To The Moon

$POET Technologies Inc(POET)$   $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   ​The market loves a scandal. It’s easy to digest. When the news broke that Marvell Technology severed ties with POET Technologies, the narrative was served on a silver platter: "CFO’s big mouth violates NDA; partnership terminated." ​It’s a neat story. It’s also a convenient smokescreen. ​If you understand how Big Tech operates, you know that billion-dollar roadmaps don’t get scrapped because of a slip of the tongue. You don't burn a bridge you're still walking on. You only burn it when you’ve already finished building the tunnel. ​The "Smoking Gun" Timeline ​To see the truth, you have to ignore the words

Somehow, the biggest, most popular companies in the world decided to report earnings in the same 48-hour period this quarter. Between the close of the market on Tuesday and the same period of time on Thursday, we may see what the next year looks like for businesses around the globe. I’ll be following them closely, so I wanted to go over five things I’m looking for that will drive the portfolio. More on that in a moment. 5 Things I’m Watching Here’s what I’m looking at this week. Spotify’s User Growth & Operating Leverage Shares of $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ are down 33% from their high last year, and most of that drop is because the stock’s valuation got a little stretched. Shares currently trade for 34x forward earnings estimates and 26x

$W&T Offshore(WTI)$ $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$   $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   $Phillips 66(PSX)$   $DALATA HOTEL GP(DAL.UK)$ The Pulse The macro narrative is shifting fast: crude oil is getting a hard geopolitical floor from Middle East supply fears while gold quietly surrenders ground as safe-haven rotation unwinds. With US–Iran tensions keeping the Strait of Hormuz risk premium alive, $WTI is running on headline fuel — not clean trend momentum — and that creates a high-conviction dip-buying window for disciplined traders. Meanwhile, $GLD holders are absor

Intel Set to Extend Record-Breaking Rally, Undeterred by Short Sellers $Intel(INTC)$   looks set to extend its record-breaking rally Monday with bulls were undeterred by short sellers who piled in to challenge the semiconductor company's blowout post-earnings surge. Trading in borrowed shares shares that were sold short jumped to 33.51 million shares Friday, the biggest among stocks with a market capital of more than $5 billion. The jump in bearish bets came after Intel reported first-quarter results that crushed expectations, sending shares up 23.60% to a closing record high of $82.54 Friday.  Trading in borrowed Intel shares that were sold short accounted for 11.91% of the 281.41 million shares that

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  is set to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, after the market closes. The stock has been riding a strong wave of momentum, up roughly 18% in the last 30 days, which sets a high bar for the release. Q1 2026 Earnings Expectations Wall Street is looking for strong revenue growth offset by heavy investment in AI infrastructure. Consensus Revenue: ~$106.9 billion (approx. +18.5% YoY) Consensus EPS: ~$2.62 – $2.68 (down from $2.81 last year) Implied Volatility: The options market is pricing in an expected move of approximately ±5.26% (or ~$18.00) for the expiration following the earnings report. Key Metrics to Watch 1. Google Cloud Growth & Backlog Investors are hyper-f

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  is scheduled to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, after the market close. The stock heads into this print near all-time highs, fueled by massive momentum in cloud services and custom AI silicon. Q1 2026 Earnings Expectations Analysts are generally bullish, though the high valuation ($260+ share price) leaves little room for a miss. Revenue: Expected between $173.5B and $178.5B (11–15% YoY growth). Earnings Per Share (EPS): Consensus sits around $1.61 to $1.63. Operating Income: Guided at $16.5B to $21.5B. Implied Volatility: The options market is pricing in a roughly 5–7% move in either direction post-earnings. Key Metrics to Watch While the headline numbers matter,

