Replying to @Shyon:🙏🏼 Thanks for the 🏷️ Shyon [Strong][Salute][ShakeHands][Heart]//@Shyon:With liquidity tightening, delayed federal spending, and rate-cut expectations fading, the selloff didn’t surprise me. A $1.2 trillion drop looks dramatic, but the market has been weakening for weeks, and the shift in Fed tone pushed sentiment over the edge. For now, I see this more as a needed reset than a full-blown panic. On individual names, I’m staying cautious. Tesla turning negative YTD doesn’t look like a buy yet, and many big tech names — Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Nvidia — are just starting to test key support. With Nvidia’s earnings next week and Burry set to release his AI-overvaluat
Strategy for market downturn is to momentum trade stock markets 1. Betting on a stock market decline 2. There is no support level when stocks are priced highly 2. Black Friday is likely to be a weak revenue event with retail stocks impacted by adverse economic conditions 4. Michael burry is a news commentator not an investment professional 5. Michael burry is as accurate as CNN at promoting negative stock movements
⚠️ Black Friday Comes Early: Market Selloff or Golden Setup?
The market didn't wait for November 29. Black Friday came early, and it came swinging. A sudden macro shock, falling rate-cut odds + rising long-term yields + geopolitical uncertainty, triggered a broad de-risking wave. 🟥 Nvidia down 🟥 AMD down 🟥 Oracle down 🟥 Tesla & Palantir: -7% 🟥 SanDisk: -14% Meanwhile... 🟩 Berkshire is UP 2% 🟩 Cash-rich defensives rotate back into favour. This wasn't random. It was a positioning reset. 🔍 Here's what actually caused the plunge: 1️⃣ Rate-cut expectations collapsed Traders went from fantasizing 5 cuts in 2025 → to maybe 2, maybe none. That alone repriced tech margins instantly. 2️⃣ Liquidity stress from the U.S. shutdown Government shutdown = frozen contracts, slowed spending, delayed payments, lower liquidity. This ALWAYS hits tech harder. 3️⃣ Mega
With liquidity tightening, delayed federal spending, and rate-cut expectations fading, the selloff didn’t surprise me. A $1.2 trillion drop looks dramatic, but the market has been weakening for weeks, and the shift in Fed tone pushed sentiment over the edge. For now, I see this more as a needed reset than a full-blown panic. On individual names, I’m staying cautious. Tesla turning negative YTD doesn’t look like a buy yet, and many big tech names — Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Nvidia — are just starting to test key support. With Nvidia’s earnings next week and Burry set to release his AI-overvaluation thesis, volatility could easily continue. I’d rather watch the price action than jump in early. Overall, I’m choosing patience. These dips are tempting, but I want to see if support holds or if a
November 2025 Market Pullback: From "AI Bubble Burst Panic" to "The Calmest Style Rotation in History"
I've been reading a lot of comments about the "panic selling" in the market this November. But something isn't adding up. We're seeing high-growth tech and AI stocks (the darlings of 2023-2024) getting absolutely hammered. Yet, when we look at the market's "Fear Gauge," the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index), it's hovering around 20. This is the central puzzle. A VIX at 20 is elevated, it's "anxiety"—it is not the "blind panic" (think 40, 60, or 80+) that we see during a true market-wide crash. So, if it's not a panic, what is it? I believe what we're witnessing is not a panic-driven stampede, but a rational, structural "liquidation" of the market's most expensive assets. And the key piece of evidence is the VIX's cousin. It is quite possibly the most orderly, professional, cold-blooded se
what goes up will come down..this is how the stock market works to earn money so perhaps Micheal burry is just predicting something that will likely happen but we just do not know when.
