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Tiger_comments
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2025-11-22

Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up Investing: Which One Suits You?

This week the market delivered a full-blown roller coaster: consecutive selloffs, extreme fear, a sharp rally followed by a crash on Thursday, and a weak open with a shaky rebound on Friday that barely closed in the green. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings “failed to save the market,” U.S. equities were dumped across the board, and even Fed officials had to come out repeatedly to calm investors.Amid the waves of panic, tech stocks finally showed a bit of stabilization. But the reality is simple: most investors ended this week in the red.Whenever the market enters a violent correction, an old question always comes back:Are you better suited for top-down investing or bottom-up investing?🔍 What Is Top-Down Investing?Top-down logic is straightforward:Start with
Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up Investing: Which One Suits You?
TOPkoolgal: 🌟🌟🌟Top down vs Bottom up Investing - which approach is better? My answer is why not both? I use a top down view to determine the current macro economic factors & determine which sectors to invest in. Eg: I would lean into defensive sectors if a recession is looming such as consumer staples. Once I have chosen the sector, I switch to a bottom up approach, to select companies that are most likely to outperform their peers. Eg: Under consumer staples I would select $Coca-Cola(KO)$ which has a wide brand moat. By using both Top down and Bottom up approach, I have the best of both worlds. It is not about perfect predictions but about robust risk management and balanced conviction. The best approach is ultimately the one that allows me to remain disciplined and rational when volatility is at the highest. In adopting a blended approach, I would be to seize opportunities and be a better investor. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
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DoTrading
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2025-11-22

FRIDAY FINISH STRONG “Back to Buying”: A Shift in Market Sentiment

Broad-Based Rally Signals Renewed Risk Appetite A strong rebound wrapped up the week: Index Close Change. Dow Jones 46,245.41 +1.08% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6,602.99 +0.98% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ 22,273.08 +0.88% 447 of 500 stocks rose in the S&P 500; 25 of 30 Dow components gained. Buying finally broadened beyond mega-cap tech. This signals a potential turn in market sentiment after a risk-off stretch. Investors finally started buying the dip. Category Stock Move : Hot Stock Ross Stores +8.4%. Biggest Loser Oracle -5.7%. Best Sector Materials +2.2%. Worst Sector Utilities +0.2%. Stocks Rate Cut Hopes Return - Major Catalyst for the Rally FED New York Fed President John Williams called policy “modestly restr
FRIDAY FINISH STRONG “Back to Buying”: A Shift in Market Sentiment
TOPMortimer Arthur: Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, revealed a $4.3 billion investment in Alphabet, $400 incoming
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SmartReversals
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2025-11-22

Relief Bounce vs. Risk-Off Reality: Market Still Must Prove a Bottom

The catalyst for Friday’s turnaround emerged from dovish commentary by New York Fed President John Williams, whose remarks suggesting “near term” rate reduction prospects galvanized sentiment following Thursday’s sharp selloff. Futures markets swiftly repriced the probability of a December policy easing to 75%, jumping from roughly 40% just one day prior. However, this optimism confronts a significant challenge: Federal Reserve policymakers will navigate the December decision without critical October and November inflation and labor data, a consequence of the prolonged government shutdown. Economic anxiety is further reflected in the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, which deteriorated to 51 in November as concerns over persistent elevated prices and labor market stability
Relief Bounce vs. Risk-Off Reality: Market Still Must Prove a Bottom
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-11-22

REGN Win, MSTR Support Test, BMNR Final Bottom Shot

1. $Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)$ In a sea of red, not everything is cooked 😂Closed REGN today right at our take-profit zone.Main Fund is still down ~$200K for November, but we take the wins with the losses.Want a full breakdown video on why I took this trade and why I took profits? 👇 2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ High chance this is the bottom for MSTRNo confirmation yet, but this is a major support cluster:☑️Macro Smart Money Zone☑️1-Month Fair Value Zone☑️Volume Profile Support ShelfI took losses trying to time it at $280…but now we’re at an even stronger discount level. 3. $BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ Last chance for BMNR to bottom ✅I am NOT trading t
REGN Win, MSTR Support Test, BMNR Final Bottom Shot
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OptionsDelta
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2025-11-21
$NVDA$New bearish narratives are gradually gaining traction.Narrative A: An analyst claims that the circular financing within the AI supply chain resembles a Ponzi scheme and constitutes fraudulent activity.Narrative B: Another analyst refutes the "Ponzi scheme" claim as nonsense, arguing that stock volatility and financial data reflect normal valuation adjustments and standard industry practices. However, this narrative introduces a new bearish element: the $500 billion in orders through 2026 – does this represent genuine computing demand or overbuilding of infrastructure?Frankly, Narrative B might be more damaging. Orders from overbuilding can "evaporate," potentially triggering a bubble burst. Cisco faced a similar situation back in 2000 – the stock chart tells the story.For now, mainta
$NVDA$New bearish narratives are gradually gaining traction.Narrative A: An analyst claims that the circular financing within the AI supply chain r...
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HKEX_Comments
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2025-11-21

Weekly | Global Stocks Tumble, What’s Going On?