In February 2025, I conducted a valuation analysis of Olam Group following the Olam Agri transaction. By calculating the implied value of Olam Agri based on its private sale price and comparing it to Olam Group’s total market capitalization, a clear discrepancy emerged. My conclusion was straightforward: when Olam’s share price dipped below 1 SGD, the market was valuing the entire Group at less than the stake in Olam Agri. This effectively meant that shareholders were acquiring Olam OFI for free. This thesis proved correct and resulted in a profitable trade, highlighting a significant market mispricing of the Group’s underlying assets. $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$  

Amazon Earnings Preview: Investors Bet on Anthropic Collaboration for Upside $Amazon.com(AMZN)$   is scheduled to release its financial results post-market on April 29 ET. Market expectations suggest the cloud giant will benefit substantially from its partnership with Anthropic, although the recent stock price has partially factored in this expectation. On April 20, Amazon invested an additional $5 billion in Anthropic, with a potential total commitment of up to $20 billion. This comes on top of its prior $8 billion investment. Investors should also be wary of the risks associated with the acceleration in CapEx, and management will need to justify it. Core Financial Indicators – Amazon's revenue is expected

Scarcity, Not Steel I’ve started to think of Vertiv less as an industrial manufacturer and more as a toll collector on a very crowded motorway—except the motorway is overheating, and everyone is willing to pay extra to keep moving. What it really sells is not equipment, but relief: relief from thermal limits, power instability, and hyperscale timelines that now resemble high-frequency trades rather than infrastructure planning. AI traffic surges; infrastructure quietly charges for every degree This is where 'constraint arbitrage' stops sounding clever and starts sounding accurate. Vertiv sits precisely where digital ambition collides with physical limitation, and right now, limitation is winning just enough to be profitable. As GPUs grow more power-dense and thermally unforgiving, the bott

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Microsoft(MSFT)$  🚨🧠⚡ Mega Cap Conviction or Blow-Off Top? This Week May Decide ⚡🧠🚨 I’m looking at one of those rare weeks where liquidity, geopolitics, policy and earnings all collide. These periods often do not reward casual positioning. They reward preparation. 🚨 Derivatives markets are flashing unusually strong directional signals. Calls now lead puts on $GOOGL by $12M+. Single-leg calls inside 90DTE lead puts on $NVDA by $37M+ intraday as $NVDA pushes fresh all-time highs at $216.38. That matters because aggressive short-dated upside flow into major catalysts often reflects informed convexity rather tha

Robinhood Q1 2026 Preview: Is the Crypto Crash a Cyclical Dip or Structural Break? Consensus Expectations for Q1 2026: – Revenue: ~$1.136B (+23% YoY, -11% QoQ) – EPS: $0.43 (+16% YoY, -35% QoQ) – Adjusted EBITDA: $588M (+25% YoY, -23% QoQ from Q4's record 59%) – Transactios-based revenue: ~$661.3M — Options $282.8M (+18% YoY), Crypto ~$147.6M (-41% YoY), Equities ~$83M (+50%) – Net Interest Income: ~$390.2M (+37% YoY), NIM at ~2.74% – Monthly Active Users (MAU): 13.7M (-5% YoY, +5% QoQ from Q4's 13.0M) – Total Assets under Custody (AUC): $321.9B (+46% YoY) – Average Revenues per User (ARPU): $170.19 (+17% YoY, -11% QoQ) How to Read These Numbers:The alarming QoQ declines (EPS -35%, EBITDA -23%, ARPU -11%) require context: Q4 2025 was an exceptional base driven by post-election crypto surge

COMPANIES AND MARKETS By FactSet Insight  |  April 23, 2026 Competition within the U.S. ETF industry has reached a fever pitch. On April 6, 2026, Nasdaq announced a decision to offer Nasdaq-100 Index licensing “to a new select set of partners for U.S. ETF products” that ends the exclusivity Invesco has enjoyed for decades. Shortly afterwards, industry giants BlackRock and State Street each filed for an ETF to track the index. That move is a direct challenge to the dominance of the iconic Invesco QQQ Trust Series, better known by its ticker $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ . Launched in 1999 amid Y2K concerns, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ played a major role in expanding investor access to innovative technology