In a world already battling inflation, slowing growth, and geopolitical instability, the U.S. slapping 104% tariffs on select foreign imports has lit a fresh fire under global markets — and not the kind investors celebrate. Once again, trade tensions are on the rise. The stock market, which had just started to stabilize after a rocky first quarter, now faces renewed headwinds. Investors are left wondering: Is this the beginning of a prolonged drag on equities, or will markets shake it off like they’ve done before? Why the 104% Tariff Matters The number itself — 104% — is eye-popping. But more than that, it signals a shift toward full-blown protectionism. Whether it's targeting electric vehicles, semiconductors, green energy, or strategic tech, this move is not just about economics. It's po
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Cathie Wood has done it again — making headlines by adding Nvidia to her portfolio. For some, this move signals renewed conviction in the chipmaker’s future. For others, it's a surprising reversal from an investor who once voiced skepticism about Nvidia’s valuation. Regardless, her action begs the question: Should retail investors follow her lead, or has the boat already sailed? The Case for Following Cathie Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI revolution. Even after a retracement in price, its fundamentals continue to impress: strong demand for GPUs, aggressive innovation, and entrenched market leadership in AI infrastructure. Cathie’s buy suggests she sees this dip as an opportunity — not a red
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Extreme Fear Grips Markets The Fear & Greed Index, which tracks investor sentiment, is currently sitting at 4 out of 100. For context, the “Extreme Fear” category begins at 25—we’re well below that. A Brutal Week for U.S. Tech Looking at the S&P 500 over the past five days, the picture is grim. Nearly everything is red. But it’s not just the color—it’s the severity of the losses. Apple is down 7%, Meta 10%, Amazon 8%. ServiceNow, Intuit, Salesforce, Adobe, Uber—all down more than 9%. These are major, foundational U.S. tech companies, and they’re continuing to slide. A False Hope and a Flash Rebound There was a brief moment of optimism when a rumor emerged that
Amazon (AMZN) Falls 19% From Projected Blue Box Zone
Hello traders and welcome to a a new blog post. This post will discuss how we utilize the Elliott wave theory to spot trading opportunities from our proprietary blue box zone. In this one, the spotlight will be on AMZN stock price. Amazon.com, Inc. is a global tech giant known for its e-commerce platform, cloud computing services (AWS), and digital innovation. Founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994, the company has grown into one of the world’s most valuable and influential corporations, trading under the ticker AMZN on the NASDAQ. AMZN started a pullback in February 2025 to correct the bullish cycle from December 2022. Typically, such pullbacks either complete a 3, 7 or 11 swing structure. From the top of February, AMZN completed a 5-wave impulse structure which we labelled wave ((A))
Elliott Wave Explained: Why the Market’s Sharp Correction Isn’t the End of the Bull Run
In this article, we contend that the current sharp correction in market indices like S&P 500 (SPX) does not signal the end of the bull market. To support this view, we’ve produced a video that outlines our argument with detailed technical analysis. You can view the video at the end of this article for an in-depth explanation. Below, we begin by examining the long-term Elliott Wave chart. SPX Monthly Elliott Wave Chart Looking at the SPX monthly Elliott Wave chart, we see a seven-swing rally unfolding from the all-time low. The first swing reached its peak in 2000, the second found its low in 2009, the third topped out in 2020, and the fourth wrapped up later that year. The fifth swing ended in 2021, the sixth in 2022, and the seventh closed in 2025, marked by Trump’s global reciprocal
Tesla Retests $220: Can It Hold $200 Before Earnings?
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Tesla’s stock is under fire, dropping to test the $220 level again as of April 8, 2025. Tesla bull Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities has slashed his price target, calling Tesla a “political symbol” amid Elon Musk’s controversial ties to the Trump administration. With earnings set for April 22, the big question looms: Can Tesla hold the key $200 level before the report? And if you’re eyeing a dip, what’s the right price to buy? Let’s break down the technicals, fundamentals, and sentiment to find out if this is a golden opportunity—or a falling knife. Tesla’s $220 Test: A Technical Breakdown Tesla’s stock has been a rollercoaster in 2025, down 11% YTD and now testing $2
Gene Genie: Why Natera Might Just Decode Your Portfolio’s Future
When it comes to market darlings, Natera doesn’t exactly strut across CNBC headlines in a glittering AI cape. But don't let its relatively quiet demeanour fool you — behind the lab coats and test tubes lies a company quietly revolutionising the world of diagnostics, with implications that extend well beyond the prenatal niche it first carved out. From Maternity Wards to Oncology Warlords Let’s start at the beginning. $Natera(NTRA)$ earned its stripes by pioneering non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT), helping parents-to-be detect chromosomal abnormalities without the trauma of invasive procedures. That business, far from plateauing, still boasts a healthy 32% year-on-year growth. But the real plot twist? Natera’s pivot from expectant mothers to ex
Tariff Fears! Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) – A Deep Dive into a Low-Risk, High-Reward Setup
$Asbury(ABG)$ ABG is a stock I’ve owned before, and after stepping away for a bit post-earnings, I’ve decided to get back in. The stock price tells the story of its recent volatility: after a strong Q4 report, shares surged up to $300, but they’ve since come down to the ~$220 level. This has created, in my view, a highly attractive entry point for a fundamentally strong, long-term growth story. The Business: A National Automotive Retail Giant Asbury Automotive Group is one of the largest automotive retailers in the U.S., operating a broad network of dealerships and service centers. They sell new and used vehicles, offer repair and maintenance services, and provide financing and insurance products. While the headline revenue may be driven by vehicle
Xiaomi -20%! Will It Return to 20 Amid the Market Crash?
