To The Moon

2026 January Effect: The "Easy Money" Is Gone — Here’s the New Playbook 🚨 As we count down the final hours of 2025, the chatrooms are buzzing with one question: Will we get the "January Effect" to kickstart 2026, or is a rug-pull loading? The setup for 2026 is fundamentally different from the liquidity-fueled rallies of the past. We are transitioning from a market driven by Fed hope to a market that demands earnings reality. While the consensus from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs is "constructive," the underlying data suggests a much trickier battlefield. If you are planning to deploy cash in Week 1, put down the buy button and read this first. 1️⃣ The Bull Case: The "Handover" to Earnings Growth 📈 The strongest argument for a January rally isn't just momentum—it's the fundamental handov

Are you bullish on Rocket Lab's $90 target?: 50:50 I would say. Target of $90.00 is primarily driven by it securing a $805 million contract from the SDA for 18 missile-tracking satellites which is the largest in its history. Optimistic goal and depends on its delivery capability. As of now Rocket Lab presents a high-growth high-risk opportunity as it has potential but currently unprofitable.  SpaceX vs Rocket Lab: which one are you bullish?: tricky question as Rocket Lab is now listed while SpaceX isn't. Between the two, if rumours are true, an IPO is targeted for 2026 at a potential valuation of $1.5 trillion. So, yeah while the head points to SpaceX the heart points to Rocket Lab.

I wouod think that tge 2026 Outlook for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   is one of High Risk, High Reward. My worry stems from tge trailing P/E ratio of 317 which is monstrous! significantly higher than legacy automakers. Much depends on the success of its cybercab robotaxi. Analysts rating is to Hold & their average 12-month price target is $385. However, long run price targets range widely from a low of $19.05 (GLJ Research!!) to a high of $600.00. So, I pray that GLJ is proved wrong but I would prefer to sell & reenter.

What happens when Bitcoin drops? Trouble surfaced after the summer when Bitcoin began falling, eventually dropping below US$90,000 in November, undermining confidence in companies heavily exposed to it. “The market quickly started to ask: ‘Are these companies going to run into trouble? Could they go bankrupt?’” said Mr Eric Benoist, a tech and data expert at Natixis bank. Finance professor Carol Alexander at the University of Sussex told AFP that regulatory uncertainty, cyberattacks and fraud risks are also deepening investor mistrust. An example is software company Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin with more than 671,000 coins, or about 3 per cent of all the Bitcoin that will ever exist. Over six months, however, its share price more than halved, and its market value brief

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 29Dec25) New Year’s Day Closures In the upcoming week, several major financial markets will observe closures in celebration of New Year’s Day. The United States, Singapore, Hong Kong, and China will be closed on January 1st. Additionally, China will extend its holiday and remain closed on both January 1st and January 2nd. In Hong Kong, the market will have a half-day session on December 31st before closing for the holiday. Crude Oil Inventories and Market Outlook It is anticipated that there will be a drawdown of 2 million barrels in crude oil inventories. This reduction suggests an increase in demand at the production site, which may be interpreted as a positive signal for the market outlook. Upcoming FOMC Meeting Minutes The Federal Open Mark

Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to suggest an uptrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook as they fan outwards. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. Chaiki

My Investing Muse (29Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news This offshoring jobs to India and other countries thing was already happening. It has been for quite some time. - X user Amanda Goodall L.A.’s entertainment economy is spiralling downward: Work is evaporating, businesses are closing, and the city’s creative middle class is hanging on by a thread. - WSJ "The job market is so bad, people in their 40s are resorting to going back to school instead of looking for work," per FORTUNE “Auto Delinquencies Hit Record High as Consumers Caught Off Guard.” “PYMNTS Intelligence data showed that 34% of consumers who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to pay their bills have had to spend more than usual in the past six months, which in turn has eaten into their savings. The cost of foo

1. Market Selloff is probably likely to happen - at least a small one 2. Because Tesla is running on hopium right now - it went up because of soft catalysts and needs a hard catalyst (cash flow) to solidify base here and reprice in earnest to 600-$1,000. The earliest this hard catalyst is coming is in April. That means in between, the news will be wearing off , FUD creeping in, and it can only stay here or go up here again if more soft catalysts are coming that are not the same as the previous ones. Safety driver removal, more cities, Cybercab anticipation has all been used up imo. So from here, you need conviction to believe in a Q2 inflection to keep the stock up here or higher - and most people don't have conviction.

