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2025-07-12
🤖 Grok-4 Sparks Tesla Surge: Is AI Tesla’s Secret Weapon? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ just ripped higher — up 4.7% in a day — not because of cars, factories, or earnings. The catalyst? Grok-4, a next-generation AI model launched by xAI, Elon Musk’s independent artificial intelligence company. It’s not the first time AI has caused a stock to pop — but when Tesla’s founder is behind both the AI and the EV company, the market pays attention. Could this be the beginning of Tesla’s AI re-rating? Or is it just another round of Musk-fueled excitement? 🧠 What Exactly Is Grok-4? In simple terms, Grok-4 is a large language model (LLM) — like ChatGPT or Gemini — but built from the ground up by Musk’s AI venture, xAI. Musk claims it’s capable of “su
TOPNathanEsther: This could be a game changer for Tesla. If Grok-4 delivers, it might just redefine the industry.
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2025-07-12
Is TSMC a good addition to portfolio - preview of the week (14Jul25)
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, America or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (14Jul25) Economic Outlook (with help from Grok) The most watched news should be the CPI (inflation) and PPI (inflation hitting producers). This would have some implications for how the Federal Reserve approaches the coming interest rate decision. CPI forecasts (Core at 0.3% MoM, YoY at 2.4%) indicate a warming inflation environment. If actual data aligns or undershoots, it could reduce expectations of Fed rate hikes, supporting risk assets. A modest PPI increase (0.2%) suggests producer price pressures, reinforcing a growing inflation outlook. Weak retail sales forecasts (Core at 0.3%, overall at 0.0%) point to sluggish consumer spending, which could signal a broader economic slowdown
TOPRocket takeoff in 2days .. 250 should be in the books !!
301
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2025-07-12
CPI, GDP China & PPI - Economic Calendar (14Jul25)
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, America or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (14Jul25) Economic Outlook (with help from Grok) The most watched news should be the CPI (inflation) and PPI (inflation hitting producers). This would have some implications for how the Federal Reserve approaches the coming interest rate decision. CPI forecasts (Core at 0.3% MoM, YoY at 2.4%) indicate a warming inflation environment. If actual data aligns or undershoots, it could reduce expectations of Fed rate hikes, supporting risk assets. A modest PPI increase (0.2%) suggests producer price pressures, reinforcing a growing inflation outlook. Weak retail sales forecasts (Core at 0.3%, overall at 0.0%) point to sluggish consumer spending, which could signal a broader economic slowdown
TOPYour analysis of the economic calendar is spot on.
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2025-07-12
Is TSMC a good addition? - Earnings Calendar (14Jul25)
Earnings Calendar (14Jul25) Q2/2025 earnings start strong this week. There are notable banking earnings that include JP Morgan, Citi, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, American Express and Goldman Sachs. The other earnings of interest are United, TSMC, Netflix, Pepsico, Abbott and Johnson & Johnson. Let us look into the recent performance of TSMC For TSMC, the analysts’ sentiment is recommending a “Strong Buy”. With a price target of $232.43, this suggests an upside of 0.88%. For technical analysis, the recommendation is also a “Strong Buy”. The stock price has gained 24.4% from a year ago. Observations: The revenue of the business grew from $25.7 billion in 2015 to $88.8 billion in 2024. The gross profit of the business grew from $12.5 billion
TOPTSMC seems promising, especially with its strong fundamentals.
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2025-07-12
What is the outlook of S&P 500 (14Jul25) - what 20+ indicators tell us
Market Outlook of S&P500 (14Jul25) Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover should be completed over the coming days, and this implies a potential reversal is coming. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. A golden cross is completed. This is typically a bullish signal when backed with strong volume. The CMF is positive at 0.23, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. From the technical analysis, we are seeing a “Strong Buy” rating with the daily interval. There are 20 indicators with a “Buy” rating and none showing a “Sell” rating. Now, let us look at the candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications for th
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2025-07-12
Layoffs, Margin call & institutional investors - My investing muse (14Jul25)
My Investing Muse (14Jul25) Layoffs & Closure news Intel layoffs 2025: Thousands of jobs cut as chipmaker begins restructuring – Oregon Live Dow to close three European chemical plants, cut 800 jobs | Reuters There have been 371 corporate bankruptcies year-to-date, the most in 15 YEARS. Among sectors, Industrials and Consumer Discretionary have been the most hit with 58 and 49 filings, respectively. Bankruptcies are at recession levels. – X user Global Markets Investor The US job numbers will likely be REVISED DOWN by nearly 800,000 for the 9 months ending December 2024, according to QCEW data. This means non-farm payrolls were OVERSTATED by ~88,888 jobs each month during this period. – X user Global Markets Investor Job postings on Indeed dropped to their lowest since February 2021. T
TOPBearish views are not popular but your reasoning is sound. The only area I disagree on is tariffs showing up in inflation, as they may also show up in reduced profitability if not passed on.