It felt like a mini-Black Friday sale, but one triggered by fading rate-cut hopes rather than holiday cheer. Here is a measured view of the sudden drop and whether it presents a genuine opportunity—or a value trap. --- What Drove the Sell-Off The pullback was broad-based, driven mainly by macro sentiment rather than fundamentals: Rate-cut odds shrank, lifting yields and pressuring growth stocks. High-beta AI names (Nvidia, AMD, Palantir) corrected more sharply as investors trimmed positions after an extended run-up. Sandisk’s 14% slump reflected sector rotation within the memory/chip space after speculative excess in recent weeks. Tesla’s 7% drop was consistent with higher-rate sensitivity and weak delivery expectations. Berkshire Hathaway rising 2% shows rotation into cash-rich, value-ori
Do we all want to live in such exciting times, where things go up and down, and everyone is rushing to try and cash in... We might just be living in a time that would become the background for a Big Short 2 movie, after all Burry has shown his shorts, maybe it really isn't just smoke and somewhere in the mess, there just might be a fire...
Let us see Nvidia for example. Looking at the Bollinger bands, I am guessing if it breaks 178 then it can test the 140 range. So, I do plan to play safe - nibble from the corners with starters but wait patiently for the main course & desserts 🍨.
🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry is back in the news. He has just deregistered Scion Asset Management and slammed Big Tech for "fudging earnings". Whether he is right or just frustrated remains to be seen. So is Michael Burry losing money by shorting stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ or nailing it again? Possibly both. His contrarian streak often looks wrong before it has been proven right. But this time the market is not collapsing. It is rotating to more value stocks. I believe Michael Burry is calling out froth, not fleeing. His deregistration is a tactical retreat, not a surrender. For me, the following week is about testing my conviction.&n
🌟🌟🌟This week pre Black Friday sale starts early. It could be a tactical entry point but only if key support level holds. What triggered the sell off? The driving force of the stock sell off was the rapid repricing of a December rate cut by the Fed. From a near certainty of a rate cut, now it is only 50% chance according to CME FedWatch tool. To make matters worse, hawkish commentary from Fed speakers exacerbate the Bearish sentiments. So should we buy the dip or wait? I would buy the dip only if support holds and more stocks advancing than declining. I would be watching the Magnificent 7 closely especially $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ which is due to report its earnings on November 19. This is a test of patience, not panic.
November 2025 Market Pullback: From "AI Bubble Burst Panic" to "The Calmest Style Rotation in History"
I've been reading a lot of comments about the "panic selling" in the market this November. But something isn't adding up. We're seeing high-growth tech and AI stocks (the darlings of 2023-2024) getting absolutely hammered. Yet, when we look at the market's "Fear Gauge," the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index), it's hovering around 20. This is the central puzzle. A VIX at 20 is elevated, it's "anxiety"—it is not the "blind panic" (think 40, 60, or 80+) that we see during a true market-wide crash. So, if it's not a panic, what is it? I believe what we're witnessing is not a panic-driven stampede, but a rational, structural "liquidation" of the market's most expensive assets. And the key piece of evidence is the VIX's cousin. It is quite possibly the most orderly, professional, cold-blooded se
Replying to @Shyon:🙏🏼 Thanks for the 🏷️ Shyon [Strong][Salute][ShakeHands][Heart]//@Shyon:With liquidity tightening, delayed federal spending, and rate-cut expectations fading, the selloff didn’t surprise me. A $1.2 trillion drop looks dramatic, but the market has been weakening for weeks, and the shift in Fed tone pushed sentiment over the edge. For now, I see this more as a needed reset than a full-blown panic. On individual names, I’m staying cautious. Tesla turning negative YTD doesn’t look like a buy yet, and many big tech names — Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Nvidia — are just starting to test key support. With Nvidia’s earnings next week and Burry set to release his AI-overvaluat
Market Sudden Dive: Black Friday Hit Early! The Week to Buy the Dip?
