[Game] Nvidia Earnings: The Stock Will Close at the Range of?
On the evening of August 27, the world’s most valuable listed company $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will release its highly anticipated Q2 earnings report. Recently, there has been a lot of debate around AI demand. MIT’s AI benefit report triggered a pullback in chip stocks, but at the same time, news emerged that NVIDIA may design a new chip for the China market.How is the market expecting NVIDIA’s earnings? Market Expectations: Revenue $46–49B (+58% YoY), Net Income $24–25B (+53% YoY), Adjusted EPS $1.00–1.05 (+56% YoY). Q3 revenue guidance: $53–57B.Key segmentsData Center ~90% of revenue, expected $42–45B (+64–70% YoY), boosted by hyperscale capex, GB200/300 ramp, H20 demand from China.Gaming revenue set to hit another record with RTX 50 series.Other business
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR gapped up after its last earnings report and went on to hit a new all-time high of $190 before retracing lower. Over the past week, the stock dipped further in line with the broader market, eventually revisiting levels near its previous gap fill. While the share price has since rebounded slightly, the question now is whether PLTR is ready to make another push back toward its ATH. Recent media coverage has highlighted concerns about Palantir’s lofty valuation, but this is nothing new—investors have long been aware of the premium pricing attached to the stock. The narrative often swings between extreme optimism and pessimism depending on short-term market moves. Ultimately
The Fed's Potential Pivot: A Bullish Signal for Risk Assets
Based on the Fed's past reaction function it has No Business cutting rates on either labor or inflation.ImageImageIn fact, if anything, you might argue the FFR should be closer to 6%.Of course they're not going to hike, but this tells us something very important... Our job is not to make policy arguments or opine on what they should/should not do, it's to take stock of what they are going to do and then try make the most of it.If the Fed does get bullied into cutting rates when rates should actually be higher what does that tell us?It tells us that rates are going to be WAY easier than they "should be" ---- that's bullish for gold/crypto/stocks.(and key: eventually also for inflation assets e.g. commodities, as the Fed runs things too easy and stokes up inflation resurgence risk)Remember t
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has become the gravity point of this entire market. That’s why next week’s earnings aren’t just about one company -- they’re about whether the AI cycle still has the strength to carry $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ & $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ higher.The stock has already returned 15x since the 2022 bottom & that kind of run naturally invites the “bubble” label. The real question now is whether the fundamentals can keep matching the price.Here’s what I’ll be watching 👇🧵1. What the Bears Are Getting WrongThe way I’m looking at $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ heading into earnings is less about whether they “beat” and more
The Earnings That Could Move The Market: Nvidia's AI Reckoning
🌟🌟🌟Wall Street isn't just watching Nvidia's earnings on August 27 - It is holding its breath. As the undisputed leader in AI infrastructure, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ results are more than a quarterly check in. They are a referendum on the entire AI sector's ability to deliver real returns. With expectations sky high, any miss could rattle tech valuations and even broader sentiment. But a beat? That could reignite the AI trade with fresh conviction. Nvidia's Earnings Preview : A Leap or a Trap? Wall Street is looking for around USD 46 billion on revenue and USD 1.00 in non GAAP EPS, representing 53% and 47% year over year growth respectively. Beyond the headline numbers, investors will zero i
Overflow Economics: The Strange Premium Behind Strategy
The Saylor Belief Tax: Why MSTR Trades 70% Above Its Bitcoin Value I will like to share with MSTR, known as MicroStrategy, might as well be renamed Strategy Ink at this point.If I look at its chart, over the past five years, it’s soared from a few bucks to over a thousand (factor stock split) —a 25-fold increase, more thrilling than a rocket ride.But if I think that’s the whole story, I’m underestimating Wall Street’s imagination.The real mind-blower isn’t even the price surge.Let me hit you with a soul-searching question. Imagine a clear glass box with $100 worth of Bitcoin assets inside—pure net value, no costs or liabilities. How much would I pay for it?Most people would say $100, maybe $99 for a deal, right?Wrong.The market’s answer? Some folks would pay $170, even $180, for
Daily Charts - BRK closes above its 200 DMA for the first time since early July
1.Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ closes above its 200 Day Moving Average for the first time since early July 📈✅Image2.The United States now owns 10% of Intel $Intel(INTC)$ Image3.I keep being told there are signs of a top everywhere in this market. Those folks must be looking at their data upside down. I'm just not seeing all these tops they keep telling me about. Weird. That was actually just the 1st new all-time high daily close for the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ this year.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK,
