OptionsDelta

    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·00:38

      Small Pullback

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp
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      Small Pullback
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-18 01:10

      Hardware-Software Seesaw, SPY Always Rises

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The subtitle of this article is: "We are all just pieces in Wall Street's game." To sum up the recent market action: squeeze the shorts to kill the bears, then nurture the bulls; then crash the market to kill the bulls and feed the bears — and so the cycle continues, giving SPY fresh momentum every time. The SPY block trade worth noting is this August 31-expiry 785 call $SPY 20260831 785.0 CALL$, opening 33,000 contracts — this is a roll, and the pre-roll position was the August 14-expiry 750 call $SPY 20260814 750.0 CALL$. In any case, even though we don't know which sector will lead t
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      Hardware-Software Seesaw, SPY Always Rises
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-14

      GPU Rental Prices:The Wealth Code

      $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ are in an awkward position — especially CRWV. The key takeaway from earnings isn't in the financial results themselves, but outside the filings: GPU rental prices. It's similar to how storage stocks are priced — earnings only become interesting after long-term agreements (LTAs) are signed; before that, it's all about whether storage prices are going up. For data centers, both of these companies are heavily leveraged and asset-heavy. Whether they can turn a profit depends entirely on whether GPUs can be rented at good prices. If GPU rental prices fall, even stellar earnings won't save the stock — because institutions will reason that if you're renting cheap but bought
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      GPU Rental Prices:The Wealth Code
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-13

      IGV : 50,000 Contracts of 90 Puts Opened!

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The news came out the day before yesterday that Anthropic is planning an IPO in September or early October. That would be right after Triple Witching on 9/18 — which roughly translates to bullish after Triple Witching. The bullish playbook is probably similar to before: continue squeezing the shorts, with the broader market dipping first then rallying. Oh, SPY might not drop, but some sectors will. IGV opened 50,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 90 put$IGV 20261218 90.0 PUT$ — a buy-side bearish bet with a notional value of approximately $13.5 million. On the same day, PLTR opened 28,000 contracts of the 140 put
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      IGV : 50,000 Contracts of 90 Puts Opened!
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-11

      Semiconductor Sector Capped Again

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This week, SPY is being held below 780 — not my opinion, but dictated by the Bull Call Spreads: $SPY 20260814 780.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260814 788.0 CALL$ Rotation is back in play, with semiconductors once again becoming the sector being reined in. Last week's big regulator, NVIDIA, pulled back, while pharmaceuticals and software rebounded. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ There are two possible scenarios for this week: one is the stock being trapped in a 125–135 consolidation range; the other is breaking above 135 and trading in a 135–155 range. Either way, selli
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      Semiconductor Sector Capped Again
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-07

      Elon Musk: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Buying Opportunity

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Friday's nonfarm payrolls data is the big test, but Wednesday's ADP small employment report showed only 44,000 new jobs — missing expectations — which has made the market less certain about a September rate hike. It's not out of the question that SPY could retrace to 760 over the next two weeks. After that pullback, it's expected to remain in a high-level consolidation range. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ All seven storage companies have now reported earnings: Samsung, Hynix, Micron, SNDK, Kioxia, WDC, and STX. There's nothing wrong with the earnings themselves — the only problem is that prices got too expensive and got in the way of the cloud providers. How could a Korean storage comp
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      Elon Musk: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Buying Opportunity
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-06

      Buy S&P 500!

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This is the most aggressive single-leg bullish bet I've ever seen: $SPY 20260821 785.0 CALL$  — a block trade buying the August 21-expiry 785 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$— a block trade buying the August 14-expiry 775 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260918 820.0 CALL$ — a block trade buying the September 18-expiry 820 call, opening 26,000 contracts. Notably, the 785 call is a roll — the previously mentioned $SPY 20260821
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      Buy S&P 500!
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-05

      The Huge Whale

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I think these two lines are all the headline this article needs today. No need to analyze any other stocks. SPY has rallied to 775 — just close your eyes and pick any stock, and you'd make money. SPY dropped a massive block trade on the market — the August 21-expiry 775 call $SPY 20260821 775.0 CALL$ opened 50,000 contracts (buy-side). And today, more large bullish call trades continued to open during the session: 49,700 contracts of the August 14-expiry 775 call l$SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$ , and 20,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 820 call
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      The Huge Whale
    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-04
      Wall Street Is Squeezing Both Sides — Every Bull and Bear That Discloses a Position Gets Crushed After taking down bullish trader Leopold last week, the market opened on Monday with a short squeeze that caught bears off guard. Following Leopold's announcement that he was liquidating his fund, well-known short seller Burry declared on July 30 that he was continuing to short Micron and NVDA — adding to his Micron short at 880 and his SOXX short at 506. Then Monday brought a massive rally, effectively putting the shorts back on the fire. Both bulls and bears got burned, but SPY came out on top again. This aligns with our analysis from last Friday — SPY's rise is a political mandate. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Where does the funding for SPY's political mandate
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    • OptionsDeltaOptionsDelta
      ·08-01

      The Team Can Lose, But SPY Must Not Fall

      "Stock God" Leopold was margin-called and forced to transfer his holdings — Citadel Securities swooped in and picked them up at a bargain price. The very next day, the market rebounded sharply with a massive surge. There's something worth reminding everyone about: Citadel Securities acquired Morgan Stanley's options market-making business in 2025 and is likely the largest options market maker in the market today. As we all know, options liquidity is provided by market makers, so Leopold's large block buy orders were essentially visible chips in the eyes of the market makers. This reminds me of the old saying — "the mantis stalks the cicada, unaware of the oriole behind." The large block trades I've been tracking might just be fat lambs waiting to be sheared in the eyes of the market makers
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      The Team Can Lose, But SPY Must Not Fall
       
       
       
       

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