506
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2025-07-13
Trump’s Tariff Tempest: Will Markets Swallow the 30% EU Hit?
Trump’s back at it, swinging the tariff hammer with a vengeance. On July 12, he unleashed a 30% tariff on imports from Mexico and the European Union, hot on the heels of a 35% levy slapped on Canada the day before. Set to ignite on August 1, this new round of trade warfare has everyone buzzing: will markets keep sipping the Kool-Aid, or are we staring down a reckoning? With the “Taco Trade” hanging in the balance, let’s unpack the chaos and see if this tariff storm will sink stocks or just stir the pot. The Tariff Barrage: What’s Cooking? Trump’s latest salvo—30% on the EU and Mexico, 35% on Canada—is a full-on assault on America’s trade giants. The EU alone sent $576 billion in goods to the U.S. last year, while Mexico chipped in $421 billion. Throw Canada’s $400 billion into the mix, and
TOPWow! This is a wild ride ahead! [Surprised]
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2025-07-13
ASML & TSMC Earnings: AI Boom Fuels Record Highs—Can They Keep It Up?
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML and TSMC $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , titans of the semiconductor world, are dropping their earnings reports this week—Wednesday for ASML and Thursday for TSMC. These releases come at a pivotal moment as the semiconductor sector rides a wave of gains, fueled by the AI-driven data center boom. TSMC crushed it in Q1, while ASML stumbled with an earnings miss that sent its stock tumbling. With TSMC’s June sales soaring 39% year-over-year and the sector buzzing, the big questions loom: Can these earnings propel the rally further? Is the AI boom still roaring? And should you bet big on TSMC’s next beat? Let’s dive in. TSMC: Riding the AI Wave TSMC’s June sales surged
TOPTSM has a mega plant in Arizona that is insane, and they only keep growing. I think they will be fully exempt from tariffs cuz of their continued future growth in the U.S..
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2025-07-13
$IBITX Software Inc.(IBXS)$ $iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Bitcoin is pressing beneath $120K with RSI(6) at 78.9 and MACD climbing steadily. The AO cycle model just triggered its fourth historical bull run signal, matching setups seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Price structure is intact, momentum is expanding, and institutional alignment is stronger than ever. Ethereum reclaimed all major weekly MAs at $2,916, with RSI rising and MACD printing green for a sixth week in a row. SBET holds 198K ETH and completed a 10K OTC deal with the Ethereum Foundation. BTBT sold BTC to accumulate over 100K ETH. BTCT launched an ETH reserve, and DF
TOP💫📊⚡I really appreciate the balance here. It’s not either MSTR or ETH, it’s the capital rotation that matters. $IBIT’s flow surge this month says the market’s waking up to that. Smart post BC!
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2025-07-13
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ⚡🚘 Tesla’s Grand Bet on Grok 4: The $1T Asymmetry of AI, Autonomy, and Industrial Intelligence 🚘⚡ 🚀 Tesla ended the week at a ~$1T market cap, briefly reclaiming its status as a trillion-dollar titan. For most firms, this is the summit. For Tesla, it’s a launchpad! 🚀 The market is pivoting toward transformative growth, and Tesla’s narrative transcends automobiles. This isn’t a car company chasing earnings; it’s a public laboratory for convergence. Autonomy, robotics, and energy aren’t just business lines; they’re the framework for a new industrial paradigm. Enter the Asymmetric Vision Premium:
TOPBrilliant way of tying Grok’s rollout hiccups into brand risk. I’ve been thinking a lot about alignment too, especially when it’s tied to hardware that moves. You’ve nailed why $TSLA’s market cap feels less about cars and more about control over emerging systems. The $1T thesis actually feels conservative if even half of this plays out.
