🚨🚨As of September 20, 2025, the global market landscape is defined by a mix of cautious optimism and persistent volatility, driven by shifting monetary policies, ongoing macroeconomic developments, and key corporate news. Key Highlights: * Monetary Policy and Inflation: The market is highly attuned to signals from central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to begin cutting interest rates in the coming months. This anticipation, fueled by a cooling U.S. labor market and some signs of moderating inflation, is a key driver of investor sentiment. However, some inflationary pressures, particularly from resurfacing tariffs, are still a concern. * Equities: Equity markets, particularly in the U.S., have been on a strong upward trajectory, with the S
Dollar's Breaking Point: Fed's Sneaky Rate Slash Exposes Debt Crunch – Time to Bet Big on EM and Gold Plays?
The Federal Reserve's fresh 25-basis-point trim to 4.00%-4.25% isn't your garden-variety tweak – it's a blatant nod to Uncle Sam's ballooning debt pile, clocking in at over $35 trillion and demanding ever-cheaper borrowing costs to stay afloat. With core PCE inflation stubbornly hugging 2.8% and PCE forecasts ticking up to 2.6% for the year, this cut screams fiscal firefighting over economic finesse. Bond yields are dipping, but the real story? It's propping up a government that's spending like it's going out of style, from endless deficits to that fresh $100,000 H-1B fee hike that's got tech lobbying in overdrive. Markets shrugged it off with a yawn – S&P up 0.3%, Nasdaq flirting with records – but dig deeper, and this is the spark for a currency quake. Enter the DXY, the dollar's pul
$Infosys(INFY)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp(CTSH)$ Infosys plunged 8% within 30 minutes of the news. Intel, the 9th largest H-1B employer, is caught in the crossfire even though the Trump administration literally bought a 10% stake in them and Nvidia just threw in $5B. Cognizant also took a hit, sliding nearly 5% as investors panicked over how the company will handle higher visa costs. And the reason is clear: Trump just hiked the cost of an H-1B visa to $100,000 per year — a mind-blowing 1,000% increase. With ~85,000 new visas a year, companies are staring at an $8.5 BILLION annual bill. The original plan was even
Been there, seen that and worse: done that too! Mine is a case of dualities (1) I tend to stick on to some counters with conviction and not book profits ever and even struggle with tthe thought of making profits there. This helped in counters like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ but the same inertia cost me dear in dud counters like $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ and ended up holding a bum for ever. The classic feeling of: "what if it goes 10x & I miss the run?" has made me hold & watch green turn red. (2) in some other good counters like $Micron Technology(MU)$, I have made gains but exited too early. Therefore now I am trying to follow a simple rule I made for myself: keep making partial exits to lock in profits from time to time & reenter later at a dip, which
Singapore’s economy not about creating cool stuff anymore… it’s just about collecting rent rent rent. CapitaLand started the drama, and now every tycoon + foreign investor jumped in with their REITs. They don’t run real businesses, they just run 💸 rent machines. Look at these numbers, sibeh scary: VivoCity under Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust $Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$ raised rents nearly 30%! Lendlease REIT $Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$ suka-suka hiked retail rents over 25% at one go. Sabana REIT $Sabana Reit(M1GU.SI)$ pushed industrial rents up 27%… just in one quarter?! This is not growth hor. This is pure e
$UOB(U11.SI)$ CHART WISE, BEARISH MODE! I think worst than Dbs chart patterns! 20th September 2025: Chart wise, bearish mode! If the recent low of 34.50 cannot hold, it would be very negative and she may fall further towards 34 than 33.70 and 33.00 and below! Not a call to buy or sell! Pls dyodd. 17th September 2025: The market is marking time! If Fed gives a dovish tone more rate cuts is coming then bank may drop at a higher speed! Pls dyodd. She may go down to test 34.29 than 34 and 33.70. 9th September 2025: Uob bank - the chance of having rate cut on 17th September Fed meeting is very high. Bank may see further weakness! The bank in fact has been staying at the peak level for a longer period, I think we may see a major cor
Definitely greed that stops one from taking profits. So, I have stopped trying to chase 10x opportunities. Every gain is a gain; better to gain less than to be a bag holder. I typically lock in gains when I see sharp rise in the stock price or when my absolute profit has hit a certain amount. Of course, I still have many times when I regret selling too early or too late. I recently sold of aunty Jenny at 165 but it rose to 180. I was glad that it has now slid back for me to re-ente my position. However, it is not the same for my trip.com because I sold it below 600 and it broke through it. Vision on hindsight is always 20/20. I regretted not taking profit when UNH was $350 because it has not hit my set profit yet. However, I do believe that it still has much room to grow so I will have the
