To The Moon

The AI Supply Chain Swept the S&P 500 Leaderboard in H1 2026 The $S&P 500(.SPX)$   navigated a largely bifurcated environment in the first half of 2026. The first quarter was primarily characterized by a distinct sector rotation. Mega-cap technology lagged—with the Magnificent Seven declining over 10%—while capital rotated into defensive and cyclical sectors, notably energy, which surged amid Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions. This dynamic shifted notably in Q2. As $Microsoft(MSFT)$  , $Alphabet(GOOG)$   , 

I would still be selectively buying, but not aggressively. The three risks you listed are real, yet they are very different in nature: 1. U.S.-Iran tensions: Historically, geopolitical shocks tend to create short-term volatility unless they significantly disrupt oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Inflation and rates: This is the most important factor. If inflation remains sticky, valuations for high-growth AI stocks face pressure because future earnings are discounted at higher rates. 3. AI spending concerns: Markets have priced in near-perfect execution. Any sign that hyperscaler AI spending growth is slowing can trigger sharp corrections in names like NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Marvell. For long-term investors, a 10% drop in SOXL is noise, not a thesis change. However, leveraged ETFs

If I were allocating my own capital, I would wait rather than buy SpaceX on day one. The problem is not the business. SpaceX is arguably the world's most valuable private aerospace company, with dominant positions in launch services and satellite internet. The problem is price versus expectations. IPO buyers often pay for years of future success upfront. My preference would be: 1. Wait for post-IPO price discovery (highest conviction) Let institutions and early investors establish a fair valuation. Avoid first-day euphoria and extreme volatility. Reassess after the first few earnings reports. 2. Small position in RKLB if seeking space exposure RKLB benefits from increased investor attention on the space sector. Lower valuation risk than buying a hyped IPO at any price. Still highly specula

I'd lean towards scaling in gradually rather than waiting for a confirmed breakdown. The challenge with waiting for a break below $4,000 is that markets often rebound before giving investors a comfortable entry. If gold is already approaching a major psychological support level, a partial position allows participation without making an all-or-nothing call. My approach would be: Add a small tranche near $4,000. Keep significant cash available in case gold falls further. Add more only if the decline becomes excessive or fundamentals improve. Avoid deploying all capital at a single level. The key question is why gold is weakening. If higher real yields and reduced rate-cut expectations are driving the move, gold could remain under pressure despite geopolitical tensions. If inflation cools and

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Good Company, bad business people. If Uncle Charles can keep his company clean and tidy , this will blast off. 🚀🚀🚀 This post serves as the first major piece of formal public knowledge directly from Supermicro's leadership confirming a joint, massive hardware partnership involving both SpaceX and xAl. "Space is our big future!" This directly links to SpaceX's formal long-term project to deploy orbital Al data centers. SpaceX has officially advanced plans to launch specialized satellites designed to act as space-based Al compute nodes (targeting 150 kW peak power units utilizing Starlink technology) to solve Earth's power and cooling constraints. Supermicro recently reported a massive $39 billion backlog

$Apple(AAPL)$  :  Is Apple A Buy or Bye After the WWDC Dip? 🌟🌟🌟Right after WWDC 2026, Apple fell below the USD 300 psychological level.  Why the drop?  AI announcements were good but the market wants earth shattering.  Apple Intelligence rollout gaps in China and European Union spooked the traders.  Institutional funds took profits after a massive multi quarter run.  Expectations were simply too high. But here is the truth.  The fundamentals did not break.  Only the price did.  It is a great opportunity to buy when others hesitate. Siri 2.0: Unfairly Punished by the Market  One of the biggest misunderstandings post WWDC was the reaction to the new Siri. Investors' exp

I am bearish on SpaceX’s current valuations. It is quite an insane bet that any company that compound revenue at almost 50% annually for the next 10 years. That is asking for 10 years of consistent outsized performance. In the longer term, I do believe that SpaceX might be able to pull off its space data centre but it is still speculative at this point in time as nothing has been demonstrated yet, not even a prototype is available. Sending rockets and satellites are not quite the same as the picture painted by Elon. I think this is the most expensive leap of faith that the Wall Street has taken and most are forced to take it as the various index fund managers buy it. This feels like FOMO where many buy the latest hype of town. I think the next one year will give clarity. There is no ne