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2025-07-13
$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 🎯 Unity: From Gaming Engine to Market Ignition Most traders still think Unity is a gaming stock. That’s why they’re missing what this actually is, an AI-era infrastructure pivot hidden inside a misunderstood chart. And just like Palantir in 2023, Unity is being priced off the past while positioning itself for an entirely different future. 🐋 The whales see it. 📊 The volume confirms it. 📈 The chart is already shouting it. 📉 Insiders Sell. Whales Write Floor. Institutions Stack. On 10Jul25, a whale stepped in and sold 1,000 contracts of $30 puts expiring 18Jun26, for $715K in collect
TOPWhat stood out most to me was the IV30 and skew detail—it’s such a strong tell that traders are pricing directional risk. If that $30 floor holds, you’re right, this won’t just be a bounce. It’ll be a paradigm shift. Watching $U closely now. So many on my watchlist 🤭
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2025-07-13
$iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT)$ $Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2507(BTCmain)$ 🧠 Bitcoin: When Money Gets Harder Than Work 💼🪙 It now takes 4,114 hours of full-time work at the average U.S. wage to afford 1 $BTC. That’s 514 working days, nearly 1 year and 10 months. And globally? 🇳🇿 6,053 hours or 757 working days in New Zealand 🇦🇺 5,090 hours or 636 working days in Australia 🇸🇬 4,746 hours or 593 working days in Singapore When one asset absorbs multiple years of labour across advanced economies, it’s no longer just appreciating; it’s redefining value itself. But with the price of 1 $BTC now at $117,452, most investors are no longer buying coins. They’
TOPIt’s the sheer volume behind $IBIT that’s blowing my mind. $5B on a single day? That’s not speculative energy, that’s allocation. Makes me wonder how long $GBTC and $FBTC can hold relevance.
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2025-07-13
High Yield Meets Growth: What Investors Should Know About NTT DC REIT's IPO？ Investors looking for attractive income opportunities on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) should note the upcoming debut of $NTT DC REIT USD(NTDU.SI)$ . Backed by Japan's Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT) Group, this pure-play data-centre REIT is raising approximately US$773 million (S$988 million) and is set to commence trading on 14 July 2025 with a projected annualised distribution yield of 7.5%. This marks the largest S-REIT IPO on SGX in over a decade, combining a standout starting yield with clear growth drivers. Why This IPO Has Captured Market Attention The public offer for NTT DC REIT ran from July 7 to July 10, with a total fundraising target of ap
TOPExciting times ahead for investors! [Wow]
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2025-07-13
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ 🎯⚙️🧠 $ASML: The Chokepoint of AI, Where the Next Decade Begins 🧠⚙️🎯 I’m not here to hype another chip name. I’m focused on the machine behind the machines. ASML isn’t just part of the AI revolution, it’s the choke point, controlling the tools every advanced chip needs to be born! Earnings drop Wednesday, 17Jul25 BMO, in a week that could reshape tech sentiment. CPI hits Tuesday, PPI lands Wednesday, the Fed enters blackout Friday, and $NFLX and $TSMC headline earnings. I’m not chasing AI fluff, I’m positioning upstream. 📡 What ASML Actually Does ASML builds the world’s most
TOPThis is one of your best. You’ve balanced tech detail with market strategy better than most fund notes I’ve read. The inclusion of Trump’s tariff angle was sharp. If trade heat picks up, $AMAT and $ASML both wear the risk, but that’s also where the alpha lives. Watching $SMH rotation now.
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2025-07-13
1. Are the Cuts in Q2 Estimates Offering Chances for Earnings Beats? Yes, they potentially are. At the beginning of Q2, analysts trimmed earnings forecasts for many sectors—including financials—due to macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g. slower loan growth, consumer delinquencies, and continued pressure on net interest margins). However, lowered expectations increase the likelihood of earnings beats, especially if: Trading revenues from volatile markets (AI, tech rotation, rate cuts) were strong. Investment banking activity picked up, especially in equity capital markets and M&A. Credit quality remained stable despite consumer headwinds. Banks that show resilience in fee-based businesses and trading will be better positioned to outperform these cautious expectations. --- 2. Can Big Banks Be
TOPIt's fascinating how lowered expectations can create opportunities for surprise earnings
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2025-07-13
🌎 Trump's Tariff Shock: Rotation or Overreaction? | Market Response to 30% EU Tariffs
Trump's return to trade war rhetoric—30% tariffs on EU & Mexico (Jul 12), 35% on Canada (Aug 1)—isn't just political theater. This could reshape sector flows and trigger volatility in QQQ-heavy names. 📉 Likely Initial Market Reaction: Short-term risk-off in consumer cyclicals, automakers, and industrials tied to global supply chains. QQQ might wobble if semis/tech fear margin impact, though AI exposure cushions the fall. Watch $TSLA, $GM, $CAT, and $DE for short setups or bear spreads. 🍔 “Taco Trade” in Trouble? If tariffs disrupt Mexico-US logistics or supply, $AVAV, $KSU, and border-linked plays could see earnings downgrades. Food & beverage inflation may return → potential short-term pop in $COST, $KR, or even commodity ETFs. 📈 But here's the real trade: Defense, uranium, and re
TOPSolid take 👌 Defensive rotation into $XAR and $URA makes sense if tariffs drag out and inflation expectations resurface.