🎯 Rate Cut Rally or Risky Reversal? 3 Stocks on the Edge This Week
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ $Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Rezolve AI(RZLV)$ As markets digest the Fed's dovish stance and easing trade tensions, the tone heading into next week is cautiously bullish. With a potential 25bps rate cut confirmed and another hinted by year-end, liquidity-sensitive plays are back on the radar—but this rally isn't uniform. Here's what to watch: 🔥 $CRCL – Compression Ready? After a brutal drawdown from its $189 highs, $CRCL is showing signs of accumulation near the $148–152 support zone. With volatility compressing and AI sentiment still alive, a breakout above $160 could signal short-term momentum. Traders
💰 What's Really Keeping You From Taking Profits? It’s Not Just Greed — It's the Macro Noise
We've all been there: you're in green territory, up 30%, 50%, maybe more... but you freeze.“What if the Fed cuts rates next week? What if this is just the start?” Then the rally stalls. News drops. You're back to breakeven — or worse. 📉 Macro Confusion → Profit Paralysis The desire for more is amplified when macro headlines paint a bullish picture. Rate cut optimism, a cooling CPI, or dovish Fed talk—these make us believe there's "room to run." But here's the truth: markets move ahead of the news. By the time macro tailwinds are priced in, the smart money is already trimming. 🔬 Micro Signals Often Say“Take the Bag” Look at the individual names. If volume wanes, insiders sell, or earnings beat but forward guidance dips—that's your sign. Yet many ignore these micro signals while clinging to
NVIDIA x Intel: The $5B AI Alliance That Could Redefine Chip Wars
$Intel(INTC)$ This partnership is more than just a $5B headline — it's a calculated convergence of CPU and GPU giants to meet the growing demand for AI compute. Intel’s custom x86 chips manufactured for NVIDIA's data centers signal a new playbook: vertical integration without full acquisition. This allows NVIDIA to scale AI infrastructure faster, while Intel monetizes its underutilized foundry capacity. Is Intel still a buy at $30? Yes — but selectively. At $30, Intel is no longer deep value, but the long-term narrative has shifted. It's no longer just about catching up in AI, it's about enabling AI giants like NVIDIA. This deal revives Intel's foundry ambitions, and if executed well, sets up a rerating toward
Palantir's Crown Jewel? Why This UK Deal May Be Just the Beginning
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir's £1.5B UK government contract isn't just another headline—it's a validation of the company's shift from speculative growth to institutional trust. This 5-year extension by the U.K. military signals one thing: Palantir’s software is becoming mission-critical. That's not just bullish—it's foundational. With shares up 134% YTD and currently consolidating around $182, the big question is: is there still room to run? I believe yes, and here's why. 1. The Macro Winds Favor Palantir. As governments worldwide ramp up digital defense infrastructure in the face of cyber threats and geopolitical instability, defense-focused AI and analytics platforms are gaining priority. The US, NA
🚨🚨Market analysis for Sunday, September 21, 2025, indicates that while markets are closed for the weekend, a number of key factors are expected to influence trading in the coming week. Key Drivers and Themes: * US-India Trade and H-1B Visa Fee Hike: A new proclamation from the US imposing a one-time $100,000 fee on new H-1B visa applications has created jitters, particularly for the Indian tech sector. There is also anticipation around upcoming trade talks between the two countries. * Federal Reserve Policy: Following a recent interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, markets are pricing in expectations for more rate reductions in the future. This dovish stance is seen as a key driver for market liquidity and has contributed to a rally in equities. * Foreign Investment
$iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF(LQD)$$Simplify High Yield ETF(CDX)$ 💰📉📊 Credit Market Flood: Cash Drowns IG Spreads 📊📉💰 Bond investors are practically drowning in liquidity. After more than $1T in investment-grade supply YTD, managers still have $74B more to reinvest than issuers are selling. The wall of cash is forcing spreads to compress: IG just touched 0.72%; the tightest since 1998. 📌 Flows and positioning Investors are unloading credit protection at an accelerating pace. CDX IG net selling is now among the heaviest in three years (DTCC/Barclays). The signal is clear: risk appetite is alive, and funds are hunting yield without fearing defaults. 📌 ETF demand Flows confirm the shift
Is the Bitcoin Bull Market Still Ahead? CZ’s Bold Prediction Sparks Debate
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) recently dropped a bombshell: “Maybe we haven’t hit the real bull market yet.” This statement has set the crypto world abuzz, suggesting that the massive price surges we’ve seen may just be a warm-up for what’s to come. With Bitcoin already showing strength in 2025, CZ’s comment raises questions about the market’s true potential and what could drive an even bigger rally. Let’s break down why CZ might believe this, the factors that could fuel a “real” bull market, and what it means for investors. Why CZ Thinks the Bull Market Is Yet to Come CZ’s statement implies that the crypto market, despite its recent gains, hasn’t reached its full potential. Historically, Bitcoin bull markets have been driven by key catalysts: institutional adoption, regulatory clari
