780
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2025-08-30
$TLT 20250829 88.0 CALL$ Mission achieved
439
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2025-08-30
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Highest profit share that I am still holding on
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2025-09-01
Green Bird in Trouble? Why Duolingo Shares Are Sliding
First, let’s address a common question. Historically, September is typically the worst-performing month of the year for stocks. So, there’s a lot of talk about selling stocks now and buying them back in October. Does this strategy work? Let me explain. I’ll share insights about a company that has recently experienced a puzzling drop in its stock price, likely reaching an undervalued stage. Which company is this? Could it be a good long-term investment? Last Friday, the stock market saw a significant pullback, with tech stocks, led by $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , experiencing sizable declines. This reminds us that September is often the worst month of the year for stocks. There’s a 56% probability that stocks will drop in September, so ma
TOPBurningWizard: Any buyer should try its free (endless ads) mode for a few days and then think what kind of company this is.
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2025-09-01
Will You Follow Major Trend or Bet on an Underdog Comeback?
Markets are full of contrasts, and this past week highlighted it perfectly. On Wednesday, Meituan (03690) reported earnings that disappointed investors. Profits took a hit. The market responded swiftly: the stock plummeted. MEITUAN-W (03690) Just a day later, Alibaba (BABA) released its results, and the market cheered—a 12% surge in the share price. Alibaba (BABA) Meituan CEO Wang Xing offered a compelling perspective on this dichotomy: “In a big competition, being the underdog is the most exciting position to be in. That’s why this is so thrilling.” This raises a critical question for investors: do we follow the trend, or do we bet on the underdog? The Underdog Advantage: More Than Just Emotion Investing in underdogs isn’t just about rooting for the little guy. It’s about strategic opport
TOPMeituan’s ailing—does its cash flow make it a viable underdog bet?
7.61K
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2025-09-01
🚗⚡📉 Tesla at the Neckline, Amazon Near Breakout, MongoDB Earnings Surge 📊🛒🚀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ I’m convinced this week sets up a defining moment for Tesla, Amazon, and MongoDB. I see Tesla pressing right on the neckline that decides whether it breaks lower into the $300s, Amazon coiling at the edge of a bullish breakout, and MongoDB exploding higher on blowout earnings. These are not casual levels; they are inflection points that will dictate the next major move. 📉 Tesla: Neckline Test in the $350–$300 Range I’m watching $TSLA closely as it presses on the neckline at $331. The head-and-shoulders structure is pressing against a critical pivot, and the charts are showing how important this line reall
TOP📉I’ve been tracking Tesla closely and that neckline around 331 really is the pivot you called out. The heavy call selling you flagged plus the put buying lines up with the 3.5% drop, so it’s hard to ignore the pressure. If it loses 331, the door to 314 opens fast.
6.73K
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2025-09-01
🚨🔥 $AVGO: Broadcom Earnings & Wall Street Week Ahead Mega Forecast 🔥🚨
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I believe Broadcom will close in the Flat range (-5% to +5%) on September 5, most likely between $295 and $300. Earnings will be strong, but resistance at $300 and September’s historical weakness will cap the upside. 📊 Macro & Seasonality Context September has historically been the weakest month for equities. Seasonality charts confirm: • S&P 500: steady early, sharp fade after mid-month. • Apple & Meta: typically drag indices lower. • Amazon & Microsoft: relative stabilisers. • Tesla: volatile, often resilient mid-month. The McClellan seasonal overlay illustrates how Fed cuts, tariff shocks, and geopolitical surprises can distort the September path. This ye
TOPThat Flat call on AVGO hits different because it’s grounded in all the moving parts from Apple’s $100B manufacturing spend to Pelosi’s buy at $80. I love how you broke it down across macro, AI, and technicals without losing the narrative flow. It’s giving me the same vibe as when MSFT earnings sent shockwaves but still respected resistance.
492
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2025-08-30
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Holding as long as it takes
782
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2025-08-30
$NVDA 20260320 100.0 PUT$ Still good in this volatile market. Patient, patient, and more patient.
