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12-18 18:25
🎁 What the Tigers Say | Santa Rally in Doubt? Can BOJ Tightening Shake Global
Hi Tigers, Welcome to “What the Tigers say”This is a weekly column planned to share the great opinion from Tigers on a specific topic and today our Theme is Santa Rally & BOJ.As markets head into December, the usual expectations of a Santa Rally are being tested by an unexpected source: the Bank of Japan. With the BOJ signaling a potential shift away from ultra-loose policy, investors are reassessing one of the longest-standing pillars of global liquidity.For years, Japan’s easy money environment has supported yen-funded carry trades and risk appetite across U.S. equities, crypto, and growth assets. Even a modest policy shift now raises a critical question:Is this just a temporary pause in year-end momentum — or the start of a deeper pullback driven by a global liquidity reset?This wee
TOPShyon: I see a BOJ tightening causing a temporary volatility spike rather than a sustained unwind. Much of the yen carry trade risk is already priced in, and unless we see abrupt yen strength or disorderly moves in global yields, this is more of an adjustment than a liquidity shock. Clarity from the BOJ should help stabilize markets. For a delayed Santa Rally, I’m not going fully defensive or all-cash. I prefer keeping dry powder while selectively buying dips in quality growth and AI names. In a later, narrower rally, stock selection matters more than broad exposure. BOJ-driven liquidity fears dominate near-term headlines, but earnings and Fed policy remain the real anchors. As long as corporate results hold and the Fed stays supportive, much of the BOJ pressure can be absorbed. Santa may arrive late, but cancellation isn’t my base case. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
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12-18 18:04
Will the Fed Chair Race Spark Another Stock Pullback? Beware a Silver Correction Risk
The U.S. stock market saw a pullback, and while a decline in equity indices is entirely normal, an intraday headline made the move particularly noteworthy. Markets had largely assumed the next Federal Reserve Chair would be White House chief economic adviser Kevin Hassett. However, last Friday (local time), President Trump said that as he considers a successor to Powell, he is leaning toward “two Kevins”—Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Although Hassett has been viewed as the front-runner, Trump noted that after a 45-minute White House meeting with Warsh on Wednesday, Warsh has also entered his top tier of preferred candidates. That news contributed to a pullback in U.S. equity indices, suggesting that markets view Warsh as a relatively hawkish option whose comments may be amplified further,
TOPSilver's volatility needs tight stops. Options collar strategy works better[看跌]
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12-18 17:57
TA Education 7｜NVDA Breaks Below 5-Day MA: Will Selloff Accelerate?
Hi, tigers! Here is Part 2 of MA: another 4 trading principles. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Minor Breakdown: Fleeting Pullback OpportunityThe Pattern: This occurs when the price momentarily dips below a rising Moving Average but quickly recovers and closes back above it. Crucially, the Moving Average line itself maintains its upward slope throughout the event.Market Implication: This signals a classic "shakeout" or "bear trap" rather than a genuine reversal. It suggests that the dip was an emotional overreaction that cleared out weak hands, leaving the primary uptrend intact and poised to resume.Mechanism: The brief drop triggers stop-loss orders situated just below the MA, creating a pool of liquidity. Institutional traders use this opportunity to accumulate positions at a "discoun
TOPFrom my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a decisive reclaim of key MAs to shift structure. Until then, patience and confirmation matter more than prediction. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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12-18 17:35
BoJ Rate Hike This Week Raises Downside-Break Risk for the Dollar
Year-end is usually a quiet period, when markets thin out and traders take time off—but hold on and get through this week first. For FX traders in particular, after several years of dull price action, the key that could set a major move in motion for 2026 may well be this week.More specifically, beyond the Bank of Japan’s impending rate hike, close attention also needs to be paid to possible shifts in monetary policy at the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. If the major G7 central banks all choose to bring their easing cycles to an end, while the United States—under a new Fed chair in the future—moves against that trend, then the trend driven by rate differentials/spread differentials could be enormous.The U.S. Dollar Index has already shown signs of weakening across 2025; s
TOPBrace for volatility! Central banks shifting gears could spark some wild moves. Let's see if the yen holds up post-hike 🧐
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12-18
SoFi Dips: Buy the Growth, Ignore the Noise.
