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11-10 09:57
Morgan Stanley: "Buy the Drop"
As I've been saying endlessly markets overshoot both ways. We've now overshot to the downside and the risk of not investing here is outweighed by the reward. Averaging in at these levels I believe will pay nicely. Safest plays here remain the hyperscalers with $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ still being my favorite. They're the ones that have the capital to absorb any potential delays and are less reliant on those who are fully dependent on debt. Semis remain a clear opportunity as well. Personally remain long $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ despite the headlines. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ now trades ~14x NTM PE whilst the likes of
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11-10 09:53
TRADE PLAN for CPI Tuesday 📈
Last Thursday was the flush to market the bottom. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rallied back almost 200 points at the highs today. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ moved up 25+ points as well. The probability of us revisiting last week's lows is less than 10%. SPX to 7620, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ to 700 in play next. We can see $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ run to 550 $ SMH back to 520, $Meta Platforms(META)$ to $700, $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ to 165-170 in play. Every dip you see as
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11-10 09:51
BTC, USO, .SPX, GOOGL& OPEN Face Distinctive Destination
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ Still a few gaps below. 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Not the best look here. 3 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Previous support has flipped to ***potential*** resistance. 4 Trading at the line in the sand here. Make or break. Break and this likely goes to the mid $60k's $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ 5 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Bear fla
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11-10 09:48
$SPY Bullish Harami Points to $795+ by Year-End
📈 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Bullish Harami Signals More Upside Ahead Eight months ago, $SPY reversed from $630 and rallied all the way to $781 after forming a bullish Harami pattern. Now, the same pattern has appeared again on the weekly chart. Here's the setup: 🟢 Key support: $730 As long as $SPY holds above its 200SMA at $730, the bullish outlook remains intact. 🎯 Upside targets: First target: $782 Next target: $795+ I see $795+ as a realistic target by year-end if support holds. There could also be room for a much bigger rally if the war ends sooner than expected and the FOMC takes a dovish stance into year-end. The $730 level is the line to watch. Hold it, and the path toward new highs remains open.
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11-10 09:31
Robinhood Is Making More Money Than Ever. So Why Is the Stock Down 42%?
The short version Robinhood just had the most profitable 12 months in its history. The stock is still down 42% from its high. That's not a contradiction. It's the difference between a great company and a great stock. Robinhood, the app that made trading free for a whole generation, is a great company. But the fundamentals and my chart point to the same long-term buy price, and it's well below where the stock trades today. The good: Robinhood earned about $2 billion over the last 12 months, has no corporate debt, and customers are adding money at a record pace. The catch: Almost half its revenue comes from options and crypto trading, which booms when markets are hot and fades when they cool. Growth already slowed to 12% last quarter. And at $80.91, the stock trades about 37% above Morningst
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11-10 09:43
The Road to 10,000, Why I'm Calling a Bottom in $SPX
🚀 The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Bottom Is In — New All-Time Highs Ahead? Today's rally confirmed the bullish WXY correction, and I'm now looking for the next leg higher. Here's what I'm watching across the major indexes: 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Bottom Confirmed The 3-wave WXY correction reached the 200DMA, completing the W4 pullback. $SPX held its July lows while $NDX swept below them, creating a bullish SMT divergence. I want to see this rally extend a bit higher and leave a new daily FVG behind. A pullback into that gap will be my next buying opportunity. The next target is a W5 advance toward 8,000–8,400. Invalidation: 7,350 (PWL). The road to 10,000 continues. ⚡ $E
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11-10 09:45
$HIMS Revenue Grows 49% as Subscriber Mix Shifts Upmarket
📊 $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ : Subscriber Decline Doesn't Tell the Whole Story A decline in subscribers isn't ideal, but it's happening alongside a much higher price point. My read is that $HIMS is shifting toward higher-value, higher-revenue subscribers in areas like weight loss, while allowing lower-value customers in ED and hair loss to churn. That could be a worthwhile trade-off, but it also makes the headline subscriber numbers harder to interpret without more detail on customer mix and revenue per subscriber. The earnings "miss" also needs to be viewed in the context of management's comments: "Revenue grew 49% year-over-year, our second consecutive quarter of acceleration, with domestic revenue up 21% year-over-year and internationa
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11-10 09:24
$SPY Bounces as Expected, With Another 1% Upside in Sight
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ had a strong session, just as anticipated. Price was deeply oversold and bounced directly off the Smart Money Zone. There's also very little volume on the volume profile between current levels and roughly $760–764, leaving room for price to move higher. Here's what I'm watching: 🟢 Near-term outlook I expect $SPY to continue moving higher into tomorrow and through the rest of the week, potentially gaining another 1% before facing a possible rejection. 🎯 Key resistance The $760–765 area is where I'd consider taking some short-term risk off the table. 🛡️ Critical support The $727 swing low remains intact. We discussed the worst-case scenario at the start of the week, but that downside risk only becomes a bigger concer
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11-10 05:02
$Alibaba (BABA) Slips -3.74% After-Hours: Key $99.39 Support Under Watch, Rebound Window Narrows ...