1.99K
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2025-09-01
<Part 3 of 5> Any correction for the S&P 500? Market outlook (01Sep25)
Market Outlook of S&P500 (01Sep25) Technical observations: MACD - currently shows a downtrend as the price ranges. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.21, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. Using technical analysis, 11 indicators indicate a “Buy” rating, while 3 indicate a “Sell” rating. Using the Daily interval, it has a “Strong Buy” rating. Emerging Patterns (from Grok) Bearish Engulfing (1D, Current, August 27, 2025) Implication: A bearish pattern indicating strong selling pressure, often marking the start or continuation of a downtrend. Doji (1D, 1 candle ago, August 26, 2025) I
TOPBearish signals ahead
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2025-09-01
<Part 5 of 5> Is Europe ok? Layoffs? Recession? My investing muse (01Sep25)
My Investing Muse (01Sep25) Layoffs & Closure news Pfizer lays off 100 workers at former Seagen HQ in Seattle area - Fierce Pharma ANZ Group Holdings Ltd. is being forced to accelerate planned layoffs after automated emails were mistakenly sent to some employees before they were told of their termination. - Bloomberg Nike is taking the layoff route again this year, and this means job cuts for less than 1% of its corporate workforce. The company was recently reported to have 77,800 employees, but it remains unclear just how many from this expansive workforce will be affected by the cuts. - The HR Digest Intuitive to lay off 331 employees in California The robotic surgery company, which filed a WARN notice with the state in August, plans for the layoffs to be effective in late Oct
TOPIt's concerning to see layoffs piling up.
388
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2025-08-30
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ CRWV Diagonal 250818-250829 Aug 18 CRWV @$100.04 Open Diagonal STO CRWV 22 Aug 91 Put BTO CRWV 5 Sep 85 Put @$1 GTC @$2 (2 - 1) x 100 = $100 Max win @91 @Aug 22 Margin (91 - 85 + 1) X 100 = $700 1) Buy 1 @$0.97 Buy 3 @$0.88 Aug 20 CRWV @$88.72 Adjustment roll short leg BTC CRWV 22 Aug 91 Put STO CRVW 29 Aug 90 Put @$1.4 No Exit target set Max win @$90 @Aug 29 Margin (90 - 85 + 1 - 1.4) x 100 = $460 2) Roll 1 @$1.9 (Roll) Roll 2 @$1.8 (SP90) Square 1 @$1.45 (LP85) (-0.97 + 1.4) x 100 = $48 48/700 = 6.8% (x 52 = 353% ROI annual) Aug 27 CRVW @$96.41 BTC CRWV 29 Aug 90 Put STC CRWV 5 Sep 85 Put @$0.06 (-1 + 1.4 + 0.06) x 100 = $46 46/700 = 6.5% (x 52 / 2 = 170% ROI annual) 3) Sell 3 @$0.3 (-0.88 + 1.9 + 0.3) x 100 = $132
TOPWow, impressive strategy and returns! 😍💰
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2025-09-01
Meituan or Alibaba: Contrarian Gamble or Safe Momentum Play?
$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ Investing is never just about numbers. It’s also about narratives, conviction, and the trade-off between safety and opportunity. This week, that age-old question resurfaced in dramatic fashion as two of China’s biggest internet companies, Meituan (03690.HK) and Alibaba (BABA), unveiled earnings that sent their stock prices in opposite directions. The divergence was striking. Meituan’s latest report showed pressure on profitability, triggering a sharp sell-off in its shares. In contrast, Alibaba surprised to the upside, rallying more than 12% in a single day after its earnings release. On the earnings call, Meituan CEO Wang Xing tried to reframe the market’s disappointme
TOPRide the wave of Baba and wait to pick up around 80 support level for Meituan
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2025-09-01
Choosing Winners in Crypto Stocks: The Key Metrics Every Investor Should Follow
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ $Block, Inc.(XYZ)$ The cryptocurrency ecosystem has always been volatile, but 2025 has introduced a new wrinkle for investors: it’s not just the tokens themselves swinging wildly, but the performance of crypto-related stocks diverging in meaningful ways. Some companies have surged alongside Bitcoin’s rally, while others have lagged, raising important questions for investors who want equity exposure to digital assets without directly holding tokens. Even as the speculative “hype” around crypto-linked equities has cooled compared to 2021’s euphoric levels, many still believe that the crypto bull cycle is not yet fi
TOPVery good analysis, don't analyze it next time 🤣
527
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2025-09-01
Option selling cheat mode