<Full Article> Preview of the week (22Sep25) - PCE, Blackberry &
Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 22Sep25) Public Holidays There are no public holidays in Singapore, the USA, Hong Kong and China. Global Economic Forecasts and Market Volatility Economic Indicators The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is projected at 51.8, while the S&P Global Services PMI is at 53.8, both forecasts indicating an expansion in their respective global sectors. Upcoming Market Events Several key events and data releases are expected to influence market volatility. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech is anticipated to impact market sentiment. New home sales and existing home sales data will provide insights into the real estate market. Durable goods orders are forecast to decrease by 0.4%. The PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation
🚀📊🔥 Bitcoin Miner Breakouts: Bitfarms, CleanSpark, and Marathon Align for Supercycle Ignition 🔥📊🚀
$Bitfarms Ltd.(BITF)$$MARA Holdings(MARA)$$CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ I’m excited because what we’re seeing in Bitcoin miners isn’t just another bounce; it’s a structural alignment of capital rotation, breakout momentum, and asymmetric payoff potential. Monthly breakouts, weekly supports, and Bitcoin’s consolidation are converging to reprice the sector in real time. 💡 Bitfarms ($BITF) Monthly Breakout Just Warming Up On the monthly chart, Bitfarms is flashing a powerful breakout structure. That oversized green candle has ripped through months of compression, pressing into the silver and purple resistance band. If we close above this zone in the coming days, the ne
<Part 5 of 5> My investing muse (22Sep25) - layoffs, AI adoption, China stops Nvidia, indicators for recession
My Investing Muse (22Sep25) Layoffs & Closure news There is a HUGE disconnect between Job Openings and the market New survey conducted by Resume.org What happens after Trump’s clampdown on H1-B visas? US companies will try to move offices to India. If the US gov tries to kill outsourcing, then India-US relations will go downhill fast. At that point, India will be forced to develop its own IT or switch to Chinese infrastructure. Lots of turmoil ahead. - X user S.L. Kanthan Layoffs announced in Germany, past 12 months: • Volkswagen: 35,000 • Mercedes-Benz: 40,000 • Audi: 7,500 • Ford: 2,900 • Daimler Truck: 5,000 • ZF Group: 14,000 • Bosch, Continental, Schaeffler (combined): 7,000 German economy is not in a crisis, it’s imploding. - X user Michael. A Arouet These are some of the layoffs
🏛️🟡🌏 Gold Is The Tell: Debasement, Dedollarisation, and Why Metals Outrun AI 🟡🏛️🌏
$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$$Silver - main 2512(SImain)$ 📅 22Sep25 🇳🇿 I’m genuinely excited by how clearly gold is signalling the structural shifts in markets; this isn’t just another cycle, it’s the tell on fiscal dominance, currency debasement, and the illusion of monetary stability. 📊 CTA Commodity Flows ⚡ Metals lead: $SI +2.36% and $GC +1.46%, both at strong 1M/3M percentile ranks 🌾 Grains firm: $ZW and $C sitting at 1M/3M highs, signalling inflows 🛢️ Energy mixed: $BRENT modestly positive, nat gas still red and pressured ☕ Softs weak: sugar, cocoa, coffee remain negative across horizons 🧭 Thesis I’m positioning in $IAU because the gold market is the clearest signal that fiscal dominance
We all know that electrifying feeling when a trade moves in our favor—the thrill of seeing green numbers rise and imagining the profits rolling in. Yet, paradoxically, taking those profits can feel almost impossible. So, what really keeps us from turning potential gains into actual profits? For me, the answer is surprisingly simple: luck. Timing plays a bigger role than we often admit. I can buy a stock with careful analysis, only to watch it stagnate or move in the wrong direction. No matter how confident I am in my research, if the price doesn’t reach a level that allows me to sell profitably, I simply can’t take profits. It’s as straightforward and as frustrating as that. But luck isn’t the only factor. Our psychology plays a huge role. Fear and uncertainty often creep in when a stock a
🚀📊🌏 JD.com: The Hidden Giant With Explosive Upside 🌏📊🚀
$JD.com(JD)$$Robinhood(HOOD)$$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ I’m watching three key stocks this week as the market reshuffles: AppLovin $APP and Robinhood $HOOD will officially be members of the S&P 500. But the one with the most asymmetric upside in my view is JD.com $JD. 📈 Revenue vs Price Disconnect JD’s revenues have climbed relentlessly for over a decade, rising from 43,879M in 2019 to 91,813M projected by mid-2025, compounding at 14.4% CAGR. Yet the stock price sits near $35, far below where growth justifies. This mismatch mirrors $PLTR, $HOOD, or $HIMS in their early days; strong growth, lagging valuation, then explosive rerates. 📊 Technical Setup • Current