To The Moon

Every Trump-era tariff shock follows the same playbook — panic, plunge, then powerful rebound. Markets tend to overreact to political noise, especially when liquidity and earnings remain strong. With S&P 500 still far above key supports and global PMIs intact, this looks more like a sentiment-driven shakeout than the start of a lasting bear phase. For disciplined traders, such dips can be tactical entries, provided risk is defined. Scaling into quality names after capitulation, not during it, often yields strong risk-adjusted returns. However, with CTAs heavily positioned and volatility spiking, patience is crucial; second-wave selling can occur before the true reversal. Personally, when politics hit, I trim leverage and watch positioning, but stay alert for asymmetrical setups. Trump

takeaways from yesterday: - it was healthy to see a -3% day on $SPY, really needed to have some type of pullback after 5 months - crypto liquidations were bigger than FTX and Covid, signaling to me that perps contracts, leverage, and sheer number of new crypto participants is greater than ever before - october is historically the most volatile month of the year, so $VIX spiking is normal in this month - trump looks like he is using the April strategy to gain leverage on China, his comments afterhours were similar to what he did months ago, indicating this might not be as serious are markets are expecting - rates are being cut and earnings are strong, those 2 reasons are why I am not interested in selling anything but rather would be looking to buy on any meaningful opportunities - really d

This coming week of 14 October 2025 will be exciting, with almost all the major U.S. banks expected to surpass their Q3 earnings estimates. $Citigroup(C)$ is my top pick, with its exposure to emerging markets and strong loan growth contributing to its positive outlook. It has shown resilience despite the challenges posed by the global economic environment. The bank’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions and maintain robust financial health is a significant advantage. Monitor these banks’ reports closely to gain insights for investing in banking stocks. Thanks @Tiger_Earnings @TigerStars

Yesterday (Oct 10, 2025) was a bloodbath like nothing we've seen before. Trump's bombshell 100% tariff threat on China ignited a global panic, sending BTC crashing from $122K+ to sub-$110K, ETH to $3.5K lows, and the entire market into freefall. Over $19 BILLION in leveraged positions got liquidated – that's 20x the COVID crash and 12x the FTX implosion. 1.5M traders wiped out, with longs taking 90% of the hit. HTX alone saw an $87M BTC nuke. But here's the silver lining: THIS IS THE GREAT DELEVERAGING. All the overleveraged degens, weak hands, and insane 100x bets? GONE. The market's been scrubbed clean – no more cascading stops, no more forced sells dragging us down. Leverage ratios are resetting to healthy levels, open interest slashed by $10B+, and volatility's could easily flip from f

$SOFI's lending revenue only showed very modest growth in 2023 and the first half of 2024. It started to pick up in 2H 2024 and has continued in 1H 2025. With the recent capital raise and retained earnings, they now have more than enough room on the balance sheet to keep accelerating from here if they choose to do so. Rate cuts also decrease their cost of capital, whether it's from their own deposits or from warehouse facilities, so net interest income should expand as a result. I expect continued growth for the foreseeable future.

🌟🌟🌟TSMC $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  isn't just a chipmaker.  It is the world's largest foundry for advanced semiconductors, the silent architect behind Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  AI, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  GPUs,  Apple's silicon and the servers powering tomorrow's AI.    On Friday, TSMC dropped 6% to USD 280.66, triggering a wave of doubt in a market already melting.  But this isn't just a price drop.  It is a conviction checkpoint. AI Momentum vs Supply Strains : Revenue : USD 32.47 billion up 30% YoY, beating

By now the markets must have realised the uncertainties brought on with Trump's moves. It is actually fairly predictable viz. governance only over truth social, lying substantially, shock & awe tactics, threats every Friday etc.  Trump is creating the perfect conditions for a massive storm to hit US economy. It won't be a surprise if it enters a recession or a subprime like crisis in a couple of years, if not months, due to the continuous shocks he is giving.  Either he will make matters really bad beyond redemption or make himself & the potus seat redundant and the world ignores both for good. The worry I have is whether he will start a war with some countries with his actions to restore his credibility - whether make the trade wars, which he has already begun, or actual

I'm not interested in $Alibaba(09988)$  or $Alibaba(BABA)$   However if I were interested and wanted to buy or add, I would look use the moving average as support to buy. For HK BABA, it's at the 20ma about $165 now. You can add if you die die must buy BaBa now but I would rather wait till it hits the 50ma at $140 which coincides with a previous swing high. That makes it a stronger support. For US BaBa, it's between 20ma and 50ma. This most likely means it's going to fall to 50 ma at $145. This price also coincides with a previous swing high.  Therefore, checking both HK BABA and US Baba... 50ma is a good price to buy.

Silver’s rally to levels unseen since 1980 is a significant technical and psychological milestone. The metal’s strength is being driven by three reinforcing factors — strong industrial demand (notably in solar and EV sectors), renewed investor appetite for hard assets amid currency debasement fears, and momentum spillover from gold’s record-setting run. However, with gold remaining in overbought territory and showing early signs of consolidation, silver could experience short-term volatility before its next leg higher. Historically, silver tends to outperform gold late in the cycle of precious-metal rallies, but its pullbacks are also sharper. If you’re a short-term trader, this may be a good moment to take partial profits and re-enter on dips near support levels. For long-term investors,

Gold can be useful for diversification. It does reduce drawdowns and improve the Sharpe ratio, as it behaves differently from stocks and bonds. But it’s not a core asset, and it shouldn’t dominate your portfolio. And if you’re thinking, “I should have gone all-in on gold”... that’s not investing—that’s gambling. That’s no different from aping into crypto or meme stocks during their hype cycles. That’s go big or go home, not responsible investing.And then we start seeing bold claims—like this one on Bloomberg saying gold has outperformed stocks this century. Let’s take a step back: This century is 100 years, and we’re only 25 years in. Bloomberg’s already drawing conclusions 75 years too early. From a portfolio construction perspective, gold is not suitable as a core holding. This has been

🌟🌟🌟Trump has just reignited the trade war with a 100% tariff blitz on China.  The market recoiled.  Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA)$  $BABA-W(09988)$  plunged 8.4% to USD 159.01 on Friday.  But beneath the panic lies a paradox : Trump's TACO Trade theatrics maybe noise.  However Alibaba's AI Cloud and ECommerce empire are the signal. The TACO Trade : Trump Always Chickens Out: Wall Street coined it: TACO = Trump Always Chickens Out.  His Tariff tantrums trigger selloffs, only to be reversed when he softens or exempts key sectors like electronics. Investors now play the TACO Trade like poker : Buy the dip, bet on the&n