Seeing a ton of posts about options selling being a cheat code, money printer, etc. Can I provide a cautionary tale of the risks? In November 2021, I decided to wheel a decent chunk of money. $SOFI had just come off a triple beat, was still cheaper than its competitors like $UPST, $AFRM, $HOOD, etc., had a massive catalyst coming in the bank charter, was my highest conviction stock, and had great premiums. The stock was stabilizing after those earnings in the mid $20s. There was a secondary offering and they announced the redemption of their warrants and the stock dropped. I thought it was an opportunity and I sold CSPs when it was in the low 20s at a $19 strike. It immediately dropped to the $17-$18 range. I got assigned. But I was "smart", I was deploying the capital in three chunks in c
TOPWow, this is a fantastic perspective! [Great]
265
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2025-09-01
Seeing a ton of posts about options selling being a cheat code, money printer, etc. Can I provide a cautionary tale of the risks? In November 2021, I decided to wheel a decent chunk of money. $SOFI had just come off a triple beat, was still cheaper than its competitors like $UPST, $AFRM, $HOOD, etc., had a massive catalyst coming in the bank charter, was my highest conviction stock, and had great premiums. The stock was stabilizing after those earnings in the mid $20s. There was a secondary offering and they announced the redemption of their warrants and the stock dropped. I thought it was an opportunity and I sold CSPs when it was in the low 20s at a $19 strike. It immediately dropped to the $17-$18 range. I got assigned. But I was "smart", I was deploying the capital in three chunks in c
2.29K
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2025-09-01
You are weighing two classic investment mindsets—contrarian (underdog) versus momentum (major trend). Both have merit, but the context matters. --- The Underdog Case (Meituan) Valuation Compression: After a steep sell-off, the stock may be trading at a discount relative to its fundamentals, making upside potential more attractive if execution improves. Asymmetric Payoff: Negative sentiment may already be priced in, so any positive catalyst (e.g., easing competition, better margins, regulatory tailwinds) could trigger outsized gains. Long-Term Positioning: If you believe Meituan can defend market share and eventually monetise new initiatives, the current weakness could be a buying opportunity. Risk: Catching the underdog requires patience and conviction, as underperformance can persist for
TOPSmart balance lah, trend gives stability but underdog can surprise. 40% meituan here
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2025-09-01
BABA’s Surge vs. Meituan’s Underdog Grit: Which Stock Wins Your Bet?
$Alibaba(BABA)$ $MEITUAN(MPNGF)$ The market is buzzing as September 2025 unfolds, with Alibaba (BABA) soaring 12% to $142.30 after a stellar earnings report, while Meituan-W (03690) slumped to HK$92.90 following a profit warning and an 89% net profit drop. Wednesday’s earnings from Meituan revealed intense competition eroding margins, yet CEO Wang Xing’s bold claim—“In a big competition, being the underdog is the most exciting position to be in”—ignites debate. With BABA riding a major trend and Meituan eyeing a comeback, investors face a pivotal choice. Should you chase BABA’s momentum or bet on Meituan’s resilience? This deep dive explores the stakes, risks, and rewards, backed by data and market shift
TOPMeituan's HK$92 support looks tasty for swing trade
549
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2025-09-01
Singapore Daily Market Update (01 Sep 2025) | 🦖 #TheInvestingIguana EP1060
🟩 📈 **SGX Market Insights: Top Moves You Can’t Ignore Today!** Looking for clear, actionable updates on the SGX without wading through endless news? Join Iggy, the Investing Iguana, as we *dive into* today’s top movers and market trends, *shedding light on* key developments impacting your portfolio. This episode is *packed with insights* tailored for Singaporean investors, breaking down the numbers and strategies behind today’s market action. 🌿 **Spotlight on Capital Ascendas REIT** Discover how their $300M green perpetual securities redemption signals financial discipline and what it means for long-term yield seekers. 🏨 **The GuocoLand Property Play** We’re analyzing their $46M Johor Bahru asset sale and its impact on their balance sheet. Is this a strategic reshuffle or a cautious move a
TOPCapitaLand Ascendas’ $300M redemption—will yields rise for investors?