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ massive buyer stepping into market at $320 confirmed (bookmark chart so you can study it)Next target is $350 first then...here 🧵ImageIts $370 here with this massive catalyst and FOMC is on Sept 16-17. Everything lining up for $420 year-end target.TSLA retest confirmed for explosion (you missed it)ImageImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now
1. $KB Home(KBH)$ +$15,000 on KBH with our 2-step SMZ setup.Entry: pullback into the Smart Money Zone at volume profile support.Confirmation: BX showed buy pressure.Image2. $Norwegian Cruise Line(NCLH)$ +$38,217 on NCLH with our 2-step SMZ setup 🚀Entry: pullback into Smart Money Zone.Confirmation: BX weekly flipped green.Took profits now to roll capital into better setups at discount levels.Image3. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ NIO bull flag was money! Congrats BX confirmed on the daily charge and exploded from there 🔥🤝ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG,
Investors got bullish signals, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that central bank policymakers are open to cutting interest rates at their meeting next month, though perhaps not as aggressively as some had hoped. Lower rates should help sustain the market's summertime rally, especially after recent weakness in the jobs market and worries about AI spending had slowed the bulls.Powell told the Jackson Hole conference that "the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance," signaling that rates could be cut as soon as September. This would mark nine months since the Federal Reserve's last rate cut.Historically, such pauses have been good for stocks. When the Fed has waited 5 to 12 months between rate cuts, the market was higher a year later in
QQQ - Bulls need to see the price decisively conquer the 20DMA
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : As anticipated on Thursday, Friday could see a bounce, though it was stronger than expected. The rally, fueled by Powell's comments on potential rate cuts, peaked at 11 AM before stalling for the rest of the day.For the week ahead, bulls need to see the price decisively conquer the 20-day moving average (20DMA) and for the bullish Stochastic crossover to be confirmed.The critical "line in the sand" is $569.6. If the price slips below this level, the recent pullback is likely to resume. Holding above it is necessary to prove this was more than just a dead cat bounce.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK,
1. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ expects $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ MI400 revenue for the next year will be nearly 1/10 of the revenue from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Rubin.I think this grossly underestimates MI400’s potential.Given that there is a possibility Rubin may be delayed, MI400 orders can be way more than the estimates.Long $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ .Image2. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is finally at $25.The prophecy is now fulfilled.Though the valuation looks a bit stretched at this level, it could be justified fast if the Fed really turns dovish as Powell signa
Hello everyone!Today i want to share some trading skills with you!1.Quality businesses: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Image2.A simple screener for reasonably priced quality companies: • ROIC +15%• Growth +10%• Cash conversion +75%• Interest coverage +10x• Operating margin +10%• FCF yield > Risk-Free Rate3.How to identify a competitive advantage (moat):ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉Cash Boost A
What a week. 🔥 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ made a massive move after Jackson hole/Powell and it's setting up for new all time highs to finish off August. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ looks like it's almost ready for another run to 350,368. Calls may be in play next week. $Ethereum(ETH.USD.CC)$ right near all time highs, this wants 7000+. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ to 125k coming again this Fall as well. Once it gets through 150k in play.I will post my plan and charts on Sunday, HAGW everyone!!! 📈 🫡For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ releases earnings before the opening bell on Monday. Expected move is ~7%.Gonna take a modified strangle trade, Aug 29 expiry.▫️ STO the 95 put strike▫️ STO a 152.5/155 call spread 🎯 the previous earnings bottom and a high from last year. Looks like PDD is hitting a resistance level before earnings. Not much resistance up to 155 if it breaks through post-earnings. Strong volume support around 100.ImageImage2.Took profit on the $Centene(CNC)$ put-write trade. Swapped it for a $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ put-write trade, 23 strike, same expiration.ImageFor whom haven't
1.Markets closed Friday with the strongest breadth reading in 2025. Across NYSE and Nasdaq listings more stocks made new highs than lows. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ This simplified breadth perspective is core to my weekly analysis. A strong reading is supportive of the ongoing bullish narrative.2.It is most certainly not bearish. As always, more thoughts on Sunday in long form letter. Have a super weekend.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Teleg