Yesterday, tech stocks pulled back across the board, with $1.2 trillion wiped out from the U.S. stock market on Thursday!$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ plunged over 700 points, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ briefly broke below its 50-day moving average.Why the drop? Liquidity is deteriorating, Rate-cut expectations in doubtThe U.S. government shutdown lasted 44 days, delaying federal spending that should have boosted liquidity and making things worse.Treasury issuance increased, pulling cash out of the market in the short term, reducing liquidity in the banking system. Banks now have less cash for lending, financing, and investment — market liquidity is tightening.Multiple Fed officials struck a cautious tone regarding a possi
Strategy for market downturn is to momentum trade stock markets 1. Betting on a stock market decline 2. There is no support level when stocks are priced highly 2. Black Friday is likely to be a weak revenue event with retail stocks impacted by adverse economic conditions 4. Michael burry is a news commentator not an investment professional 5. Michael burry is as accurate as CNN at promoting negative stock movements
⚠️ Black Friday Comes Early: Market Selloff or Golden Setup?
The market didn't wait for November 29. Black Friday came early, and it came swinging. A sudden macro shock, falling rate-cut odds + rising long-term yields + geopolitical uncertainty, triggered a broad de-risking wave. 🟥 Nvidia down 🟥 AMD down 🟥 Oracle down 🟥 Tesla & Palantir: -7% 🟥 SanDisk: -14% Meanwhile... 🟩 Berkshire is UP 2% 🟩 Cash-rich defensives rotate back into favour. This wasn't random. It was a positioning reset. 🔍 Here's what actually caused the plunge: 1️⃣ Rate-cut expectations collapsed Traders went from fantasizing 5 cuts in 2025 → to maybe 2, maybe none. That alone repriced tech margins instantly. 2️⃣ Liquidity stress from the U.S. shutdown Government shutdown = frozen contracts, slowed spending, delayed payments, lower liquidity. This ALWAYS hits tech harder. 3️⃣ Mega
Reopening Boost Meets High-Yield Headwinds: What Comes Next for Markets?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trump: “Shutdown Cost $1.5 Trillion — Government Should Never Be Shut Down Again.” Is the pullback over or is this only a temporary rebound? Can the market’s rally truly sustain? Introduction: A Crisis Avoided — But at What Cost? The U.S. House of Representatives has voted to pass the bill to reopen the government, effectively ending one of the most contentious shutdown standoffs in recent history. Markets immediately reacted to the headline: equity futures ticked higher, risk assets stabilized, and Treasury yields retreated from their recent spike. But the real question on investors’ minds is far more complicated: Was this a genuine relief rally? Or just a classic sell-the-news trap? Compounding the tension, former President D
It felt like a mini-Black Friday sale, but one triggered by fading rate-cut hopes rather than holiday cheer. Here is a measured view of the sudden drop and whether it presents a genuine opportunity—or a value trap. --- What Drove the Sell-Off The pullback was broad-based, driven mainly by macro sentiment rather than fundamentals: Rate-cut odds shrank, lifting yields and pressuring growth stocks. High-beta AI names (Nvidia, AMD, Palantir) corrected more sharply as investors trimmed positions after an extended run-up. Sandisk’s 14% slump reflected sector rotation within the memory/chip space after speculative excess in recent weeks. Tesla’s 7% drop was consistent with higher-rate sensitivity and weak delivery expectations. Berkshire Hathaway rising 2% shows rotation into cash-rich, value-ori
With liquidity tightening, delayed federal spending, and rate-cut expectations fading, the selloff didn’t surprise me. A $1.2 trillion drop looks dramatic, but the market has been weakening for weeks, and the shift in Fed tone pushed sentiment over the edge. For now, I see this more as a needed reset than a full-blown panic. On individual names, I’m staying cautious. Tesla turning negative YTD doesn’t look like a buy yet, and many big tech names — Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Nvidia — are just starting to test key support. With Nvidia’s earnings next week and Burry set to release his AI-overvaluation thesis, volatility could easily continue. I’d rather watch the price action than jump in early. Overall, I’m choosing patience. These dips are tempting, but I want to see if support holds or if a
$Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ $POLEN CAPITAL CHINA GROWTH ETF(PCCE)$ Key Points Risk-Off as Fed Cut Bets Recede: Global equities weakened after hawkish Fed signals cut December rate-cut odds to roughly 50/50; Asia led declines while oil and gold firmed on risk aversion. China Slowdown Deepens: October data showed fixed-asset investment contracting and housing prices falling, with softer industrial output and retail sales underscoring fragile domestic demand. Asia Tracks Wall Street Lower: Tech-led selling spread across the region—Japan and Korea fell sharply—amid valuation concerns and fading policy-easing hopes, despite a firmer onshore yuan. Foreclosure Activ
Cisco's AI Transformation Wins? Networking Up 15%, Security Down!