Corning Draws $33M Bullish Call Bet  On Friday, $Corning(GLW)$   shares edged higher, but remained more than 15% below their all-time high of around $212 reached in May. Following a recent pullback across the AI infrastructure sector, market sentiment has cooled noticeably. However, big money doesn't appear to be leaving. Options flow data showed that a trader purchased 6,700 Corning September 18, 2026 $140 call options at approximately $50 per contract, representing a total premium outlay of roughly $33.5 million. Notably, the contract had open interest of just 130 contracts prior to the trade, while daily volume surged to 6,700 contracts. The order was also flagged as Opening, Cross, and Bullish, suggesting it was very likely a new

I see the Monday style sell off as both a correction and reaction to refreshed fears of the us-Iran war continuation. To be fair, the rapid rise of AI stocks and memory stocks this year has left many wondering how long and how much can this bull run continue. It is not surprising that every now and then many would take profit first. It is first necessary to survive first before profits can be made. It is always good not to be too greedy. Where the AI stocks are concerned, I don’t think it has reached the bubble stage but it is mostly driven by an imbalance of supply and demand and some of the potential has not been realised yet. It is important to reassess in 1-2 years whether the potential still exist. If not, the possibility of a bubble is real. I think we might be near the top of the bu

🔥 Market Update: The Triple Threat Hammering Tech & Semis The market just hit a massive wall, and the latest rebound attempt has officially failed. Here is the brutal scorecard from the latest session: Nasdaq: Fell another 2%. Semiconductors (3x ETF): Plunged a staggering 10.43%. Nvidia & Broadcom: Dropped 3.73% and slid 5.12%, respectively. The selloff isn't just daily noise; it is being driven by three simultaneous pressures actively weighing on the markets: 🌍 1. Geopolitical Flashpoints: Renewed U.S.-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are introducing severe macro uncertainty into the system. 📈 2. Sticky Inflation: Hotter-than-expected inflation data is effectively dimming any remaining hopes for near-term rate cuts. 🤖 3. The AI Reality Check: Oracle's aggressive post-earnings

🚀 SpaceX IPO Day: Smart Money, Capital Rotation, and the Cosmic Rush The day has finally arrived—SpaceX is officially hitting the public markets today, and the sheer scale of this landmark offering is already rewriting the short-term dynamics of the entire tech ecosystem. The market isn't just watching; capital is aggressively shifting in real time. Here is your breakdown of what is happening under the hood on Day One: 🏛️ The Institutional Whale Move This isn't just a retail hype cycle. Bloomberg reports that BlackRock is targeting a massive subscription order of approximately $5 billion. When an institutional titan anchor-funds an IPO with that level of conviction, it signals deep, long-term confidence in the commercial space economy's structural moat. 🔄 The Capital Rotation: Chips to Spa

🔥 Nvidia’s Next Chapter: From Hardware Accumulation to ROI Realization The market has spent the last year aggressively trading Nvidia as a pure hardware momentum play, leading to historic, face-ripping volatility across the entire semiconductor sector. However, the underlying narrative driving the company's fundamental valuation is undergoing a massive structural shift. The initial wave of the AI boom was defined by panic-buying—mega-caps hoarding massive GPU clusters to avoid falling behind. Today, that phase is maturing. The market is no longer just asking how many chips Nvidia can sell; it is asking how effectively the end-users can monetize them. Here is the strategic breakdown of Nvidia's evolving moat: The ROI Reality Check: We are moving from the "infrastructure build-out" phase to

$AMD 20260618 310.0 CALL$ expiring in 4 days. Close for profit or exercised it? 

Mathematical Money | June 13, 2026 Last week I wrote about closing two MSFT LEAPS for roughly $8,400 in realized profit. Both contracts had more than doubled. I wrote about the rule that triggered them, the redeployment into higher strikes, the framework working at a second ticker after SPY in May. I also wrote this, near the end: "Most LEAPS I open will not double. Some will get rolled at a loss." Eight days later, here we are. The new MSFT position I opened the same week is down significantly. Let me show you exactly what that looks like, because this is the post that has to be written if last week's post is going to mean anything. The Marks Three positions to walk through. June 2027 $500 LEAPS, two contracts. Opened June 3 at $40.25. Currently around $26.00. Down about $14.25 per contra