The Fall. Unsure if you have noticed but $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ has recently taken a beating. It happened around Fri, 5 Dec 2025. The fall was a direct reaction to the company’s announcement on Thu, 4 Dec 2025 (after market closed) that it planned to sell $1.5 billion in new common stock (an equity raise). Shares dipped over -6% immediately in after-hours trading. When trading resumed on Friday, it opened approx. -7.3% lower, due to shareholder dilution. (see below) This is because the new shares were priced at a discount of about -7% (at $27.50 per share) compared to prior day's close of $29.60 per share. From 05 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, SoFI has fallen by -9.04% (-$2.51) to $25.27 per share. The Action. Many were stumped by SoFi’s Manage
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12-17
🚀 Silver Breaks All-Time Highs: Is $100 Next or Is the Top In? $64. It finally happened. Silver has officially smashed through historical resistance, breaking new all-time highs and doing something almost unthinkable: flipping the price of Oil. Everywhere you look—Twitter/X, headlines, Tiger—the buzz is deafening. But for every trader celebrating, there are ten others staring at the chart asking the most dangerous question in finance: “Did I miss the boat?” Let’s cut through the noise. Here is the real data on why Silver is moving, why this rally is structurally different from 2011 or 1980, and the massive risks you need to manage right now. 1️⃣ The "Dual Engine" Driving the Melt-Up Silver is often called “Gold’s volatile little brother,” but that view is outdated. Gold is a safe haven; Si
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12-17
I have held $Micron Technology(MU)$ in the past but now I just have $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$. Bigger, better, faster, stronger. Not bothered about tomorrow. More focused on 1 to 5 years out. I just collect more on the dips. I buy something every week. Whatever is cheap this week comparative to my long term thesis. I do not subscribe to a chip or Ai or data center bubble in the next few weeks. Realistically the narrative will change tomorrow, or next week. I set a course, and follow that course. Obviously I keep an eye out for a massive storm, or a change in the direction of the wind. But the wind is changing direction daily ATM and its only b
TOPSmart strategy mate![强]Accumulating quality on dips beats chasing pumps How's your NVDA/AMD allocation split looking?
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12-17
DBS vs UOB: The 31% Gap & The $40.80 Target (SGX Stock News 17 Dec 2025) 🦖 EP1321
🟩 Waking up to see DBS hitting record highs while your UOB position bleeds red is a terrifying feeling for any Singaporean investor. In 2025, we are witnessing a massive 30% performance gap between our local banks, leading many to ask a dangerous question: "Did I pick the wrong horse?" This video tackles the anxiety of holding laggards while the rest of the market rallies, and investigates whether your retirement capital is actually at risk or if you are staring at a misunderstood opportunity. We go beyond the headlines to explain the historic "decoupling" happening in the SGX right now. I break down the specific credit risks weighing on UOB versus the wealth management engine driving DBS, and why the market is pricing them so differently. We also dive into Singtel's massive S$6.4 billion
TOPDBS's wealth focus vs UOB's credit risk-which side you on?[吃瓜]
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12-17
🌟🌟🌟Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally? Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout : Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen
TOP[看跌]MACD divergence flashing red, classic reversal signs mate
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12-17
🌟🌟🌟When price hits a key moving average, is it better to add with the trend or wait for confirmation? The 1st approach is more aggressive approach & involves buying or selling immediately the moment the price touches the moving average & assuming the long term trend will continue. The advantage is you get the best possible entry price if the trend is strong & immediate. However you risk catching a falling knife. This may lead to significant losses if the trend reverses. The 2nd approach of waiting for confirmation is a more prudent approach. This strategy involves waiting for a signal. This could be a specific candlestick pattern or bounce in momentum indicators, before entering the trade. This approach reduces the risk & filters out the fakeouts or
TOPPatience is key. Confirmation avoids those nasty traps. Better safe than sorry! 💡
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12-17
BoJ's recent and near future policy tightening, like interest rate hikes, can be expected to increase market volatility and could also lead to further falls in certain risk assets & cryptocurrencies in the near term. The potential for a significant market fall, however, is perhaps overplayed- it could be an episodic volatility rather than a systemic meltdown. Much of the immediate impact of a potential Dec rate hike is already factored into current market prices, which could mitigate a sharp, immediate shock. What would be more important is the forward guidance and the pace of future hikes in 2026. Lastly, divergence between the BoJ's tightening policy and other central banks like the Fed, which might be cutting rates in 2026 is a key driver of current market dynamics.