This week, global markets plunged. The $HSI(HSI)$ fell 5.09%, approaching the 25,000 mark.Fed Split Sparks VolatilityMarket jitters were triggered by differing views within the Federal Reserve over a potential December rate cut. Fed Governor Waller favors another cut due to rising concerns about a sharp slowdown in the labor market and employment. Vice Chair Jefferson, however, urged caution, noting that with rates near neutral, policymakers need to be prudent.As a result, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December dropped to 39.6%, while the chance of keeping rates steady rose to 60.4%.Nvidia Steals the SpotlightAll eyes turned to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ’s earnings, given its $4.4 trillion market ca
Weekly | Global Stocks Tumble, What’s Going On?
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ASX_Stars
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2025-11-21

Weekly | Could $CHC’s upgraded outlook explain the 12.7% jump?

As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,416.50 on Friday, down 2.18% in the past 5 days.1. $CHARTER HALL GROUP(CHC.AU)$ +12.72%The main driver was Charter Hall's upgrade of its Fiscal Year 2026 (FY26) Operating Earnings Per Security (OEPS) guidance by 5.5%, from 90.0 cents to 95.0 cents . This new forecast represents a 16.7% increase over the FY25 result .The guidance upgrade was fueled by heightened investment activity and an acceleration in transaction volumes since June 2025 . This led to increased earnings across its Property Investment, Development Investment, and Funds Management divisions .Following the announcement, the prominent broker Macquarie upgraded its rating on
Weekly | Could $CHC’s upgraded outlook explain the 12.7% jump?
TOPquixy: Solid upgrade by Macquarie! 🚀 CHC's growth trajectory looks promising.[得意]
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Tiger_comments
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2025-11-21

After a $2 Trillion Meltdown: Are You Holding/Adding or Selling?

Last night should have been a celebration — $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ blew past expectations and jobs data looked perfect, sending $S&P 500(.SPX)$ up 1.9% at the open. The party lasted an hour. By the close the market collapsed. The S&P plunged from its high and wiped out more than $2 trillion in market value. Nvidia swung from +5% to -3%. Bitcoin fell through $90,000. Market expectations suggest the drawdown of BTC may not be over.What’s striking is that bitcoin’s plunge began before the U.S. equity sell-off — risk appetite appears to have cracked first in crypto, then spilled into stocks. Fear spiked: the VIX jumped above 26 and markets slid straight into panic mode. PCR lifts but doesn’t reach April level
After a $2 Trillion Meltdown: Are You Holding/Adding or Selling?
TOPShyon: The market's sharp collapse despite positive news signals deep underlying fragility, with Goldman Sachs identifying nine triggers ranging from priced-in Nvidia earnings to CTA selling and critical liquidity drying up. This volatility, amplified by ETF flows and the record options expiry this week, necessitates a cautious approach. My strategy is to systematically scale into high-conviction names rather than blindly buying the dip. I will deploy cash gradually, primarily after the options-related turbulence subsides. My buy zone focuses on two areas: high-quality technology names that have been oversold, like NVDA, which I would add to aggressively on further weakness, and strong consumer discretionary names ahead of the holiday season, such as AMZN or WMT. In summary, I am choosing to Hold core positions and Add tactically with fresh capital, maintaining discipline and a long-term view while avoiding leveraged trades until market structure stabilizes. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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Tiger_SG
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2025-11-21

[Discussion] How Do You Tell When a Market Armageddon Is Coming?

Some say that a market crash is the best opportunity for ordinary people to make money. Most retail investors have small capital and average trading skills, so they rarely make significant profits in normal markets. But a crash is different — after a major plunge or even a 50% wipeout, going all-in can lead to outsized gains.But how can you tell whether something is truly a market crash? And when should you start bottom-fishing?For most investors, the biggest question during a downturn is when to buy the dip. If you buy too early, the volatility will shred your nerves; buy too late, and you miss the bottom — or hesitate to buy during the rebound. Either way, you end up making nothing.Some say sentiment is the key to judging whether it’s time to bottom-fish and whether the situation qualifi
[Discussion] How Do You Tell When a Market Armageddon Is Coming?
TOPkoolgal: 🌟🌟🌟When the fear index screams "extreme fear", the mind races. We feel the gut wrenching prospect of another April repeat where the downside could be much worse. While our fear is valid, history - that relentless teacher whispers a different story. It reminds us that the markets always go up in the long run. Our goal isn't to perfectly time the market armaggedon or to pinpoint the absolute bottom. The futility of that task would shred anyone's nerves. Buying too early feels like a gut punch. Buying too late means missing the opportunity. The good news? We don't have to choose. Wisdom lies not in the timing but in the process. Our mission is to focus on what we can control - our emotions & our actions. This is where the quiet, consistent power of dollar cost averaging comes in. Our patience & discipline will be the things we look back with pride when the sun shines on the market again. @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
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Tiger_Contra
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2025-11-21

🌟 Lithium Stocks Swing Wildly— Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Trend?

On November 19, U.S.-listed lithium stocks rallied strongly: $Sigma Lithium Corporation(SGML)$ surged over 20%, $Sociedad Quimica Y Minera De Chile SA(SQM)$ gained nearly 7%, $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ rose more than 3%, $Albemarle(ALB)$ climbed over 2%.But the very next day, on November 20, the momentum flipped. The sector weakened across the board, with six constituents turning lower and Sigma Lithium leading the decline: $Sigma Lithium Corporation(SGML)$ once plunged 7.33%, now down 6.94% at USD 9.64, with USD 100M in turnover. $Albemarle
🌟 Lithium Stocks Swing Wildly— Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Trend?
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