[Game] Nvidia Earnings: The Stock Will Close at the Range of?
On the evening of August 27, the world’s most valuable listed company $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will release its highly anticipated Q2 earnings report.
Recently, there has been a lot of debate around AI demand. MIT’s AI benefit report triggered a pullback in chip stocks, but at the same time, news emerged that NVIDIA may design a new chip for the China market.
How is the market expecting NVIDIA’s earnings?
Market Expectations: Revenue $46–49B (+58% YoY), Net Income $24–25B (+53% YoY), Adjusted EPS $1.00–1.05 (+56% YoY). Q3 revenue guidance: $53–57B.
Key segments
Data Center ~90% of revenue, expected $42–45B (+64–70% YoY), boosted by hyperscale capex, GB200/300 ramp, H20 demand from China.
Gaming revenue set to hit another record with RTX 50 series.
Other businesses (auto, robotics, visualization) small but fastest growth.
Margins: Gross margin expected 72.5–73%, net margin just under 55%.
Valuation & Risks:
Target price raised to $200 (35x FY2025E P/E).
Risks include hyperscaler shift to custom ASICs/AMD, China restrictions, and AI chip cycle peak (likely 2025–2026).
Conclusion: Nvidia likely beats Q2 expectations and guides in line. AI-driven capex supports strong growth, though semiconductor cycle risks suggest investors prepare for future pullbacks. Long term, Nvidia remains the most certain AI winner, with a path toward $5T market cap.
Where will NVIDIA close on earnings week?
Based on option chain data, the market implies that by next Friday, NVIDIA’s closing price will likely be within the 165.5 ~ 190.5 range.
Please give a $5-wide range, for example: 165–170? 170–175? 180–185? You can choose any one range you think NVIDIA will close in on Friday.
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💬 Comment below:
I think NVIDIA’s closing price next Friday will be in the 190–195 range.
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目前，圍繞人工智能需求的情緒仍然好壞參半——麻省理工學院的報告緩和了一些炒作，而潛在的專注於中國的芯片的消息提供了一個新的增長角度。這種平衡可能會限制任一方向的極端波動，使英偉達的交易價格保持在隱含期權範圍的高端。
總體而言，隨着投資者消化第二季度業績和第三季度指引，我認爲英偉達將繼續在185-190美元區域附近保持強勢。從長遠來看，該公司的人工智能領導地位仍然完好無損，但近期的波動可能會使該股在下一次重大上漲之前保持盤整。
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars
Tonight August 27 is an exciting day for Nvidia and all eyes will be on CEO Jensen Huang as he presents Nvidia's Q2 25 earnings result.
Nvidia has exceeded analysts consensus earnings in 18 of the 21 quarters, so the expectations are high that it will do so again on August 27.
This is perhaps the most anticipated results this earnings season. Nvidia is the bellwether for the AI space.
I am super excited and will stay tuned for this important earnings report.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @CaptainTiger @TigerClub @Tiger_SG
遊戲RTX 50系列的收入將再創新高。
其他業務（汽車、機器人、可視化）規模雖小但增長最快。
Results might be good but the AI bubbles are too big.. the AI bubbles soon will burst.
I always remember the " .com " incident. Markets will face the music and a lot of traders will be trapped if they continue to chase and pump in money...
An advice: Learn how to unlock profits and be patient for opportunity... Wait for the next big dip
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