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12-17
Here is a structured view on the drivers of gold prices over the next 12 months, the recent strength in gold and silver, and whether silver might continue to outperform or gold could reach US$5,000 per ounce in 2026. Primary Drivers for Gold Prices 1. Safe-haven demand and global risk sentiment Gold remains sensitive to geopolitical tension, macroeconomic uncertainty, and stock market stress. Heightened risk aversion tends to shift capital into bullion. Central banks and institutions have been significant buyers, supporting prices. 2. Monetary policy expectations Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weaker US dollar reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Softer yields on bonds make non-yielding assets such as gold more attractive, reinforcing its appeal as a hedge ag
TOPInteresting analysis on gold/silver dynamics. Silver’s industrial edge could keep it ahead if macro stays shaky. [666]
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12-17
The current pullback in U.S. equities reflects a rotation rather than a broad risk-off event. The underperformance of the Nasdaq signals valuation sensitivity within AI-linked names, especially those that have rallied aggressively on forward-looking narratives. Broadcom and Oracle are being repriced not on earnings failure, but on expectations discipline. Markets are reassessing capex intensity, margin visibility, and the timing of AI monetisation rather than abandoning the theme outright. Broadcom’s three-day decline, its sharpest since 2020, highlights how crowded positioning and elevated expectations can amplify downside when guidance lacks incremental upside. Oracle’s weakness reinforces similar concerns around cash flow strain and execution risk amid heavy investment cycles. Important
TOPI’m really hoping AVGO fill 302 gap tomorrow. 300 is also 200 DMA so it should bounce of that. That gap fill and a 200 DMA test will be healthy for the stock… buyers will finally start showing up
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12-17
At ~US$490, Tesla’s valuation is no longer anchored to the auto cycle. It is anchored to execution on optionality. The most critical assumptions embedded at this level are the following: 1. Robotaxi commercialisation moves from promise to scale The market is pricing in not just technical viability, but regulatory approval, safety validation, and fleet-scale deployment within a credible timeframe. Testing without safety drivers is symbolically important, but valuation assumes meaningful revenue contribution, not pilot headlines. 2. Software-like margins materialise Tesla is implicitly valued as a platform, not a manufacturer. That requires sustained high-margin revenue from autonomy, subscriptions, and services. If margins remain auto-like, the multiple is difficult to defend. 3. Capital di
TOPI believe this latest run up is due to the SpaceX ipo rumor happening soon. I have no proof but its just a feeling. I'm hoping the ipo happens soon and Elon will allow Tesla shareholders to purchase SpaceX shares.