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2025-07-13
$Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ $iShares U.S. Transportation ETF(IYT)$ $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🖌️ Markets are brushing off a 30% tariff threat, but they’re missing the escalation: tomatoes, copper, and judicial brinkmanship are converging into a full-spectrum trade reset. This isn’t 2018 redux. It’s 2025’s volatility cocktail, with salad, semiconductors, and systemic risk all on the chopping block! 🍅🌮📈Tomato Tariffs, Taco Tensions, and Trump’s Trade Trap That Could Snap the System📈🌮🍅 📍 Tariff Tsunami: Not Just Bluff Anymore On 12Jul25, Trump confirmed a 30% tariff on EU and Mexican
TOP🍅This is exactly the kind of volatility map I needed heading into earnings season. That tomato data was wild—72% import share with a 17% tariff? CPI’s gonna feel it. If $GLD starts pushing $230 before the court decision, I’ll know the hedges are already front-running the ruling.
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2025-07-13
The Q2 2025 earnings season is officially underway, and all eyes are on the heavyweights of Wall Street — the big banks. JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo are all set to report this week. With their stock prices sitting near multi-year or all-time highs, the big question is: can they deliver enough to justify the rally? Why Expectations Are Sky-High Strong Q1 Momentum: Most banks posted impressive Q1 earnings, fueled by higher interest income and resilient trading desks. That set the tone for bullish expectations in Q2. Resilient Economy: Despite lingering inflation concerns, the U.S. economy remains solid. Loan demand, credit card spending, and low unemployment continue to support the banks’ consumer and commercial segments. Rate Tailwinds: El
690
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2025-07-13
OUE REIT: Navigating the Discount Trap (Stock 3 Good 3 Bad) | 🦖 #TheInvestingIguana EP974
🟩 📊 Wondering if OUE REIT is a buy, sell, or hold? Join Iggy from the Investing Iguana as he dives into this balanced financial analysis, packed with insights to help Singaporean investors make smarter decisions. From uncovering 3 strong reasons to invest—like premium Singapore assets and a 6.9% dividend yield—to shedding light on 3 critical red flags, including growth concerns and hospitality sector risks, this video is your go-to guide for informed investment decisions. 📈 Whether you're assessing your CPF portfolio or planning your next move, this breakdown offers practical takeaways and strategic advice. Should you buy, sell, or hold? Iggy’s verdict: Hold—if you’re in for the long haul and can stomach short-term market volatility. Investing is a long-term game. Be patient, disciplined,
TOPWhat an insightful breakdown! Love it! [Heart]
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2025-07-13
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ 🚀💰🌍 Nvidia’s New Era: Reshaping the Global Economy 🌍💰🚀 Nvidia has shattered the $4T milestone, a historic first for any company. Jensen Huang’s silicon empire hasn’t just edged past other tech giants, it has sprinted into a league of its own, fuelled by the AI revolution it architected. In a stunning display of financial power, Nvidia’s market cap has eclipsed the entire GDPs of 🇯🇵 Japan, 🇩🇪 Germany, and 🇮🇳 India. It now towers above 189 of the world’s 194 economies. This isn’t just a bull run. It’s a fundamental repricing of technological dominance in the AI age. 📈 A Technically Perfect Ascent From
TOPThat $167.89 harmonic hit was insane. The way it kissed the wedge apex and then backed off… textbook. I’ve been watching AVGO mirror a similar Fibonacci rhythm lately, and I’m wondering if it’ll follow Nvidia into that next expansion leg. Love how you laid out the retracement zones!