26Jan2026) - Earnings start for the Magnificent 7 & ExxonMobil
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 26Jan2026) This week features several key economic indicators and events that will offer insights into the economy's health. On Monday, durable goods orders for November will be released. This data serves as a key measure of consumption and investment in the economy. Alongside this, the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for January will be published. The previous index reading was 89.1, which pointed to declining consumer confidence. Additionally, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech on Wednesday, January 28. This event has the potential to introduce volatility to the markets, depending on the topics addressed and the market’s reaction. Crude oil inventory data will also be updated in the coming week. T
Magnificent 7 Earnings Week: Where Conviction Meets Reality
🌟🌟🌟Some earnings weeks test fundamentals. Next week will test nerves. The Magnificent 7 - once the market's unstoppable engines - now step into a week loaded with pressure, doubt and macro landmines. Microsoft and Meta Platforms have lagged. Apple faces skepticism. Tesla battles slowing deliveries. If that is not enough, next week the market must also digest FOMC meeting and PCE Inflation report. These are 2 macro catalysts capable of injecting volatility into the market. This isn't just earnings season. It is a psychological stress test. Apple: The Quiet Giant with a Narrative to Rewrite Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ is expected to post USD 2.65 EPS on USD
🚨 Mag 7 Earnings Bombshell: Will Tech Titans Crush Expectations or Crumble? 💥📈
The stage is set for a blockbuster earnings showdown as the Magnificent 7 face off against sky-high investor hopes! 😎 With Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Tesla dropping their numbers after hours on January 28, and Apple following suit on January 29, all eyes are on whether these giants can spark a comeback. Over the past year, the Mag 7 crew has trailed the broader market's sizzling gains, leaving shareholders hungry for upside surprises. Microsoft and Meta have felt the heat the most, while Tesla and Apple hover closer but still lag behind. Can killer reports flip the script? Let's dive deep into the drama! 🔍 First up, the forecasts that could make or break portfolios. Analysts are buzzing with predictions, and here's the scoop in a handy table for quick intel: These numbers aren't just s
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $Vizsla Silver Corp(VZLA)$ 🥈🚀💰 Silver Just Printed a +256.88% Unrealised Gain 💰🚀🥈 I am sitting on a +256.88% unrealised profit on my SLV 69C. Premium paid $7.86, now trading near $28.05. This is convexity meeting momentum at scale, where macro metals pressure, CTA trend expansion, and capital flow alignment compress time and accelerate price discovery. 📈 Inflation hedging demand is intensifying ⚙️ Industrial silver fundamentals continue to tighten supply narratives 📊 CTA and systematic trend positioning are reinforcing upside
$CELH 20260417 40.0 CALL$ sharing profitable options trade for coins. Bought these long calls for CELH over 2.5 months ago at the money strike of around $40. During this time, CELH rose about 40% to close at $55.94 on Fri. More importantly, the long calls had risen by >100% in value during this period. Most likely will close the trade and take profit in the coming days after this post. Last week, I was still posting that stock is still fighting to close the major gap Towards $57 it formed during last earnings when it dropped by almost 25% on a session day. This gap had now been closed and resisted downward. Will monitor is can break above this resistance level. Will see how this trade goes. Long term favorable on this stock
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA finished the week with a lower high and a shooting star. Tuesday’s selloff breached key moving averages. $185 is the key level to watch: a breach would validate the bearish star, while holding it could spark a bounce given the oversold oscillator highlighted. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Is the selloff a surprise? Not at all, overbought oscillators and indecisive candles warned. The price has scaled down since. Today, we have indecisive candles and oversold oscillators. Bulls will have a spike soon, the question is how sustainable it’ll be. Watching: $254. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and
1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX breached its lower Bollinger Band, the bounce makes perfect sense considering previous occurrences highlighted, the Stochastic curling up adds a technical milestone to the setup. Price action was indecisive on Friday but it managed to close above the 20DMA, also positive 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Bearish reversal again. The latest price action was a clear follow-through of Thursday's shooting star. With an overbought RSI suggesting the move isn't over and a breach of the 5DMA, this looks like a very weak setup for next week. Rotation back to tech? For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
$Intel(INTC)$ plunged 17% intraday, clawed back to close around $45 — still ended the day in tears. Market took my haircut money — long hair it is for CNY, no way I’m paying the seasonal markup. IT'S CRAZY HOW QUICKLY INTEL SHIFTED THAT BALANCE SHEET. Just 2 quarters ago, Intel had more than 2X Debt vs Cash, now it's getting closer (not there yet though) to a 1:1 Ratio. TAN Lip-Bu has focused on not overinvesting in CAPEX until customers are lined up. The improvement also includes investments from big players like $NVDA. Short-dated options are obliterated (-95%+), LEAPS down ~40%. Intel is the textbook reminder that sto
Weekly | Is $EVN breaking out on record gold cash flow?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,860.10 on Friday, down 0.27% in the past 5 days. 1. $EVOLUTION MINING LTD(EVN.AU)$ +13.26% The company reported record quarterly gold production of 191,000 ounces for the period ending December, driven by better performance at its Cowal and Mungari mines. This contributed to record group operating mine cash flow. Rising global gold prices (which were historically high) directly boosted the company's realized gold price to A$6,206 per ounce, significantly improving its financials and cash flow. EVN achieved a sector-leading all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of A$1,275 per ounce and reported a significant increase in cash flow. This strong cos
$NFLX, $IREN, $UAMY – Key Levels, Gains, and Exits
1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ NFLX is hanging on by a thread here, trying hard not to break this key swing low and lose bullish structure. I’m still not a buyer, but if I were bullish, this is the level I’d be watching like a hawk. 2. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ IREN is up 60%+ since we flagged the buy zone last month. 🎯 Same setup we use over and over: Monthly BX green + discount + structure. Nothing fancy, just repeatable. If I were in, I’d be holding and maybe peeling off 10% at a time as it expands toward $70. 3. $United States Antimony(UAMY)$ Closing 20% of my $UAMY shares in all my funds 🚨 Shares are up over 120% since the call out last month and the price gap filled. I will con
Why Risk Management Wins When Direction Gets Tough
This past week was a key stress test for our Support and Resistance levels. It was a week characterized by a major move where the market finally reversed as anticipated in the Weekly Compass where I noted: “a breach of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Central Weekly Level (CWL) is the expectation” and for $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ it was anticipated: “the 20 weekly average is the likely target”. We anticipated the bearish direction, with NDX, $Apple(AAPL)$ , and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ all hitting their respective downside targets using the levels for this week (dropping -2.3%, -6.5%, and -2.1%). While the levels were correctly forecasted for t