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12-17
At this new all-time high, I'm not in a hurry to take profit. Tesla's share price has essentially spent a full year consolidating and digesting prior gains, and breaking into new highs is often a signal of a new trend phase, not the end of one. From a market-structure perspective, this looks more like the beginning of a re-rating rather than a terminal top. The most critical assumption behind Tesla's valuation at this level is that autonomy is no longer a distant dream but a commercially viable platform. The fact that Tesla is testing robotaxis without human safety drivers materially changes the narrative. If autonomy scales even gradually, Tesla stops being priced as just an EV manufacturer and starts being valued as a mobility + software company, which supports a much higher multiple. An
TOPNice Sharing 😊. Yes 🖐️ Hold 💪 @JC888 @Barcode @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel
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12-17
1. Breakout or failed rally? A breakout is confirmed only if price holds above prior resistance with follow-through. Multiple closes, stable structure, and volume support matter more than a single high. If price quickly slips back into the old range, it is a failed rally driven by momentum chasing rather than conviction. 2. Adding at a key moving average I prefer to wait for confirmation. A moving average is a zone, not a signal. Higher-probability adds come when price shows acceptance, such as a higher low or a strong close back above the average. Buying the first touch works in strong trends, but confirmation reduces false entries and drawdowns. 3. Technicals vs fundamentals or news It depends on timeframe. Short to medium term, I trust price and technicals because they reflect real po
TOPSpot on mate. Price action tells the real story lah. Confirmation beats FOMO every time.[强]
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12-17
Over the next 12 months, I see gold's primary driver as macro uncertainty rather than pure inflation. Slowing global growth, rising geopolitical risks, and the growing need for portfolio hedges are pushing central banks and long-term investors to hold more gold. Even if the Fed doesn't cut aggressively, the market is already pricing in a world where real rates struggle to stay restrictive for long, which remains supportive for gold. I view the recent strength in both silver and gold as fundamentally healthy, not speculative excess. Gold is acting as the anchor—benefiting from safe-haven demand and central bank buying—while silver is expressing a higher-beta version of the same thesis, amplified by industrial demand tied to energy transition and electronics. This combination suggests the mo
TOP[强]Solid macro analysis! Silver's volatility makes it fun to trade
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12-17
Parkway Life REIT: Testing Support Amidst a Short-Term Technical Correction
Based on the chart as of December 17, 2025, $ParkwayLife Reit(C2PU.SI)$ is exhibiting a bearish-to-neutral short-term trend within a long-term ascending channel. Key Observations: Moving Averages: The price ($4.01) is currently trading below its 50-day (blue) and 20-day (red) MAs, which are sloping downward. A "Death Cross" (short-term MA crossing below long-term MA) recently occurred near $4.10, acting as dynamic resistance (blue arrow). Support & Resistance: The REIT is testing a critical psychological support level at $4.00. Below this, the primary structural support sits at $3.716. Long-term Trend: The stock remains within a multi-year uptrend channel (black diagonal line). Historical "buy zones" (orange circles) suggest that touches
TOPTesting key support at $4.00. If held, rebound likely.[看涨]
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12-17
Would You Consider Nike (NKE) Earnings Play As Value Stocks Shift?
$Nike(NKE)$’s upcoming Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, which is scheduled for release on Thursday, December 18, 2025, suggests a highly anticipated report amidst a challenging period for the company. Earnings Preview and Analysis Consensus expectations point toward a year-over-year decline in both the top and bottom lines, largely reflecting difficult macroeconomic conditions, competitive pressure, and the temporary effects of Nike's strategic "Win Now" turnaround initiative. Key Analyst Expectations: Near-Term Pressure: Management's own guidance has been soft, reflecting ongoing revenue pressure as the company phases out legacy lifestyle franchises and navigates a challenging demand environment. Gross Margin Headwinds: Profitability is expected to be und
TOPGross margin surprise possible if inventory management improved[思考]
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12-17
🎅 Santa Rally in Doubt? Will BOJ Policy Tightening Deepen the Market Pullback?
Markets are entering the final stretch of the year with an unusual mix of seasonal optimism and macro anxiety. On the surface, U.S. equities look resilient. The S&P 500 has pulled back modestly, Bitcoin is volatile but holding key levels, and economic data still points to a relatively strong labour market. Yet beneath that calm sits a growing unease, will global liquidity tighten just as investors expect a Santa Rally? At the centre of this tension is Japan. 🇯🇵 Why the BOJ Suddenly Matters to U.S. Markets This week, the