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026 (New York time), Alibaba closed at $105.36, down -3.74% from the previous close of $109.45. After-hours quotes indicate further softness near $105.36, while the stock sits roughly 41.8% below its 52-week high of $181.10 and about 14.5% above its 52-week low of $91.99. The decline comes amid fading short-term momentum, with price now testing the lower end of the recent consolidation range. 🚀 Key Drivers Macro sentiment shift: Renewed caution around China-tech regulatory and macro headlines has weighed on large-cap ADRs, leaving 'BABA' vulnerable to profit-taking despite relatively cheap valuation. Capital flow deterioration: Five-day capital flow data shows net outflows on November 3, November 5, and November 6, undermining confidence and limiting intr
TOPmoliya: next week, 'BABA' is expected to fluctuate between $99.39 and $112.00. A sustained move above $112.00 could open the door toward the $118-$122 zone in the medium term. Conversely, a close below $99.39 may trigger accelerated selling toward the $92-$95 area. 38 institutions have issued target prices, with an average target of $184.14, a low of $95.00, and a high of $220.10. Rating distribution includes 11 Strong Buy, 27 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Underperform. The consensus target implies significant upside from current levels, but near-term sentiment remains cautious.
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11-10 05:02
$Qualcomm (QCOM) Jumps +3.66% to $171.47: Chip Giant Reclaims Momentum, $176 Breakout in Sight
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, Qualcomm closed at $171.47, up +3.66% with a daily gain of $6.06. The stock remains about 34% below its 52-week high of $259.92 but has bounced decisively from its recent support near $159.47. Trading volume reached 16.35 million shares with a volume ratio of 0.78, while the intraday range spanned $163.29 to $176.28, reflecting a 7.85% amplitude and renewed buying interest. 🚀 Key Drivers Technical Rebound: QCOM snapped its recent downtrend with a strong +3.66% move, supported by RSI recovery from oversold territory and improving MACD momentum. Institutional Positioning: Major holders including BlackRock (8.91%) and Vanguard (7.00%) maintained stable positions, while short volume ratios eased from over 30% in late October to around 4% in early Novembe
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11-10 05:01
$IREN Ltd (IREN) Drops -1.06%: AI Cloud Momentum Fades, $20 Support Holds the Line
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, IREN Ltd closed at $21.41, down -1.06% from the previous session. The stock traded in a wide range of $20.05 to $22.31, reflecting heightened volatility with an amplitude of 10.44%. The price remains approximately 69.7% below its 52-week high of $70.71, while holding about 24.8% above its 52-week low of $17.16. Turnover reached 19.58%, indicating active short-term rotation. Pre-market pricing on November 9 stood at $21.44, while after-hours settled at $21.40, suggesting limited immediate directional conviction. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Cloud Revenue Surge: IREN reported Q1 AI cloud revenue of nearly $200 million, growing close to two-fold year-over-year, which briefly lifted the stock before broader sentiment turned cautious. Musk-Led Sector Pressure: Negati
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11-10 05:01
$Palantir (PLTR) Soars +5.50%: AI Data Giant Breaks $169, Eyes $184 Resistance Rebound
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026 (ET), Palantir Technologies closed at $169.20, surging +5.50% with an intraday amplitude of 6.13%. The stock remains about 20.5% below its 52-week high of $212.94, but today's strong rebound pushed it well above the previous close of $160.38, signaling renewed buying interest. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Data Demand: Persistent enterprise appetite for AI-driven data analytics continues to anchor Palantir's premium valuation and growth narrative. Institutional Positioning: Heavyweight holders including BlackRock and Vanguard maintained their large stakes, reinforcing long-term confidence in the platform. Oversold Rebound: After a sharp multi-week pullback, technical oversold conditions triggered aggressive dip-buying, driving the +5.50% recovery. 🎯 Price Outlook
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11-10 05:00
$SanDisk (SNDK) Surges +6.16% After Hours Momentum: Rebound Off $849 Support Targets $904 Break, ...
