Non-farm payroll and ADP numbers are crucial indicators for understanding the health of the U.S. economy and the labor market, the figures released were negative during the week, so it’s worth noting that a significant and consistent decrease in these numbers is considered a very important and delicate pattern since it can signal major shifts.A downturn in these figures indicates that companies are hiring fewer people or, in some cases, laying them off. This suggests a slowdown in economic activity. When fewer people are employed, consumer spending—a primary driver of economic growth—tends to decline, creating a self-reinforcing negative cycle. This can put the economy on a path toward recession. When people are concerned about job security, they become more cautious with their spending an
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ : The seventh biggest company in the U.S., jumped +9.4% on Friday (saving the $SPX), reaching my $345 target that was posted last Wednesday in my fundamental analysis on three semiconductor giants.The rally was ferocious, printing a red candle that signals an imminent return to the Bollinger range. Chasing this move is risky, as a consolidation is likely. As long as the price stays above $326 next week, its short-term momentum lives, but a breach below could lead to a gap fill.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - MAKE OR BREAK:With the price oversold and a hammer candle printed at the lower Bollinger band, a bounce seems imminent. Can it recover the 50DMA? It must!. ⚠️Failure to do so could lead to a significant fall between the volume shelves (Black arrow).When zooming out as presented in the Weekly Compass, the 10 Weekly Average acted as resistance, and the weekly candle looks in risk off mode.Make or break - Key levels must be recovered. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20
1.Gold ETF Assets reach Record HighMarket movements have obviously been a significant contributor, but we're also seeing increased net inflows into gold funds...Blow-off top incoming? 😱 or new phase of Bull Market? 🤑 $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ Image2.Tech Stocks are trading at the same valuation as dot-com bubble on a P/B basis. Non-tech is far away from tech for good reason, but not far off dot com levels either... $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out
Here's how the companies in my portfolio compare to the S&P 500 over the last 12 years
Here's how the companies in my portfolio compare to the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ over the last 12 yearsTop holdings: $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ - 11 yrs of outperformance $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - 10 yrs $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ - 10 yrs $Arista Networks(ANET)$ - 9 yrs $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ - 8 yrsNo one company outperformed in every year.NVIDIA has the highest growth, but also the highest volatility.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK,
🔥 The edge comes from mastering the higher-timeframe wave count.For months I tracked the 4th wave triangle on $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ 🥇. Once it completed, I watched for a retest + long signal.After flashing the bullish CISD — I projected above 3353 would unleash an EXPLOSIVE rally toward 3650–3870 📈And it delivered, exactly as projected ✅🚀Major expansion phases aren’t luck… they’re visible when you know where you are in the wave count. 📊⚡️ImageImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegra
Exchange Gemini vs. RWA Figure: Who is Next Circle in IPO Race?
AI, crypto, and the $15B IPO boom—JPMorgan expects fundraising to hit nearly $40B this year, far above last year’s $27.5B.In the past two weeks, both Figure and Gemini filed for IPOs. After $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ , who will be the next star to reshape the industry? $Gemini Group Global Corp.(GMNI)$: With a large user base, how long will it take to reach profitability?Gemini is underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Morgan Stanley. It plans to sell 16.67M shares at $17–19 each, raising $317M.H1 revenue: $67.9M, but net loss ballooned to $282.5M. Over 65% of revenue still comes from trading fees—directly hit by the downturn in crypto volumes.Despite 14.6M users and $18B in assets under custody, Gem
10 step starter kit for new traders or those who aren't consistent
10 step starter kit for new traders or those who aren't consistent:1. Choose IBKR"Think or Swim" WebullGlobal (Pick 1)2. Put $2000 in the account.3. Choose 1-2 set-ups from this list here ⬇️4. Go back 30 days for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Apple(AAPL)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and go find the set-ups5. Choose 1 week expiry and at the money strikes6. Choose 2-3 contracts max each trade7. Stop loss will be 25-30 cents max8. Price target is at least $60 cents to $1.20+9. Sell only if you hit your stop loss or price target10. Build confidence and conviction by preparationFor whom haven't open CBA can know m
1.Stockmarket Seasonality MapFor completeness, here’s the stockmarket seasonality map I mentioned.As you can see, it’s around this time of year that price tends to be more ranging and volatile with a tendency for downside in stocks and chance of volatility spikes.But also — let’s not forget about the good old YER [Year-End Rally]. As far as upside opportunities go, maybe the best thing that could happen would be a nice healthy seasonal correction to setup for a YER to close out what has already been an eventful year… $S&P 500(.SPX)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 2.Pressure PointsNow to lean a little further into the bearish side and examine the “what could go wrong?“ aspect (and p.s. I also like to ask