$Cisco(CSCO)$ a leading provider of networking infrastructure, released its first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2026, ending October 25, 2025, after market hours on the 12th.Overall, this earnings report exceeded market expectations. Driven by robust demand for AI infrastructure, the company delivered record-breaking Q1 revenue and profits, while providing optimistic full-year guidance that propelled its stock price higher in after-hours trading. However, beneath the surface of strong growth lie underlying weaknesses in traditional businesses and an unexpected decline in operating cash flow.Specifically,Total revenue exceeded expectations, with AI-driven "network" business emerging as the dominant force.Total revenue for the quarter re
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ 📉📊 Market Regains Its Compass as Shutdown Ends, but Data Delays Still Distort the Picture 📊📉 The government is officially reopened after President Trump signed the bill that ended the Democrat shutdown. The political headline captures attention, however the real market impact is the restoration of federal operations and economic data flow. Even with agencies restarting, a key problem remains. The Bureau of Labour Statistics collected almost no October data, so the missing CPI and payrolls figures are still unresolved. The Federal Reserve now enters its December meeting without verified inflat
🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry is back in the news. He has just deregistered Scion Asset Management and slammed Big Tech for "fudging earnings". Whether he is right or just frustrated remains to be seen. So is Michael Burry losing money by shorting stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ or nailing it again? Possibly both. His contrarian streak often looks wrong before it has been proven right. But this time the market is not collapsing. It is rotating to more value stocks. I believe Michael Burry is calling out froth, not fleeing. His deregistration is a tactical retreat, not a surrender. For me, the following week is about testing my conviction.&n
Honestly, when I see a sudden broad-based sell-off like this — tech sliding, rate-cut odds shrinking, and names like Tesla and Palantir dropping 7% — my first reaction isn't panic. It's to step back and ask whether the fundamentals of my long-term positions have actually changed. Most of the time, the answer is no. These kinds of "mini Black Friday" moments happen when macro sentiment shifts abruptly, not because every company suddenly became 7–14% worse overnight. For stocks I already believe in — the ones I've researched and planned entry levels for — a sharp dip actually gets my attention. But I still won't buy blindly. I look for whether the pullback is simply fear-driven or whether new fundamental risks have emerged. If it's just the market reacting emotionally to rate expectations, t
🌟🌟🌟This week pre Black Friday sale starts early. It could be a tactical entry point but only if key support level holds. What triggered the sell off? The driving force of the stock sell off was the rapid repricing of a December rate cut by the Fed. From a near certainty of a rate cut, now it is only 50% chance according to CME FedWatch tool. To make matters worse, hawkish commentary from Fed speakers exacerbate the Bearish sentiments. So should we buy the dip or wait? I would buy the dip only if support holds and more stocks advancing than declining. I would be watching the Magnificent 7 closely especially $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ which is due to report its earnings on November 19. This is a test of patience, not panic.
what goes up will come down..this is how the stock market works to earn money so perhaps Micheal burry is just predicting something that will likely happen but we just do not know when.
Do we all want to live in such exciting times, where things go up and down, and everyone is rushing to try and cash in... We might just be living in a time that would become the background for a Big Short 2 movie, after all Burry has shown his shorts, maybe it really isn't just smoke and somewhere in the mess, there just might be a fire...