Weekly: Geopolitics may overshadow economics, and Fed's inflation gauge in focus
Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Markets mixed amid Fed hold and rising geopolitical risksU.S. stocks traded in a narrow range over the shortened week. The Dow edged up 0.02%, supported by gains in Industrials, Transportation, and Utilities, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped slightly due to sector rotation and heightened geopolitical tensions.The Fed held rates steady and maintained its projection for two rate cuts this year. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience, balancing cooling labor data with potential tariff-driven inflation and rising energy prices.Over the weekend, the U.S. launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, surprising investors expecting diplomatic efforts. The action escalated Middle East tensions, sending oil futures up 3.8% to nearly $77 per barrel.Bitcoin f
U.S. Strikes Iran’s Nuclear Sites: Will Oil Hit $100 or Spark a Market Meltdown?
On June 21, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. military executed precision strikes on three key Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—marking a dramatic escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. Trump hailed the operation as a “spectacular military success,” claiming Iran’s nuclear enrichment capabilities were “completely obliterated.” Iran’s Revolutionary Guard responded defiantly, vowing “serious consequences” and threatening U.S. interests across the Middle East. As Brent crude surged 2.6% to $79 per barrel by Sunday evening, investors are bracing for volatility. Could this conflict push oil prices to $80 or beyond, and might extreme scenarios trigger a broader market crisis? This article analyses the geopolitical fallout, oil market dynamics, and tradin
🎁What the Tigers Say | Nvidia Reclaims Top 1! A Bullish Dash to $150?
Nvidia has reclaimed the crown as the world’s most valuable company, with its market cap soaring to $3.45 trillion—overtaking Microsoft in the process. The rally has investors buzzing: Has the stock already priced in all the AI optimism? How much upside is left from here? Could we see Nvidia sprint toward the next milestone—$150?Bullish sentiment remains strong, but some are starting to ask: are we chasing momentum, or riding the next tech revolution?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @yourcelesttyy:Key Points:Priced In or Still Room to Grow?Has Nvidia’s stock already
🎁What the Tigers Say | GENIUS Act Passed! Sell the News for Circle?
On June 17, 2025, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed the GENIUS Act with a 68-30 vote. The passage of this bill marks a major step forward in stablecoin regulation, and it is expected to be sent to the House of Representatives for further review in the coming weeks.Circle’s recent surge appears to have priced in the bill’s approval and is now showing signs of peaking. Is this a “sell the news” moment, or should investors wait for more positive developments?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @ToNi:Key Points:Circle’s Recent Performance and IPO PotentialCircle’s rece
🎁What the Tigers Say | S&P 500 Hits 6000—Will a New High Follow?
The S&P 500 just logged a three-day winning streak, inching closer to its record of 6,144.15 from February 19, 2025. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Technology Index has already climbed to a new all-time closing high—the first in nearly four months. With the U.S. CPI data dropping this Wednesday, will inflation cool enough to send markets soaring… or stall the rally? North or south—what’s your call?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @yourcelesttyy:Key Points:Market Sentiment: Optimism with a Side of CautionSentiment is bullish but jittery. The VIX, at 20, is down from April
🔥Key events in the coming week, share your trading plans!
Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>[Rewards]We will reward you with 50 Tiger Coins when you share your knowledge about stocks and markets here, depending on quality and originality.[Winners Announcement:20 Jun]1.Here are the 5 Tigers whose post has the best quality & interaction last Friday:Congratulations on being offered 50 Tiger Coins!FedEx
Exactly 4 months ago, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ went below 20SMA and crashed 22% due to Trump tariffs.4 hours ago, US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities escalating war with Israel. SPY will break 20SMA again.Here's what to focus on if WWIII breaks out next week 🧵 ImageFirstly, institutions said with right triggers like global nuclear war between US and the Middle East, SPY would easily RETEST the $480 lows again. We think this is highly unlikely and this war will be short but volatile for a few weeks more.4 key areas right now on SPY we must pay attention to:1. 20SMA at $5942. 200SMA at $5803. JPM collar (short call at 5905) so $5904. Gap between $567-$580 (could be filled if) these levels are broken.SPY will have a hard time breaking below
Oil Spikes, Markets on Edge - Is Energy the Smartest Hedge In A Geopolitical Storm?
🌟🌟🌟The financial world is bracing for impact after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, igniting a wave of geopolitical tension not seen since the early 2020s. Crude oil is surging, inflation fears are rising. Investors are scrambling to position ahead of what could become a full blown regional crisis. Could this be the tipping point that sets off the next global selloff, or a moment where energy stocks shine brightest? Crude Awakening - Oil Fast Climb Brent crude jumped nearly 18% in just 2 weeks, recently topping USD 79.04 per barrel. Traders are building in a USD 10 to USD 15 geopolitical risk premium and talk of USD 130 oil per barrel is no longer outrageous. A key flashpoint - the Straits of Hormuz, where 30% of global seabourne oil passes through. If Iran d
FedEx (FDX) Guidance To Go Lower Amidst Geopolitical and Uncertain Demand
$FedEx(FDX)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, 24 June 2025. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Analysts generally forecast an adjusted EPS in the range of $5.86 to $6.03 per share. This would represent a year-over-year increase from the $5.41 reported in Q4 FY2024. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is around $5.94. Revenue: Consensus estimates for revenue are approximately $21.7 billion to $21.84 billion. This indicates a slight year-over-year decline (around 1-1.9%) from the $22.1 billion in Q4 FY2024. FedEx (FDX) Last Neutral Earnings Call Saw Share Price Declined By 8.19% FedEx (FDX) had a neutral earnings call on 20 March 2025 which saw its share price declined by 8.19% since. FedEx demonstrated strong r
Bitcoin Below USD100K - Panic, Opportunity or Prelude To A Bigger Storm?