1.TSLA $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is sitting on the edge of a breakout 🚀Hundreds of millions in call flow are betting on it. 🐋I just booked +$14K profit and rolled my Jan ‘26 $340C into Mar ‘26 $360C.2.Unusual options flow you can’t ignore 🚨We flagged $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ as a bottom earlier this week — it’s already up +11%.Now? Nearly 200,000 October $15 calls just hit the tape.3. $Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ is ripping 🚀We called this out last month — now the stock is up +25% and pushing right into my target.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, H
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA back at resistance.I still think we sweep this liquidity zone, but we could see one more rejection to $340 first.I rolled my calls today. Out of Jan 2026 $340Cs and into March 2026 $360Cs.Not cutting size, just pushing the time horizon further.Image2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR holding a base at the THT Volume Profile.Two thin volume gaps above — and we know price moves FAST once it breaks into them.Not buying this dip because the weekly BX is 🔴.If it were green, I’d be looking for that upside gap to fill… but with weakness, I’m staying out.Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA currently under $170 ❌👀Bad look if we close under this
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA $170 brick wall still holding.. but for how long? 🧱Bulls are still in control and THT Volume profile support is holding.Big volume gap down to $150 but nothing happens unless $170 liquidity is swept 🧹Image2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD bulls remain in control.Our downside cushion is still $140–$145, but I’m holding firm on an end-of-year target of $200–$220.If this liquidity level cracks, we could see the gap below fill quickly — but for now, no confirmation.Image3. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA squeeze is still on + Daily BX closing HL 😏ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up t
Daily Charts - There is now an 100% chance of a September rate cut
1.There is now an 100% chance of a September rate cut and an 8% chance that it will be 50 bps 🤯👀A bar chart displaying probabilities for a September rate cut. One blue bar shows an 8% chance for a 50 basis point cut, and another blue bar indicates a 92% chance for a 25 basis point cut. Text above the chart reads "Target Rate Probabilities for 17 Sep 2025 Fed Meeting" and "Current target rate in 425-450."2.10-Year Treasury Yield plunges to 4.1%, its lowest level in 5 months $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ A line chart displaying the 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10YT) over time, with daily data from January to September 2023. The y-axis ranges from 0.0000 to 0.0500, showing yield percentages, and the x-axis marks dates. A red horizontal line i
1. $McDonald's(MCD)$ McDonald's forms a Golden Cross for the first time in 12 months ✅A financial chart displaying McDonald\'s Corporation stock price movements over time, labeled as $MCD. The chart includes candlestick patterns, a blue moving average line, and a pink moving average line forming a Golden Cross. Yellow circles highlight specific points on the chart, and the x-axis shows dates from November 2023 to September 2024, with the y-axis indicating price levels from $250 to $300.2. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ Lululemon forms a Death Candle in extended hours 📉📉A line chart displaying Lululemon Athletica (LULU) stock price movements over time, with a red oval highlighting a sharp decline. Green and re
1.Global Equity ValuationsThe Great Catch-Up ...?All corners of the world are cheap and turning up after long slumber -- and there's a long way to go if they catch even half-way up to the USA.US economy in a soft patch means US Equities are no longer the only game in town... especially with the way valuations (and policy settings) are sitting in US vs RoWImage2.So, a few things:-the growth in big tech/AI-the rise of intangible assets-and changing index compositionMeans maybe the signal is not really all that comparable to dot-com...But regardless: it ain't cheap.(and many other indicators also say (extreme) expensive)ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks
On Tuesday, U.S. District Court Judge Amit Mehta said $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , while still a monopoly, could keep Chrome and Android in-house and could continue paying for default status on browsers like $Apple(AAPL)$ Safari.Google will have to share some data with competitors and can’t have exclusive agreements with partners, such as smartphone makers, but that’s unlikely to upend Google’s search dominance or its business model.The details of the case are interesting, but the lesson for investors is clear. Look at the long-term trends and buy companies when sentiment around them is bad.I’ve been something of a broken record about Alphabet’s value an
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The sell-off neared $6,344. When analyzing the body of the candles on the 4-hour chart, $6,386—a bearish layer provided last week—acted with precision as a bounce point in confluence with the monthly central level of $6,393.7. The bounce recovered $6,465, the central weekly level we use as our "bullish above / bearish below" mark, which set the price to reach its bullish target for the week, $6,502.6, on Thursday. The overextension on Friday anticipated a reversal that was posted in the paid subscribers chat, with the central weekly level ending the week as a key support. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ : In Wednesday's fundamental analysis for this company, I anticipated a move toward $345 conside
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Recent gap-ups have been quick to fill, and today's open at the upper Bollinger Band led to a swift retreat to the 20DMA. This type of retracement is usually followed by weakness as highlighted by the arrows.Tech came to the rescue, led by $Broadcom(AVGO)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Oracle(ORCL)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$. However, the first two will return to their Bollinger ranges, while the others still have price gaps to fill.Meanwhile, the financial sector's significant weakness is a concern, as is the be