Looks like you and I are on the same page as far as mid-term election goes. I have written about it some time back but what you have laid out here as the playbook makes so much sense. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. This is the last trading week ahead of 2-Jan this Friday. I have been pondering 🤔 what to sell to build cash for flexibility in manoeuvre should it be needed. With expected increasing volatility in the new year, it won't be a "if", rather a "when" for the correction to set in. AI play has been all the rage in 2025, so was quantum computing. I do not think those plays are sustainable and liable for the biggest correction. Having said that, some of them are long term investment plays. I will take my time to take my pick. Precious metals group is also an interesting place to rev

What just happened: Acquisition: Google acquired Intersect Power for ~$4.75 billion cash (plus assuming existing debt) Who they are: Utility-scale clean energy developer focused on solar, battery storage, and integrated energy infrastructure What they do: Develop, own, and operate multi-gigawatt clean-energy projects - specifically designed to co-locate with large power users. Here a **ranked list of publicly traded companies similar to Intersect Power — ordered from most potential (growth + profitability) to least based on recent analyst outlooks and fundamentals in the renewable/clean energy space (as of late 2025): 📈 Top-Tier (Strong Growth + Profits + Scale) NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) — Best overall renewable utility play • World’s largest wind + solar generator with stable utility cas

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊📉🔥 73% of Active Funds Crushed by Structure in 2025, Not Skill 🔥📉📊 📉 73% of large-cap active mutual funds underperformed $SPX in 2025, and I’m reading this as a structural verdict, not an indictment of talent. I’m operating in a regime where liquidity concentration, momentum amplification, factor crowding, and systematic inflows dominate price discovery. When capital is channelled mechanically into index replication, beta becomes the primary return driver and dispersion collapses. In that environment, discretion struggles, regardless of experience. This is why positioning has shifted away from isolated stock selection toward factor exposure, flow alignment, and benchmark gravity. When inflows target index weightings, price sig

Context on the current rally Prices of silver have surged to multi-year and record highs in late 2025, driven by a mix of macroeconomic and fundamental factors: strong institutional demand, expectations of lower interest rates, weak US dollar, tightening supply, and industrial absorption in sectors such as solar, EV, and data centre infrastructure. These drivers have boosted not only silver but also other metals such as palladium and copper. Recent price action has seen silver briefly above US$80 before volatility pushed it back lower.  What’s underpinning the surge Structural supply deficit — Silver has been in deficit for several years, with demand consistently outpacing supply. Inventories globally have declined, and new mine output cannot quickly expand due to the long lead time a

A sober reading of probabilities suggests that “nothing happens” is the most under-appreciated outcome for 2026, even if it sounds unsatisfying. My base case for 2026 Most likely: U.S. equities grind to new highs Not via euphoria, but through earnings growth, AI productivity gains, and multiple stability rather than expansion. A slow, uneven advance fits a mature cycle better than a dramatic break. Very plausible: repeated Fed policy reversals Not full U-turns, but frequent recalibration. Sticky services inflation, election-year pressures, and data-dependent messaging make policy whiplash more likely than a clean, linear path. Conditional upside: gold above US$5,000 This requires a renewed confidence shock, sustained real-rate compression, or a material loss of trust in fiscal discipline.

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What truly defined 2025 The defining feature of 2025 was not any single headline, but the re-pricing of certainty. Markets were forced to hold two opposing truths at once. Policy risk returned with force through tariffs and geopolitics, yet capital continued to concentrate aggressively into AI infrastructure and megacaps. The year was defined by this coexistence of fear and conviction. If one event stands out, it is the industrialisation of AI. 2025 marked the shift from narrative to deployment. Capital allocation moved decisively towards compute, power, memory, and data infrastructure. This was not speculative enthusiasm alone. It reshaped earnings expectations, supply chains, and long-term productivity assumptions, while q

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver futures flipped from roughly +6% to about -2% on the session, an 8% intraday reversal, right into the $SLV Fibonacci extension I mapped out in the post at 0726. That’s classic parabolic behaviour, volatility expands first, then price snaps back to test structure. As of after 1452, this post was still under review. In fast-moving regimes like this, timing matters. I’m curious about the review timing process. This post was written and submitted at 0726 and as of after 1452 it was still under review during a high-volatility session where timing matters. Understanding how review delays work for time-sensitive market analysis would be really helpful @CaptainTiger </

Great to see we’re on the same page regarding the Midterm cycle! 🤝 You’re spot on—volatility in election years is usually a matter of 'when,' not 'if,' and having cash on the sidelines is the ultimate luxury when the market inevitably shakes out. I like your thinking on trimming the AI and Quantum winners. Those sectors had an incredible run in 2025, but when liquidity tightens or fear spikes, the highest-flying names often see the sharpest multiple compression. I’m doing something similar: 'Pruning' the speculative periphery while keeping my core long-term compounders. Regarding Precious Metals: It’s a great place to look for a hedge. Personally, I think Gold is the leader if you’re betting on volatility/fear. Silver and Platinum/Palladium are trickier because they have a heavy 'industr