$Xiaomi Corp.( $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ )$ $S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ Xiaomi’s stock has cratered 20% as of April 9, 2025, caught in the chaos of a brutal market downturn. With trade tensions escalating and investor confidence rattled, it’s no surprise Xiaomi has taken a beating. But the big question on everyone’s mind is: Can it claw its way back to the 20 mark, or is this just the beginning of a deeper slide? Let’s unpack the market context, dig into Xiaomi’s fundamentals, and weigh the odds of a rebound in this fresh, data-driven dive. The Market Mess: Caught in the Crossfire Xiaomi’s plunge isn’t an isolated event—it’s part
Tech Sector Turmoil: S&P and Nasdaq’s Worst Quarter Since 2022
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The first quarter of 2025 has delivered a harsh blow to the tech sector, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices recording their worst quarterly performances since 2022. Major players like Tesla and Nvidia have seen steep declines—36% and nearly 20%, respectively—raising alarms among investors. This post explores the drivers behind this downturn, its ripple effects, and strategies to weather the storm in 2025’s volatile financial landscape. Detailed Analysis The S&P and Nasdaq’s dismal Q1 2025 performance stems from multiple pressures. Rising interest rates, as the Federal Reserve continues its fight against inflation, have squeezed growth stocks reliant on cheap b
Now that trump has paused tariffs for 90 days, wanted to do a portfolio update. Unfortunately was not able to navigate the stock selections well since inception, whereby prices were at aths, this meant that when macroeconomic sentiment is changing from a bullish to bearish, dca doesn't work out. Identified that while I would not be able to determine what is going to happen during liberation date, there would probably be loads of volatility. Picked up vix calls to insure my portfolio, and found exit liquidity. Repurchased stocks at lower entry prices and lucked out with the 90day cool off. Unsure if we're still on track for a recessionary period and a change in the global supply chain as markets are just flooding back in with positive news. Hopefully this momentum will continue throughout t
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Do becareful as well guys. While the market seems like it has pivoted. We have to be wary. 🫥 Might be a proper relieve rally. So take profit as deem fit. Nothing wrong with it. I sold another one too… yesterday before the announcement coz judging from technicals + company fundaments + competition + macro + consumers sentiments The trajectory will be limited in the next 12 months. Just like Palantir. In terms of probability the chance of 2x the % compare to others is not that high. #tesla #byd #ev #xiaomi
How Long Could It Last? Short-Term Escalation (Months): Right now, both sides are digging in. The U.S., under President Trump, has framed these tariffs as "reciprocal" to address trade imbalances, while China has vowed to "fight to the end" and won’t "sit idly by." This tit-for-tat pattern suggests the trade war could intensify for at least a few months unless one side blinks. Historically, Trump’s first trade war with China in 2018-2019 took about two years to reach a partial deal (Phase One in January 2020), but this round seems more aggressive with higher stakes. Mid-Term Stalemate (1-2 Years): If neither the U.S. nor China backs down, we might see a prolonged standoff. China’s economy is better prepared than in 2018, having diversified trade with other countries, and the U.S. is pushin
Was today the bottom? Are we finally in the clear?That’s the question hanging in everyone's head right now -- from boardrooms to trading desks to Twitter feeds -- and after a day like this, it’s fair to ask. We just saw a broad, violent rally across indices. It wasn’t narrow. It wasn’t defensive. It looked and felt like the beginning of something.But before we declare “blue skies ahead,” we need to be honest about where we are -- and what’s still missing.Yes, today was progress. Meaningful progress. It was the first day in months where capital didn’t feel like it was just rotating between safety trades or hugging the sidelines. There was conviction. There was structure. There was breath.But bottoms aren’t made in a day. They’re forged over time -- through repeated tests, failed rallies, re
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ From a technical point of view, gold prices are expected to retest the all-time highs in the $3,160 area. On the daily chart, technical indicators are moving higher within positive levels with a clear bullish slope.Meanwhile, gold prices have rallied above the bullish 20 simple moving average (SMA), which is currently around $3,044. Finally, the 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA continue to move steadily higher, well below the aforementioned short-term averages, in line with the dominant bullish trend.Image2.Thursday (April 10) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock,
Are Semiconductors ($SMH) Signaling the Bottom Is In?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.Many major semiconductor names like $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ are down over 50% from their highs, a move few saw coming just four months ago. But now, there are signs this sector might be anchoring the next leg higher.If you look at $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ monthly chart it looks like we pinned at bottom near the 2022 highs. The recent 90-day pause on tariffs, announced by President Trump, triggered a buying frenzy across the market, with semiconductors leading the charge.As it stands, dips should conti
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$(1) a new intepretation and wave count was posted to subs; the crazy run will continue.(2) in brief, the targeted tariff against China ALONE, mounts to a quasi-Declaration of War. Now, let's wait and see China's reaction. While at sleep, my last short position was stopped out; I re-entered again the same SPY put position at the market close--yeah, I set up the alarm to wake me up--how can you miss this, right? NTA.2.HALF done:(1) with tariffs and retaliation tariffs flying around like shooting stars on the background, some begin to examine the damages and call for a bottom.(2) Come on! This is right in the eye of the S
Earn quadruple in a day! How to play the option doomsday bet?
U.S. President Trump finally couldn't sit still regarding the crash of U.S. stocks in recent days. At the beginning of Wednesday's session,He bluntly advised investors to buy U.S. stocks. And those investors who followed his advice did gain well on the day, because just hours after the "buy" call, he suspended some "reciprocal tariffs", triggering a strong market rebound。Trump said during the session that he had authorized a 90-day tariff suspension for countries or regions that did not take retaliatory actions. The news triggered a strong rebound in U.S. stocks.Theoretically, for those investors who entered the market immediately at Trump's urging, they got a handsome return. After Trump announced the suspension of some tariffs, U.S. stocks experienced a historic reversal in afternoon tra