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, 'SNDK' closed at $886.51, up +6.16% with an intraday range of $830.64 to $904.00. The stock remains approximately 62.3% below its 52-week high of $2,354.39, but after-hours trading at $888.19 suggests sustained buying interest following a sharp rebound from the $849.12 support level. 🚀 Key Drivers Technical Rebound Momentum: Price recovered sharply from the $849.12 support zone, with after-hours strength confirming near-term demand recovery. Capital Flow Divergence: Five-day flow shows strong net inflow on November 4 and 5 before a large outflow on November 6, indicating institutional repositioning around the current range. Fundamental Value Signal: TTM P/E of 7.13 and P/B of 6.96 remain well below historical averages, supporting value-oriented buyin
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11-09 22:56
Weekly Options Preview | First Guard Against Panic Selling, Then Look for a Bounce
1. This Week's Market Overview The biggest risk in US stocks has shifted from "AI valuations are too high" to "money is pulling out all at once." Last week the Nasdaq fell 3.4%, its fourth straight weekly drop. The S&P 500 fell 2.7%. Tech bounced Friday, but not enough to confirm a bottom. What's more worrying is the level of fear. On Thursday the fear gauge spiked, the VIX curve inverted, and put volume hit a record. Hedge funds and long-only money both cut tech holdings, and quant strategies face more selling pressure. Right now, strong jobs data actually raises the odds of a Fed hike, so the market may not get policy support quickly. The biggest variable this week is Tuesday's CPI: if inflation runs hot, it could add pressure on tech valuations. Even if inflation cools, we still nee
TOPVIX curve inversion is usually closer to late-panic than fresh downside. I’d watch whether QQQ can reclaim the prior breakdown zone first
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11-09 20:08
Cloudflare 3Q26: Trading Gross Margin for Market Share—Is the Math Worth It?
Cloudflare ( $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ ) just delivered a blockbuster quarter. Revenue hit $782.5 million (+39% YoY), the highest growth rate in nearly four years, while non-GAAP operating margin hit a record 17.5%. More importantly, management guided to GAAP profitability a quarter early in Q4. Yet, this is not an "AI compute" fairytale. Strip away the headline numbers, and you find a highly disciplined business model executing a deliberate financial trade-off: using high-margin core security to fund low-margin Workers expansion, while leveraging its "Isolate" architecture to relentlessly drive down unit costs. However, the 57% FCF conversion rate exposes its true nature as a heavy network infrastructure play, and AI (Act IV) remains a call option,
TOP57% FCF conversion is fine for now, but this story really needs that metric back above 60% to prove the infra spend is scaling cleanly
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11-09 20:15
MI450 Must Deliver — What Makes AMD's Bounce Durable?
