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The Market is Winding Up for a Bigger Run

What a week. 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ back up to 7800, fully recovered from yesterdays sell off.. what a bounce.. 7800 hard level though so lets see if it can close above.. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ backtested the previous ATH at 748 and held so far, needs above 752 to set up for 755 We're seeing a rotation back into the Mag7... $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ to 280 in play by November $Microsoft(MSFT)$ setting up for 550, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ building a new base above 700 the past week Finally, the Dips got bought
The Market is Winding Up for a Bigger Run
avatarMcMillan Daily
10-09 21:16

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/9/26

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Things seemed so promising on Tuesday, when $SPX traded at new all-time intraday and closing highs. But almost immediately after the market closed that day, selling set in. While it hasn't been heavy selling, it has pushed $SPX back down into the previous trading range. Essentially, the upside breakout wasn't a breakout at all, but merely a slight extension of the trading range. The net result is that there is still resistance at the all-time highs, 7820-7844. There is near-term support at 7720, then stronger support as shown by the red horizontal line in Figure 1, at 7580-7620. The market internals hav
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/9/26

TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 78 pts from ydays highs. The price action today was more bearish after 2 consecutive gap down days. IF SPX fails to reclaim 7800 tomorrow, It's risk off for the upside. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ also gave up the 748 support level as well. QQQ dropped from 757 to 743 intraday. If QQQ fails to reclaim 748 avoid calls for now. $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ both had no follow through day after yesterdays run. MU needs 1100+ and
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday

Option Strategies: TEM, APLD& LEVI

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~10%. Am targeting that 200EMA on the weekly timeframe for a put-write trade to play earnings. Will sell puts at the $16 or $17 strike. 2 $Levi Strauss & Co(LEVI)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~9%. Looking at the monthly chart, that 16 level has strong volume support. Am looking to write puts at the $16 or $17 strike to play earnings. 3 Gonna follow along on this $Tempus AI(TEM)$ put-write trade, but might do th
Option Strategies: TEM, APLD& LEVI

TRADE PLAN FOR THURSDAY 📈

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dips bought up quickly today after dropping to 7763 at the lows. if SPX reclaims 7816 tomorrow we can see another new all time high by Friday. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ to 8000 is inbound. Its just a matter of time. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ finally made a daily candle close above 748 for 3 consecutive days. The melt up to 800 is starting. We can see an explosive move after mid term elections $Micron Technology(MU)$and $SanDisk Co
TRADE PLAN FOR THURSDAY 📈

Octobers in Mid-Term Election Years Are Surprisingly Strong (Preview)

By Lawrence G. McMillan We continue to see articles almost daily about the potential negatives in this market – especially in volatility. Yet all these are really doing is identifying overbought conditions. The market can continue to advance for a long time while it is overbought. That’s why Keynes’ statement remains true: the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. In this case, “irrational” is “going up too long” and solvency applies to short sellers. But you get the idea. A more novel thought might be this: “Has this extended trading range with worsening internals allowed the market to ‘correct’ without $SPX actually going down?” It has happened in the past (1994 comes to mind). In that vein, it is often the case that the sitting administration attempts to bolst
Octobers in Mid-Term Election Years Are Surprisingly Strong (Preview)

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 10/5/2026

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on October 5, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/xdnkx0g38Gg$GOTU$ 
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 10/5/2026

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/2/26

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The stock market continues to be range-bound. $SPX is still solidly between support at 7580-7620 and resistance at 7780-7820. Those are the two red horizontal lines on the graph in Figure 1. Market internals continue to be poor, causing some of them to reach oversold status. Let's start with the equity-only put-call ratios (Figures 2 and 3). They remain split in their signals. The standard ratio is still slowly climbing, thus keeping its sell signal in place. The weighted ratio rolled over and began to decline a little over a week ago, so it is on a buy signal. Breadth has continued to be poor. Most day
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/2/26

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 9/28/2026

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on September 28, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/FWgycauj1kU$GOTU$ 
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 9/28/2026

Continuing Theories About This Market (Preview)

$NVDA$ $AAPL$ $MSFT$  By Lawrence G. McMillan It is said that a bull market climbs a Wall of Worry. In the modern context, this statement remains true of course, but also encompasses $VIX. In the past weeks, we have published a few articles detailing just how many articles are circulating in the financial media about the forthcoming $VIX explosion. That hasn’t happened yet, by the way, and probably won’t until people get more complacent about the current price of $VIX (and the stock market, as well). Of course, the Wall of Worry extends to other sectors of the market. Here’s a relatively new one. The S&P 500 is too concentrated – not just in a
Continuing Theories About This Market (Preview)

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 9/25/26

$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$  By Lawrence G. McMillan This market continues to be one with a huge split between the technical indicators. The market internals (breadth, put-call ratios, New Highs vs. New Lows) remain in terrible shape. However, the $SPX chart itself has regained a positive stance, with last Monday's gains breaking through the downtrend line that had existed. Moreover, the various indicators surrounding $VIX remain positive. $SPX broke above the downtrend line on its chart (the purple line in Figure 1) and attempted to reach the all-time highs at 7820. It didn't quite do so and has now fallen back a bit. So there is resistance at 7780-7820.
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 9/25/26

Option Strategies: Wait for the Huge Bounce!

