🚨🚨As of September 20, 2025, the global market landscape is defined by a mix of cautious optimism and persistent volatility, driven by shifting monetary policies, ongoing macroeconomic developments, and key corporate news.

Key Highlights:

 * Monetary Policy and Inflation: The market is highly attuned to signals from central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to begin cutting interest rates in the coming months. This anticipation, fueled by a cooling U.S. labor market and some signs of moderating inflation, is a key driver of investor sentiment. However, some inflationary pressures, particularly from resurfacing tariffs, are still a concern.

 * Equities: Equity markets, particularly in the U.S., have been on a strong upward trajectory, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and FTSE 100 all recently hitting new record highs. This is supported by robust corporate earnings and continued momentum in the technology sector, especially in AI-related stocks.

 * Sector Performance:

   * Technology & AI: The AI boom continues to be a major catalyst, with companies like Intel and Nvidia making headlines. Intel's shares hit a 38-year high following a significant investment from Nvidia. The sector's strong performance is supported by robust demand for AI infrastructure.

   * Small- and Mid-Caps: Small- and mid-cap stocks are showing promising signs of a cyclical recovery and are seen as having further potential for price gains, with some analysts viewing them as undervalued compared to their large-cap counterparts.

   * Healthcare: After a period of underperformance, the healthcare sector has shown a rebound but remains the worst-performing sector year-to-date.

 * Bonds and Gold:

   * Bonds: Bond yields are expected to slightly fall as central banks begin to loosen their policies. Emerging market sovereign bonds are in high demand due to attractive returns.

   * Gold: Gold continues to be a sought-after safe haven asset, supported by expectations of lower U.S. interest rates and a weaker dollar. However, the momentum of its price rise is expected to slow.

 * Geopolitical and Economic Factors:

   * U.S.-China Relations: Negotiations related to TikTok's U.S. operations and new tariffs are ongoing, adding a layer of uncertainty to global trade.

   * India: The Indian stock market has notably underperformed in 2025, delivering the lowest returns among major global indices, due to subdued earnings growth and high valuations.

   * China: Chinese stocks have outperformed U.S. and global markets, driven by "anti-involution" policy initiatives aimed at fostering a healthier competitive environment.

 * Other Market News: The National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) is conducting a mock trading session today, September 20, to test systems and readiness for live operations across various segments.

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  

# How Much Chance Left for 2025? Keep Climbing or Hedge?

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  • happyli
    ·09-22
    Such an interesting analysis
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  • Good post
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