🌟🌟🌟The Crypto world woke up to a jolt today. Just hours after President Trump confirmed US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, Bitcoin slipped below the psychologically critical USD 100,000 mark for the first time in over a month. The broader crypto market followed suit, shedding nearly 7% in a single day. With geopolitical tensions escalating and market sentiment turning sharply risk-off, investors are left wondering - Is this a golden dip buying opportunity or the start of another Black Monday? The Fallout Bitcoin's drop to around USD 99,300 came amid a wave of liquidations and panic selling. Altcoins like Ethereum and Solana took even steeper hits, with some cryptocurrencies plunging almost 10%. Analysts are split - some see this as a temporary correc
1.McDonald’s $McDonald's(MCD)$ pricing us out 🚨🚨 Prices have doubled over the last decadeImage2.Target $Target(TGT)$ on track for 3 consecutive quarterly declines for the first time in more than a decade 🚨🚨🚨Image3.Gold $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ on track for an inflow of $80 Billion this year, the largest in history 🚨📈ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
1. $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ Only 5 setups like this in ZETA's short history — all of them winners.Price has pulled back into the smart money zone, and the Weekly BX is flashing strength.Average move after this setup is +30%, with the BX bot projecting a potential run to $27.50.I’m personally sitting this one out since I’m already managing too many trades.Image2. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Still on the watchlist this week.We started playing the breakout back in May and I re-entered long last week.The Weekly BX bot is projecting a move toward $90 by November — but expecting some consolidation in the meantime.I’ll continue riding the upside as long as my criteria remain intact.ImageFor who
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ No major changes over the past few weeks.Weekly BX remains strong, and while the setup is still valid, I haven't touched this since our breakout entry back in April around $140.Both the monthly and weekly still meet my criteria but I'm allocating more capital toward $AMD at the moment, where the risk/reward looks better.For those still holding, it looks like all-time highs are on deck in the coming months.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Officially pulling this off my watchlist.Weekly BX closed 🔴 with a lower low — my long criteria are no longer valid.No setup for now. Moving on.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The 20DMA has been finally reached, it was just a matter of time. Considering the futures a gap down is coming, the support levels inside the current volume shelf will be tested, and the lower edge is expected to be the worst case scenario for a pullback.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - Bearish MACD Crossovers➡️The red circles highlight recent pullbacks that have followed bearish MACD crossovers. Friday's red engulfing candle adds to the bearish outlook, suggesting further downside.➡️A rapid move towards the upper edge of the volume shelf is likely (black arrow). In a scenario of accelerated selling, the price action could mirror previous pullbacks (red oval), which would align with the lower edge of the volume shelf (low probabilities).ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of
The concept of R-multiples was introduced by Dr. Van Tharp.R stands for your unit of risk — specifically, how much you’re willing to lose on a trade if your stop loss is hit.Examples:🔹A -1R trade means you lost your planned risk amount.🔹A +4R trade means you made 4 times what you initially risked.Personally, I like to define R as a percentage of my account.1R is 1R. The percentage stays the same.The value increases as my account grows.Why thinking in R-multiples helps your trading:🔹It shifts your focus to risk vs reward, helping you evaluate trades more objectively.🔹It forces risk management — you can’t use R without knowing your risk in advance.🔹It makes losses psychologically easier to handle: most losing trades will just cost you 1R or less.🔹It helps you focus on consistency and process
US investors allocate ~5x more to equities as most global investors do
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 1. The market is facing a “Wall Of Worry” as noise levels run high.2. Fund flows show a transitional phase in the market.3. Seasonality is quite negative near term (June swoon?).4. Fund managers expect cheap global stocks to outperform vs US.5. US investors allocate ~5x more to equities as most global investors do.Overall, aside from the very interesting perspective and stats snippets in this week’s edition, the major theme
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Although a 5% pullback is anticipated, it’s expected to be a buyable dip—setting up the final leg higher toward 6,500. This aligns with the 61.8% extension of Wave 3 + the upper boundary of the 2021–2025 trendline.Both primary wave counts then suggest a significant top, with a likely retest of the 5,000 level (a 20–25% correction). The more bearish scenario opens the door for a deeper drawdown, potentially revisiting the 2023 low—implying a 45–60% correction.In either case, treat the coming dip as a multi-month swing trade, not a long-term buying opportunity. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2509(ESmain)$
$CapLand Ascott T(HMN.SI)$$Frasers HTrust(ACV.SI)$$Acro HTrust USD(XZL.SI)$$CDL HTrust(J85.SI)$$Far East HTrust(Q5T.SI)$ Below is a comparison using the latest data from comparison tables on S-REITs Comparison page. The most favorable figures are marked in blue and given a +1 score, while the least favorable are in red with a -1 score. The highest score in each category determines the winner. Note that this is a simple comparison without weightage assigned to each figure. Image Generated by Microsoft