There will be having a private Bilateral talk tomorrow at the Whitehouse. This event can cause volatility throughout the day depending on what happens. We saw $S&P 500(.SPX)$ run 280 points and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 48 points in 5 days. Best case scenario we see one more consolidation day before a bounce on Friday/Monday. Either way you need to manage your risk until we see the market reaction to the meeting. SPX if it fails at 7700 avoid calls. If $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ fails at 738 let it drop as well. $Micron Technology(MU)$ and
Option Strategies: Wait for the Huge Bounce!

.SPX: When Everyone is Bearish, Bet the Other Way

Last week I said everyone was bearish into FOMC. Now the Nasdaq- $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is back near all time highs. QQQ is setting up for a run to 800 this year. If you missed the move from 700 to 748.. Please don't miss the one to 800. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ also on the verge of a breakout to 8000 as well.. The next FOMC is 5 weeks away. CPI is in 3 weeks. There are risk events over the next month but the runway looks pretty clear for now. $Micron Technology(MU)$ to 1250, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ to 2300, $Advanced
.SPX: When Everyone is Bearish, Bet the Other Way

Option Strategies: .SPX, QQQ, AMD& META

I told you last week... BUY THE DIP. Look at where we are now. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is 60 points from all time highs $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is 7 pts from all time highs. If QQQ breaks 748 we're going to see a melt up to 800. $SPX to 8000 coming if it gets through 7800. The market consolidated for almost 4 months. It's priming for the next leg higher in Q4. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ to 650, $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ to 350 in play. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ lets see if it rips 800 by next week.
Option Strategies: .SPX, QQQ, AMD& META

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 9/21/2026

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on September 21, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/embed/WCla3c1x-MI$GOTU$ 
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 9/21/2026

Option Strategies: SNDK, MU& .SPX

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trade Idea: Sept 23 7700C / 7550P Bullish Trigger: 7638 ✅ Bullish Target: 7700 🎯 Bullish Stop: 7600 🛑 Bearish Trigger: 7600 ✅ Bearish Targets: 7550, 7520 🎯 Bearish Stop: 7620 🛑 SPX dropped to 7507 after FOMC and rallied back to 7650 by the end of Friday. If SPX can defend 7620 this week, which was a previous ATH, we can see 7700 again. Calls can work above 7638 early this week. A move through 7700 could set up 7800+ if we get positive news with Iran. 2 $Micron Technology(MU)$ Trade Idea: Sept 25 1070C Trigger: 1000 ✅ Targets: 1042, 1068 🎯 Stop: 970 🛑 MU moved from 902 to 1016 last wee
Option Strategies: SNDK, MU& .SPX

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 9/18/26

By Lawrence G. McMillan This past week saw further deterioration -- by the $SPX Index as well as the internal indicators. $SPX sold off, but then tried to snap back with a big rally on Thursday, but it is not all that convincing. But, in reality, the 100-point rally just seemed to be an oversold rally. It didn't even reach the declining 20-day Moving Average, much less challenge the downtrend (purple) line on the chart. The rally did accomplish one thing, though: it pushed $SPX back up into that support area. So, technically there is still support there, or slightly below. The market internals have been terrible. Specifically the "market internals" as far as our indicators go, are 1) equity-only put- call ratios, 2) breadth oscillators, and 3) New Highs vs. New Lows on the NYSE. All three
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 9/18/26

Introducing McMillan Morning Market Commentary

By Lawrence G. McMillan We’re excited to introduce McMillan Morning Market Commentary, a new subscription designed to give traders and investors a concise look at the broad stock market and our current market outlook at the start of the trading day. The commentary brings together four of the key areas we use to evaluate market conditions: S&P 500 ($SPX) price action, volatility ($VIX), equity-only put-call ratios, and market breadth. We’ll highlight important support and resistance levels, changes in our indicators, significant overnight developments, and the signals we believe are worth watching. Rather than simply recapping what happened, the goal is to provide perspective on where the market stands and what we’re watching next. Try It Free for 7 Days To introduce the new service, we
Introducing McMillan Morning Market Commentary

Option Strategies: .SPX, QQQ, MU, SNDK& DELL

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ended up closing up 85 points on the day. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ closed up 12 pts. IF we see another run tomorrow $SPX can move towards 7700 and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$nto 722 in play next. As long as SPX holds 7600 and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ can defend 712 we should see the market continue this uptrend. $Micron Technology(MU)$ is almost ready for a breakout to 1050, Let's see if it can reclaim 1000 tomorrow.
Option Strategies: .SPX, QQQ, MU, SNDK& DELL

Lots of Volatility on FOMC Day as Expected

Lots of volatility on FOMC day as expected. We saw $S&P 500(.SPX)$ drop 120 points from the highs to lows and close at 7551. If SPX reclaims 7600 tomorrow we can see a bigger rally next week. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped from 711 to 700 and closed at 704.72. As long as QQQ Holds 700 and SPX holds 7500 uptrend still intact. The real move usually comes tomorrow for FOMC week so let's see if a bigger trend arises. I'd keep an eye on $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ above 520, $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ above 570
Lots of Volatility on FOMC Day as Expected