AMD gave the market a two-day lesson in bounce maths. On Thursday, the stock fell 17.26% to $404.40 from Wednesday's $488.78. On Friday, it rose 11.04% to $449.04. That is a sharp bounce — and it still leaves AMD about 8% below Wednesday's close. After a 17% fall, it takes about a 21% gain to get all the way back. Friday recovered roughly half the ground lost, not all of it. Nothing about AMD's business changed between Thursday and Friday. The same third-quarter report was behind both moves: revenue of $13.38 billion, up about 45% year on year, adjusted EPS of $2.09, and data-centre revenue up 97% to $8.55 billion — now 64% of total sales. Fourth-quarter guidance was about $17 billion, and management expects total revenue growth of more than 80% in 2027. Thursday was the market selling the
TOPFirst watch MI450 shipments. If data-center revenue is already 64% of sales, what quarterly MI contribution or customer count would make the bounce feel durable to you
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11-09 20:20
NVIDIA MACRO ALERT: THE JENSEN HUANG CONTINGENCY & THE 4-PILLAR RUNWAY
Let’s talk capital preservation, asymmetric risk, and the elephant in the room. Jensen Huang’s recent disclosure has triggered an independent board investigation. Right now, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPThe four-pillar runway matters more here—CUDA lock-in and the full-stack ecosystem are still miles ahead, governance noise alone does not break that moat
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11-09 20:25
From AI Expansion to AI Efficiency
Why NeuroStream™ could become a critical layer of AI infrastructure The artificial intelligence boom has been built on a simple formula: more chips, more servers and more power. Over the past several years, investors have poured capital into semiconductor makers, cloud providers and data center operators on the assumption that AI performance would keep improving as long as infrastructure kept expanding. That formula is now running into physical limits. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that data centers consumed about 415 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in 2024. In its base case, that figure more than doubles to around 945 TWh by 2030, slightly more than Japan’s entire electricity consumption today, with AI the single largest driver of the increase.
TOPOne thing I like is that $Robo.ai Inc.(AIIO)$ addresses an existing problem. Storage, bandwidth, and compute expenses are already real issues for many organizations.
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11-09 21:59
My Returns Are Still 2x Of S&P 500 and Nasdaq. What's Next?
hey everyone, Wonton Investor here. quick update on where things stand. my portfolio is up around 15% this year, while the nasdaq and the S&P 500 are both up around 7% as of writing. and that's after a pretty ugly drawdown along the way (if you've been keeping up with my COIN position and the recent markets, you should know how bloody the market has been lol) i'm not saying that to flex, because one good year doesn't make anyone a genius, and i've had my fair share of bad calls. i'm saying it because i haven't posted much this year, and i want to explain what i was doing instead: reading and analysing a lot. earnings calls, filings, newsletters, and a lot of writing down why i own what i own. so from now on i'm going to pen those thoughts down more regularly, with dates on everything,
TOPCommoditized optics and power usually push returns toward the integration layer. The next post should dig into who actually keeps pricing power when the hardware gets standardized.
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11-06
How Mild Leverage with Options Lets You Play Market Downturns Without Betting the Farm The recent market downturn is brutal. With usual starwarks like Nvidia, Micron, Amazon, Meta and Tesla all falling sharply. Markets do not decline in a straight line, and they rarely stay down forever. The investors who treat every sharp drop as pure catastrophe usually lock in losses or sit paralyzed. The ones who treat the same drop as a pricing error and express that view with tightly controlled leverage tend to come out ahead over full cycles. Options are the cleanest tool for the second approach, provided you keep the leverage mild and the risk defined. A market downturn raises two useful things at once: the probability of further weakness (or a sharp rebound) and the price of insurance. That combin
TOPwhen you’re holding downside puts in a fast selloff, here’s how I think about it. You just weigh what’s left in the time value against how much further you really expect the stock to drop. If that expected drop is big compared to the remaining premium, the move is what’s driving everything and theta takes a back seat. If the expected drop is small, theta is still chewing away. The volatility spike can buy you a little time, but once things calm down that extra vol starts fading too. And for put spreads, my simple rule is this: the moment your short put gets deep in the money and there’s almost no time value left say under a nickel or a dime just close it or roll it. Especially if expiration or an ex-dividend is coming up. That’s when the other side is most likely to exercise early. Don’t wait around.